Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Decent polling day for Trump in national matchups.

Fox News:

🟥 Donald Trump: 50%
🟦 Kamala Harris: 49%

Pew Research:

🟦 Harris: 46%
🟥 Trump: 45%
🟨 RFK Jr: 7%
🟪 Other: 1%

Economist/YouGov:

🟦 Harris: 46% [+1]
🟥 Trump: 44% [+1]
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%
🟪 Other: 2%

J. L. Partners:

🟥 Trump: 43%
🟦 Harris: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟪 Other: 2%

Democracy Corps (D) / YouGov Blue (D)

🟦 Harris: 48%
🟥 Trump: 46%
🟨 RFK Jr: 3%
🟪 Other: 1%

And the promise for tomorrow is a new Rasmussen national poll and perhaps some state polling from Rasmussen.

16 responses to “Decent polling day for Trump in national matchups.”

  1. A big 10 plus day rolled off a couple of days ago. So, a Trump plus 3 would be nice to see.

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  2. In the RAS poll

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  3. Never been first befor

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  4. Marv, all the best to you. The jet is back in the hanger.

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  5. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    But he does not believe abortion could play a role in this year’s election.”

    I don’t think it will be a deciding factor in the Presidential race based on the polling on the issue.

    I think a 15% advantage on the economy could certainly be a deciding factor because it is a much more important priority and polls show people DO vote based on the issue.

    A 15% advantage is only important if a significant number of people vote EXCLUSIVELY on that issue.

    I could be wrong. Maybe the polls are wrong.

    Abortion did not even make the list of what people think the policy priorities should be in the Pew Survey.

    https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/03/07/state-of-the-union-2024-where-americans-stand-on-the-economy-immigration-and-other-key-issues/sr_24-03-07_sotu_1-png/

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  6. DW,

    Thanks for heads up on our G-650. Too bad MD bailed out on our company, or he would be able to use it too.

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  7. Tim Walz response:

    See you on October 1, JD

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  8. Election2024: Pennsylvania Presidential Ad Spending and future reservations

    7/22-Today:
    🔵$31.8M🔴$30.7M

    8/15-Labor Day:
    🔴$21.7M🔵$6.6M

    9/3-Election Day:
    🔴$54.2M🔵$38.2M

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  9. October 1st is too far away.

    Vance should accept 2 dates, 09/17 & 10/01, and ask FOX to host the first if CBS won’t do both.

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  10. Cheers.

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  11. No bias here.

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  12. The ads are barely running in the Philadelphia or Pittsburgh markets. I understand that is not Trump’s base but fight, damn it.

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