According to a new Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll taken 9/9 – 9/15 against 1000 LVs:
 | GEORGIA |
| Trump | 47 |
| Harris | 44 |
Also, not sure what to make of this Gallup poll on candidate favorability:
Gallup poll: Favorability Ratings (shift from August)
Donald Trump
Favorable: 46% (+5)
Unfavorable: 53% (-2)
Kamala Harris
Favorable: 44% (-3)
Unfavorable: 54% (+5)
——
Among independents
Trump: 44-53 (net: -9)
Harris: 35-60 (-25)
1007 A, 9/3-9/15
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
52 responses to “Trump up 3 in Georgia”
The AJC is left wing.
We are getting past the margin of Fulton county fraud, overlooked by Rattburger and hee haw.
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The unfavorability for her could be due to the debate where she had the facial looks and answered no questions.
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Harris -25 with Independents. Yikes !!!!
Gallup releases shock poll. Trump rises, Kamala tanks in approval.
Gallup poll: Favorability Ratings (shift from August)
Donald Trump
Favorable: 46% (+5)
Unfavorable: 53% (-2)
Kamala Harris
Favorable: 44% (-3)
Unfavorable: 54% (+5)
——
Among independents
Trump: 44-53 (net: -9)
Harris: 35-60 (-25) 44 (2.5/3.0) | n=1,007 A | 9/3-15
Scooter
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https://dailycaller.com/2024/09/17/abc-news-correspondent-says-harris-failed-to-provide-specific-answers-multiple-times-during-nabj-interview/
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Quemala apparently continues to turn off undecided. We saw this post debate.
https://dailycaller.com/2024/09/17/swing-state-undecided-voters-harris-answers-questions/
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Gallup’s numbers seem very erratic, especially their occasional partisan ID polls. I’m not sure we can conclude much from those stats.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/huh-when-asked-about-voter-concerns-about-economy/
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https://freebeacon.com/national-security/us-trade-with-iran-jumped-last-year-as-tehran-wreaked-havoc-across-middle-east-state-department-report-shows/
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Trump is getting 38% of the Black Vote in this poll
Eric Daugherty on X:
NEW VIRGINIA poll
🔵 Harris: 55.2% (+10.4)
🔴 Trump: 44.8%
Weighted sample: D+14
Unweighted sample: D+25
ActiVote | Aug. 19-Sept. 17 | N=400 LV
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Just for perspective. Virginia was D 36%……R 34%….I 30% in 2020, I believe.
Trump also winning Independents +6 in that Virginia poll.
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I have said it a number of times before, but the ActiVote “polls” are worthless, and I don’t care what they show, good or bad news for Trump.
a) Sample size of only 400
b) Sample collection takes a full month.
c) Sample is SELF-selected resulting in huge response bias
d) Sample is therefore always hugely D++ in the raw participation and cannot be accurately reweighted to get sane internals.
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Trump is VERY offended by being called a liar by Tina.
Trump: “I’m putting a 200% tariff” on cars being made in Mexico “which will make them unsellable in the United States.”
Tina:
Trump is a liar, TARIFFS DON’T INCREASE PRICES.
Like I have always said, the difference for Tina between a “RINO” and a “true conservative” is only one statement or one vote.
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SHOCKING JEW- HATRED ON FULL DISPLAY AT TODAY’S SENATE JUDICIARY COMMITTEE HEARING ON ANTISEMITIC HATE CRIMES: “Fucking Jews and the Israelis, talk about the 40,000. Talk about all these people. Why is it about antisemitism?”
Cruz should have asked him “who invited you here, Omar or Tlaib?”
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Parody ad on Twitter
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1836265669631053838
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https://www.westernjournal.com/nearly-100000-voters-registered-without-proof-citizenship-flaw-impact-upcoming-elections/?utm_source=site&utm_medium=aggregator10&utm_campaign=can
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I have no ideea what to make of the Ras poll as it jumps around so much -6 to +6 bs k to +2
Im happy to see trump in thr lead but have a hard time believing hell win the popular vote…by 2%!!!
I think hell lose by 1.5% and win PA, GA, NC, AZ and ine wildcard state (MI, WI or NV)
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Police have found explosives near the New York Trump rally on Long Island, police sources tell OAN
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Breaking news:
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/breaking-explosive-device-discovered-near-trump-rally-uniondale/
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I can see a path for Trump winning the national popular vote. Right now in current polling he is on track to significantly improve his win margins in Texas and Florida, compared to 2020. Same for Ohio. His numbers in deep red states should surpass 2020. If Harris doesn’t do much to surpass Biden’s 2020 numbers, then she could lose the national popular vote.
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Foiled attempt at bomb assassination?
Trump 3
Assassins 0
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Rich Baris The People’s Pundit @Peoples_Pundit
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5m
Trump has a 3-point lead in that AJC Poll for Georgia and the headline is “Tight Race Between Trump and Harris”.
Meanwhile, Harris led by 1 point and the national JMC and the headline was “Harris Takes the Lead”.
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He is speaking there later today. I wonder if it will now be canceled because of the breach?
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Media response in 3…2…1…
“Trump at fault for stirring legitimate and understandable anger in crusading patriots trying to defend their country against Hitler 2.0 by planting a bomb near the rally.”
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Through carbon dating, it is apparently Walt’s birthday. Happy Birthday!
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Yes, he is at fault as he was mean to the Haitians.
-drat response with Rinos
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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/secret-service-told-locals-would-take-care-of-building-crooks-shot-trump-from
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Happy Birthday, Walt !!!!
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Check out the journalist faces following Kamala’s interview yesterday. Doesn’t look like this went so well.
https://x.com/lovemycountry47/status/1836387406099972174?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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I can see a path for Trump winning the national popular vote.”
You should bet…. 4 to 1 odds.
I actually think it is more like 15%.
Harris will clear over 4 million votes in CA (Biden won by 5 million), maybe 2 million in NY and 1 million in IL. 800k in WA. 800k in NJ.
Hard to make that up. Trump won OH by 500k votes. TX by 600k. MO by 500k. IN by 500k. FL by 300k.
I don’t see how he makes up a 7 million + advantage in just 3 states unless Kamala’s margins are significantly reduced in CA, IL, NY, NJ, WA, etc.
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I propose we grant Walt the prestigious “Older than the Hills Award”.
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jason, Harris’ margin is lagging behind Biden’s in the following states:
New York: (Biden +23; Harris +13)
Washington (Biden +19; Harris +9.5)
California (Biden +29; Harris +23)
Other deep blue states lack the 2024 polling data.
I am not predicting Trump will win the popular vote, but just saying there is a path where he could do it.
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Harris has led in only 1 of the last 11 polls of Georgia (a CNN poll, Harris +1).
Harris has led in only 4 of the last 27 polls of North Carolina (Redfield & Wilton, Quinnipiac, SUSA, and NY Times/Siena)
Harris has led in only 1 of the last 17 polls of Arizona (Fox News, Harris +1)
Harris has led in only 5 of the last 22 polls of Pennsylvania (Suffolk, Harris +3; Morning Consult, Harris +3; Redfield and Wilton, Harris +1; Morning Consult, Harris +5; Spry Strategies, Harris +1)
Trump winning these four states results in 287 EVs. Without Arizona its 270.
Going on…
Harris has led in 4 of the last 13 polls of Nevada.
Harris has led in 4 of the last 10 polls of Michigan.
Harris has led in 6 of the last 10 polls of Wisconsin.
I would love for it to be true that Trump led in all these polls outside the margin of error, like he did against Biden’s corpse. But clearly Trump has the edge when it comes to electoral math.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/is-she-drunk-kamala-harriss-5-minute-rant/
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Quinnipiac incoming…
Quinnipiac University Poll@QuinnipiacPoll
·
22m
Tim Malloy to discuss results of #Pennsylvania, #Michigan, & #Wisconsin likely voter polls on 2024 presidential election & U.S. Senate races; #KamalaHarris & #DonaldTrump & handling of issues TODAY #Election2024
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Most recent Quinnipiac state polls:
Georgia: Trump +4
North Carolina: Harris +3
Here are my predictions for today’s polling from Quinnipiac:
PA: Harris +4
MI: Harris +6
WI: Harris +9
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Per national pulse, bomb threat is fake news.
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(I don’t agree with np as there is no other confirmation)
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New York: (Biden +23; Harris +13)
Washington (Biden +19; Harris +9.5)
California (Biden +29; Harris +23)”
Still not enough. Even if you cut the margin in these states by half Biden would still have won by 3.5 million votes.
However, if the red states significantly increased the Trump margins AND you cut Biden’s margins in these big blue states by half THEN you could see a Trump popular vote win.
So far I don’t see evidence of either one happening.
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The last few paragraphs are a bit weird.
https://thenationalpulse.com/2024/09/18/breaking-trump-rally-car-explosives-story-is-fake-news-top-campaign-source-tells-the-national-pulse/
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ich Baris The People’s Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
The top three most important voting issues are cost of living/inflation, economy and jobs, immigration and border security. Trump leads on trust to handle all three. That is fundamental.
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7,888 Views
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Hezbollah may have to start using carrier pigeons and signal flags.
https://nypost.com
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This is probably a fake news story to depress turnout at the event.
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Hezbollah may have to start using carrier pigeons and signal flags.”
Pigeons can carry bombs too.
Rumor is they will be using smoke signals (coded of course)
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Here is what you need to prepare yourself for the Quinnipiac polls:
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Quinn and abc have to be just garbage
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60000 tickets requested for the Nassau event.
This does not mean 60000 attendees.
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So there was no breach. Good to know.
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New Thread
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