Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Overall shift toward Trump in latest Redfield & Wilton battleground state poll

The new round of Redfield and Wilton polls were taken 9/16-9/19 against 9,794 total likely voters:

TrumpHarrisOth
AZ47 (+2)47 (+2)3
FL50 (=)45 (+1)1
GA48 (-1)46 (-1)3
MI45 (=)46 (-2)1
MN44 (=)50 (-1)1
NV45 (-1)45 (=)1
NC48 (+4)47 (+2)1
PA47 (+2)47 (+2)1
WI47 (+1)47 (-2)1

41 responses to “Overall shift toward Trump in latest Redfield & Wilton battleground state poll”

  1. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Thanks Jason, it’s good to be back. I confess that I was a much more subdued A-hole at the old HHR page. But quite honestly, since none of you A-hole Bastards supported me against Kim’s unfounded allegations, I’m taking no prisoners this time around. GFY !!!!

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Not true.

    I volunteered Bitter to do some pro-bono work on your behalf, GFY.

    Like

  3. I was not destroying my reputation on that case. Kim accepted the bottles of Grey Goose MD left behind.

    Like

  4. oh no! Trump is having to campaign in INDIANA today!

    Like

  5. of course its Indiana, PA

    Liked by 1 person

  6. Trump this week in PA, GA, NC and MI.

    Vance this week in NC, MI, GA and PA

    Like

  7. RealDonaldTrump·

    It was just announced that Pennsylvania has the Highest Grocery Inflation Rate in the entire Nation. So, not only have they got you on No Fracking, High Taxes, Inflation, Horrible Border Policy, and everything else, Pennsylvania is Number One in the Grocery Price Increase – Not a distinction any State wants to have!

    Like

  8. Their schedules have increased.

    Like

  9. Et tu Peggy Noonan?

    Artless dodger…..that hurts.

    Kamala Harris has made quite an impression. That walk is a stride, and she has appetite—she loves this thing, running for high office. She has sentiments—she loves to say what divides us isn’t as big as what unites us, which, though a dreadful cliché, is true.

    But in terms of policy she is coming across as wholly without substance.

    Joe Biden stepped aside, and Ms. Harris was elevated, two months ago. That is enough time at least to start making clear what she believes, wants and means to do. She hasn’t.

    This week she couldn’t or wouldn’t answer a single question straight, and people could see it. She is an artless dodger.

    Like

  10. The price of scrapple has gone up 32.67%.

    That really hurts when you eat scrapple 365 day a year.

    Yes, I have compensated by cutting down on some of the things my wife likes, but bacon is up too.

    Like

  11. I was not destroying my reputation on that case. Kim accepted the bottles of Grey Goose MD left behind.”

    Is that where it went?

    I searched high and low for it.

    Like

  12. 44% of women in PA think Harris would do a better job securing the border?

    Damm, brainwashing works.

    Like

  13. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    James O’keefe:

    My team and I have been detained near the Canadian border by the Vermont State police.

    I’m announcing something big. It’s not a video—it’s something I’ve been working on for a year.

    I’ll be on stage in Fort Worth, Texas, with Tucker Carlson tomorrow to make the announcement. Stay tuned.

    Like

  14. Post

    See new postsConversation

    Black Insurrectionist–I FOLLOW BACK TRUE PATRIOTS

    @DocNetyoutube

    John Fetterman said in an interview that Trump Signs have become the State Flower in Pennsylvania. The left things Kamala is winning. They have no idea what is about to him them. Slowly every single day, little bits of truth are coming out. Anderson Cooper on Colbert said he does not believe Kamala got any bump. But we need to vote like our lives depend on it, because they do.

    Like

  15. I am always skeptical of “big things” that will be announced “later”.

    In my view, big things are announced at the time they are available.

    Like

  16. Biden will be on the View on Wednesday.

    I am sure Bitter will watch, we want a full report.

    Like

  17. Agreed. Just say it. Think of the years Jason has wasted…um…spent waiting to find out if the found the treasure on Oak Island. At least on Wicked Tuna they actually catch Tuna.

    Like

  18. I think something will be found next season. GFY.

    Like

  19. jason, that Hung Cao ad WAS very, very powerful.

    Hope it is effective in swaying voters.

    Like

  20. Excerpted from the Don Surber substack:

    ”Counting ballots by hand is nothing exotic or unusual. 

    Theodore de Macedo Soares researched the matter and reported in June, “The United States remains one of the few major democracies in the world that continue to allow computerized vote counting—not observable by the public—to determine the results of its elections. Countries such as Germany, Norway, Netherlands, France, Canada, Denmark, Italy, United Kingdom, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Sweden, Finland, and most other countries protect the integrity and trust of their elections with publicly observable hand-counting of paper ballots.”

    Most if not all our NATO allies hand-count ballots.

    They also have voter ID.

    On June 1, 2021, the Daily Signal reported, “Of 47 nations surveyed in Europe — a place where, on other matters, American progressives often look to with envy — all but one country requires a government-issued photo voter ID to vote. The exception is the U.K., and even there voter IDs are mandatory in Northern Ireland for all elections and in parts of England for local elections.”

    The Democrat Party and its media propagandists say voter ID is ray-cist because minority people somehow lack photo IDs.”

    Like

  21. If minority people didn’t have ID’s, they couldn’t have a bank account, get any utilities, travel by plane or Amtrak, have a credit card, buy alcohol or cigarettes, apply for food stamps, social security or medicare, rent a car, buy a gun, get married, stay at a hotel, get a fishing or hunting license, get a prescription, go to a casino if you look under 35, etc.

    How many minorities do you know that don’t do ANY of that.?

    Like

  22. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Cliff Maloney on X

    NEW PA DATA DROP‼️

    1 takeaway: Kamala is not even close to keeping pace with Biden mail-in requests

    She is down 360,101 Dem mail-in requests compared to this time in 2020

    GOP requests are only down 69,963

    Remember, Biden only won by 80k votes

    Like

  23. I am not in favor of early voting or VBM, and I am skeptical of the GOP efforts to cannibalize its election day vote in favor of these options. For one, I think ED voting is harder to defraud. I understand the “bank your vote early” in case you die or are incapacitated or need to travel suddenly, but how common is that?

    Yet yesterday, on Hannity of all places, I finally heard a compelling argument by a GOP operative in VA. He said the GOP is trying to track the votes, so if you vote early, it might now cost the party $10, if you wait until 2 weeks before the election it will cost the party $25 and if you wait for election day it could cost $100 (the numbers are just illustrative). He says ONCE you vote, you name is removed from the list of outstanding votes and they no longer have to spend money targeting you.

    Now THAT makes sense.

    Still, I am voting on ED.

    Like

  24. She is down 360,101 Dem mail-in requests compared to this time in 2020″

    That is good, fewer ballots floating around that can be harvested.

    Like

  25. A snow storm hit Washoe County Nevada on election day in 2022, depressing turnout. Adam Laxalt lost the Senate race by about 8,000 votes. Overall, about 50,000 registered Republicans didn’t vote statewide. How many of those non-votes were because of the storm?

    Like

  26. Like

  27. Lol “ I knew those trials would not work.”

    Like

  28. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    FETTERMAN: Many Pennsylvanians dislike Trump’s character but will vote for him. And I disagree with our party’s approach of calling Trump a “convicted felon.” We are supposed to be all about “second chances.” I knew those trials wouldn’t work.

    Like

  29. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Dang it, Tina !!!

    Like

  30. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Yikes !!!!

    2024 ELECTION ALERT🚨

    While Teamsters is neutral, and national Teamsters polls swung around 32 points towards Trump after Biden dropped out, the battleground Teamsters are FAR WORSE for Harris.

    Arizona (43 point swing)
    🔵Biden: 54.4% (+24.6)
    🟥Trump: 29.8%

    🟥 Trump: 57.3% (+18.6)
    🟦 Harris: 38.7%

    Pennsylvania (34 point swing)
    🔵Biden: 43.3% (+0.9)
    🟥Trump: 42.4%

    🟥 Trump: 65.3% (+33.9)
    🟦 Harris: 31.4%

    Michigan (52 point swing)
    🔵 Biden: 57.8% (+25.8)
    🟥 Trump: 32.0%

    🟥 Trump: 61.7% (+26.5)
    🟦 Harris: 35.2%

    Minnesota (44 point swing)
    🔵 Biden 45.7% (+20)
    🟥 Trump 25.7%

    🟥 Trump 58.8% (+24.8)
    🟦 Harris 34.0%

    Nevada (29 point swing)
    🔵 Biden 42.2% (+6.6)
    🟥 Trump 35.6%

    🟥 Trump 59.9% (+22.6)
    🟦 Harris 37.3%

    North Carolina (52 point swing)
    🔵 Biden 50.8% (+12.2)
    🟥 Trump 38.6%

    🟥 Trump 69.1% (+22.6)
    🟦 Harris 29.2%

    Wisconsin ( 75 point swing)
    🔵 Biden: 73.5% (+58.2%)
    🟥 Trump: 15.3%

    🟥 Trump: 57.0% (+16.5)
    🟦 Harris: 40.5%

    Virginia ( 38 point swing)
    🔵 Biden: 36.3%
    🟥 Trump: 43.8% (+7.5)

    🟥 Trump: 70.9% (+45.2)
    🟦 Harris: 25.7%

    Like

  31. Scooter,

    You quite literally ‘have to get up early in the morning’ to beat Tina.

    Like

  32. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Marv, I might have to do an all nighter tonight to be the first to post the Ras Pennsylvania poll tomorrow. Everyone is always trying to steal my thunder. Bastards !!!!

    Like

  33. Scooter,

    We have to wait until tomorrow for the RAS PA poll?

    Like

  34. I suspect Rasmussen was showing the internals today to encourage us to hang in there, because the topline numbers will show a tie or only 1 point race. Just a guess.

    Like

  35. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    That’s what I’m HEARING people speculating on X.
    Can you believe I’m HEARING that?

    The new and improved Scooter!!!

    Like

  36. Rasmussen Reports@Rasmussen_Poll
    ·
    1h
    The Important Stuff

    We now have this kind of data below in for all of the following states-

    PA, GA, AZ, MI, WI, MN, NV, VA, NC & NM

    Along with the horse-race results our readers can now ask why things are as they are. So we’d like to thank our sponsor @AmericanThinker

    Like

  37. I am happy for Scooter. He just gave up his excuse for not doing something. What? Did you say something? I’m deaf

    Like