According to Michigan pollster Mitchell (Sept. 30; 709LV), and NC pollster High Point University (Sept. 20-29; 589 LV)
 | MICHIGAN |
| Trump | 49 |
| Harris | 48 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Rogers | 44 |
| Slotkin | 49 |
 | NORTH CAROLINA |
| Trump | 48 |
| Harris | 48 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
169 responses to “Trump up 1 in Michigan, tie in North Carolina”
First. Yippeeeeeeeee !!!!
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NATIONAL poll
🔴 Trump: 49% (+2)
🔵 Harris: 47%
@Rasmussen_Poll
| Sept. 26, 29-30, Oct. 1-2 | N=1,762LV
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Trump still +2 in Ras but was -3 today and usually doesn’t poll well on Sundays, so next week might tighten more unless Trump has a few good nights.
NATIONAL poll
🔴 Trump: 49% (+2)
🔵 Harris: 47%
@Rasmussen_Poll | Sept. 26, 29-30, Oct. 1-2 | N=1,762LV
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for those keeping score at home, the NC and MI polls are both 1 point improvement for Trump compared to last poll
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Screw you DWina !!!!
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International Association of Firefighters, an early Biden endorser in April 2019: “Today, the IAFF Executive Board, by a margin of 1.2%, voted to not endorse a candidate in the 2024 presidential election.”
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Perhap’s Vance’s speech to them a few weeks ago persuaded them not to endorse Harris. I wonder what the thresholds are; was it just a simple majority by either candidate needed? Or did neither reach a higher bar, and thus the union went with no endorsement?
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Swing State (AZ, GA, MI, NV, NC, PA, WI) Poll | Ipsos – 9/24-10/1
Swing State:
Trump 48% (+1)
Harris 47%
ipsos.com/sites/default/…
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Hope this helps GF:
https://x.com/mikememoli/status/1841911523779682664?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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IPSOS Harris +4 nationally is not really compatible with battlegrounds Trump +1, given her slippage in New York, New Jersey, and a little bit in California.
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“Ask yourself, are you better off today than you were four years ago? Across the board, the answer is no. The only people better off today than they were four years ago are illegal aliens, criminals and senators like Senator Tim Kaine.”
hung cao
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh NEW BATTLEGROUND poll, among Hispanics
🟡 Total: Harris+16 [-17]
🟡 AZ: Harris+11 [-13]
🟡 GA: Harris+16 [-9]
🟡 NV: Harris+12 [-14]
🟡 NC: Harris+9 [-6]
🟡 PA: Harris+30 [-12]
🟡 WI: Harris+17 [-6]
🟡 MI: Harris+20 [+9]
[+/- from Biden 2020]
Latino Opinions | Sept. 17-22 | N=2,200LV
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Michigan Hispanics must be a special breed to go against the trends in the other 49 states (even in CA, most of Trump’s gains in the state are due to Hispanics, according to PPIC).
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Marxist national pole. Quemala plus 2.
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GF, I wouldn’t take those numbers too seriously without knowing the sample sizes per state. They had 2,200 overall, but were 1000 from AZ alone?
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I don’t take them seriously, DW, especially with splits like that.
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The Marist poll is weighted D+4 and Trump up with Independents by 4.
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Someone correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe the last Marist poll was Harris +3. So Trump gained a point.
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There are now FIVE national polls that overlap the date 10/1/2024, and they are
Harris +3
Harris +2
Harris +2
Harris +1
Trump +2
Trump wins the electoral vote according to these numbers.
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So 4 national poles?
2 – plus 1 for quemala?
1 – plus 2 for trump
1 – plus 2 for quemala.
0.5 average?
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Dw, thanks, I didn’t see your post and I missed one. It’s time for the drat plus 6 poles.
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Once again, it all depends on the true nature of what the electorate looks like. Gallup is currently saying R +3. Marist weighted at D+4. I’m not sure if Gallup updates the ID one more time before the election or not.
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Eric Daugherty:
Latest Marist poll has Trump+18 on election day…
Remember how we were told election day would just be 50/50 now, and that’s why the mail-ins are way down for Democrats?
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Seems like Melania Trump is pro-choice.
Good.
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Can’t confirm, but someone posted that in the Marist poll Harris is losing men by 16 net points. I think Biden lost men by only 8 in 2020.
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Tina Peters, Colorado clerk who copied a Dominion voter log before Dominion came in to “maintain” the machines, erasing the logs. The one she copied showed huge voter discrepancies which she then gave over to outside sources as proof augmenting 2020 voter fraud allegations. However, she has been harassed by the government ever since, targeted by the FBI, Indicted on ludicrous charges, and today sentenced to 9 years in CO state prison. She is a Gold Star mother, who had the feds rummage thru the personal effects of her dead son before she had even opened the box. But. Being labeled a conspiracy theorist, maligned as an unrepentant person opposing the integrity of the last election, she is now being silenced and put away, like so many others who have dared dissent against the current government. We are rapidly losing our voice to dissent or even constructively uncover the corruption that is so embedded in justice system.
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Trump wins the electoral vote according to these numbers.”
I would still rather be ahead.
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So quemala has fallen 4-5 points nationally since the start of the week ? Ever since she had to those plus 5 poles that were touted here?
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“Colorado clerk who copied a Dominion voter”
Did Janzam mention that this was illegal?
I know it is a small detail, but it is missing from the long diatribe that followed.
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Some random statistics for you:
Harris has led in only 6 of the last 32 polls of Arizona. Two were Morning Consult, and one was a Dem pollster.
Harris has led in only 3 of the last 26 polls of Georgia. One was self-selected Fecal Data, and a second was the very erratic Bullfinch group.
Harris has led in only 4 of the last 17 polls of Pennsylvania.
Harris has led in only 4 of the last 26 polls of North Carolina. Two were Morning Consult, and one was Bullfinch Group.
Harris has led in only 1 of the last 5 polls of Michigan, and it was RMG Research.
Harris has led in 4 of the last 10 polls of Nevada, and two of them it was by a single point.
Harris has led in 5 of the last 11 polls of Wisconsin.
There’s the score on the 7 key battleground states. If it wasn’t for the media, and for cheating, the obvious favorite here is Trump.
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Trump now down 2.2 in the RCP average, in the danger zone and the worst he has been in awhile. At 49.4% Kamala is also very near the magic 50% mark. The list of polls is (since Tina loved it so much) a sea of blue. If you look at the graph, her lead has pretty much held steady since Aug 20, with a dip around mid-September. We can dance around with a lot of rosy and optimistic explanations, and I am on record as thinking -2 for Trump still gives him a narrow win, but this is hardly “comfortable”.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris
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She has dropped several points in the last week from the poles you fell for. Why?
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And the goo-e largely silent on this?
https://nypost.com/2024/10/03/us-news/feds-say-theres-no-money-left-to-respond-to-hurricanes-after-fema-used-640-9m-this-year-on-migrants/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=nypost
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The sad case of our justice system is it dismisses all kinds of instances of corruption, unconstitutional and flagrant criminal acts, while zeroing in on any technicalities embarrassing or showcasing government wrongdoing. Jason you have become quite the government stooge!
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Jason, I agree with your assessment. But that assessment is based on the assumption that there will not be a polling miss once again. If there is a polling miss again, then Trump may well be in a pretty comfortable position. We won’t know until November.
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Tomorrow trump is in Evan’s ga (added event?) with Governor hee haw.
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Nobody should be speaking of a “comfortable” Trump lead or a comfortable expectation he will win. The most recent trends (which may not hold up) have been positive for Trump, and as I said yesterday, the large quantity of battleground state polling from leftist polling sources that is strong for Trump does, statistically, outweigh the smaller quantity national polls showing Harris up 3 or more points.
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I also love a sea of blue polls.
-free passer
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NATIONAL polls?
Harris +7 (Clarity Campaign Labs-D)
Harris +5 (Morning Consult, Monmouth, Echelon Insights)
Harris +4 (Reuters/IPSOS, CBS News, TIPP, FAU, Data for Progress-D, Leger)
Harris +3 (Econonist/YouGov)
Harris +3 (Marist)
or
STATE polls?
AZ: Trump +6 (Suffolk)
AZ: Trump +5 (NY Times/Siena)
AZ: Trump +3 (Emerson, FoxNews)
GA: Trump +6 (Quinnipiac)
GA: Trump +3 (NY Times/Siena, ATL Journal/Const.)
PA: Trump +1 (FoxNews)
NC: Trump +2 (Quinnipiac, Wash Post, FoxNews)
WI: Trump +2 (Emerson)
MI: Trump +1 (Mitchell)
MI: Tie (NY Times/Siena)
VA: Harris +1 (U of Mary Wash.)
VA: Harris +3 (Roanoke College)
MN: Harris +4 (Embold Research)
MN: Harris +6 (SUSA)
CA: Harris +22 (U of S. CA)
CA: Harris +23 (Emerson)
NY: Harris +13 (Siena)
NY: Harris +14 (Emerson)
And there are more that I could post. But when it comes to quantity of data points, there are far more Trump favorable polls at the state level done by normally left-leaning pollsters than there are national polls by the same kind of polling firms.
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DW, thanks for the input. With that said, how does Nate Silver gives Harris a 57% chance of winning the EC as of today?
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“how does Nate Silver gives Harris a 57% chance of winning the EC as of today?”
He’s a hack?
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They will stop paying him and lynch him if he shows trump winning
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Good answer. Perhaps I was giving Silver way too much credit at trying to be impartial….with the word trying emphazied.
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You gov. Ohio
trump plus 7
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silver is not impartial. Car from it. Always has been a dem hack.
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Trump also said, while the illegal is housed in a luxury hotel, our veterans are on the street.
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Pole of polls. National.
trump plus 1.
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quemala 49
trump 48
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pole of polls is showing quemala plus 1 (not trump).
CBS, Quinnipiac, CNN, Marist | Sept. 18-Oct. 1
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Don’t really care about Silver other than the fact that he had Trump winning the EC 62%-38% about a month or so ago and now he has it almost flipped yet the trend is with Trump in the battleground polls recently but he hasn’t adjusted it yet. Personally, I would put it at Trump winning the EC at this moment by a 55%-45%.
But that’s my opinion….which with that a about $6 or $7 might get a mocha or latte at your local Starbucks.
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$10 here in sf, John.
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had to get the boys fast food tonight. I don’t do it often. Two ten piece nugget meals $23.10!!!!!
are you f%#*^} kidding me. Thats the Kamala regime. How any working class person could vote for her is beyond me. Another four years of Komrade Kamala and it will be $30 for two kids to eat
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where are yall
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Zzzzzzzz All crime is ok as long as it is to benefit Trump – trespass, smashing doors and windows, stealing, attacking law enforcement…
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Just enjoying Game 3 with the Mets and Brewers.
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I make things up.
-Cult Member
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while zeroing in on any tech
Casey – I support Israel. McCormick ran a hedge fund.
McCormick – I support Israel fighting for its life. Casey supported giving Iran $100 million
Casey – He is an anti-Semite.
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McCormack – Casey sucks on the border.
Casey – He supports reintroducing some Trump policies and voted for the bill Trump wanted to kill. Hedgehog CEO. Drink.
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I take it you’re watching teh casey mccormack debate
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Casey- I have met with families of fentanyl victims. Hedgefund. Drink.
McCormick- It was a bad bill. It was an amnesty bill.
Casey – Hedge fund. Drink.
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Casey – Greedy companies cause inflation. Bring companies to court to prove they are not price-gouging. He lives in Connecticut. I life in PA.
McCormick – Biden and Casey caused inflation. Favors extending Trump’s tax cuts for all. Casey’s inflation is a tax increase.
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Casey – McCormick will cut Soc. Security and Medicare.
McCormick – Will not change either.
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Abortion
McCormick – I have 6 daughters. Oppose national ban. I support IVF. Support exceptions. Casey supports abortion to the due date.
Casey- I ran as a pro-life Democrat. Then I changed my position.
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Humas new leader has been exterminated.
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Casey – McCormick lives in Connecticut. Hedge fund. Drink.
McCormick – 7th generation PA. Did run a company in Connecticut.
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Casey – Supports ending filibuster.
McCormick – Opposes filibuster.
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Casey – Hedge fund. Seriously.
McCormick – As Tressurer, Casey approved PA Pensions investing in McCormick’s hedge fund.
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Energy
McCormick. Pro-Fracking. Casey is a moron.
Casey – Invest in clean energy. Supports fracking. Hedge fund. He lives in Connecticut.
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Casey – Damn. More hedge fund.
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is he really saying hedge fund that often?? Does he think that people will care that the guy was successful and ran a hedge fund?
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Who was a better candidate – Biden or Harris?
Casey – Both are great. Hedge fund. You think I am joking? I’m not.
McCormick – Casey backed Biden when he couldn’t finish a sentence. He will vote 100% with Harris.
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Tariffs.
McCormick – Have to have fair trade. Support strategic tariffs (boooooo)
Casey- Supports strategic tariffs. McCormick will give billionaires more money.
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Jesus, Mary and Joseph. Hedge fund.
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Casey – Hedge fund. Lives in Connecticut.
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Mental health.
McCormick – Focus on veterans and homeless. (But cites 22 veterans killed themselves every day – often cited but not actually proven).
Casey – McCormick invested in anti-Semitic website.
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Closing –
McCormick – Casey sucks. Long list of liberal positions.
Casey – Fights for workers and vets. Hedge fund. Invests in China.
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“had to get the boys fast food tonight. I don’t do it often. Two ten piece nugget meals $23.10!!!!!
are you f%#*^} kidding me. Thats the Kamala regime. How any working class person could vote for her is beyond me. Another four years of Komrade Kamala and it will be $30 for two kids to eat”
Imagine what a helicopter will cost the average American if Kamala wins.
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Looks like port strike is over.
Negotiators have reached an agreement on wages in the port strike, with union members returning to work tomorrow, per @chrisidore and @VanessaCNN
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Note to HHR – I posted on the PA Senate debate because I live here. I will not be covering any other Senate debates.
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Don’t worry. Casey will drag that fast food place into court to prove they are not price-gouging. I’m sure the legal cost won’t be passed on to consumers.
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Who would want this job?
Breaking: The new Hezbollah leader who replaced the previous new Hezbollah leader who was eliminated after he replaced the previous leader who was eliminated, was eliminated tonight.
Three Hezbollah leaders eliminated in one week. DON’T F*CK WITH ISRAEL.
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So Bitter, who won in your opinion?
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REPORTER: “What do the states in the storm zone need after what you saw today?”
BIDEN CONFUSE: “Oh, the storm zone. I’m with what storm they’re talking about.”
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Gee scooter, you ignore me too. Check 8:27pm comment.
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BTW they are already claiming that it was because of Kamala that the strike was solved. File under things that never happened but MSM will say they did
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Stephen Neukam: “NEW: There’s internal Democratic panic about the Wisconsin Senate race.
Baldwin’s internals only have her up by 2, and the race is tightening fast.
Dems are on track to be outspent from now to Election Day in the state.
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“Gee scooter, you ignore me too. Check 8:27pm comment. “
I actually saw your post. I just wanted to ask the question, who would want that job?
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Scooter – I think McCormick won because he actually answered questions. However, he didn’t really address the charge he mostly lives in CT. In prior interviews, he said his wife and a daughter live there since she is finishing high school but he resides and votes in PA. Should have repeated that.
Casey lost because his main argument was MCCormick lives in CT, managed a hedge fund and wants to kill women.
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I heard there were earthquakes in California. I hope Tina is ok.
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Holy Cow!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
You gotta believe
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Wow !!! Down 2-0 in the 9th, Mets hit a 3 run homer to take lead.
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I didn’t want to jinx it by watching. I jinxed it. The good news is it will be the Brewers offense against the Mets bullpen in the 9th.
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LOL I didn’t want to jinx it by having it on either, but I just had to. I had a feeling!!
Maybe they can get Marte in and have a three run lead which might be just enough.
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WOW, just WOW, just WOW, jsut WOW
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Bitter, you get a break because we had to use Peterson today…can’t start him Saturday.
Gonna be a great series
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Oh well. Phillies-Mets on Saturday.
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Note to HHR – I posted on the PA Senate debate because I live here. I will not be covering any other Senate debates.”
Nah nah, no goldbricking.
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Lets Go METS!
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Vic/DW – I think you are both good guys. I genuinely hate you during baseball season. Both can be true.
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And Pete Alonso threw a rookie’s first hit in the MLB into the stands last year. D-bag.
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Hoping to see a repeat of this.
https://www.google.com/search?q=bedlam+at+the+bank+harper&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-us&client=safari#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:733721ef,vid:aRy6E9AMdPE,st:0
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Phillies will definitely pitch Wheeler in Game 1. Probably Sanchez and then Nola because Sanchez is better at home.
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I hate the Phillies & the Mets. GFY’s !!!
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Not really…… I don’t care who wins. I just wanted to act like an A-hole !!!!
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““Colorado clerk who copied a Dominion voter”
Did Janzam mention that this was illegal?
I know it is a small detail, but it is missing from the long diatribe that followed.”
-Is Dominion allowed to destroy the records? Or are they supposed to keep them for a certain amount of time?
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Not really…… I don’t care who wins. I just wanted to act like an A-hole !!!!”
Scooter was the first A-hole to graduate cum laude from A-hole Academy..
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If that county has not made the voting rules, procedures, and enforcement more transparent, I would believe that means they are hiding things and she should not be punished as harshly as she will be.
Sunlight is the best disinfectant.
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s Dominion allowed to destroy the records?”
Is that relevant to the fact that what she did was illegal?
A friend wants to know.
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I agree 9 years is probably way more than she should receive.
But she broke the law and janzam is wrong to call it a “technicality”
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“and she should not be punished as harshly as she will be.”
No argument with that.
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Yikes.
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“Is that relevant to the fact that what she did was illegal?”
-Of course it is.
If they are supposed to keep those records for a certain amount of time, but they don’t, then a jury should be allowed to hear that information. That could lead some on a jury to believe that her actions, while “illegal”, were warranted due to the underlying wrongdoing.
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With the battleground polls now trending towards Trump it seems that the liberal media is constantly going back to historian Allan Lichtman to be assured of a Harris victory.
Columns from Newsweek, The Independent, The Economic Times, Bergen Record, PhillyBurbs, Metro.co.uk, USA Today, and even the Katie Couric Media websites that appeared just recently in the last 48 hours are desperately trying to get any some sense of positivity and confidence from this now Democrat self-proclaimed modern ‘Nostradamus’ guru….anything at this point.
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The Phillies ruined the Cardinals in 2022 and they still haven’t recovered.
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If you think breaking the law is ok because you agree with the cause, then you are no different from the Dems who are doing the same thing.
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“illegal”
LOL
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Pure BS and absurd nonsense. If you break the law, you broke it. You are not allowed to shoot somebody and then defend it because the victim cheated on their taxes.
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while “illegal”,
Should have stopped there.
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“If you think breaking the law is ok because you agree with the cause, then you are no different from the Dems who are doing the same thing.”
-That’s not what I said. It’s not a “cause”.
I said if Dominion is supposed to keep those records safe, but don’t, then I see it as valid that a person would try to copy them to show Dominion’s malfeasance.
Any entity which seeks to maintain secrecy around voting should be considered suspicious by ALL citizens. It is not a “cause” of the Right or the Left. It is a basic fundamental right in a democracy/republic.
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Tina now likes Boris Johnson? Didn’t see that coming.
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But you are allowed to shoot someone in self defense, if someone breaks the law and your life is threatened.
In this case, if Dominion is supposed to be doing something but isn’t, then their actions need to be taken into account when dealing with Tina Peters.
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Should have read “if someone breaks the law by threatening your life.”
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Jan said she copied the document before Dominion later destroyed records. Copying and showing it was the crime. I agree she was over-sentenced
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I will put my law license against your trucking license on this one. The self-defense analogy fails.
I respect that you run a successful business. I could not do that. But law is not your thing.
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“Copying and showing it was the crime.”
-Agreed.
BUT, if Dominion is supposed to keep the records intact, would that mitigate her crime at all?
I’m still trying to find out if Dominion is supposed to keep those records intact.
Thanks for the replies.
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Mitigate? Not if I am the Judge. I don’t know what the sentencing guidelines were. Just remember that I don’t believe in forgiveness or redemption.
For example, I think that Daniel Ellsberg should have been executed for treason in the Pentagon Papers case.
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https://hotair.com/tree-hugging-sister/2024/10/03/no-time-like-the-present-for-the-uk-to-give-away-gulp-diego-garcia-n3795360
-And then there is this…..
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I read about the case. She allowed somebody else to access the voting records. If a Democrat did that, HHR would howl.
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During the Revolutionary War, someone like Jason would have thrown Paul Revere in jail for making too much noise as he galloped thru towns warning people the British were coming. Similarly, Tina Peters has been punished for drawing attention to the voting abuses of the Dominion machines, and, at nearly 70 years of age, is going to prison for 9 years to pay for such a crime.
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“She allowed somebody else to access the voting records.”
-Yes, seeing that detail. Agree.
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hen I see it as valid that a person would try to copy them to show Dominion’s malfeasance.”
No. That is not how laws work.
You don’t get to decide when it is “valid” to break the law..
The mitigating circumstances would have been brought up at trial. Maybe the prosecutor was overzealous and the judge imposed an unfair sentence. The fact she got 9 years seems to bear that out.
But if copying the records was illegal, then whether Dominion was right or wrong in destroying them should be irrelevant to whether she broke the law or not.
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Similarly, Tina Peters has been punished for drawing attention to the voting abuses”
Zzzzzz…. more lies.
No, she is being for illegally copying records.
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janz,
It’s a tough one.
I also doubt that any Democrat out there is trying to increase transparency of the voting procedures.
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Jan continues to excuse all law breaking as long as it was done for Trump. Trespassing, property damage and attacking law enforcement were already ok. Now breaking election laws is ok.
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During the Revolutionary War, someone like Jason would have thrown Paul Revere in jail for making too much noise”
Gets the most stupid analogy of the year award.
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Trespassing, property damage and attacking law enforcement were already ok. Now breaking election laws is ok.”
Yep, her standard is that it is ok to break the law if you agree with the cause.
She is no different from the Democrats, they believe the same thing.
The ends always justify the means.
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“Gets the most stupid analogy of the year award.”
-No.
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Dems should stop worrying about Baldwin and throw more money against Ted Cruz and Rick Scott. Fla and Tex are turning blue I tells ya.
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For some reason, jason and Bitterlaw keep ignoring the question “Did Dominion break the law?”.
If they can guarantee that Dominion was acting within the law, then I can understand their harshness towards Peters.
Anyway, the news about Diego Garcia has me in a stupor, so Cheers, and Goodnight.
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And btw, Dominion was not on trial here. Tina Peters was.
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Did Dominion break the law?”.
Irrelevant.
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Dominion was irrelevant to her case.
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I was with my husband today for 7 hours while he was undergoing his first high intensity radiation treatment. While in the oncology waiting room, I read about Tina Peters 9-year prison sentence for exposing the wrongs of the 2020 election, and it infuriated me. Here we are in the era of government censoring people, dem ideologists weaponizing Intel, judicial institutions, as they allow flash mobs to steal, no bail for atrocious crimes, change election laws at will, but throw the hammer down on an older gold star mom for coloring outside the legal lines because of trying to expose election irregularities!
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jason and Bitterlaw keep acting as if there is a loyal opposition.
That ship left about 30 years ago.
We are a divided nation, and there are plenty of institutional actors (Democrats) who are bending laws and rules for their specific purpose, which is why transparency is not a goal, especially in places like Colorado, with their all-registered-voters-get-a-ballot-in-mail elections.
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janz,
I did not realize that your husband was dealing with cancer. Good luck to him. A friend just went through a similar ordeal with chemo, and so far his prognosis is looking good after a couple of rough months. Stay strong.
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Jan. We will definitely be praying for your husband. May God bless him and watch over him and heal the cancer in his body
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sometimes people break the law because they think it’s for the greater good, but they accept the consequences for breaking the law.
in this case she did break the law and should have faced consequences for it.
those consequences were way too severe, especially considering what she uncovered. As a 70 year old first time offender she received more time than armed robbers, sexual asaulters and other hard crimes receive. She should have gotten a year maybe, with time served or house arrest.
all are true
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Jan – I knew you referenced a health issue months ago. I am sorry your husband and you are going through this. I wish him well. I won’t pray because everybody I ever paid for dies.
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Don’t know if it’s already been mentioned, but did anyone see the Vivek vs Bolton debate? Vivek absolutely destroyed Bolton and his antiquated interventionists pro-war neocon nonsense. Especially on Ukraine
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#NEW NORTH CAROLINA poll
Trump: 51% (+4)
Harris: 47% RMG | Sept. 25-27 | N=780LV
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So fwiw, old” Rasmussen, mister has trump doing better in North Carolina than Florida.
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It’s tied nationally, folks.
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As I posted yesterday, Remeber when the free passer jumped on the +5 or +6 sea of blue poles, it. apparent that this week, she has fallen 4 to 5 points.
Why has she “collapsed?”
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I was wondering when this would happen.
JUST IN: Obama to Hit the Campaign Trail for Kamala Harris Starting October 10
NOTE: Former President Barack Obama will begin campaigning for Kamala Harris in battleground states, starting with Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, on October 10.
NOTE: With the election on November 5, Obama’s support comes as Harris faces tight races against Donald Trump in key swing states, including Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, and Georgia.
NOTE: Polls show Harris and Trump separated by less than 2% in these crucial states.
NOTE: Obama’s involvement follows his role in encouraging President Biden to withdraw from the race in July.
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will get a new thread up within the hour
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Of course we get a strong jobs report a month before the election. Who didn’t see that coming.
JUST IN: A strong jobs report. The US economy added 254,000 jobs in September. That’s way above expectations and a nice bounce from 159,000 in August. (Both July & August revised up)
Unemployment rate: 4.1%. (Down from 4.2% in August)
Wages: +4% in past year (vs. 2.5% inflation)
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hmmmmm ADP only came in at 143,000. How much of a downward adjustment will we see in December
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no one whose voting is going to change their vote because of this bogus jobs report
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I think there is one more report on 11/1 (October).
Clearly cooked and why did the fed even cut? If wages are rising at a 4 percent clip it will trigger more inflation, which is already bad, especially grocery
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I read about Tina Peters 9-year prison sentence for exposing the wrongs of the 2020 election, and it infuriated me”
She wasn’t convicted of “exposing the wrongs”
She was convicted of breaking the law.
Fixed it for you.
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there is one more report but it’s generally too late to affect campaigning. This allows komrade Kamala to tell everyone her economy is great when we all know it stinks
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jason and Bitterlaw keep acting as if there is a loyal opposition.
That ship left about 30 years ago.
We are a divided nation, and there are plenty of institutional actors (Democrats) who are bending laws and rules for their specific purpose”
Zzzzz… what a load of crap.
There are plenty of Dems bending and breaking laws.
So Rs can break the law at will?
Again, the “ends justify the means” troika of Janzam, Tina and NYC are no better than the Democrats.
Anything for the ’cause”.
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https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/jack-smith-october-surprise-donald-trump.html
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Politico says Vance’s beard “conveys aggression” and is “counter to women’s ideals”.
https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1841588203570266577/photo/1
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New Thread
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