According to OnMessage for Sentinel Action Fund (super PAC); 9/28-9/29; 800LV
 | PENNSYLVANIA |
| Trump | 47 |
| Harris | 47 |
| Other | 3 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| McCormick | 44 |
| Casey | 45 |
| Other | 5 |
And here is an update on Virginia early voting, as the GOP leaning districts held firm yesterday, actually gaining another 400 votes cast against the DEM leaning districts:
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
75 responses to “Tie in Pennsylvania, McCormick down 1”
First
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Seeing the PA voter registration data shift from 2020, Trump should be in the drivers seat. Hopefully McCormick can win as well.
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NEW JERSEY poll
🔵 Harris: 56% (+12)
🔴 Trump: 44%
ActiVote | Sept. 4-Oct. 2 | N=400LV
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Posting this one again for new thread
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The NYT/Siena Michigan poll has Trump up 47-45 (and 46-43 on the full ballot) with RVs but down 48-47 with LVs (46-46 tie on the full ballot). They had a MI poll around Aug. 10 that had Trump up 48-45 with RVs but down 50-46 with LVs. I wonder why their LV screen is producing such dramatically different results. Are they screening out new voters who plan to vote for Trump?
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https://thefederalist.com/2024/10/01/biden-harris-admin-used-fema-disaster-funding-for-illegal-immigrants/
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Jeff. That is very odd as LV screens usually favor R over registered voters screens.
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Jeff G, I had the same question. Normally, the Republican does better when limiting to likely voters. But given that Siena poll, along with Atlas Intel and Trafalgar, not to mention the leaked hint from Slotkin, Harris is suddenly struggling in Michigan
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The NYT/Siena MI poll also has Trump only +4 with white voters.
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Dem ballots returned in early voting in Miami-Dade only 10.2 ahead of GOP ballots. Trump might well win this county outright in the end. Amazing.
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Some people are slowly coming around to see how bad the dem regime has become to this country’s survival. But, is it too little too late?
Collin Rugg
@CollinRugg
MSNBC’s Ari Melber loses it after the anti-Trump impeachment witness he invited on his show said he was voting for Trump because of how bad things are Melber: You said it was a no from me after J6. Now you say it’s a yes? Sondland: It’s an absolute yes
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”A pack of mules and the Cajun Navy 2016 are bringing food, water, medicine, and hope to the mountains of Western North Carolina. Immediately after Hurricane Helene ravaged a huge swath of the Southeast on Thursday and Friday, the pros at Mountain Mule Packer Ranch in Mount Ulla, North Carolina, sprang into action.”
Harris/Biden have been of no help, instead giving a billion dollars to subsidize illegal’s resettlement here, while giving only a pittance to those hit the hardest by Helene. People are having to volunteer themselves, all over the country, just to pitch in in order to make up for their own country’s abandonment during a time of great need. For example, a young women we know gave up her apartment yesterday, bought a camper, and is driving, by herself, across the country to NC in order to help her father help his neighbor who had everything destroyed by the storm. Where are Biden and Harris?
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They are telling people not to help in Nc or ga. Keep,away (fema).
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”Dem ballots returned in early voting in Miami-Dade only 10.2 ahead of GOP ballots. Trump might well win this county outright in the end. Amazing. “
Yet Scott Rasmussen says Trump is only +2 in Florida.
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Quemala should be appearing in Florida in 3, 2, 1.
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Baris on the Highground Arizona poll
Trump only won independents by 3 points in Arizona back in 2016. This poll has him winning them by 20 points.
Your GOP sample is too educated.
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FEMA has no more funds to help the victims in nc and ga. Money went to house illegals.
Where are the gop-e?
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Unbelievable !!!
MAYORKAS: “We are meeting the immediate needs with the money that we have. We are expecting another hurricane hitting. FEMA does not have the funds to make it through the season.”
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The AZ poll Baris is referring to has Kamala at +2. This makes no sense with those indie numbers. Registration in AZ is about R+7. Exit polls had AZ R+9 in 2020, but Biden was +9 with indies in a razor thin election.
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I wish it was $200 billion for Ukraine, but unfortunately way under that.
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Activote and Emerson looking close to the same. Not sure those National numbers are gonna get it done for Harris.
NATIONAL POLL | ActiVote
🔵 Harris: 50.7% (+1.4)
🔴 Trump: 49.3%
Sept. 25-Oct. 2
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”A pack of mules”
Lupita could handle the rugged NC mountains without any problem, and llamas are great pack animals for difficult terrain.
I am asking the Llama Husbandry Association to maybe volunteer some llamas for the rescue effort.
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Not $1 spent on military aid to Ukraine would be spent by Biden on anything else but his projects.
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Catturd is a flaming isolationist and Putin sycophant, so not surprised Tina would quote him.
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and it’s not cash that is going to Ukraine. Its munitions and equipment
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Anecdotal evidence. Where I live, there are very few Harris signs. There were more Clinton signs in 2016 and Biden signs in 2020.
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Not $1 spent on military aid to Ukraine would be spent by Biden on anything else but his projects.”
They know that.
They are just upset the money is being put to good use keeping Russia from annexing Ukraine.
THAT is what bothers them, they don’t care about the money.
Do you ever hear Tina complain about the trillions Biden is wasting on bottomless pits like climate change and woke projects and other Dem boondoggles? No? Neither do I.
All the whining is about a piddling $100 billion spent in OUR interest.
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$750 is too much.
-freepasser
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Rasmussen has Scott up 6 but Trump only up 2.
Florida Senate:
Scott (R) 50%
Murcasel-Powell (D) 44%
Conducted by @ScottWRasmussen for @NapolitanNews
774 LV, Sept 25-27
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Where I live, there are very few Harris signs”
What? Bitter’s wine sipping liberal friends and neighbors who can “afford to vote Dem” don’t have Harris signs?
Probably supply chain problems.
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$ 100 billion is too much.
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The free passers should be excited. Quemala is campaigning today with loon Cheney
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John Rich🇺🇸
@johnrich
·
3h
Just spoke to a friend of mine in law enforcement in NC…he said that they have, and I quote: “Already used over 500 body bags, and there are bodies in trees, mud, cars, houses, everywhere…No Fed support whatsoever.”
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I don’t know why Mitchie and the gang tha cannot shot straight are silent. There are several reports like that Dw, unfortunately.
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and yet we don’t hear a word in the news about the lack of help for NC. Nada. Zero. Except to see an occasional clip of Biden or Harris on the phone, supposedly helping.
can you imagine the press if this was the response Trump, or RDS or any Republican gave to this tragedy
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I agree Vic, but the gop-e are silent. This does not help at all. The media can cover,but not like the use to.
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Everyday Americans Are Using Their Helicopters To Bring Aid To Hurricane Helene Victims
And the Kamala Harris Administration is threatening to arrest these people for trying to help their fellow Americans
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Don’t believe anything I post about “free passers.” They don’t exist at HHR and I just make it up.
– Cult Member
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Jason and Wes used to discuss drinking wine. Jason must be a lib. I don’t drink alcohol so I am off the suspect list.
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Everyday Americans own helicopters? Cool. I live in an upscale area but not THAT wealthy.
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that one made me chuckle. Everyday Americans….helicopters
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I’ll try not to echo what others have said, it this UKR-Helene nonsense needs to stop; they are NOT related. Pundits and commenters on the Roght are doing us no favors trying to connect the two.
What IS related is all the FEMA $ used for illegals; hammer THAT message home as it ties into one of the top concerns amongst voters (especially minority voters; can you imagine if the storm was concentrated on a heavily black area? Biden would have no choice but to fork over the money or else be accused of having a Katrina in his hands).
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GF couldn’t agree more.
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I’ll try not to echo what others have said, it this UKR-Helene nonsense needs to stop”
It won’t.
The Putinistas are taking their cue from Gateway Pundit and other garbage sites so they can regurgitate it here.
Tina has probably not had an original thought in 30 years.
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We had hurricanes and floods and tornadoes and earthquakes and wildfires all through the Cold War too, and the Cold War was 100 times more expensive than the piddly aid to Ukraine. Yet we were able to both provide relief to the victims AND protect our interests around the world.
The Putinistas have no shame.
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Everyday Americans now own their own helicopters? Dang, maybe this economy is as good as Biden/Harris are saying.
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And remember, some of that $100 billion is old military hardware already paid for and that doesn’t need to be replaced.
And Zelensky’s visit to the PA factory should be a reminder to the Putinistas that producing military hardware employees people and supports communities.
There is no lie too low for the Putinistas like Tina, janzam and NYC.
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Everyday Americans now own their own helicopters?”
Not uncommon at all. I know someone who has a heliport in his backyard and a hangar for his helicopter. He owns his own business and is like 78 years old, still flying it around PA.
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GF, I agree. Trump needs to be hammering non stop about money spent on immigrants, and now FEMA doesn’t have enough to cover Natural Disasters. That is a winning message.
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Need to be running ads about how illegals getting $5,000 or more and hurricane victims only getting $750.
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7 days in
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/10/north-carolinas-democrat-governor-roy-cooper-still-hasnt/
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Many “corporate” helicopters are actually for private use. People put the helicopters under their company name for tax and liability purposes. There are over 200k privately owned “aircraft” in the US, but that includes planes too. There are about 600k private pilots in the US.
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Jason, I would love to know the percentage of Americans who own their own helicopters. I would assume that number would be very small.
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Yes and when trump runs the ad the goo-e will be upset with him. Losers
“Need to be running ads about how illegals getting $5,000 or more and hurricane victims only getting $750.”
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The point is people have aircraft and boats that can be used (where applicable) but the gubment is saying no.
while fema is non existent
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Wow 1
According to a poll published shortly after the debate, Cao was the winner, with 75 percent support to Kaine’s 25 percent support, according to WRIC.
Wow 2
“When you’re using a drag queen to recruit for the Navy, that’s not the people we want. What we need is alpha males and alpha females who are gonna rip out their own guts, eat ‘em and ask for seconds,” Cao said. “Those are young men and women that are going to win wars.”
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Jason knows one person who owns a helicopter so it is not uncommon. Damn. How small is the population in his area?
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Jason, I would love to know the percentage of Americans who own their own helicopters. I would assume that number would be very small.”
Well, if there are say 200 million adults in the US and 200k private aircraft, it means about 1 in 1000 own one. One tenth of 1%.
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How small is the population in his area?”
There are at least 1500 people in the greater Bittersville area. GfY.
That being said this guy lives in another county.
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By not uncommon, I mean there are at least 200k private aircraft in the US.
I understand as a percentage most people don’t own one.
GFY again.
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I actually live in the Bittersville suburbs.
Btw, if anyone has roots to Bittersville, there is a FB page “I grew up in Bittersville PA” with about 350 members.
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No one is really sure where the name Bittersville comes from. The best guess is that there was a factory making spirits or medicine using local plants to flavor them and hence the “Bitter” name.
If anyone comes to visit I will give a tour. You don’t want to miss the site of the old Smeltzer Cigar Co.
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Bitter, don’t forget the Casey- McCormick debate tonight.
Let me know what happens.
https://x.com/DaveMcCormickPA/status/1841630857091809578
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Trump up 50%-49% at Polymarket.
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https://www.thecentersquare.com/national/article_bbd61660-8198-11ef-a7d6-bfcf7006c777.html
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Oil prices spikes as Biden suggests israel will hit the mullahs oil.
Biden to give more $$$ to the mullahs later
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From MAGA polling on X
Michigan GE | Mitchel Research and Comm / MI News Source – 9/30
Trump 49% (+1)
Harris 48%
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Bitter is jealous that he doesn’t know anyone with a helicopter.
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Trump -3 in Ras daily tracker today.
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I don’t think I would ever get in one. I only fly in really big planes with multiple engines. But I support Jason’s right to fly in a helicopter.
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The guy is 78 and he already crashed it once, albeit no injuries. So not likely I am taking any rides. That being said, I have flown in a lot of helicopters and am still around.
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I know there are lot of pilots in their 80’s and even 90’s around, not disparaging them. They might be safer than a 20 year old hotshot pilot. But would get into a helicopter with Joe Biden as pilot, even if he had a license?
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NEW THREAD!
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