According to a new poll by MassINC Polling Group conducted Sept. 12-18 against
800 LV:
 | PENNSYLVANIA |
| Trump | 46 |
| Harris | 50 |
| Stein | 1 |
| Oliver | 0 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| McCormick | 42 |
| Casey | 49 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
105 responses to “Harris up 4 points in Pennsylvania”
Who
LikeLike
So Virginia is in play, but Harris is easily winning Pennsylvania.
LikeLike
Assuming Republicans vote for Trump, and Democrats vote for Harris, here is where you can track the votes coming in in Florida:
https://flvoicenews.com/florida-ge-live-data/
LikeLike
According to letterman, trump signs are everywhere in Pa.
LikeLike
Janz,
Not sure I’m following this statement. What do you mean by certifiable results. What do you mean by less questionable final vote? Less questionable than what?
Big Joe
LikeLike
Unforced error by the Harris campaign. This just further drives the narrative that they are hiding her. This should be an easy layup, with wide exposure for her. Wants a debate but can’t do a friendly roast?
Harris will not attend next month’s Al Smith charity dinner in New York City, CNN reports
LikeLike
Joe Concha on X
This is now beyond pathetic. The Al Smith dinner a time-honored tradition. NO CANDIDATE skips this, unless…
Mark my words and save the tweet: This hide-and-seek strategy will be her ultimate undoing.
LikeLike
Weed and wine are her downfall.
LikeLike
“What do you mean by certifiable results. What do you mean by less questionable final vote? Less questionable than what?”
Joe,
“Certifiable results” refers to a transparently processed vote tally having no remarkable irregularities left unaddressed. If this is not done then the election results take on a “questionable” status.
For instance, during the January 6, 2021 certification of Joe Biden, Congress was scheduled to hear from over a 100 Congress people, representing a myriad of different states, complaining of fraudulent actions observed in the 2020 presidential election. Such a presentation and debate would have been lengthy, taking many hours. However, because an outside gathering was antagonized enough to evolve into a riot, the review of fraud never took place, and Biden’s certification was quickly approved.
Over the last 4 years, though, the legitimacy of the 2020 election has only grown, encompassing, by some estimates, over 50% of the country’s mindsets . Despite the media derisively calling people questioning the legitimacy of 2020 “election deniers,” or believing in “the big lie,” the prevalence of mistrust in our election system —- especially pushing the haphazard voting by mail way which most countries have discontinued because of fraudulent misuse —- is alive and pervasive today around the country.
So, IMO, the precautions the GA Election Board incorporated into their certification requirements is not only valid but warranted, as a solid first step towards restoring the people’s trust in our elections.
LikeLike
Does anyone know if Trump is going to the Al Smith dinner?
LikeLike
Just a follow up to the fraud uncovered (belatedly) in the 2020 election in only one state:
RealRobert
@Real_RobN
And here is, the State of Nevada, CONSPIRACY DAY NOVEMBER 3, 2020 Sen. Lankford: •
42,000 people voted more than once, •
1,500 resurrection of the dead, •
19,000 didn’t live in Nevada, •
8,000 voted from a non-existent address, •
15,000 registered to a commercial address, •
4,000 illegal aliens. •
zero prosecutions.
LikeLiked by 1 person
LikeLike
I don’t know about the al smith dinner. Trump, however, has said no debate.
LikeLike
had to drive 125 miles each way to my youngest soccer game…game time temp…98 without a tree in site. Played two games. Oh to be yiung
he had an awesome assist on a goal and they win the second game with the last kick of the game
saw the Mets did a number on the Phillies. I’d hold out hope they would do the same tomorrow but megill pitching means 4-0 after 2 for Philly.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Boy, that’s a long way to drive! How long does it take you?
LikeLike
it was two hours each way because going through Austin is now like driving in LA. It’s horrendous.
But he loves playing for his team, so I drive up twice a week for practice to take him and Saturdays for games. Worth every minute
LikeLike
San Antonio to Austin? I Almost did it when I was in San Antonio. I went to a Buceees instead.
LikeLike
the massive one on 35? I think it has 100 pumps and is cavernous inside
LikeLike
No, the smaller one.
LikeLike
New Braunsfels.
LikeLike
Did a number on the Phillies? Zzzzz Wheeler goes tomorrow night. You remember him? Used to be a Met until they let him go.
LikeLike
LikeLike
Bitter – Remember I said at the beginning of the series I would be fine with a split. It guaranteed the Mets would go into Atlanta with at least a one game lead.
Should a miracle occur and they win tomorrow, ATL loses, they go in with a three game lead.
I also said I want them to get the last wild card spot, since I doubt they will catch SD. Winning the last spot means they get the Brewers round one, who they can beat, and the Dodgers round two, who they can beat…setting up, yes you guessed it…a Phillies – Mets series for the pennant. Hey… a guy can dream
LikeLike
I dont know where they get food is only up 20%. Whomever is doing this doesn’t go to the grocery store often. Stuff goes up by the week, I kid you not. Basic foodstuffs are double what they were just two years ago, much less four years ago.
What honestly costs $100 at the grocery store before costs $150+ now, easily.
LikeLiked by 1 person
More R mail in ballots being requested.
***********
Simple solution. They get “lost” in the mail.
But 80 million mail in ballots from Philly will be speedily delivered of the USPS.
__________________
Kamala wants another debate?
***********
Of course she does. Trump is GREAT at taking the bait trolled in front of him and then the issue becomes Trump instead of the issues.
Trump is a fool if he agrees to any more debates. Which is another way of saying I bet he agrees to more debates.
_________________
Democrats will soon propose to simple do away with the election and just go by the polls and use all the money saved by actually holding an election to provide more giveaways to Dem supporters. That would be the fiscally responsible things to do.
______________
And I do seriously think that the silver bracelet discovered in Greenland was one I lost.
LikeLike
Vic, seems like the 2024 grocery bill is a heck of a lot more than 2024
LikeLike
Than 2023*
LikeLiked by 1 person
The bracelet was lost in Norway.
Looks like Walt lost silver bracelets in Greenland too. Probably given to him by Leif Erikson
LikeLike
Walz says we cannot afford another 4 years of this.
Trump should make it into an ad
LikeLike
No way, did he really say that. You’re 100% right, they should make that into an ad.
BTW, forgot to mention Columbia is undefeated. Took down Lafayette today. Roar…Lion…Roar
LikeLike
Vic – You are a good dad.
LikeLiked by 2 people
Following in your footsteps Bitter.
LikeLike
Detroit News Editorial:
Editorial: Harris plan will make economy worse
LikeLike
Banana Republic…
https://x.com/micsolana/status/1837488838664466937/photo/1
LikeLike
No way, did he really say that”
https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1837544279662551097
LikeLike
Does Colombia still have a cello in their marching band? When I was at Lafayette, I recall Columbia was viewed as a win for the football team.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Quemala does not own a firearm. She is not a gun owner.
LikeLike
Vic, just read your soccer travel time response. Yes, you do go the extra mile (no pun intended) for your son. However, the years with your child are relatively short, so I can see why you do what you do.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Harris tells so many lies….even her gun ownership story!
LikeLike
Today was an awful day for quemala.
Lies about being a gun owner. Remember her and the pedo said they were.
Begs for a “2nd debate.”
Pedo says we cannot “afford 4 more years of this.”
LikeLike
I would also include the Al Smith dinner fiasco.
And, actually it’s been a series of bad days. I would add the Oprah interview was a disaster when she had to intervene on quemalas behalf, when she could not answer a question.
LikeLike
Doltz is helping Trump now. lol.
As did Demented, when he wore the trump hat (and apparently stole it).
LikeLike
Here is what I bought today:
Gasoline for my car, regular unleaded. $5.05 a gallon.
A bag of chips $4.98. (Larger bag).
A 12 pac of soda, $9.99
But Quemala said we have no inflation
LikeLike
I am making meatloaf dinner tomorrow night. small one with mashed potatoes and young sweet peas. Total costs $35.28 I kid you not. And that doesn’t include the ingredients I already have.
LikeLike
I hope Vic’s sons will remember his good deeds when choosing his nursing home.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Trump going to the Al Smith dinner.
”While Trump has agreed to go to the 79th iteration of the Archdiocese of New York’s dinner on Oct. 17, Harris’s camp says she will instead campaign in key battleground states on the final stretch before election day, her campaign told The Post.”
LikeLike
Thanks Bitter. I hope they do too ;), though my guess is one will be running a company somewhere and the young one on a beach in Ibiza
LikeLike
The irony about the Al Smith dinner is, that if Trump had missed it the news media would have been in a frenzy to report it, and how he is running away from it. They will not say a word about Komrade Kamala missing it.
LikeLike
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-13877547/janet-jackson-kamala-harris-donald-trump.html
Janet Jackson is now saying Kamala is not black.
LikeLike
I forgot that the first debate (trump vs demented) was a Cn and n debate. . So, the network could not host another debate. That would be unfair.
LikeLike
Sounds like a turf war between Janet Jackson and Quemala. Entertaining for us to see it from the sidelines.
LikeLike
Post
See new postsConversation
MORGONN
@morgonnm
2000+ students at Penn State
@TPUSA
for
@charliekirk11
Gen Z is on FIRE for Free Speech!!!
LikeLike
There are 88,000+ students at Penn State’s main campus. 2.27% is “on fire?”
LikeLike
It’s a fine start, Bitter.
LikeLike
Janz.
Thanks for your response. It all sounds good on the surface. Respectfully, it would make sense to peel a layer off the onion here to get a better understanding of what’s really going on though.
Big Joe
LikeLike
Vic,
You are a great dad. As the saying goes, for most of our lives, we will only know our kids as adults. For a short time, we will know them as kids.
I have three in college now. Cherish every moment, it really does go by fast.
Big Joe
LikeLiked by 1 person
Bill Ackman@BillAckman
Let’s not forget that @POTUS Biden was the Democratic presidential candidate 63 days ago.
We were told by the administration and the media that Biden was in perfect health and that videos of him exhibiting serious deterioration were ‘right wing propaganda.’
Then, threatened with the 25th amendment, on July 21st, he stepped aside to be replaced by
@KamalaHarris who was complicit in the lie. She knew, and she told the American people otherwise. Her reward for keeping quiet was to become the presidential candidate without a primary or other transparent process for her selection.
The Biden lie is perhaps the greatest lie ever told to the American people by our government. And this lie was also told to us repeatedly with a bold face by the current Democratic nominee for president.
Now all of a sudden, the former most left-leaning Senator (proudly left of Bernie) and now the most left-wing politician in the country, over the last two months has become a gun-toting, shoot-the-intruder, fracking-supporting, border-wall-building candidate who began her career at @McDonalds. She almost sounds like a Republican candidate for president.
How can anyone trust anything she says?
Even if you carefully watch her speak or read the transcripts of the four interviews and one debate she has done, it is nearly impossible to understand what she is saying. She has yet to answer a direct question about the economy, the border, or foreign policy.
In response to questions about specific policies, she simply repeats the same scripted stories about being a prosecutor, growing up middle class, and/or other non-sequiturs, and neither the media nor the moderators challenge these insipid, unresponsive answers.
I voted for @JoeBiden because after @realDonaldTrump’s first term, I believed the country would benefit by a more centrist candidate. Biden promised to bring the country together. And as Biden was a supposed ‘one-term’ president, we were misled into believing he wouldn’t be beholden to the progressive wing of the party and could implement a moderate political agenda.
I and the American people were misled. I apologize for casting my vote for Biden. It was a big mistake.
VP Harris’s entire candidacy relies on support from an undisclosed cabal of party leaders who selected her in a private process. She didn’t get one vote in a primary. As such, she is perhaps the most beholden-to-the party candidate in history.
Her campaign is a blatant attempt to say what she needs to say in order to get elected. She is keeping her appearances unprecedentedly limited compared to any other candidate in history so that she has less surface area to be understood for who she really is and what she actually believes.
She has done four interviews and @Tim_Walz four during the last 63 days compared to 70 for Trump and @JDVance
.
[See: https://axios.com/2024/09/19/harris-media-strategy-hide-election%5D
Ask yourself, what previous presidential candidate in history has run a campaign doing everything he or she could to avoid the media? You won’t find one. Then ask yourself, why?
VP Harris’ evasiveness is only possible here because of a complicit media which should be screaming from the rooftops about her refusal to be interviewed, but instead repeatedly excuse and praise her and her campaign.
In the nearly four years of the Biden/Harris administration, the world is up in flames with a hot war in Europe with approaching one million dead, and a growing conflagration in the Middle East. Our large and small cities are overrun with unvetted migrants with the associated impact on crime, budgets, and services, and lower income Americans cannot afford a proper meal. Our universities have become hotbeds of hate. Free speech is being squelched except for @X, one of the first likely targets, along with its proprietor
@elonmusk, of a future Harris administration. Our government spending and waste are totally out of control and I could go on and on.
I strongly encourage you to vote accordingly.
LikeLike
trump:
A long time ago, Oprah Winfrey asked me to do her last Network Television Show. The final week of her show was a big deal, and it was my honor, with my family, to do it. When I watched her interview yesterday with a woman who is destroying, through her complete and total incompetence, America, I couldn’t help but think this isn’t the real Oprah, this isn’t a person that wants millions of people, from prisons and mental institutions, and terrorists, drug dealers, and human traffickers, from all over the World, pouring into our Country. Kamala looked really foolish, couldn’t answer the simplest of questions on Inflation, the Cost of Goods, or our very porous and dangerous Border – No leader there, and Oprah just wanted to crawl under a table! Comrade Kamala Harris is mentally unfit to be President. She knows it, and so does everyone else!
LikeLike
”Oprah wanted to crawl under a table”. lol.
LikeLike
”Estimate?”
LikeLike
LikeLike
We really are in trouble as a nation if 40% think Kamala will be better for the economy and for inflation.
LikeLike
I think the Penns State Trump rally or registration is impressive considering how left wing academia is.
LikeLike
Not really.
LikeLike
So Harris went from being the most unpopular VP in History, just a few months ago, to now setting Historical records per NBC ????
What especially stands out in the poll is Harris’ 16-point rise in favorability since July, when she was still Biden’s running mate.
It’s the biggest jump in popularity for any major-party presidential candidate in the 35-yr history of the NBC News poll.
LikeLiked by 1 person
LikeLike
Also.bs pole,has trump,plus 3 in Florida.
LikeLike
(Actually in their estimate, no clue what that even means.
LikeLike
Tom Bevan on X
Kamala Harris has gotten the biggest jump in favorable ratings since George W. Bush stood on a pile of rubble with a megaphone after the worst terror attack on U.S. soil in history.
LikeLike
The IRS agent union today endorsed Kamala Harris for President.
“She supports the issues that matter most to our members,” said the IRS agent union president.
LikeLike
The NBC poll pushes Kamala to her biggest lead of +2.2 at RCP
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris
LikeLike
So according to NBC, Harris has a five point lead nationally. Want to bet? LMAO
LikeLike
I’m just a simple old A-hole, but common sense would tell me …..if I was the campaign that was supposedly up 4 or 5 points Nationally , a little over a month before an election, I wouldn’t be begging for another debate. Why risk a major gaffe? Why not just cruise to a win? But like I said, I’m just a simple old A-hole.
LikeLike
She’s not up at all – and she’s trailing in Pennsylvania. Both campaigns know it.
LikeLike
…and if you are a Democrat and losing the Teamster vote by 25 points you aren’t up nationally by anything.
LikeLike
Boom
Moreno takes lead in the Ohio senate race if you like the activote poles
LikeLike
Translation: The pollsters are probably wrong, AGAIN.
NYT: “There remains a widespread sense that [Wisconsin] polling data should be viewed skeptically and that voters who support Mr. Trump are quietly waiting to vote in large numbers.”
LikeLike
Down 5 nationally and going to lose a large state like Florida by 6-8 points? Uh, no. Get real.
LikeLike
going to win Fla by 6-8 I meant to say.
LikeLike
I mean, why isn’t Harris pouring tens of millions into Florida like any other past Democratic campaign. We all know why.
LikeLike
Yea she is ahead nationally and “begging” for another debate.
LikeLike
Biden won by 4.4 with a 24 point win in NY….and Harris is up by 5 nationally. Think she will come anywhere close to that 24 pt win in NY this time? Have you seen the Jewish polls in that state this cycle? Laughable.
LikeLike
Think Kamala is carrying working class Pa counties like Erie or towns like Scranton. Bet me. She isn’t carrying Pennsylvania.
LikeLike
The Amish outreach program is working.
There are 90000 Amish in PA. If you could get half of them to vote it would be huge
https://x.com/ScottPresler/status/1837474679088410823/photo/1
LikeLike
https://x.com/benlane638/status/1837497927083684022/photo/1
LikeLike
I mean, I would gladly defer to the Pa A-Holes on what they think about the race in their state, but I have a hard time believing that Kamala is outperforming Hillary in working class precincts…and she lost the state.
LikeLike
Amos doesn’t vote because he thinks the English are crazy.
LikeLike
Barnes has mentioned the war on Amish farms.
LikeLike
I think pressler has some good ideas.
LikeLike
Phil, Trump is going to win the no-college working class white vote in PA by a huge percentage.
The problem is that Kamala will start out with a lead of 400-500k votes in Philadelphia, 200k in the Philly burbs and another 150k in Allegheny (Pittsburgh).
So you have to make up roughly 800 to 900k votes in the other areas of the state. You need a lot of counties like Bedford where Trump got 23000 votes in 2020 vs. 4000 for Biden. 30 counties like that and its worth 500k votes. Trump will clear 100k votes in Lancaster and York. He needs to do really well in counties surrounding Pittsburgh, Westmoreland, Butler, Washington, Beaver, they will erase the Allegheny lead.
So turnout is the key. If Trump gets a big turnout in the red counties he will win.
LikeLike
Barnes has mentioned the war on Amish farms.”
Yep, the raw milk controversy should get Trump some votes.
Its not only the Amish, there is a big Mennonite population too.
LikeLike
I think the IRS endorsement will help Kamala.
Everyone who wants to pay more taxes will now vote for her.
LikeLike
More of these lawsuits, reminds me of Gibson vs. Oberlin, should happen.
https://www.idahoednews.org/top-news/big-city-awarded-3-million-in-lawsuit-against-boise-state-administrators/
LikeLike
Nate Silver, whom is no Trump supporter and has already said he will vote for Harris, just finished an interview with The Guardian and warning people-mostly, in not, all liberals of a Trump win.
The Guardian said that Silver ‘fears a Trump win’ and said ‘people should be making their contingency plans, like, right away’.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4892485-nate-silver-5050-election-forecast/
LikeLike
DW, do you have a link for the Bill Ackman piece you posted earlier? It was a well written opinion by a man who has been full circle with the dem party.
LikeLike
$67000 a year tuition…
“Reason number 2,110 not to send your kid to an Ivy League university: Barnard College is offering a “Queer Caribbean Critique” course on how “colonialism” and “imperialism” supposedly affected joyous native homosexuality.”
LikeLike
But I suppose you could use it on your resume when you apply for a university position paying $250k a year for DEI staffing.
LikeLike
What most people are getting in their news…
“A double-digit increase in popularity, rising Democratic enthusiasm and an early edge for representing “change” have vaulted Vice President Kamala Harris forward and reshuffled the 2024 presidential contest, according to a new national NBC News poll.
With just over six weeks until Election Day, the poll finds Harris with a 5-point lead over former President Donald Trump among registered voters, 49% to 44%. While that result is within the margin of error, it’s a clear shift from July’s poll, when Trump was ahead by 2 points before President Joe Biden’s exit.
But the transformation in the presidential contest goes well beyond the horse race. For starters, Harris’ favorability has jumped 16 points since July, the largest increase for any politician in NBC News polling since then-President George W. Bush’s standing surged after the 9/11 terrorist attacks.
Harris also holds the advantage over Trump on being seen as competent and effective, as well as on having the mental and physical health to be president — a reversal from Trump’s leads on those qualities when he was matched up against Biden.
And in a contest between a sitting vice president and an ex-president, featuring an electorate that overwhelmingly thinks the U.S. is “on the wrong track,” Harris has the upper hand on which candidate better represents change and which candidate can get the country headed in the right direction.”
LikeLike
You may view it as abject propaganda, but that is what the MSM is…. abject propaganda.
LikeLike
Spain: Activist Demands ‘Reparations’ For LGBTQ™ People”
Should be interesting.
How do you qualify. Can you just state you are gay or do you need videos?
LikeLike
Winsome Earle-Sears
@winwithwinsome
– Lied that he was in combat – Lied about his drunk driving – Lied about using IVF – Lied about aborted babies being left on the table to die – Lied about transgendered children getting surgery WITHOUT parent’s permission – And now they want to let WALZ into the White House no questions asked
LikeLike
I’m hardly a fan of Mike Rogers. However, the R letter next to his name makes him a better choice than his democrat opponent, hopefully helping turn the senate over to the republicans in 2025.
https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/race-fill-open-michigan-senate-seat-rocked-endorsement-gop-candidate-farm
”The race for the open Senate seat in Michigan just heated up as Rep. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich., took a hit this week when the Michigan Farm Bureau’s AgriPac endorsed former Rep. Mike Rogers, her Republican opponent. It marked the first time the group has endorsed a Republican candidate for the Senate since 2006.”
This endorsement is also a big plus turning MI into a state voting for Trump in a few months.
LikeLike
New Thread
LikeLike
Never thought I’d post a quote from Blagojevich.
Rod Blagojevich: “Don’t believe the polls. The only polls that are credible are the private polls of the candidates. They guide the candidates on where to go & what to do. VP Harris wants to debate Trump on CNN. This means her polls say SHE’S LOSING.
LikeLike
New thread, hosers!
LikeLike