According to Susquehanna. Keep in mind their prior poll was Biden +5. Same poll has McCormick down by 5. 7/22-7/28; 600 LV:
 | PENNSYLVANIA – Susquehanna |
| Trump | 43 |
| Border Czar Harris | 47 |
| Kennedy | 3 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| McCormick | 42 |
| Casey | 47 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
54 responses to “Border Czar Harris up 4 in Pennsylvania”
First!
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segundo
thanks for picking up my slack in the last post MG!!!
lol. Already in flight cancellation mode and it’s not for another 8 hours!
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Iceland tour continues.
Found out that Iceland has high income tax, plus a 24% value added tax.
Their southern border though is secure, and they are not at each other’s throats politically like we are in the U.S.
Ship in Icelandic is “Skip”
Cruise terminal in Icelandic is “Skarffabakki”
______________________________
One sign said:
“Stranglega bannao ao leggja fra ser bunao vio giroinguna
I think it translates to English either as:
“We are going to use string to tie a banana to the leg of Bunu if he does not straighten up”
Or possibly:
“If you park your car here, we will tow your ass away.”
***************************************
Pretty sure it is one or the other.
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Walt is fluent in all languages. He was at the Tower of Babel and took good notes when it fell.
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“Their southern border though is secure”
Are you sure? Volcanos might disagree.
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2024 Presidential Election Forecast by
@NateSilver538
Chance of winning
🟥 Donald Trump: 61%
🟦 Kamala Harris: 38%
Electoral College
🟥 Donald Trump: 280 🏆
🟦 Kamala Harris: 257
https://natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
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what is the other state besides nv az ga and ne-2 silver is giving to trump
hes also missing a vote
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He must be saying AZ, NV, GA, and PA, but Trump losing ME_02
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trump wont lose me-2 and he wins MI before PA
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Senator Rubio is continuing to call for political donations be made with credit cards having CVV codes to insure the validity of where and whom the donations are made. ActBlue does not require this security measure on their credit card donations. Consequently, the absence of the CVV code is seen as the source of many fraudulent donations, especially in the recent stupendous $200 million haul touted by Kamala Harris. Basically, the same scheme of laundered donations, made a year ago, is being duplicated in Harris’s last minute run for the presidency today.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/rubio-demands-probe-actblue-reports-fraudulent-fundraising-off-seniors
“Two weeks ago, alarming reports emerged of fraudulent donations being reported to the FEC by ActBlue,” Rubio wrote in a letter to the FEC chairs. “These reports indicate that numerous individuals, including senior citizens, have purportedly donated to ActBlue thousands of times a year. However, according to recent investigative reports, many of these individuals had no idea that their names and addresses were being used to give thousands of dollars in political donations, with most of these ‘donations’ going to ActBlue.”
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RFK support is drying up. Quickly. So are the numbers for Stein, Oliver, and West. I am contemplating a change to the aggregator where I blend the numbers for the average, so all the polls fit into one average. For the new Trump vs Harris vs Kennedy, I would change Kennedy to Other, and just supply a number for all others when they are polled.
Thoughts?
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DW, I like that plan.
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Congressional hearings going on delving into the SS mistakes made at the Butler rally. As is done at most hearings there is government stonewalling, whether it’s about the border with Mayorkas, or now with the acting director of the SS. It seems nothing but “talk” will be done, with no direct info discovered as to what really transpired behind this assassination attempt.
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Jeff G, check out the Nevada page to see the change. I think it makes a lot of sense given the status of the race.
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Julie Kelly 🇺🇸
@julie_kelly2
Sen Blackburn confronts FBI dep director Abbate about his claims related to recently discovered social media account that Crooks expressed anti-Semitic and anti-immigration views.
Abbate again reiterates the FBI can’t confirm, which is why Abbate should’ve kept his mouth shut
10:12 AM · Jul 30, 2024
·
4,324
Views
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The fib has already politicized this. They are incompetent.
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I think it’s still too early to put Kennedy into an “other” category. After Labor Day the election will attract more public attention, with numbers gelling more into a realistic direction.
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Good plan. Not many people will throw away their votes on third party candidates in a tight election cycle in swing states.
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🇺🇸 Mike Davis 🇺🇸
@mrddmia
Wow.
@JoyAnnReid
promoted her crazy conspiracy theory that Trump didn’t get shot.
@FBI
Director Chris Wray added fuel to the fire.
Now,
@WashingtonPost
writes:
“One of the bullets grazed Trump’s ear.”
Despite the fact
@RepRonnyJackson
, the White House physician to both Obama and Trump, wrote this on July 20:
“The bullet passed, coming less than a quarter of an inch from entering his head, and struck the top of his right ear. The bullet track produced a 2 cm wide wound that extended down to the cartilaginous surface of the ear. There was initially significant bleeding, followed by marked swelling of the entire upper ear.”
Assassination Deniers.
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Okay, thanks Bitter. 1 state down, 49 to go on the cleanup and changes. Its going to save a tremendous amount of time in the long run, and you are right, the closer to election day, the fewer RFK/Stein/West/Oliver people there will be. “Other” makes perfect sense Jan. And more polls will just switch to Other as time goes by.
If someone was still hovering around 10% by himself or herself, that’s one thing, but RFK is now hovering around 4%. Not enough to cost me significant time for no reason.
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Ok, DW. However, my rationale is that Kennedy is the only viable 3rd choice for people to chose. I know he went to Nashville then Florida last week, showing no signs of giving up. Should Dems become hesitant about voting for Harris, once her honeymoon period is over and oppositional research on her becomes more well known thru ads etc., some may switch over to Kennedy.
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Jan, if RFK Jr. sees a spike in support, I’m sure DW will consider that. For now, I think his plan is sound.
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ok. So what if rfk does throw his support behind Trump. Hiw does it affect the race. I can see him doing that so he can remain relevant
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That would be depressing to think that loons support Trump. But votes are votes.
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yes Bitter. Votes are voted and we need everyone of the. To overcome the fraud that’s coming
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There is no indication from my friend, who works with the RFK campaign, that he will endorse Trump. ,
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“To overcome the fraud that’s coming.”
The fraud that will be manufactured by the Dems concerns me a lot.
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Vic, election fraud is a conspiracy theory. It is imaginary.
Chicon
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Roger Sollenberge
@SollenbergerRC
”NEWS: Project 2025 director Paul Dans has stepped down at Heritage Foundation after pressure from Trump campaign leadership, ongoing power rift over staffing control for potential second Trump admin, per internal email. This suggests Project 2025 will likely shut down. Story TK.”
I’m surprised by this move as Paul Dans is a good man.
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@amuse
@amuse
BOMBSHELL: Revelation by
@BasedTorba
(GAB CEO) the FBI has pro-Democrat social media posts by Thomas Matthew Crooks. FBI is only reporting antisemitic and anti-immigrant social media posts. FWIW Democrats are VERY antisemitic and lost are against illegal immigration.
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Clarion
July 30, 2024 2:49 pm
BREAKING: Gab founder @basedtorba
just released an FBI Emergency Disclosure Request (EDR) that names Thomas Matthew Crooks’s Biden-supporting social media account after FBI Deputy Director Paul Abbate falsely testified under oath to Congress.
According to his Gab account, Crooks supported Biden, lockdowns, and Biden’s border policies.
FBI Deputy Director Paul Abbate just told Congress that “an account believed to be associated with the shooter” had posted 700 comments in 2019 and 2020 with “anti-Semitic and anti-immigration” views.
“While the investigative team is still working to verify this account to determine if it did, in fact, belong to the shooter, we believe it important to share and note it today, particularly given the general absence of other information to date from social media that reflect on the shooter’s potential motive and mindset.”
However, the FBI’s request to Gab specifically identified Thomas Matthew Crooks’s account as “epicMicrowave,” which had posted comments completely opposite to what the FBI just told Congress.
Moreover, Crooks donated $15 to a progressive PAC on January 20, 2021, and posted comments supporting Joe Biden’s border policies on Gab just weeks later, in early February 2021.
Why is the FBI Deputy Director lying under oath about Thomas Matthew Crooks’ views to Congress and the American people?
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https://www.breitbart.com/2024-election/2024/07/30/democrats-worry-trump-overpower-harris-blue-wall-states/
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DW, what kind of reputation does this PA pollster have? Is there a R or D bias in their polling that you know of?
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I believe he said Biden was ahead in their last poll
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Susquehanna used to be decent. Not sure what’s up this cycle, but their PA polling has been ALL Biden. Not even close. In one of their polls they had Trump losing the northwest part of the state just as bad as losing Philly. That’s how bad.
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Do you all remember Project Veritas or some such organization that analyzed the 2020 political contributions to Biden? One I remember that aired on TV is they interviewed a woman, at the doorstep to her modest house, and she said she did give Act Blue a $15 donation one time. But the campaign finance records indicate she gave over $160,000 to Biden over the space of many months. Woman said that was impossible. She said her annual income is nowhere near that. But that is what campaign records indicated. The interview with that woman was one of many who they knocked on their door and the “donor” and when told that campaign finance records say they donated in the six-figure range, they all said “that is impossible”.
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Running away from their flagship policy initiative “project 2025” like headless roosters.
You own Project 2025, just like you own JD Vance lol
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Nobody is worried with JD Vance on that ticket
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No food for the troll.
Chicon
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Retlaw: Go away you troll. Anyone who posts Project Veritas as a legitimate piece of news is a moronic troll. You have outed yourself. Now go away.
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In the Harris national pole, hasn’t quemala lost about 1-2 points. She still trails by 4?
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“We could have maybe stopped him”
Acting director for the secret service.
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Blue anon and wrong Wray are crushed.
SEN. JOHN KENNEDY: “Is there any doubt in your mind or in the collective mind of the FBI that President Trump was shot in the ear by a bullet fired by the assassin?”
FBI DEPUTY DIRECTOR PAUL ABBATE: “There is absolutely no doubt in the FBI’s mind … There never had been.”
ADVERTISEMENT
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Good job, Walt.
Chicon
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Thanks DW for answering my question.
I like Vance. Of course the media wrecking crew is busy trying to demolish his image and credibility. However, character assassination is a tactic they deploy on everyone with an R by their name. As for Project 2025, it’s lowering its profile after becoming such a distorted target by the dem infested MSM. Nonetheless, being it represents a discourse, representing an executive agenda supported by over a 100 conservative organizations based on the constitution, I doubt anyone is “running away” from it.
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Walt, a troll? No way!
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I think post republicans are simply fucking idiots. I mean a simple policy position that 99% of parents can agree on. Non biological men shouldn’t play women’s sports. I think most parents can agree on that. Left or right.
But Trump republicans are so debased, they have no idea how to be normal. They have to push it further with weird creepy nonsense like genitalia inspections. What ??
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*non biological women
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The problem, Chuckle, is that many people on the left do think it’s OK, including Kamala Harris. I agree it’s something normal people should agree is wrong, but most progressives think it’s OK.
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Why is quemala still trailing?
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again. Cereb outs himself as a dem. The Dems have sent out a memo to use the word “weird” when describing Vance and republicans hoping to redirect away from whackos in the Dem party trying to groom children. Etc
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Don’t look Medusa in the eyes?
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
Interns were told not to look Cackles in the eye.
What, they’d turn to stone?
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Vance just destroys quemala here.
https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1818316617698390123?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1818316617698390123%7Ctwgr%5E98d148aabbecce17e3679926b547268077aa9fe8%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheconservativetreehouse.com%2Fblog%2F2024%2F07%2F30%2Fjuly-30th-2024-presidential-politics-resistance-day-1289%2F
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NT
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