The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Presidential Polls – Virginia:

	AVERAGE	X	48.1	49.9	2.1	1.9
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Trump	Harris	Oth	Gap
AtlasIntel	11/1-11/4;2,202 LV	2.0	45.1	50.5	3	+5.4
Research Co.	11/2-11/3; 450 LV		45	51		+6
Chism Strategies	10/28-10/30; 520 LV		44.5	45.2		+0.7
Cygnal	10/27-10/29; 600 LV		43	50	2	+7
Roanoke College	10/25-10/29; 851 LV		41	51	5	+10
Rasmussen Reports	10/24-10/25; 1014 LV		46	48	4	+2
Quantus Insights	10/22-10/24; 725 LV	3.6	48	49	3	+1
Washington Post/George Mason University	10/19-10/23; 1004 LV	3.5	43	49	2	+6
ActiVote	10/2-10/28; 400 LV		45.9	54.1		+8.2
CCES/YouGov	10/1-10/25; 2,015 LV		44	52		+8
Democracy Institute	10/2-10/3; 800 LV		45	47	5	+2
Christopher Newport University	9/28-10/4; 800 LV		41	52		+11
Emerson College	9/22-9/24; 860 LV		46	53		+7
Rasmussen	9/19-9/22; 1144 LV		46	49		+3
Virginia Commonwealth University	9/16-9/25; 762 RV		37	47	4	+10
Morning Consult	9/9-9/18; 899 LV		44	51		+7
University of Mary Washington	9/3-9/9; 756 LV	3.7	46	47	4	+1
The Washington Post/George Mason University	9/4-9/8; 1,005 RV		42	50	3	+8
Morning Consult	8/30-9/8; 873 LV		42	52		+10
ActiVote	8/19-9/17; 400 LV		45	55		+10
Virginia Commonwealth University	8/26-9/6; 749 RV		36	49	2	+13
Quantus Polls and News	8/20-8/22; 629 RV	4.0	46	49		+3
Roanoke College	8/12–8/16; 691 LV	4.5	42	45	8	+3
Florida Atlantic University	7/14-7/15; 265 LV		45	41	5	+4
Emerson College	7/14-7/15; 1,000 RV		47	45		+2
Florida Atlantic University	7/12-7/13; 544 LV		38	43	10	+5
The New York Times/Siena College	7/9-7/12; 661 LV		39	43	8	+4
SoCal Research	7/6-7/11; 1,000 A		47	47		0
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Gap	Trump	Biden	Ken.	Gap
Final Average		0.1	44.1	44.2
Final Average (Inc. RFK)			40.9	39.9	6.9	1.1
Emerson	7/14-7/15; 1,000 RV	+2	45	43
			43	38	8	+5
FAU	7/12-7/15; 918 RV	+5	42	47
			39	42	11	+3
	7/14-7/15, 265 LV	0	44	44
			42	43	4	+1
NY Times/Siena	7/9-7/12; 661 LV	+3	45	48
			38	40	7	+2
SoCal Research	7/6-7/11; 1,000 RV	+3	44	47
VCU	6/24-7/3; 755 RV	+3	39	36
			39	37	8	+2
OpenLabs	6/28-6/30		41	40	(7)	+1
coefficient	6/11-6/12; 851 LV		41	41	7	0
Fox News: Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research	6/1-6/3; 1,107 RV	0	48	48
			41	42	9	+1
Roanoke College	5/12-5/21; 711 LV	0	42	42
			38	40	8	+2
McLaughlin and Associates	4/29-5/1; 800 LV	+4	44	48
			37	40	8	+3
Fabrizio Lee / Impact Research	4/26-4/28; 500 RV	+1	42	43
Zogby	April 13-21; 586 LV	+.5	45.4	44.9
Florida Atlantic University	2/29-3/3; 368 LV	+7	42	49
Roanoke College	2/11 -2/19; 703 RV	+4	43	47
Virginia Commonwealth Univ.	12/28-1/13; 812 A	+3	40	43
Mason-Dixon/Richmond Times	12/15-12/19/23; 625 RV	+6	43	49
			36	42	14	+6
Roanoke College	11/12-11/20/23; 686 A	+4	44	48
Change Research (D)	9/19/23	+1	39	40
Research America	9/11/23		37	37
Roanoke College	8/15/23	+9	42	51
Virginia Commonwealth Univ.	7/25/23	+3	40	43

Virginia U.S. Senate:

	AVERAGE	40.9	50.3	9.4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Cao	Kaine	Gap
Christopher Newport University	9/28-10/4; 800 LV	35	55
Emerson College	9/22-9/24; 860 LV	41	51	+10
Rasmussen	9/19-9/22; 1144 LV	39	51	+12
University of Mary Washington	9/3-9/9; 756 LV	43	49	+6
The Washington Post/George Mason University	9/4-9/8; 1,005 RV	41	53	+12
Roanoke College	8/12–8/16; 691 LV	38	49	+11
Emerson	7/14-7/15; 1,000 RV	39	49	+10
NY Times/Siena	7/9-7/12; 661 LV	36	53	+17
VCU	6/24-7/3; 755 RV	39	49	+10
Fabrizio Lee / Impact Research	4/26-4/28; 500 RV	36	48	+12