According to a new poll from the University of North Florida taken 7/24-7/27; 774 LV:
 | FLORIDA – Univ. of North Florida |
| Trump | 49 |
| Border Czar Harris | 42 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Scott | 47 |
| Mucarsel-Powell | 43 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
28 responses to “Trump up 7 in Florida”
First!
LikeLike
Since, I did post the poll first I figured I should get the first post. 😉
LikeLike
Vic is probably playing with his boys anyway so, I am sure he will not mind.
LikeLike
Harvard/Harris National Presidential Election Poll:
🟥 Donald Trump – 48%
🟦 Kamala Harris – 45%
⬜️ Unsure – 7%
2,196 RV | July 26-28
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/july-harvard-caps–harris-poll-harris-resets-race-to-pre-debate-levels-following-her-entrance-trump-holds-lead-302209850.html
LikeLike
With Leans:
🟥 Donald Trump – 52%
🟦 Kamala Harris – 48%
LikeLike
Lets keep this poll a secret! They haven’t officially nominated Harris yet! 😂
LikeLike
I have been saying what this poll says…that essentially we have the same race as before Biden’s debate debacle, where Trump was winning around 310 EVs. After the debate and failed assassination attempt, we were seeing NM, NH, and MN turning red.
Now we are back to where we were before, talking about PA, MI, and WI.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Jason the schizo isn’t here yet. Odd. He’s always on his phone with his little hands looking to feel like a big man by hurling insults online. Big tough guy 😂
LikeLike
Trump Campaign Ad
https://x.com/JoelWeingart_/status/1818249346988585156
LikeLike
The campaign began making a two-week $12.3M ad reservation yesterday purchasing time in the 6 BG states.
PA: $2.7M
GA: $2.3M
MI: $2.3M
AZ: $1.9M
NV: $1.8M
WI: $1.3M
LikeLike
Here’s another ad by Donald J. Trump committee.
https://x.com/JoelWeingart_/status/1818266929150173383
LikeLike
For those keeping score at home, the prior University of North Florida poll was four years ago this October:
OCT 12-16, 2020
863 LV
Trump 47, Biden 48.
Trump won Fl by 3.36
LikeLike
BREAKING NEWS: We have secured a $1.4 billion settlement with Meta to stop the company’s practice of capturing and using the personal biometric data of millions of Texans without the authorization required by law.
This settlement is the largest ever obtained from an action brought by a single State and the largest privacy settlement an Attorney General has ever obtained.
This serves as a warning to any companies engaged in practices that violate Texans’ privacy rights.
Attorney General Ken Paxton
https://x.com/KenPaxtonTX/status/1818284641587257574
LikeLike
There are a few battleground states now with enough data to do a fair comparison of the average lead Trump enjoyed before he defeated Biden in the POTUS Race Stage 1, against the lead Trump now has against Border Czar Harris.
AZ: 6.9 to 5.6 (1.3 gain by Harris)
GA: 5.0 to 4.5 (0.5 gain by Harris)
PA: 4.1 to 2.5 (1.6 gain by Harris)
MI: 2.3 to 1.7 (0.6 gain by Harris)
WI: 2.6 to 0.0 (2.6 gain by Harris)
Wisconsin does not surprise me, given the many kooks in Madison who no doubt jumped right into the arms of the Border Czar, having planned to vote for kook Stein or kook West.
But really when you look at these numbers and keep in mind that everyone came to know that Biden is demented, the Border Czar has not really gained much at all, suggesting that the cake really is baked, even with a replacement candidate.
LikeLike
DW, in addition, I continue to believe that Harris is at her peak. Once her extreme positions become more known, her numbers will drop a bit.
Chicon
LikeLike
and perhaps more important than the topline numbers in that Harris/Harvard poll is the voters’ opinion on Trump favorability. Its now tied 48 favorable / 48 unfavorable.
It has to drive the left nuts to know that half the country has a favorable impression of Trump.
LikeLike
Quemala still trails.
LikeLike
Kamalenin. Giving Tina some nickname options.
LikeLike
Why? The nicknames are stupid.
LikeLike
I prefer Border Czar Harris, because it’s an accurate title that the media has outlawed.
LikeLike
The RCP national average is now:
Trump +2 on the full ballot
Trump +1.8 on just Trump vs. Border Czar Harris
LikeLike
I’m sure Tina is working on figuring one for Shapiro.
LikeLike
Is this nickname spanish? “Que Mala”
LikeLike
When I’m well medicated, I don’t mind the nicknames.
LikeLike
Florida Atlantic University is out with a national poll showing Trump down 1 on the full ballot and down 1.4 on the head to head against Border Czar Harris.
However, their sample is D+6
Now you might say, but what if it really is D+6, even though Gallup says its R+6? Well, this same FAU poll says Trump is getting 22% of the black vote and leading with 18-35 y/old’s by 9.
So given this reality, either the party weighting is way off, or a lot of MAGA voters have suddenly jumped ship and now MADA voters (Make America Destroyed Again).
LikeLike
Trump is not winning 18-35 year olds.
Stop being delusional
LikeLike
Tell FAU, don’t tell me. I am just reporting what they say.
New Thread
LikeLike
Iceland tour continues.
Found out that Iceland has high income tax, plus a 24% value added tax.
Their southern border though is secure, and they are not at each other’s throats politically like we are in the U.S.
Ship in Icelandic is “Skip”
Cruise terminal in Icelandic is “Skarffabakki”
______________________________
One sign said:
“Stranglega bannao ao leggja fra ser bunao vio giroinguna
I think it translates to English either as:
“We are going to use string to tie a banana to the leg of Bunu if he does not straighten up”
Or possibly:
“If you park your car here, we will tow your ass away.”
***************************************
Pretty sure it is one or the other.
LikeLike