The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Presidential Polls – Texas:

	AVERAGE	X	51.8	43.0	2.0	8.8
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Trump	Harris	Oth	Gap
AtlasIntel	11/1-11/4; 2,434 LV		54	44	1	+10
Cygnal	10/26-10/28; 600 LV		51	43		+8
Morning Consult	10/22-10/31; 2,120 LV		52	45		+7
The New York Times/Siena College	10/23-10/26; 1,180 LV		51	40	2	+11
Rasmussen Reports	10/24-10/25; 1,002 LV	3.0	50	44		+6
ActiVote	10/21-10/27; 400 LV		55	45		+10
Emerson College	10/18-10/21; 815 LV		53	46		+7
University of Texas at Tyler	10/14-10/21; 956 LV		51	46	2	+5
CCES/YouGov	10/1-10/25; 6,473 LV		51	47		+4
YouGov/Claremont McKenna College	10/7-10/17; 1,075 LV		51	46		+5
University of Texas/YouGov	10/2-10/10; 1,097 LV	3.0	51	46		+5
Morning Consult	10/6-10/15; 2,048 LV		50	46		+4
ActiVote	9/26-10/16; 800 LV		55.8	44.2		+11.6
University of Houston	9/26-10/10; 1,329 LV		51	46	1	+5
Marist College	10/3-10/7; 1,186 LV		53	46		+7
Florida Atlantic University	10/2-10/6; 775 LV		50	45	2	+5
CWS Research	10/1-10/4; 533 LV		48	43	3	+5
NY Times/Siena	9/29-10/4; 617 LV	1.48	49	42	2	+7
RMG Research	9/25-9/27; 779 LV		53	46		+7
PPP	9/25-9/26; RV		51	46		+5
Emerson College	9/22-9/24; 950 LV		52	47		+5
ActiVote	9/7-9/24; 400 LV	4.9	54	46		+8
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation	9/13-9/18 1,200 LV		50	44	2	+6
Morning Consult	9/9-9/18; 2,716 LV		50	46		+4
CWS Research	9/4-9/9; 504 RV		51	41		+10
Morning Consult	8/30-9/8; 2,940 LV		52	43		+9
Emerson College	9/3-9/5; 845 LV		51	48		+3
ActiVote	8/14-8/31; 400 LV		55	46		+8
YouGov Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas	8/23-8/31; 1,200 RV		49	44	2	+5
Quantus Polls and News	8/29-8/30; 1,000 RV		52	44		+8
Lake Research Partners	8/24-8/29; 800 RV		51	43	4	+8
Public Policy Polling	8/21-8/22; 725 RV		49	44		+5
University of Houston	8/5-8/16; 1,365 LV		50	45	4	+5
ActiVote	7/31-8/13; 400 LV	4.9	53.3	46.7		+6.6
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Gap	Trump	Biden	Ken.	Gap
Final Average		8.2	50.3	42.2
Final Average (Inc. RFK)			46.6	37.0	7.2	9.5
ActiVote	6/25-7/18; 400 LV	+8	54	46
Remington Research Group	6/29-7/1		49	39	?	+10
Manhatten Institute	6/25-6/27; 600 LV	+11	52	41
			45	36	7	+9
University of Houston	6/20-7/1; 1,484 LV		49	40	5	+9
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research	6/11-6/20; 931 LV	+5	48	43
			47	41	8	+6
University of Texas	5/31-6/9; 1,200 RV	+7	46	39
			43	34	8	+9
Zogby	4/13-4/21; 743 LV	+9.9	49.5	39.6
University of Texas	4/12 – 4/22; 1,200 RV	+8	48	40
			45	36	8	+9
Texas Lyceum	4/12-4/21; 926 RV		41	31	11	+10
THPF	4/5-4/10; 1,600 LV		46	34	9	+12
Cygnal	4/4-4/6; 1,000 LV	+9	51	42
			46	37	8	+9
Marist	3/18-3/21; 1,117 RV	+11	55	44
			48	36	15	+12
Florida Atlantic University	2/29-3/3; 458 LV	+9	51	42
University of Texas at Tyler	2/18-2/26; 1,167 RV	+4	46	42
			41	37	13	+4
YouGov/University of Texas	2/2-2/12	+7	48	41
			45	36	6	+9
National Public Affairs	2/6-2/8; 807 LV		42	35	6	+7
Redfield & Wilson Strategies	2/1-2/3; 814 RVs		44	35	6	+9
YouGov/University of Houston	1/11-1/24; 1,145 LVs	+9	49	40
Emerson	1/13-1/15; 1,315 RVs	+8	49	41
			46	36	5	+10
YouGov/University of Texas	12/1-12/10/23; 1,200 RV	+6	45	39
			42	34	8	+8
YouGov/University of Texas	10/5-10/17/23; 1,200 RVs	+8	45	37

U.S. Senate:

	AVERAGE	48.0	42.7	5.3
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Cruz	Allred	Gap
Morning Consult	10/6-10/15; 2,048 LV	46	45	+1
ActiVote	10/1-10/16; 400 LV	53	47	+6
University of Texas/YouGov	10/2-10/10; 1,097 LV	51	44	+7
Marist College	10/3-10/7; 1,186 LV	51	46	+5
University of Houston	9/26-10/10; 1,329 LV	50	46	+4
Florida Atlantic University	10/2-10/6; 775 LV	47	44	+3
NY Times/Siena	9/29-10/4; 617 LV	48	44	+4
Public Policy Polling	9/25-9/26; 759 RV	45	43	+2
RMG Research	9/25-9/27; 779 LV	50	47	+3
Emerson College	9/22-9/24; 950 LV	49	45	+4
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation	9/13-9/18 1,200 LV	48	45	+3
ActiVote	9/5-9/30; 400 LV	52	48	+4
Morning Consult	9/9-9/18; 2,716 LV	44	45	+1
CWS Research	9/4-9/9; 504 RV	46	40	+6
Morning Consult	8/30-9/8; 2,940 LV	47	42	+5
Emerson College	9/3-9/5; 845 LV	48	44	+4
YouGov Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas	8/23-8/31; 1,200 RV	44	36	+8
Quantus Polls and News	8/29-8/30; 1,000 RV	50	43	+7
Lake Research Partners	8/24-8/29; 800 RV	47	43	+4
ActiVote	8/14-8/31; 400 LV	55	45	+10
Public Policy Polling	8/21-8/22; 725 RV	47	45	+2
University of Houston	8/5-8/16; 1365 LV	47	45	+2
ActiVote	6/25-7/18; 400 LV	54	46	+8
Remington Research Group	6/29-7/1; RV	53	43	+10
Manhatten Institute	6/25-6/27; 600 LV	46	43	+3
University of Houston	6/20-7/1; 1,484 LV	47	44	+3
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research	6/11-6/20; 931 LV	45	42	+3
University of Texas	5/31-6/9; 1,200 RV	45	34	+11
University of Texas	4/12–4/22; 1,200 RV	46	33	+13
Texas Lyceum	4/12-4/21; 926 RV	41	31	+10
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation	4/5-4/10; 1,600 LV	46	41	+5
Cygnal	4/4-4/6; 1,000 LV	45	36	+9
Marist College	3/18-3/21; 1,117 RV	51	45	+6
University of Texas at Tyler	2/18-2/26; 1,167 RV	41	41	0
YouGov	2/2-2/12; 1,200 RV	46	32	+14
National Public Affairs	2/6-2/8; 807 LV	44	44	0
YouGov	1/11-1/24; 1,145 LV	48	39	+9
Emerson College	1/13-1/15; 1,315 RV	42	40	+2
YouGov	12/1-12/10/23; 1,200 RV	43	27	+16