The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Presidential Polls – Wisconsin:

	AVERAGE		49.0	48.0	1.5	1.0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Trump	Harris	Oth	Gap
AtlasIntel	11/3-11/4; 869 LV	3.0	49.1	47.9	1.5	+1.2
Research Co.	11/2-11/3; 450 LV		46	49		+3
Patriot Polling	11/1-11/3; 835 RV		49.0	48.7		+0.3
Trafalgar Group	11/1-11/3; 1,086 LV		47	48.2	2.6	+1.2
InsiderAdvantage	11/1-11/2; 800 LV		49	48		+1
AtlasIntel	11/1-11/2; 728 LV		50	49		+1
Emerson College	10/30-11/2; 800 LV		49.4	49.4	0.7	0
AtlasIntel	10/30-10/31; 673 LV		49	48	1	+1
Democracy Institute	10/29-10/31; 450 LV		50	47	2	+3
OnMessage	10/29-10/31; 800 LV		48	47		+1
AtlasIntel	10/30-10/31; 673 LV	4.0	48.5	48.2	1.5	+0.3
The New York Times/Siena College	10/25-11/2; 1,305 LV		45	48	1	+3
Florida Atlantic University	10/25-11/2; 786 LV		48	49		+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/28-10/31; 932 LV		47	48	1	+1
TIPP	10/28-10/30; LVs		47	48	5	0
Marist College	10/27-10/30; 1,330 LV		48	50		+2
Echelon Insights	10/27-10/30; 600 LV		48	48	1	0
Quantus Insights	10/28-10/29; 600 LV		49.1	48.9		+0.2
SoCal Strategies	10/28-10/29; 600 LV		49	49		0
YouGov The Times of London	10/25-10/31; 867 LV		45	49	2	44
Rasmussen Reports	10/25-10/29; 818 LV	3.0	50	47	2	+3
AtlasIntel	10/25-10/29; 1470 LV	3.0	48.7	48.1	1.6	+0.6
InsiderAdvantage	10/26-10/27; 800 LV		49	48		+1
Morning Consult	10/22-10/31; 540 LV		48	48		0
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/25-10/27; 746 LV		47	49	1	+2
CNN/SSRS	10/23-10/28; 736 LV		45	51	2	+6
Suffolk University	10/20-10/23; 500 LV		48	47	2	+1
Emerson College	10/21-10/22; 800 LV	3.4	50	49		+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/20-10/22; 557 LV		47	49	1	+2
OnMessage	10/19-10/22; 600 LV		48	47		+1
Marquette University	10/16-10/24; 753 LV		44	46	9	+1
Trafalgar Group	10/18-10/20; 1083 LV	2.9	46.8	46.6	1.9	+0.2
Quinnipiac	10/17-10/21; 1108 LV	2.9	48	48		0
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	10/16-10/20; 643 LV	4.0	48.3	48		+0.3
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/16-10/18; 622 LV		46	47	1	+1
AtlasIntel	10/12-10/17; 932 LV	3.0	48.2	48.9	1.7	+0.7
ActiVote	10/10-11/1; 400 LV		49	51		+2
Focaldata	10/3-11/1; 1,799 LV		47	50	1	+3
The Bullfinch Group	10/11-10/18; 600 LV		46	48		+2
RMG Research	10/10-10/16; 787 LV		50	49		+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/12-10/14; 641 LV		47	48	1	+1
Patriot Polling	10/12-10/14; 803 RV		50	49		+1
CCES/YouGov	10/1-10/25; 1,542 LV		47	50		+3
Rasmussen Reports	10/9-10/14; 1004 LV		49	47		+2
Morning Consult	10/6-10/15; 527 LV		48	47		+1
InsiderAdvantage	10/8-10/9; 800 LV		48	48		0
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/McLaughlin & Associates	10/6-10/9; 800 LV		49	48		+1
The Washington Post/George Mason University	9/30-10/15; 695 LV		47	50		+3
Emerson College	10/5-10/8; 1,000 LV		50	49		+1
Research Co	10/5-10/7; 450 LV		48	50		+2
Quinnipiac University	10/3-10/7; 1,073 LV		48	46	2	+2
Arc Insights	10/2-10/6; 700 LV		48	47		+1
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO	8/28-10/8; 600 RV		45	46	4	+1
Democracy Institute	10/2-10/3; 375 LV		48	46	3	+2
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9/27-10/2; 533 LV		46	47	1	+1
Trafalgar Group	9/28-9/30; 1079 LV	2.9	47.1	46.0	3.1	+1.1
OnMessage	9/24-10/2; 500 LV		47	46		+1
Global Strategy Group/North Star Opinion Research	9/23-9/29; 408 LV		45	46	4	+1
The New York Times/Siena College	9/21-9/26; 680 LV		46	48	3	+2
AtlasIntel	9/20-9/25; 1077 LV	3.0	49.6	48.2	2.1	+1.4
Cook Political Report	9/19-9/25; 411 LV		47	49		+2
Morning Consult Bloomberg	9/19-9/25; 785 LV		47	50	1	+3
Marquette	9/18-9/26; 798 LV	4.4	48	52		+4
Rasmussen	9/19-9/22; 1071 LV	3.0	49	49		0
RMG Research	9/17-9/23; 788 LV		49	50		+1
Remington Research Group	9/16-9/20; LV		48	48	1	0
Redfield and Wilton	9/16-9/19; 600 LV		47	47	0	0
Emerson College	9/15-9/18; 1,000 LV		50.3	48.7		+1.6
ActiVote	8/29-9/29; 400 LV		48	52		+4
MassINC Polling Group	9/12-9/18; 800 LV		45	51	2	+6
Marist College	9/12-9/17; 1,194 LV		49	50		+1
Quinnipiac University	9/12-9/16; 1,075 LV		47	48	1	+1
Morning Consult	9/9-9/18; 600 LV		44	50		+6
AARP	9/11-9/14; 600 LV	4.0	48	49		+1
InsiderAdvantage	9/11-9/12; 800 LV		47	49		+2
Focaldata	9/3-9/16; 642 LV		46.1	51.5	1	+5.4
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9/6-9/9; 626 LV		46	49	1	+3
Morning Consult	8/30-9/8; 638 LV		46	49		+3
co/efficient	9/4-9/6; 917 LV		47	47		0
YouGov/CBS News	9/3-9/6; 946 LV		49	51		+2
Marquette University Law School	8/28-9/5; 738 LV		48	52		+4
Patriot Polling	9/1-9/3; 826 RV		48	48		0
Trafalgar Group	8/28-8/30; 1,083 LV		47	46		+1
CNN/SSRS	8/23-8/29; 976 LV		44	50	3	+6
Emerson College	8/25-8/28; 850 LV		50	49		+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8/25-8/28; 672 LV		44	48	0	+4
Z to A Research	8/23-8/26; 518 LV		47	47		0
Morning Consult	8/23-8/26; 648 LV		44	52	2	+8
YouGov Cato Institute	8/15-8/23; LV		46	51		+5
Fabrizio Ward	8/19-8/21; 400 LV		45	49		+4
BK Strategies	8/19-8/21; 600 LV		45	48		+3
Spry Strategies	8/14-8/20; 600 LV		45	48		+3
Rasmussen Reports	8/13-8/20, 835 LV	3.0	47	48		+1
Redfield and Wilton	8/12-8/15; 469 LV		44	48		+4
Focal Data	8/6-8/16; 651 LV		44	50		+6
Quantus Polls and News	8/14-8/15; 601 RV	4.0	45	46	4	+1
TIPP	8/12-8/14; 976 LV	3.4	47	47	3	0
The Bullfinch Group	8/8-8/11; 500 RV		40	49	5	+9
InsiderAdvantage	8/6-8/8; 800 LV		49	48		+1
NY Times/Siena	8/6-8/8; 619 LV		43	48	5	+5
Democracy Institute	8/5-8/6; 400 LV	5.0	46	42	7	+4
Navigator Research	7/31-8/8; 600 LV		45	45	8	0
RMG Research	7/31-8/5; 800 RV	3.5	45	48		+3
Redfield and Wilton	7/31-8/3; 597 LV		43	43	3	0
BSG/GS Strategy Group	8/26-8/2; 404 LV		43	48	5	+5
Marquette University Law School	7/24-8/1; 801 LV		45	46	8	+1
Bloomberg	7/24-7/28; 700 RV	4.0	45	44	9	+1
POS	7/23-7/29; 400 LV		46	48	4	+2
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7/22-7/24; 523 LV		44	44	5	0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research	7/22-7/24; 1,046 RV		46	46	5	0
Emerson	7/22-7/23; 845 RV		45	45	3	0
Civiqs	7/13-7/16, 514 RV		48	48	2	0
Public Policy Polling	7/10-7/11; 548 RV		49	48		+1
North Star Opinion Research	7/6-7/10; 600 LV		48	47		+1
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Gap	Trump	Biden	Ken.	Gap
Final Average		2.0	46.6	44.6
Final Average (Inc. RFK)			45.2	42.6	5.0	2.6
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7/16-7/18; 470 LV		42	42	6	0
Trafalgar Group	7/15–7/17; 1,087 LV		46	43	3	+3
Emerson	7/15-7/16; 1,000 RV	+5	48	43
			46	43	4	+3
Civiqs	7/13-7/16, 600		47	47	3	0
PPP	7/11-7/12; 653 V	+1	46	47
Rasmussen	7/5-7/12		48	46	5	+2
The Times/YouGov	7/4-12; 900 RV		44	39	4	+5
North Star Opinion Research	7/6-7/10; 600 LV	+2	46	44
			38	36	11	+2
Morning Consult Bloomberg	7/1-7/5; 695 RV	+3	44	47
			39	41	10	+2
Emerson College	6/30-7/2; 1,000 RV	+3	47	44
SoCal Research	6/30-7/2; 490 RV	+1	44	43
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research AARP	6/28-7/2; 600 LV	+5	50	45
			44	38	9	+6
Remington Research Group	6/29-7/1; 593 LV		49	43	?	+6
OpenLabs	6/28-6/30		42	38	(8)	+4
Marquette University Law School	6/12-6/20; 784 LV	+2	49	51
			44	42	7	+2
P2 Insights	6/11-6/20; 650 LV		45	42	4	+3
Emerson	6/13-6/18; 1,000 RV	+3	47	44
			44	42	6	+2
JL Partners	6/5-6/10; 500 LV		44	44	5	0
Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research	5/30-5/31; 290 LV	+1	41	40
			35	40	12	+5
P2 Insights	5/13-5/21; 650 LV		44	42	7	+2
KAConsulting	5/15-5/19; 600 RV	0	45	45
			42	42	7	0
Prime Group	5/9-5/16; 488 RV	+2	49	51
			44	44	7	0
Bloomberg/MrnConsult	5/7-5/13; 693 RV	+1	47	46
			43	42	6	+1
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group	5/6-5/13; 503 LV	0	45	45
			41	41	9	0
Quinnipiac	5/2-5/6; 1,457 RV	+6	44	50
			39	40	12	+1
The New York Times/Siena College	4/28-5/9; 614 LV	+1	46	47
			40	39	8	+1
Emerson	4/25 – 4/29; 1,000 RV	+4	52|47	48|45
			45	40	6	+5
YouGov	4/19-4/25; 1,226 LV	+1	50	49
Kaplan Strategies	4/20-4/21; 802 RV	+10	48	38
Zogby	4/13-4/21; 518 LV	+2.1	48.1	46
Fox News	4/11-4/16; 1,198 RV	0	48	48
			41	43	9	+2
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	4/8 – 4/13; 803 RV	+4	48	44
			44	41	8	+3
North Star Opinion Research	4/6-4/9; 600 LV	0	45	45
			37	36	13	+1
Marquette	4/3-4/10; 736 LV	+2	51	49
			42	41	12	+1
Wall Street Journal	3/17-3/24; 600 RV	0	46	46
			38	41	10	+3
Emerson	3/14-3/18; 1,000 RV	+4	52	48
			43	40	6	+3
Echelon Insights	3/12-3/19; 400 LV	+1	46	47
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	3/8-3/14; 697 RV	+1	45	46
			41	39	10	+2
Kaplan Strategies	2/22-2/23; 941 RV	+2	41	39
Emerson	2/20-2/24; 1000 RV	+3	45	42
			41	37	7	+4
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	2/12-2/18; 702 RV	+4	46	42
			41	35	10	+6
Fox News/Beacon(D) & Shaw(R)	1/26-1/30; 1172 RV	0	47	47
			42	39	7	+3
Marquette	1/24-1/31; 808 LV	+1	50	49
			41	39	13	+2
FocalData	1/17-1/23; LV	+2	51	49
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	1/16-1/21; 697 RV		49	44		+5
			43	35	10	+8
Emerson	January	+1	44	45
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	11/27-12/6/23; 681 RV	+4	45	41
			40	34	10	+6
J.L. Partners/Dailymail.com	11/27-12/1/23; 550 LV	+4	41	45
			32	37	6	+5
Big Data Poll	11/18-11/23/23; 870 RV	+2	40	38
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	10/30-11/7/23; 675 RV	+1	47	46
			38	36	13	+2
Emerson	10/30-11/4/23; 819 LV	0	45	45
Marquette	10/26-11/2/23; 908 RV	+2	48	50
Siena College/NY Times	10/22-11/3/23; 603 LV	+2	45	47
			35	37	21	+2
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	10/10-10/15/23; 700 RV	+2	46	44
Emerson	10/4/23	+2	42	40
PPP (D)	9/26/23	+4	44	48
On Message (R)	9/24/23	+9	39	48

U.S. Senate:

	AVERAGE	46.8	47.8	1.0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Hovde	Baldwin	Gap
Trafalgar Group	10/18-10/20; 1083 LV	48.5	48.1	+0.4
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/16-10/18; 622 LV	44	45	+1
AtlasIntel	10/12-10/17; 932 LV	46.3	49.3	+3
The Bullfinch Group	10/11-10/18; 600 LV	45	49	+4
RMG Research	10/10-10/16; 787 LV	47	50	+3
NRSC	10/13	48	47	+1
Patriot Polling	10/12-10/14; 803 RV	49	50	+1
Morning Consult	10/6-10/15; 527 LV	44	49	+5
InsiderAdvantage	10/8-10/9; 800 LV	47	48	+1
Emerson College	10/5-10/8; 1,000 LV	46	50	+4
Research Co	10/5-10/7; 450 LV	47	52	+5
Quinnipiac University	10/3-10/7; 1,073 LV	46	50	+4
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9/27-10/2; 533 LV	42	47	+5
Trafalgar Group	9/28-9/30; 1079 LV	46	48.3	+2.3
The New York Times/Siena College	9/21-9/26; 680 LV	43	50	+7
AtlasIntel	9/20-9/25; 1077 LV	46.7	48.2	+1.5
Cook Political Report	9/19-9/25; 411 LV	47	49	+2
Marquette	9/18-9/26; 798 LV	46	53	+7
Rasmussen	9/19-9/22; 1071 LV	45	49	+4
RMG Research	9/17-9/23; 788 LV	45	51	+6
Remington Research Group	9/16-9/20; LV	47	49	+2
Redfield and Wilton	9/16-9/19; 600 LV	41	46	+5
Emerson College	9/15-9/18; 1,000 LV	46	49	+3
MassINC Polling Group	9/12-9/18; 800 LV	44	52	+7
Marist College	9/12-9/17; 1,194 LV	48	51	+3
Quinnipiac University	9/12-9/16; 1,075 LV	47	51	+4
Morning Consult	9/9-9/18; 600 LV	43	50	+7
AARP	9/11-9/14; 600 LV	47	50	+3
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9/6-9/9; 626 LV	39	46	+7
Morning Consult	8/30-9/8; 638 LV	43	49	+6
co/efficient	9/4-9/6; 917 LV	43	49	+6
YouGov/CBS News	9/3-9/6; 946 LV	43	51	+8
Marquette University Law School	8/28-9/5; 738 LV	45	51	+6
CNN/SSRS	8/23-8/29; 976 LV	45	51	+6
Emerson College	8/25-8/28; 850 LV	48	49	+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8/25-8/28; 672 LV	41	46	+5
Fabrizio Ward	8/19-8/21; 400 LV	43	48	+5
BK Strategies	8/19-8/21; 600 LV	44	49	+5
Rasmussen Reports	8/13-8/20, 835 LV	42	52	+10
TIPP	8/12-8/14; 976 LV	43	50	+7
NY Times/Siena	8/6-8/8; 661 LV	44	51	+7
BSG/GS Strategy Group	8/26-8/2; 404 LV	43	50	+7
Marquette University Law School	7/24-8/1; 801 LV	47	52	+5
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research	7/22-7/24; 1,046 RV	43	54	+11
Emerson	7/22-7/23; 845 RV	43	49	+6
The Times/YouGov	7/4-7/12; 900 RV	44	50	+6
North Star Opinion Research	7/6-7/10; 600 LV	41	49	+8
SoCal Research	6/30-7/2; 490 RV	38	50	+12
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research AARP	6/28-7/2; 600 LV	45	50	+5
Remington Research Group	6/29-7/1; 593 LV	48	48	0
Marquette University Law School	6/12-6/20; 784 LV	47	52	+5
Emerson	6/13-6/18; 1,000 RV	44	46	+2
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research	5/30-5/31; 290 LV	39	47	+8
KAConsulting	5/15-5/19; 600 RV	42	46	+4
BSG/GS Strategy Group	5/6/-5/13; 503 LV	37	49	+12
Quinnipiac	5/2-5/6; 1,457 RV	42	54	+12
The New York Times/Siena College	4/28-5/9; 616 LV	42	49	+7
Emerson	4/25 – 4/29; 1000 RV	43	46	+3
Marquette University Law School	4/3-4/10; 707 LV	50	50	0
Emerson College	3/14-3/18; 1,000 RV	42	45	+3
Emerson College	2/20-2/24; 1,000 RV	39	46	+7