According to new polls from NY Times/Siena taken 9/17 – 9/21 against 682 LV in NC and GA; and 713 in AZ:
| Trump | Harris | ||
 | AZ | 50 | 45 |
 | GA | 49 | 45 |
 | NC | 49 | 47 |
And there is also a new Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy poll of Minnesota taken Sept. 16-18 against 800 LVs showing Trump down only 5:
 | MINNESOTA |
| Trump | 43 |
| Harris | 48 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
65 responses to “Trump Surging in Sun Belt”
Frist!
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Let’s see if the anticipated Atlas Intel polls confirm the same trend.
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MINNESOTA poll
🔵 Harris: 48% (+5)
🔴 Trump: 43%
🟡 Undecided: 7%
MN Star Tribune | Sept. 16-18 | N=800LV
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If Minnesota is within 5, the Blue Wall States are probably looking pretty good for Trump. This is the third straight poll of Minnesota that has been Harris +5. If those 7% Undecideds break heavily for Trump, Minnesota could get interesting.
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If these Minnesota polls are correct, it doesn’t appear that Walz is even helping in his home State, let alone in WI, MI, and PA. Not picking Shapiro might turn out to be the biggest blunder of the entire election.
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When are the Atlas Intel swing state polls being released?
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Wow, the Star Tribune cant do better than 5 for Kamala.
Give Trump 2/3 of the undecided and you have a 2 point race.
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Mason-Dixon did the poll for the Star Tribune.
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5 pts with Walz on ticket in embarrassing.
Biden won by 7 in 2020.
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Mason-Dixon did the poll for the Star Tribune.”
Sure, but you wan’t to keep the client.
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these new polls come out from Siena and Trump loses 1 and Harris gains 1 on PredictIt
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absolutely embarrassing for Walz. The state is still in play.
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Kamala is an 89-12 favorite to win VA at Polymarket.
I can’t bet at Polymarket from the US but I would take that bet.
The Biden Troll would probably give me 10-1 odds and I would make the bet.
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these new polls come out from Siena and Trump loses 1 and Harris gains 1 on PredictIt”
But gained 2 overnight at Polymarket, now 51-48 Kamala.
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I would take that bet on VA too. The thread is still young, I am going to add that Minnesota poll here.
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Yikes !!!!! Look at the Independent numbers for Harris in the Minnesota poll.
MINNESOTA favorable/unfavorable among INDEPENDENTS
🔴 Trump: 48%-51% (-3)
🔵 Harris: 41%-57% (-16)
MN Star Tribune | Sept. 16-18 | L
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Not sure who this pollster is, but I can guarantee Trump isn’t down by 7 in Wisconsin.
General election poll – Wisconsin
🔵 Harris 53% (+7)
🔴 Trump 46%
Senate
🔵 Baldwin 52% (+8)
🔴 Hovde 44%
MassINC #A – 800 LV – 9/18
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Supposedly the pollster above, hasn’t polled outside of Massachusetts in 6 years. Guess they started polling other States this cycle. I’d definitely keep that in mind when accessing their Wisconsin poll. Sounds like they should probably stick to polling Massachusetts.
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Daily Beast is not taking the Muslim mayor’s endorsement well.
“Muslim Mayor Backs Renowned Islamophobe for U.S. President”
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Zzzzz…
Former Republican National Committee Chair Michael Steele on Sunday predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will flip two states that Donald Trump has previously won twice.
“Florida and North Carolina will fall,” Steele said on MSNBC. “Along with Georgia.”
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TEXAS poll by @TexHPF
🟥 Trump: 50%
🟦 Harris: 44%
—
TX Senate
🟥 Ted Cruz (inc): 48%
🟦 Colin Allred: 45%
—
1,200 LV | September 13-18 | ±2.83%
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Michael Steele is such a slimeball… geezus.
This moron once headed the RNC.
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lol Florida will fall. What dope is that loon smoking?
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Ga appears to be slipping away for quemala.
last week- 2 poles suggested she was down 3
This week down 4.
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Nice seeing that AZ plus 5
But don’t forget douchey did not fix the fraud and Maricartel county.
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Recent uptick in fighting between Israel and Lebanon.
I hope that does not cause a price spike in Lebanon bologna.
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Gee, unjustice was this necessary?
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/why-was-this-necessary-bidens-doj-releases-reward/
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Trump will be very insulted when he learns he is only worth $150k.
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“I hope that does not cause a price spike in Lebanon bologna”
Shhh….. remember the Amish don’t read the news, don’t give them any ideas.
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Rasmussen Reports@Rasmussen_Poll
·
13m
Update: We now have 10 new battleground states completed and being readied for release.
No outliers spotted but readers will be seeing issue questions that no other pollster bothered (or dared) to ask. And these issues we think will impact the final November results. Stay tuned
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food prices are up more than that this year alone, its closer to 40% since 2021
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How did assassin #2 get $150,000? What gubment paid him?
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Vic, yup food, rent, cars, energy, gas.
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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/unearthed-video-reiterates-harris-previous-support-fracking-ban
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Bitter – I didn’t know that Lafayette was ranked #15 in the country going into the game with Columbia:
” the Leopards (2-2), who came in ranked 14th in the FCS coaches poll. This was Columbia’s first win over a top-15 team since 1995 and it came against a Leopards team that had totaled 96 points in its previous two games.”
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Rasmussen Pennsylvania Data
Are you better off than 4 years ago?
No: 53%
Yes: 38%
Will your children be better off than their parents?
No: 53%
Yea: 21%
Is America safer than 4 Years ago?
No: 63%
Yes: 28%
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Rasmussen added that those results are from a Democratic leaning State sample. He hasn’t posted the top line poll results yet.
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DW, just admit it. You will never be speedy enough to defeat this finely tuned A-hole.
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What ten battleground states will Rasmussen have?
Obviously AZ, NV, GA, NC, PA, MI and WI.
Probably also: MN, VA, and either NM or NH, or ME
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DW, I think he mentioned Virginia. Not sure what else.
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We always want to avoid the temptation to cherry-pick polls we like and ignore the ones we don’t like. But Silver just came out and said that the ONE poll of Wisconsin from MassINC who has never polled Wisconsin before, “went a long way toward offsetting” The NY Times/Siena poll of GA, AZ and NC.
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LOL Trump doesn’t need to win WI…If he gets GA and PA he wins. If he gets GA, AZ, NV and NE-2 he wins.
If Trump wins Wisconsin, its because he won MI, PA, AZ, GA, NV, etc and its icing…plus it wouldn’t be called until well after AZ, NV and the rest were finished voting
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BTW, on election day, watch how hard the MSM (NBC, CNN, CBS, ABC, NYT, WaPost, The Hill, MSLDS, etc etc) try to depress Trump voter turnout in the west by releasing ridiculous exit polls, or anecdotal stories that favor Harris and make people believe the election is over.
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Harris +2 in the Sunday night Ras overnight.
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Looking at the Ras tracking poll, it appears that Harris usually does better on Sunday’s in that poll.
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Harris has only led 4 times in September in the Ras Daily tracking poll. 3 of the 4 were Sunday’s.
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I noticed the Sunday effect as well. As some of our old HHR colleagues used to say back in the day, it’s harder to reach republicans on Sundays since they are at church and spending time with their families, while all the single Dems are frittering away the weekend watching tv, getting high, and living on the dole.
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LOL do you believe this crap that Dems are trying to peddle:
Key Insights:
• This race is not expected to be competitive, with Vice President Harris likely securing a decisive victory in Michigan.
• She is anticipated to gain substantial support from the Muslim communities in Dearborn, Hamtramck, Detroit, Southgate, and Ann Arbor.
• The strong support for Vice President Harris will likely be fueled by civil rights issues, including racial inequality, police reform, voting rights, economic inequality, LGBTQ+ rights, environmental justice (particularly concerning industrial pollution and access to clean water), housing discrimination, immigration rights, disability rights, and education equity.
• Despite some dissatisfaction with the Democratic leadership in Michigan, voters see the Democrats as the favorable choice, especially in light of President Trump’s polarizing presence. There seems to be little chance of a Trump victory in the state. It would be advisable for his campaign to allocate resources to more competitive states.
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Nate Cohn:
There is a very good and simple case:
AZ was R+3.0 in 2020 among all RVs;
AZ is now R+6.1 in 2024 among RVs, as of July.
It is not some coincidence that the likely electorate in this poll (R+7.6) has shifted almost identically to the right
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You would have to average those Ras poles. I think it’s trump +3.4.
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DW, just admit it. You will never be speedy enough to defeat this finely tuned A-hole.”
Bitter, it was a good decision to elevate Scooter to A-hole status.
He has been here for what, a couple weeks, and is already throwing his weight around.
If there is one thing A-holes enjoy it is an A-hole that rises to full potential.
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TexHPF is the gold standard for Latino crosstabs in TX. Biden won them by 16.
New @TexHPF poll of Texas shows:
Pres (Hispanics)
Trump-50% (43%)
Harris-44% (49%)
TXSen
Cruz-48% (39%)
Allred-45% (50%)
9/13-9/18, 1,200 LVs, 2.83% MO
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Keep fighting. I am 100% agreement with Rds.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/heres-your-border-czar-kamala-harris-caught-chanting/
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Death is coming.
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Thanks Jason, it’s good to be back. I confess that I was a much more subdued A-hole at the old HHR page. But quite honestly, since none of you A-hole Bastards supported me against Kim’s unfounded allegations, I’m taking no prisoners this time around. GFY !!!!
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Real DonaldTrump
It will be an honor to attend the SOLD OUT 79th ANNUAL AL SMITH DINNER on October 17th in New York. It will be great to see so many wonderful people there, including Cardinal Timothy M. Dolan. We know the Spirit of Al Smith, the first Catholic Nominee of a Major Party, and John F. Kennedy, the FIRST Catholic President, will be in the room with us that night. It was a virtual event in 2020, and I was delighted to speak to our Catholic friends that day and, of course, it was a HIGHLY SUCCESSFUL evening in 2016 when we were there in person with Crooked Hillary Clinton. The reviews of my remarks were TREMENDOUS. It’s sad, but not surprising, that Kamala has decided not to attend. I don’t know what she has against our Catholic friends, but it must be a lot, because she certainly hasn’t been very nice to them, in fact, Catholics are literally being persecuted by this Administration. Any Catholic that votes for Comrade Kamala Harris should have their head examined….
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OMG !!!!
JUST IN: Biden says his staff doesn’t allow him to have “young girls” on stage, but he’s going to “do it anyway.”
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New Thread
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