The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Presidential Polls – North Carolina:

	AVERAGE	X	50.4	46.9	1.7	3.5
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Trump	Harris	Oth	Gap
AtlasIntel	11/3-11/4; 1,219 LV	3.0	49.8	47.6	1.3	+2.2
Patriot Polling	11/1-11/3; 799 RV		50.5	48.9		+1.6
AtlasIntel	11/1-11/2; 1,310 LV		50.4	46.8		+3.2
InsiderAdvantage	11/1-11/2; 800 LV		49	47		+2
Emerson College	10/30-11/2; 860 LV		49.3	48.3	1.0	+1
The New York Times/Siena College	10/28-11/2; 1,010 LV		45	48	0	+3
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/28-10/31; 1,123 LV		48	47	2	+1
AtlasIntel	10/27-10/30; 1,373	3.0	50.7	46.7	1.6	+4
YouGov The Times of London	10/25-10/31; 949 LV		49	48	1	+1
Morning Consult	10/23-11/1; 1,056 LV		49	47		+2
Big Data Poll	1,157 LV		51.1	47.1	1.8	+4
AtlasIntel	10/25-10/29; 1,665 LV	3.0	48.4	48.5	1.7	+0.1
East Carolina University	10/24-10/29; 1,250 LV		50	48		+2
Rasmussen Reports	10/25-10/28; 849 LV	3.0	50	47		+3
Trafalgar Group	10/25-10/28; 1,091 LV		49.4	46.2		+3.2
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research/ Fox News	10/24-10/28; 872 LV		49	47	3	+2
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/25-10/27; 770 LV		48	46	2	+2
CNN/SSRS	10/23-10/28; 750 LV		47	48		+1
ActiVote	10/17-11/2; 400 LV		50.6	49.4		+1.2
SurveyUSA	10/23-10/26; 853 LV		47	47		0
Emerson College	10/21-10/22; 950 LV	3.1	50	48		+2
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/20-10/22; 679 LV		48	47	1	+1
SoCal Strategies	10/20-10/21; 702 LV		49	46		+3
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov	10/16-10/23; 650 LV		47	45	2	+2
Marist College	10/17-10/22; 1,226 LV	3.6	50	48		+2
InsiderAdvantage	10/19-10/20; 800 LV	3.5	49	47		+2
SurveyUSA	10/17-10/20; CV	3.7	49	47		+2
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	10/16-10/20; 755 LV	4.0	49.6	48.5		+1.1
Focaldata	10/3-11/1; 1,987 LV		48.2	48.1		+0.1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/16-10/18; 843 LV		48	45	1	+3
AtlasIntel	10/12-10/17; 1674 LV	2.0	48.8	49.5	1.6	+0.7
Elon University	10/10-10/17; 800 RV		46	46	4	0
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/12-10/14; 620 LV		48	46	1	+2
Cygnal	10/10-10/14; 600 LV		47.2	46.6		+0.6
Quinnipiac University	10/10-10/14; 1,031 LV		47	49	1	+2
Rasmussen Reports	10/9-10/14; 1042 LV	3.0	51	46		+5
CCES/YouGov	10/1-10/25; 2,308 LV		50	48		+2
Trafalgar Group	10/10-10/13; 1,085 LV	2.9	46.5	44.6	3.6	+1.9
Morning Consult	10/6-10/15; 1,072 LV		49	48		+1
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/McLaughlin & Associates	10/6-10/9; 800 LV		48	47		+1
The Washington Post/George Mason University	9/30-10/15; 965 LV		50	47		+3
Emerson College	10/5-10/8; 1,000 LV	3.0	50	49		+1
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO	9/28-10/8; 600 RV	4.0	46	45	4	+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9/27-10/2; 753 LV		47	45	1	+2
InsiderAdvantage	9/29-9/30; 800 LV	3.0	50	49		+1
Emerson	9/27-9/28; 850 LV	3.3	49	48		+1
Quinnipiac University	9/25-9/29; 953 LV	3.2	49	47	2	+2
Washington Post	9/25-9/29; 1001 LV	3.5	50	48		+2
RMG Research	9/25-9/27; 780 LV		51	47		+4
Global Strategy Group/North Star Opinion Research	9/23-9/29; 401 LV	4.9	47	47	0	0
East Carolina U.	9/23-9/26; 1005 LV	3.0	49	47	1	+2
High Point University	9/20-9/29; 589 LV	4.9	48	48		0
AtlasIntel	9/20-9/25; 1173 LV	3.0	47.3	50.8	1.7	+3.5
CNN/SSRS	9/20-9/25; 931 LV	3.9	48	48	2	0
Cook Political Report	9/19-9/25; 411 LV		49	49		0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Fox News	9/20-9/24; 787 LV	3.5	49	47	3	+2
Morning Consult Bloomberg	9/19-9/25; 828 LV		47	49	2	+2
Marist College	9/19-9/24; 1,348 LV		49	49		0
The Bullfinch Group	9/20-9/23; 600 RV		48	49		+1
ActiVote	9/7-10-6; 400 LV		49	51		+2
Rasmussen	9/19-9/22; 1078 LV		49	46		+3
NY Times/Siena	9/17–9/21; 682 LV		47	45	1	+2
Meredith College	9/17-9/20; 820 LV	3.5	48	48		0
Redfield and Wilton	9/16-9/19; 868 LV		48	47	0	+1
Victory Insights	9/16-9/18; 600 LV	4.0	48.5	44.9		+3.7
Emerson	9/15-9/18; 1,000 LV		49.3	49.7		+0.4
Carolina Journal/Cygnal	9/15-9/16; 600 LV		46	45	3	+1
AARP	9/11-9/17; 600 LV	4.0	48	46	3	+2
Morning Consult	9/9-9/18; 1,314 LV		47	49		+2
AmGreatness/TIPP	9/11-9/13; 973 LV		49	46		+3
Elon University	9/9-9/13; 800 RV	3.7	45	46	3	+1
Trafalgar Group	9/11-9/12; 1,094 LV		48.4	46		+2.4
Quantus Polls and News	9/11-9/12; 815 LV		50	48.3		+1.7
Focaldata	9/3-9/16; 662 LV		51.4	45.8		+5.6
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9/6-9/9; 495 LV		44	45	0	+1
Quinnipiac University	9/4-9/8; 940 LV		46	49	1	+3
SurveyUSA	9/4-9/7; 676 LV		46	49		+3
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research	9/5-9/6; 619 LV		48	47		+1
Morning Consult	8/30-9/8; 1,369 LV		48	48		0
Patriot Polling	9/1-9/3; 804 RV		50	48		+2
InsiderAdvantage	8/29-8/31; 800 LV		49	48		+1
East Carolina University Center for Survey Research	8/26-8/28; 920 LV		48	47	1	+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8/25-8/28; 812 LV		45	44	2	+1
Emerson College	8/25-8/28; 775 LV		50	49		+1
SoCal Strategies	8/26-8/27; 612 LV		50	46		+4
Morning Consult	8/23-8/26; 700 RV		48	48	3	0
Fox News	8/23-8/26; 999 RV		50	49		+1
High Point University	8/19-8/21; 941 LV	4.0	47	47		0
Spry Strategies	8/14-8/20; 600 LV		47	47		0
ActiVote	8/6-8/31; 400 LV		50	50		0
Redfield and Wilton	8/12-8/15; 601 LV		47	44	3	+3
Focal Data	8/6-8/16; 651 LV		50	50		0
NY Times/Siena	8/9-8/14; 655 LV		44	46	5	+2
Trafalgar Group	8/6-8/8; 1,000 LV		49	45	4	+4
YouGov Blue	8/5-8/9; 1,000 RV		46	46	2	0
Cygnal	8/4-8/5; 600 LV	3.99	47	44	5	+3
Navigator Research	7/31-8/8; 600 LV		48	46		+2
Redfield and Wilton	7/31-8/3; 741 LV		45	41	5	+3
BSG/GS Strategy Group	7/26-8/2; 403 LV		47	48		+1
Bloomberg	7/24-7/28; 706 RV	3.0	45	44	9	+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7/22-7/24; 586 LV		46	43	4	+3
Public Policy Polling	7/19-7/20; 573 RV		48	44	4	+4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Gap	Trump	Biden	Ken.	Gap
Final Average		5.3	47.8	42.5
Final Average (Inc. RFK)			45.6	38.3	5.9	7.4
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7/16-7/18; 461 LV		45	39	5	+6
Emerson	7/15-7/16; 1,000 RV	+7	48	41
			47	38	6	+9
The Times/YouGov	7/4-7/12; 1,000 RV		46	42	4	+4
Redfield and Wilton	7/8-7/10; 536 RV		44	42	4	+2
Morning Consult Bloomberg	7/1-7/4; 696 RV	+3	46	43
			42	40	7	+2
OpenLabs	6/28-6/30		47	36	(6)	+11
Redfield & Wilton	6/8-6/11; 534 LV		43	40	7	+3
Spry Strategies	6/7-6/11; 600 LV	+4	48	44
			45	37	8	+8
East Carolina U.	5/31-6/3; 1,332 RV	+5	48	43
North Star Opinion Research	5/29-6/2; 600 LV	+8	49	41
			44	32	9	+12
Rasmussen Reports	5/26-5/27; 1,053 LV	+8	51	43
Change Research	5/13-5/18; 835 LV	+2	45	43
			41	38	11	+3
Prime Group	5/9-5/16; 472 RV	+2	51	49
			45	42	11	+3
Bloomberg/MrnConsult	5/7-5/13; 704 RV	+7	49	42
			46	38	7	+8
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group	5/6-5/13; 601 LV	+7	48	41
			44	36	8	+8
High Point University	5/2-5/9 804 RV	+2	44	42
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	5/2-5/4; 553 LV		44	37	7	+7
Cygnal	5/4-5/5; 600 LV		43	38	9	+5
Emerson	4/25–4/29; 1,000 RV	+4	52|47	48|42
			46	37	6	+9
Meeting Street Insights	4/25-4/28; 500 RV		40	35	11	+5
Zogby	4/13-4/21; 641 LV	+4.6	49.4	44.8
Meredith College	4/11-4/17; 801 RV		41	39	9	+2
Mason-Dixon	4/9-4/13; 635 RV	+6	49	43
Bloomberg/MrnConsult	4/8 – 4/13; 703 RV	+10	51	41
			48	38	5	+10
Cygnal	4/7-4/8; 600 LV		43	37	7	+4
Quinnipiac University	4/4-4/8; 1,401 RV	+2	48	46
			41	38	12	+3
High Point University Survey Research Center	3/22-3/30; 829 RV	+3	45	42
Wall Street Journal	3/17-3/24; 600 RV	+6	49	43
			42	34	10	+8
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	3/14-3/17; 760 RV		43	39	8	+4
Marist	3/11-3/14; 1,197 RV	+3	51	48
			46	43	11	+3
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	3/8-3/12; 699 RV	+6	49	43
			45	39	7	+6
Cygnal	3/6-3/7; 600 LV	+5	45	40
SurveyUSA	3/3-3/9; 598 LV	+5	50	45
Florida Atlantic University	2/29-3/3; 251 LV	+14	54	40
High Point University	2/16-2/23; 753 LV	+6	47	41
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	2/12-2/18; 705 RV	+9	50	41
			45	35	9	+10
Emerson	2/14-2/16; 1000 RV	+3	47	44
			46	37	5	+9
East Carolina University	2/9-2/14; 1,207 RV		47	43	2	+4
Fox News	2/8-2/12; 1,099 RV	+5	50	45
			46	37	8	+9
North Star Opinion Research	1/30-2/4; 600 LV		39	32	16	+7
Meredith College	1/26-1/31/23; 760 RV	+5	44	39
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	1/16-1/21/23; 706 RV	+10	49	39
			45	32	9	+13
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	12/28-12/30/23; 1,220 LV		37	33	11	+4
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	11/27-12/6/23; 704 RV	+9	49	40
			45	34	8	+11
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	11/27-11/29/23; 620 LV		44	35	8	+9
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	10/30-11/7/23; 702 RV	+9	48	39
			42	33	9	+9
Meredith College	11/1-11/5/23; 755 RV	+1	39	40
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	10/10-10/15/23; 702 RV	+4	47	43
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/9/23		43	38	9	+5
Change Research (D)	9/5/23	+4	46	42
On Message (R)	8/24/23	+12	52	40