according to a new poll from East Carolina U. This one was taken 9/23 – 9/26 against 1005 LVs. Their prior poll was Trump +1
 | NORTH CAROLINA |
| Trump | 49 |
| Harris | 47 |
Adding here a new poll of Indiana done by ARW Strategies 9/23-9/25; 600 LV:
 | INDIANA |
| Trump | 55 |
| Harris | 39 |
And a California poll taken by University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly Pomona 9/12-9/25; 1,685 LV
 | CALIFORNIA |
| Trump | 36 |
| Harris | 58 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
42 responses to “Trump up 2 in North Carolina”
Frist
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REPOST
I honestly can’t believe the NY Times endorsement of Komrade Kamala. They really didn’t have much to say about her other than her being a Patriot and a Constitutionalist (ummm yeah…right). Most of the “endorsement” was about how bad Trump was. The same ol extesential threat, etc etc bad guy, says bad things about people. Can’t have that as a President. oh, and by the way, now Trump is too old. That wasn’t a problem with Biden, but is with Trump…who literally outpaces Komrade Harris and Doltz on a daily basis.
Read it below…it’s literally insane that this is where our country is at. So when I see us arguing Ukraine policy here, instead of thinking of ways to come together to stop people like this from taking over the country, I bang my head.
OpinionThe Editorial BoardThe Only Patriotic Choice for President
By The Editorial Board
The editorial board is a group of opinion journalists whose views are informed by expertise, research, debate and certain longstanding values. It is separate from the newsroom.
It is hard to imagine a candidate more unworthy to serve as president of the United States than Donald Trump. He has proved himself morally unfit for an office that asks its occupant to put the good of the nation above self-interest. He has proved himself temperamentally unfit for a role that requires the very qualities — wisdom, honesty, empathy, courage, restraint, humility, discipline — that he most lacks.
Those disqualifying characteristics are compounded by everything else that limits his ability to fulfill the duties of the president: his many criminal charges, his advancing age, his fundamental lack of interest in policy and his increasingly bizarre cast of associates.
This unequivocal, dispiriting truth — Donald Trump is not fit to be president — should be enough for any voter who cares about the health of our country and the stability of our democracy to deny him re-election.
For this reason, regardless of any political disagreements voters might have with her, Kamala Harris is the only patriotic choice for president.
Most presidential elections are, at their core, about two different visions of America that emerge from competing policies and principles. This one is about something more foundational. It is about whether we invite into the highest office in the land a man who has revealed, unmistakably, that he will degrade the values, defy the norms and dismantle the institutions that have made our country strong.
As a dedicated public servant who has demonstrated care, competence and an unwavering commitment to the Constitution, Ms. Harris stands alone in this race. She may not be the perfect candidate for every voter, especially those who are frustrated and angry about our government’s failures to fix what’s broken — from our immigration system to public schools to housing costs to gun violence. Yet we urge Americans to contrast Ms. Harris’s record with her opponent’s.
The editorial board is a group of opinion journalists whose views are informed by expertise, research, debate and certain longstanding values. It is separate from the newsroom.
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Phil – I view supporting Ukraine with military aid as vital to US strategic interests. I find those who don’t see that as unworthy of serious attention on any issue. But that’s me.”
I second that opinion.
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HHR Polling aggregator updated just now, with big changes in both the POTUS grid and the Senate grid.
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Yes, she is a defender of the rule of law. I mean just ignore her lawfare on her opponents as well as her harboring, aiding, abetting, and transporting illegals and bailing out Blmers.
Just ignore all of that because she is joyous.
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Dw, activate as quemala plus 4 in Wisconsin. Garbage in and out wit that firm.
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Kamala says she “went out and got a pork roast and started marinating it” after Biden told her he was dropping out of the race: “Ha ha ha ha!”
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Activote quemala +4 in Wisconsin*
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ActiVote “polling” is worthless. They take a full month to gather over 400 likely voters, and the internals are completely junk and cannot be salvaged.
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NC isn’t going to Kamala Harris. It always votes to the right of where it polls. Remember Hillary? NC was supposedly a slight lean to her in 2016. It went for Trump by 3 1/2 points on election day.
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In California, Sept. 12-25; 1,685 LV
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly Pomona
Trump 36
Harris 58
Her only up 22 in California is not a good sign for her. Biden cleared a gap of 29 four years ago.
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Rcp just moved the Florida senate race to toss up.
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Vic – What more should we do about the election? You either vote or you don’t. Not much to discuss.
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Good morning!
A swing of seven points in a state where at least 18 million voters will cast ballots amounts to an overall swing of over 2.5 million raw votes towards Trump. The NY margin will also be cut nearly in half at this rate, which net Trump another million raw votes (and said million coming off the Biden margin). All told, just between these two states, a swing of roughly four million votes will occur. I think NJ and IL will provide the next million or so. That tells me that PV is going to be relatively tight (within two million).
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So when I see us arguing Ukraine policy here, instead of thinking of ways to come together to stop people like this from taking over the country, I bang my head.”
Bang it all you want but it won’t change the fact the US is not an island and there are important geopolitical issues that are key to the economy and national security.
You want to stick you head in the sand, go ahead. That has worked so well throughout history.
Besides, I don’t think anyone who supports Vladimir Putin and his war crimes in Ukraine really wants “to come together”.
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If western North Carolina was included in the poll, then Kamala will win NC.
I would say voter turnout in Nov. for that whole region devastated by the floods will be very low, compared to past elections.
It will be long after the Nov. election until they are back to having mail service (needed for mail in voting) schools reopened (lots of voting precincts are/were in Western NC and GA eastern TN). If county court houses were flooded then that will compromise the voting records and voting lists stored there. But even if they have the voter registrations lists that person A lives in house located at B, that house is no longer there.
Monumental land Herculean task for the county election officials and clerks just to RE-organize for the Nov. election in FL, GA, SC, NC, TN.
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Stop, seriously, stop. The US is not an island. We are doing what is right by supporting Ukraine with military aid. It won’t stop no matter who gets elected. These are all facts. Fighting over it day after day after day after day, where neither side will acquiesce, is not only redundant, but puts off those who would want to come here and learn about polls, or discuss politics.
I am the last person on this blog who is “sticking their heads in the sands regarding Ukraine,” I just choose to not argue with the populists who have adopted the “endless war” moniker. They have not been there. They have not actively tried to help the situation. They have no clue as to the geopolitical benefit. Ukraine got Trump impeached therefore they are bad.
With that said, this constant Putin stuff grows just as old and tiresome. They are more concerned with how Ukraine hurt Trump than actively supporting Putin.
So let’s both sides stop with this. realize neither side will change, and talk about other things.
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Silver kicked out Activote along with So. Ca. Strategies a while back.
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Added a new poll of Indiana to this same thread.
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First question for Vance tomorrow, if I was asking the questions would be:
Senator Vance, you said you “didn’t care what happened to Ukraine”
Given that:
Would you care to revise the statement that “you don’t care what happens in Ukraine?
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“It is hard to imagine a candidate more unworthy to serve as president of the United States than Donald Trump. He has proved himself morally unfit for an office that asks its occupant to put the good of the nation above self-interest. He has proved himself temperamentally unfit for a role that requires the very qualities — wisdom, honesty, empathy, courage, restraint, humility, discipline — that he most lacks.”
****************
Pretty well sums it up.
It is hard for me to imagine that the R primary voters had OTHER viable and electable candidates who would right now be in a MUCH better position than Trump concerning the election. Looking at last 4 years of D rule, a visitor from another planet would say “well the 2024 election will be a blowout for the Rs”
But the primary voters chose to go with Trump even though he has a train of baggage that spans the continent. Knowing that HALF of the votes that will go to his opponent will be votes AGAINST Trump rather than FOR the opponent and her vapid and ignoramus policies that will push the nation over the cliff.
*********
That said, Trump is still the better choice over Kamelia Kamala as she continues to ride high with her campaign of “The Great Deception”.
100 years from now, historians will have a field day sorting through all this–and scratching their heads over how the American people were snookered on all sides in so many ways by the campaigns and the media and failed to see the obvious.
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I am 100% with Vic on the senseless debate here on Ukraine. People on both sides here bombard the other side with their “facts” and nobody’s opinions are changed.
Nobody is going to change anybody’s view on what to do about the Russia war in Ukraine.
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I added the California poll too
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According to CNN…”Just 2.5% of homes in the US changed hands this year in the first eight months, the lowest turnover rate in at least 30 years”
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Fighting over it day after day after day after day, where neither side will acquiesce, is not only redundant, but puts off those who would want to come here and learn about polls, or discuss politics.”
Sorry Vic, but you don’t get to decide what topics should be discussed here.
You don’t think foreign policy and the geopolitical situation is an integral part of any election, that is your prerogative.
I happen to think that the US economy DOES depend on the US protecting its interests (and those of its allies) wherever they may be and that isolationism is just as bad as socialism.
So when an ignorant moron like Janzam whines that somehow you can’t send aid to NC flood relief while at the same providing weapons that will help Ukraine fight the Russian invaders, I am not going to ignore.
Foreign policy IS POLITICS, maybe just the type of politics you want to ignrore.
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Nobody is going to change anybody’s view on what to do about the Russia war in Ukraine.”
Zzzz….
What topic being discussed here has change YOUR views, Walt?
This should be good.
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Biden won by 20 points.
@EmboldResearch Rhode Island 2024 Presidential Election Poll:
🔵Kamala Harris 52% (+14)
🔴Donald Trump 38%
Undecided 7%
September 16-20, 2024
876 likely voters
MoE: +/- 3.5%
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Btw, I posed that question to Vance in the hopes it does get asked in the debate.
Depending on the answer, if he did give a cogent answer that somehow convinced me he has renounced Ron Paul’s foreign policy agenda, I would even consider voting for the ticket.
So how is that, Vic, for a way to “bring us together”?
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12 minutes12 min ago
“12 minutes ago
Biden calls Helene “history-making” storm, says he hopes to visit impacted areas later this week
From CNN’s Michael Williams
President Joe Biden on Monday called Helene “a history-making storm” that is having reverberations across the entire Southeast.
The president says he will travel to impacted areas “as soon as possible,” later adding he hoped the visit would come later this week.
“My first responsibility is to get all the help needed to those impacted areas,” he said.”
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Give Trump half the undecided in RI and he is at 41%+ in RI.
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PENNSYLVANIA poll
🔴 Trump: 50% (+1)
🔵 Harris: 49%
Patriot Polling | Sept. 27-29 | N=816
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Jason –
In the meantime we have a transformational election ahead of us. I don’t get to choose what we talk about, but I can also point out the uselessness of fighting about it on a daily basis.
With that said….
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Imagine if Biden was still the nominee…
REPORTER: “Any comment on the strikes in Yemen, Mr. President!?”
BIDEN: “I’ve spoken to both sides. They gotta settle the strike. I’m supporting the collective bargaining effort. I think they’ll settle the strike.”
The Babylon Bee would be out of business. I guess they could try:
REPORTER: “No, Mr. President, the balls of fire in Yemen due to the strikes.”
BIDEN: “I’ve reached out to the baseball commissioner, and I don’t think the umpires should be fired for bad calling of balls and strikes.”
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PA offsets a potential NC loss as long as Trump carries GA+AZ+NV
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Scooter, do you have a link to that RI poll from Embold?
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Between the Ron Paul rhetoric sinking into the populist policies, and the fact that Ukraine had a hand in impeaching Trump, they (the populists) will never change their minds.”
Zzzzz……. I have no ambitions of changing the minds of people like Janzam and Tina who have their heads all the way up Putin’s ass.
But they use this site daily to regurgitate Kremlin propaganda and Russian State TV talking points, and I will call them out every time.
If that bothers you, you know what you can do, GFY.
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and the fact that Ukraine had a hand in impeaching Trump,”
Not true, actually.
Ukraine actually had zero input, Zelensky refused to throw Trump under the bus, and Trump has recognized that repeatedly. He could have stated he felt pressured by Trump but he said he wasn’t pressured and there was no quid pro quo.
The only people with a “hand in impeaching Trump” were the Dems and the hacks in the NSA.
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In the meantime we have a transformational election ahead of us. I don’t get to choose what we talk about”
You could have stopped there.
Foreign policy and how we deal with out geopolitical alliances and foes should be an integral part of any “transformational election”.
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Still waiting for Walt to tell us that since he thinks no minds are changed on Ukraine, what topics HE changed his mind because of HHR posts.
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New Thread
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Harry Enten:
”Trump has more working class support than any GOP presidential candidate in a generation. He’s on track for the best performance among union voters in 40 years. He’s up 31 points among trade school grads.
He’s doing 17 pts better among nonwhite non-college voters than in 2020.”
https://x.com/forecasterenten/status/1840775213274763665?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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