The Hill/Emerson: (9/15-9/18; 800 to1000 LV per state)
| Trump | Harris | ||
 | AZ | 49 | 48 |
 | GA | 50 | 47 |
 | MI | 47 | 49 |
 | NC | 48 | 49 |
 | NV | 48 | 48 |
 | PA | 48 | 47 |
 | WI | 49 | 48 |
Marist: (9/12-9/17, 1100 – 1500 LVs per state)
| | | Trump | Harris |
| MI | 47 | 52 |
| PA | 49 | 49 |
| WI | 49 | 50 |
Washington Post: (9/12 – 9/16; 1003 LV)
| Trump | Harris | ||
| PA | 48 | 48 |
NY Times/Siena: (9/11 – 9/16; 1082 LV)
| | | Trump | Harris |
| PA | 46 | 50 |
Carolina Journal/Cygnal: (9/15 – 9/16; 600 LV)
| | | Trump | Harris |
| NC | 46 | 45 |
Siena Research: (1,003 LV | 9/11-16)
| | | Trump | Harris |
 | NY | 42 | 55 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
120 responses to “Huge Dump of New Battleground State polling!”
First
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Chris on X
Times/Siena national poll is Biden +4ish in the recall sample
PA poll is Biden +7 and Biden 2020 voters are 46% of the overall sample.
Full stop.
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Wow, if Trump only loses NY by 13 he wins the election. You read it first here. It was 61-37 in 2020
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demand that the Wall be built to kept the illegals inside the US”
Well, one of NYC’s favorite senate deadenders, a moron in Alaska named Joe Miller, actually said East Germany was a “model for immigration”. As we know, they were good at shooting people who wanted to get out, nobody actually tried to get in.
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McCormick is running a great campaign. He is on TV and radio 24/7 and is tying Casey to Biden like they are Siamese twins
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Furthermore, Youngkin was not nearly as endearing to grass roots conservatives”
Janzam is not the sharpest knife in the drawer, but sometimes a moron will actually catch on to something.
This is true. But the “grass roots conservatives” were already voting for Trump, so picking someone “endearing to them” brought zero to the table.
Youngkin, by not being “nearly as endearing” expanded the base and actually would have brought some new votes for Trump.
I thank Janzam for making my point, albeit unintentionally.
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On the same day, neither the Washington Post nor Marist could give a dem candidate for POTUS a polling lead in Pennsylvania. Let that sink in.
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The NC polls are worrisome. Seems like the GOP gubernatorial candidate, a loose cannon, is dragging Trump down
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Does anyone know Historically, how accurate Gallups party ID usually is?
If Gallup is showing a R+5 electorate when they push the Independent leaners, almost all of these polls are rather useless. No one is polling an R+5 electorate, or even close to that. Even Rasmussen is using a D+2, I believe.
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Funny Trump moment on Gutfield
https://x.com/ScumbagPolite/status/1836597098588061712?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1836597098588061712%7Ctwgr%5E8870ae1758ffb36ebe18ba03c509e594bd41d6c5%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Fnick-arama%2F2024%2F09%2F19%2Ftrump-on-gutfeld-n2179507
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https://protrumpnews.com/i-realized-theyre-the-party-of-the-rich-dem-operative-leacing-democrat-party-after-dnc/
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BOOM
GALLUP: In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an independent? (9/3-15)
🔵 Democrat: 30% [-1]
🔴 Republican: 29% [-1]
🟡 Independent: 40% [+1]
——
With independent leaners
🔴 Republican: 50% [+4]
🔵 Democrat: 45% [-4]
[+/- change vs August]
https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
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oh I see Scooter already referred to the Gallup news. Yes, Rasmussen uses D+2 for national weighting.
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These polls did not help Trump at Predictit or Polymarket. Still big leads for Kamala in both of them 58-45 and 52-47.
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and the Quinnipiac polls yesterday did not move PredictIt either.
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jason 9:45am
Rich lefties putting money on Harris to win in order to stave off for as long as possible the inevitable ‘preference cascade’ to Trump during the later part of October.
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It is ironic that there is a “big dump” in the polls today,
and I also took a “big dump” this morning.
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Kamala now +2.1 at RCP, anything over 2.0 is danger zone for Trump.
Trump has only led in 2 out of the last 14 national polls, Kamala led in 12, 2 were tied. Her national average is now dangerously close to 50% (49.4).
The good news? If you really do believe the polls are skewed against Trump like they were in 2020, then you can take solace that in 2020 Trump was down 6.5 pts at this juncture and now he is only down 2.1.
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Rich lefties putting money on Harris to win in order to stave off for as long as possible the inevitable ‘preference cascade’ to Trump during the later part of October.”
So “rich righties” don’t make bets?
Not sure I buy that.
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Bad day for Janzam and Tina the Putin Lapdogs.
It’s over 300 miles from Tver and to Ukraine’s nearest border, so nice shooting.
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North Carolina Victory Insights Poll
Trump 49% (+4)
Harris 45%
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Quells is down 4 and 3 in nc and ga.
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Quemala is losing by 4 in nc and 3 in ga*.
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Dave Chapman posted the nc victory fund. The ga pole was yesterday. I don’t recall that Nc pole
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I hope Janzam thinks its ok for Ukraine to destroy Russian arsenals deep in Russian territory.
Right, Janzam?
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VOMIT ALERT!
First two “questions” for Hillary on Morning Joe.
MSNBC’s
@JoeNBC— My conservative friends don’t understand why I have lways loved you so much [admittedly not a question but it took him several minutes] — You are aging beautifully and have so much energy … what is your secret?
Mika’s: — When you were young did you ever imagine you would grow up to be so famous & important?
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Morning Joe has “conservative friends”
Who knew?
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Small movement to Trump on Predictit
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
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Jason please tell me that’s a joke. Some sort of parody and not what they really asked her
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Market up 500 points.
I hope Big Joe made some money.
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It’s for real. Hence the vomit alert.
https://twitchy.com/dougp/2024/09/19/hillary-clinton-melts-projection-detectors-with-trump-warnings-during-morning-joe-fawn-fest-n2401167
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NFL team apologizes to fan for asking fan to remove MAGA hat.
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Jason – Jan and Tina believe the only acceptable way to deplete Russian weapons is to allow Russia to fire them at Ukrainian targets.
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Quemala mist be having a bad day. We went from Vance to Ukraine overnight.
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Jason – Jan and Tina believe the only acceptable way to deplete Russian weapons is to allow Russia to fire them at Ukrainian targets”
They are really outraged today at this “War on Russia” perpetrated by that Nazi Zelensky who owns 7 super luxury yachts.
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I think Tina wants us to get back to Vance.
Okay.
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…and then we moved on from insulting each other to talk about the state of the race.
Im certainly more worried than I thought I would be given Harris’s openly Marxist ideology, the fact that’s she’s completely unprepared to be President and not a serious person, that she could win the election.
Im putting my hope in the peoples of PA, GA, AZ, NV to do what’s right for the country.
I am also very much looking forward to 2028 and moving on from Trump. It’s been an exhausting decade.
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Will be happy to repost some of my comment from the other thread just to please Tina.
No, don’t thank me, it’s what I do.
September 19, 2024 at 9:23 am
Hey, Cult Member. Name the posters at HHR who support illegals entering the U.S.”
I bet there will be as many as there are “young Democrats” voting for Trump because of Vance.
jasonyupanqui47
September 19, 2024 at 9:30 am
Furthermore, Youngkin was not nearly as endearing to grass roots conservatives”
Janzam is not the sharpest knife in the drawer, but sometimes a moron will actually catch on to something.
This is true. But the “grass roots conservatives” were already voting for Trump, so picking someone “endearing to them” brought zero to the table.
Youngkin, by not being “nearly as endearing” expanded the base and actually would have brought some new votes for Trump.
I thank Janzam for making my point, albeit unintentionally.
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and then we moved on from insulting each other to talk about the state of the race”
Vic must be against multitasking.
Sad.
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Vic, you know the “some people deserve killing” right?
People who support Putin and his war crimes deserve insulting.
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I am also very much looking forward to 2028 and moving on from Trump”
Maybe if Trump wins in 2024 Vance will nominate him for VP in 2028.
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But wait until then to kill yourself.
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Scamala is #1 trend on Twitter.
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Scamala Harris *
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No, I don’t believe Trump will win New York. But here’s some interesting data points regarding the Sienna Poll showing Trump only down 13 points in New York.
Professor M on X
In 2020, party ID was D+9 (39D/30R/31I). This poll is D+24, heavily skewed Dem. Trump leads Indies 55-31, a 24-point gap. Biden won Indies 57-40 in 2020, so Trump gained 15%. Adjusting for 2020 exits, Trump is up 46.45 to Harris’ 46.06 (+0.39). Good poll in NY for Trump.
Scooter
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scamala??
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tina. If Trump had said any of that it would be headline news and repeated over and over again.
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Scamala Harris is the #1 item on Twitter.
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Scooter, in other words, Trump in same position of Zeldin in his run for NY Governor.
I wonder about New Jersey, if Trump is somewhat close in New York.
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Reposting:
https://www.scrippsnews.com/politics/path-to-the-white-house/scripps-news-ipsos-poll-majority-supports-mass-deportation-of-undocumented-immigrants
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I get it but why scamala? Am I missing something. Was there some scam allegation I haven’t heard of
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I don’t know why. Maybe it’s all the fake accents. She did a Hispanic accent yesterday.
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Don’t waste your time. Tina doesn’t explain nicknames.
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thats not Tina’s nickname. Its supposedly trending on twitter
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Don’t waste your time with bitter. He is busy ambulance chasing to read a post.
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Im putting my hope in the peoples of PA, GA, AZ, NV to do what’s right for the country.
You can count on 1 PA A-hole.
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you know what they say, more than one a-hole at a time is gratuitous
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Good news:
BREAKING: Election officials in Luzerne County, Pennsylvania, have banned all mail-in ballot drop boxes from the county over fears of voter fraud.
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Ambulance chasers represent Plaintiffs. I don’t. Your inability to remember this might be a sign of early onset Alzheimer’s. Or you drink too much.
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You can count on 1 PA A-hole.”
Bitter doesn’t want to “do what is right for the country”?
Sad.
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Your inability to remember this might be a sign of early onset Alzheimer’s. Or you drink too much.”
You left out ignorance. Considering she gets most of her news from garbage sites, you should give her a break for that.
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thats not Tina’s nickname. Its supposedly trending on twitter”
Only because she didn’t think of it.
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3 cups a day of coffee is good for you. Since I drink about 9 I might live as long as 0.00001 x 10 -23 % of what Walt has lived.
Alas, nothing was said about 3 martinis but hope springs eternal.
https://www.upi.com/Health_News/2024/09/17/uk-coffee-consumption-heart-study/3111726627038/
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3 martinis and 9 coffees offset each other 😉
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Thank God!
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I am trying to abide by the truce. Trump will only get my vote from the Philly A-holes.
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Bitter A-hole- “ I’m trying to abide by the truce”
Pathetic !!!!
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Market up 500 points.
I hope Big Joe made some money.
Jason, today is a prime example of why you should not time the market. Just stay in and weather the ups and downs. Markets always go up in the long run (unless we think the whole system is about to collapse which is another topic).
Big Joe
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Looks like Rasmussen will have Trump up in Pennsylvania. Supposed to release State polling this week or early next week, I believe.
Head Rasmussen Pollster Mark Mitchell reveals imminent collapse for Kamala’s campaign next week:
“It’s looking really bad for Kamala Harris. Our new polls in Pennsylvania might even start to change the betting odds… The narrative will be that Kamala Harris is starting to lose”
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Messed up formatting im the last post.
So anyway, what we are seeing today is that the market very clearly believes that the fed has engineered a soft landing. We are now in an easing cycle, money is easy again, We successfully survived the 2.5 year tightening cycle and beat inflation. Again, this is what the market is telling us, not my opinion necessarily.
This can all turn around based on the next data point.
As for me, I’m going to wait for additional data points (CPI, PPI, PCE, jobs reports, etc) to confirm the soft landing.
Until then, might as well enjoy the returns and trade the volatility .. cautiously.
Big Joe
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Why would the fed be cutting if job claims are so low?
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/09/19/nolte-donald-trump-leads-kamala-harris-nationally-49-to-47-percent/
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Extensive polling analysis from Duane Patterson at Hot Air
Long analysis, but in general it is positive for Trump
Good video of Trump’s motorcade in NY
https://hotair.com/generalissimo/2024/09/19/for-whom-the-can-tell-polls-n3794706
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NYC will be here soon to bleat WE ARE WINNING!
“Do you plan to vote this November? You’re not alone. Experts say somewhere between 1.5 million and 2.7 million illegal immigrants are likely to cast a ballot in the 2024 elections, affecting races from dogcatcher to president of the United States.
The historic flood of illegal immigrants during the Biden-Harris administration has also padded voter rolls, thanks to controversial federal legislation from the Clinton administration. If illegal immigrants and other noncitizens vote in the same proportion as in previous U.S. elections, the number will range anywhere from 1.5 million to nearly 3 million votes.
“A 2014 academic journal found that 6.4% of noncitizens voted in 2008,” Kerri Toloczko, executive director of Election Integrity Network and senior adviser to the Only Citizens Vote Coalition, told The Washington Stand. “There are about 24 million noncitizens in the U.S. right now. If they voted only at the same rate of 6.4% this year as they did in 2008, they would account for 1.5 million votes.”
That ponderous number of unlawful votes may just be the tip of the iceberg. “Based on the increased noncitizen activity at state DMVs, and the work of left-wing voter registration activists, this 6.4% could be much higher than it was in 2008. We could be looking at over 2 million unlawful noncitizen votes,” she told the Washington Stand.”
I am worried about the dogcatcher part.
The dogcatcher election here in Bittersville is forecast to be tight and if illegals vote it could change everything.
Of course, I haven not seen any illegals here but you never know.
BTW, the crime rate here IS lower than in Bad Philadelphia. In fact we are instructed to
“Reporting a Dead Deer: Should you come across a dead deer on or along the roadway, please call 911 to report the location”
I bet you don’t call 911 to report dead deer in Radnor….suck it.
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“Hey, Cult Member. Name the posters at HHR who support illegals entering the U.S.”
-Wrong question.
The comment spoke about deportation, not the original sin of illegally entering.
Bitterlaw should have asked:
“Hey, Cult Member. Name the posters at HHR who won’t support the largest deportation in the history of the United States.”
I would start with Bitterlaw and jasonyupanqui47 (aka “limachu”), along with Senators Turtle Mitch, Thune and Cornyn.
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The deer in Radnor are smart enough to look both ways before crossing the road.
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Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports @Mark_R_Mitchell
·
18m
Given how important Pennsylvania is to winning, Kamala better have a good reason for not picking Shapiro
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jason continues to call for new immigration laws, like most Democrats, which will then also not be enforced like the current ones. Laws are not the issue, political will to enforce them is.
jason does not join the Democrats in calling for new gun laws, because all we need to do is enforce the current laws, as well as improve mental health checks, which is the real problem.
“limachu” could also be called “Mr. Consistency”.
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“People who support Putin and his war crimes deserve insulting.”
-Not one person at HHR SUPPORTS Putin and his war crimes.
They do question this nations actions in regard to that war.
Stop lying like a Democrat.
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Not one person at HHR SUPPORTS Putin and his war crimes.”
BS.
Tina and Janzam shill for Putin here on a daily basis. And if you support Putin, you support his regime and you support his war crimes.
GFY.
And stop supporting Chuck Schumer and deadenders if you are against “Democrats”.
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Saw Matt Walsh’s “Am I Racist” this past weekend. I told my wife I had to because of “limachu’s” accusations.
It was funny, but I’m glad it was a matinee, because it would not have been worth paying full price. The part with Robin DiAngelo was good. Wife particularly enjoyed it, because as part of her job as a counselor after George Floyd, some parents were trying to make the school officials demand she read her book White Fragility. She refused to read it if they were making it mandatory. They relented.
She did read it anyway, to make sure she was able to refute some of the claims made. She has had a couple of discussions with several parents about it, since. She is still working, and the kids are still in the school, so the talks must have been respectful of each others position.
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which will then also not be enforced like the current ones.”
I knew it. Like clockwork.
WE ARE WINNING!
Since NYC has been talking about “enforcing current immigration laws” which btw, Carter, Reagan, Clinton, Bush, Obama, Trump and Biden have not enforced, what, another 12 million illegals have entered. Hundreds of billions have been spent supporting free healthcare, free education, free housing, you name it for illegals.
And don’t give me any crap that Trump “closed the border”. He didn’t.
Then there are sanctuary towns, cities and states. There are driver’s licenses. Illegals are voting. The administration is flying in hundreds of thousands of illegals who aren’t even at the border, all they have to do is go to an airport.
But hey, doing NOTHING about illegal immigration is working out so well.
WE ARE WINNING!
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political will to enforce them is”
But yet you believed there was “political will” for your stupid call for 50% cuts in LEGAL immigration when million of illegals were crossing the border?
You really are a certified moron, geezus.
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Ok, “limachu”. Keep spouting your nonsense.
I got a chuckle out of you bringing up Joe Miller again. Cheers! That’s an oldie but a goodie!
I never saw a person recycle as much lying crap as you do…….but I guess an a-hole has to have a specialty.
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Given how important Pennsylvania is to winning, Kamala better have a good reason for not picking Shapiro”
I am fine with Dems infighting on whether they should have picked Shapiro or not. Pass the popcorn.
But you read it here first, Shapiro would not have delivered PA for Kamala, and in fact might have cost her MI. If Kamala won PA, it would not have been because of Shapiro.
Frankly, the only good thing about Shapiro running would be that if Kamala won we would be rid of him here in PA (he is not that popular despite the hype, barely 50% approval, and he only won big because his opponent was not only a bad candidate, but broke too), and second, if Kamala died in office or resigned, he is not as far left as Walz is.
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“I would start with Bitterlaw and jasonyupanqui47 (aka “limachu”), along with Senators Turtle Mitch, Thune and Cornyn.”
-Notice that jason didn’t remark on this.
Waiting for Bitterlaw.
Pretty sure both will be the first to go wobbly when the media is dishonest about 1 illegal being an A student with 3 kids caring for their grandparents who came over because of religious persecution.
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(WHTM) – A new poll shows about half of Pennsylvania’s residents approve of Governor Josh Shapiro‘s job performance as he’s reportedly being considered as a Vice Presidential candidate.
The new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey found 49% of Pennsylvanians surveyed approved of Shapiro while only 31% disapproved. Twenty-two percent of Pennsylvania Republicans and 46% of Independents approved of Shapiro’s performance.”
This is a good rating. But is it a “deliver PA” rating? No.
A 49% approval rating is ok, but remember, it is probably much higher than that where Dems are already voting for Harris and much lower in areas that she would need Shapiro to help her.
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Well Tina, the low job claims could be signaling that the job market is healthy and so it’s safe to start cutting. It’s just one of many data points the fed looks at. I dont think there’s any doubt that its time to cut. However, they cut by 50 instead of 25. That tells me they saw something concerning somewhere in the data .. so they had to move more aggressively than planned.
This may be entirely appropriate. After all, they are trying to do the impossible, achieving a flawless soft landing. The market is saying mission accomplished. We will know in 3-5 years if that’s true or not.
Big Joe
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Zzzzz..
There is not going to be any “mass deportation” if Trump wins, and NYC already gave the answer to that, “political will”.
There will be some show deportations of criminals and people recently apprehended at th border.
But I will be very surprised if even a million illegals are deported let alone 10 million.
Any “mass deportation” will be tied up in the courts for years.
No doubt a Trump administration would greatly diminish the flow across the border once in office.
But 95% of all illegals are here to stay, bet on it.
And you can thank immigration deadenders like NYC for that.
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Big Joe, how Dee. I suspect the job data is worse and the economy is worse than what the Bls is staring . That adjustment showing 800,000+ less jobs is telling.
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And if Kamala wins with a senate and congress to boot, the Dems will grant citizenship not only to the 20 million already here, but millions more.
Meanwhile, NYC will still be here bleating WE ARE WINNING!
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“And you can thank immigration deadenders like NYC for that.”
-No, you can thank our representatives and the Executive Branch for not enforcing laws on the books.
As for Trump NOT DEPORTING people who came here between Jan2021-Jan2025, if that happens, then Democrats will win in 2028 and beyond, as millions of voters will see that the political system is rigged, and THE LAW means nothing, and will simply refuse to vote.
I believe he will try to do what he has promised, and the whole of the Republican Party should join him in that regard. If Republicans in Congress don’t support a new Trump deportation policy, then they will probably lose their positions in the 2026 election. The tipping point has been reached. It is not affordable to do nothing.
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Yes Tina, the 800k downward revision may have messed up the fed’s plan. The fed has been acting based on data, but if the data is flawed then their actions will be as well. The data coming out in the next 30 days will be critical.
Big Joe
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The Rs in Congress (Biden’s Beotch and Ryano, paolo) gave him a bad time with the border wall. The deadenders are the gop-e on illegal immigration.
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Every four years I post something like the following regarding voting in the presidential election. I know some here disagree as they are free to do.
If you claim that conscience has something to do with voting, then you probably been influenced by someone on the left who is eager to get you to waste your vote.
I see this happen all the time among evangelicals, particularly those of a specific theological bent like Presbyterians, whose worldview is that they are trying to make the world a kingdom that honors Christ. So they vote for President like they would vote for a Pastor. They claim that they cannot in good conscience vote for Candidate A or Candidate B because both are not strong enough on abortion.
And then there is Candidate C, who is predicted to get less than 1% of the vote, like the Constitution Party candidate. But if this candidate is perceived as being 91% in alignment with their values, while the Republican is only 90% aligned, they will vote for that Constitution Party candidate, piously claiming that they are going to just “trust the Lord” with their vote.
The bottom line is that conscience has NOTHING to do with voting.
Either Harris or Trump will be the next president, unless one of them is assassinated before being sworn in. That is the reality. To vote for someone else who cannot win, or not vote at all, with special pleading to your conscience is completely misguided.
Many wrongly confuse voting with endorsing.
Here we can get some help from the dictionary definitions that record common usage of the two terms:
VOTE: “to express or signify will or choice in a matter, as by casting a ballot”
ENDORSE: “to approve, support, or sustain”
The next president does not have to be a person who would qualify to be your personal pastor, best friend, hero, or any other such characteristic.
When you VOTE, you simply express or signify your choice in the matter of which of the TWO candidates you would rather see be sworn in as the next president.
When you ENDORSE, you are saying that you approve of a candidate at a minimum, and you might also be inclined to support, or financially sustain said candidate. That is a whole different level beyond voting.
In the forthcoming election, if everyone who is eligible to vote, who would rather Trump be sworn in than Harris, would actually show up and VOTE, whether or not they endorse Trump, then there is no way Harris could win.
Unfortunately, many, particularly evangelicals have been confused on the difference between voting and endorsing, and will throw away their votes, with the left laughing all the way to their inauguration, lifting their glasses at the inauguration banquet to toast all those who agreed to throw their votes away to make the Dem victory possible.
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I want to draw your attention to the Senate battleground grid at the top of the page. As fall advertising heats up, I have noticed improvement among many of the candidates. For the first time, there are three Republican challengers who are within 4 points of the Democrat incumbents.
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In the 80’s, Ed Koch said NYC was ungovernable,
Rudy came in, enforced the laws on the books, NYC became governable.
Now, we have “conservatives”/”Republicans” like jason, both in office and as just voters, who say “we can’t deport people who came here illegally.”
B*llsh*t. We can. Do it.
And then enforce the laws on the books. Allow the citizens of the United States to see an administration which will enforce the immigration laws, while the economy rebounds, and as the cost savings from deporting those illegals can then be sent to reinvigorating the military, which supposedly “limachu” and the shyster are in favor of.
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I’m sorry but iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii I ok
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Bitter, the Mets are setup perfectly for the series with the Phillies, having won their last two games by a combined 20-1. Now their bats will go cold to compensate, and they won’t be able to score.
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This chart is going to be needed again when you see the new Morning Consult/Bloomberg polls of the battleground states, as they go above and beyond to beclown themselves.
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NYC,
I was a big fan of Rudy. I loved that he wore the Yankee cap during the subway series against the inferior Mets team. Unfortunately, he changed after his failed presidential run in ’08.
Big Joe
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I don’t mean to sound like an A-hole, for repeating this post……..(although according to Jason, I’ve actually achieved full fledged A-hole status).
Anyway, earlier I asked the question…… Historically speaking, how accurate is Gallups party ID ratings? The reason I’m asking is that Gallup currently has the electorate at D+1 but when Independents are pushed, that rises to R+5. I haven’t seen any polls using R+anything as far as party ID goes. Even Ras, who has Trump up 2-3 Nationally, uses D+2. If Gallup is correct, how are any of these polls correct, if they aren’t using the correct weighting? I didn’t get any responses to the earlier post, so I figured either none of you knew the answer, or you were ignoring this full fledged A-hole, which quite honestly, I wouldn’t put past any of you Bastards !!!!
I would think this would be a big deal, but I don’t see much being discussed about it on X, either.
If someone did answer earlier and I didn’t hear you, I apologize. However, you all know that I’m technically deaf, so an apology shouldn’t be expected. GFY’s !!!!!!
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a sample of the new Morning Compost polls:
TEXAS POLL by Morning Consult
🟥 Trump: 50%
🟦 Harris: 46%
Senate
🟦 Allred: 45%
🟥 Cruz (inc): 44%
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Here is what Morning Compost is going to show:
Michigan – 🔵 Harris +8
Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris +6
Nevada – 🔵 Harris +4
Pennsylvania – 🔵 Harris +2
North Carolina – 🔵 Harris +2
Arizona – 🔵 Harris+1
Georgia – 🔴 Trump +1
Georgia must really be safe!
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Lol on Texas.
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and senate:
Ohio – 🔵 Brown +2
Texas – 🔵 Allred +1
Pennsylvania – 🔵 Casey +9
Maryland – 🔵 Alsobrooks +11
Nevada – 🔵 Rosen +13
Arizona – 🔵 Gallego +14
Michigan – 🔵 Slotkin +14
Florida – 🔴 Scott +4
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I mean Slotkin by 14, really? Just when you think polling cannot get more absurd, Morning Consult steps up to the plate.
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as horrible as these Morning Compost polls are, even they have a 270 path for Trump that doesn’t reach beyond Harris +2 in their polling. So even with these polls, Trump at 270 is within the margin of error.
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Walker is pitching for the Phillies so Mets start with 4-0 lead in the third inning.
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And compared to their prior polls here is the shift Morning Compost is seeing:
GA Trump +1
NC Harris +2
AZ Harris +2
PA Trump +1
NV Harris +4
MI Harris +5
WI Harris +3
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“Unfortunately, he changed after his failed presidential run in ’08.”
-Not sure how he changed. Are you sure the policies you vote for as a Democrat are the ones you actually believe in?
Are you FOR Open Borders? The Democrats are.
Are you for chemically castrating children? The Democrats are.
Are you for reparations? The Democrats are.
Are you for using race as a reason to hire/pick a person? The Democrats are.
Are you for imposing restrictions on the First Amendment? The Democrats are.
Are you in favor of using lawfare to defeat your political opponent? The Democrats are.
Are you FOR mandating electric vehicles? The Democrats are.
Are you FOR the elimination of gas stoves? The Democrats are.
Are you FOR the new laws which decriminalize stealing under $1000? The Democrats are.
Are you FOR allowing illegals and/or non-citizens to vote? The Democrats are.
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https://pjmedia.com/vodkapundit/2024/09/19/fcc-commissioner-just-slammed-harris-for-her-42-billion-fail-n4932667
-Big Joe,
Are you in favor of giving this woman even more power?
If YES, then I don’t think the issue is with Rudy, it’s a little bit closer to home.
Cheers!
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We are definitely in polling silly season from here on out.
In this ONE day, we got a poll of…
NEW YORK: Kamala +13
and
MICHIGAN: Kamala +8
Michigan and New York only 5 point difference.
The difference between the two was:
2020: 20 points
2016: 22 points
2012: 19 points
But now suddenly the difference is five.
Some really strange Dope is coming across the southern border.
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out the rest of the night.
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In other news…..my STL Cardinals laid another dud this season. There needs to be some major FO changes for this organization. Fans have finally had enough. I’ve never seen the stadium as empty as it has been this season.
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well scooter, Blues are back on this ice this weekend. Can’t wait for this season with my Rangers though I have a feeling we’re in for a big let down
all going to depend on shesti who is playing for a big contract
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NT
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