The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Presidential Polls – Michigan:

	AVERAGE	X	43.4	42.7	1.9	0.8
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Trump	Harris	Oth	Gap
AtlasIntel	11/3-11/4; 1,113 LV		49.6	47.8	2.4	+1.8
Research Co.	11/2-11/3; 450 LV		47	49		+2
Trafalgar Group	11/1-11/3; 1,079 LV		47.8	47.4		+0.4
Patriot Polling	11/1-11/3; 858 RV		48.5	49.2		+0.7
AtlasIntel	11/1-11/2; 1,198 LV		49.3	47.8	2.5	+1.5
InsiderAdvantage	11/1-11/2; 800 LV		47	47		0
Emerson College	10/30-11/2; 790 LV		48.9	50.5	0.6	+1.6
AtlasIntel	10/30-10/31; 1,136 LV		49	48	2	+1
The New York Times/Siena College	10/29-11/2; 998 LV		45	45	2	0
Mitchell Research & Communications	10/29-11/2; 585 LV		48	49	3	+1
Democracy Institute	10/29-10/31; 450 LV		49	47	3	+2
OnMessage	10/29-10/31; 800 LV		48	48		0
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/28-10/31; 1,731 LV		47	47	2	0
Florida Atlantic University	10/25-11/2; 713 LV		47	49		+2
AtlasIntel	10/27-10/30; 1,136 LV	3.0	49.2	48.3	2.2	+0.9
Echelon Insights	10/27-10/30; 600 LV		47	47	1	0
Marist College	10/27-10/30; 1,214 LV		48	51		+3
Mitchell Research	10/28-10/29; LV	2.46	48	47		+1
Rasmussen Reports	10/24-11/1; 908 LV	3.0	47	48	1	+1
YouGov The Times of London	10/25-10/31; 942 LV		45	48	2	+3
AtlasIntel	10/25-10/29; 983 LV	3.0	49.2	47.9	2.5	+1.3
Quantus Insights	10/26-10/28; 844 LV		49	49		0
Morning Consult	10/22-10/31; 1,108 LV		48	49		+1
InsiderAdvantage	10/26-10/27; 800 LV		48	47		+1
Emerson	10/25-10/27; 1000 LV	3.0	49	48		+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/25-10/27; 728 LV		48	49	1	+1
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research/Fox News	10/24-10/28; 988 LV		49	49		0
EPIC-MRA Detroit Free Press	10/24-10/28; 600 LV		45	48	7	+3
The Washington Post	10/24-10/28; 1,003 LV		46	47		+1
USA Today/Suffolk	10/24-10/27; 500 LV	4.0	47.4	47		+0.4
CNN/SSRS	10/23-10/28; 726 LV		43	48	6	+6
Patriot Polling	10/24-10/26; 796 RV		50	49		+1
Susquehanna	10/23-10/27; 400 LV	4.9	46.6	51.7		+5.1
Glengariff Group	10/22-10/24; 600 LV		44	47	7	+3
ActiVote	10/8-11/2; 400 LV		50.3	49.7		+0.6
Focaldata	10/3-11/1; 2,092 LV		45.4	50.3		+4.9
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/20-10/22; 1,115 LV		47	47	1	0
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov	10/16-10/24; 600 LV		45	49	2	+4
Trafalgar Group	10/18-10/20; 1090 LV	2.9	46.0	44.2	3.6	+1.8
Quinnipiac	10/17-10/21; 1136 LV	2.9	46	49	2	+3
Bloomberg/Morning Consult	10/16-10/20; 756 LV	4.0	46.5	49.6		+3.1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/16-10/18; 1,008 LV		47	47	1	0
AtlasIntel	10/12-10/17; 1411 LV	3.0	49.6	46.8	2.3	+2.8
CCES/YouGov	10/1-10/25; 2,336 LV		46	51		+5
The Bullfinch Group	10/11-10/17; 600 LV		43	51		+8
Mitchell Research & Communications	10/14; 589 LV	4.0	47	47	2	0
RMG Research	10/10-10/16; 789 LV		49	49		0
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/12-10/14; 682 LV		47	47	1	0
Big Data Poll	10/14; 904 LV		49.3	45.6		+3.7
SoCal Strategies	10/11-10/13; 692 LV		48	49		+1
Rasmussen Reports	10/9-10/14; 1058 LV		48	48		0
Morning Consult	10/6-10/15; 1,065 LV		47	49		+2
MRG	10/7–10/11 600 LV		44	44.9	6.9	+0.9
InsiderAdvantage	10/8-10/9; 800 LV		48	46		+2
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/McLaughlin & Associates	10/6-10/9; 800 LV		49	48		+1
The Washington Post/George Mason University	9/30-10/15; 687 LV		47	49		+2
Emerson College	10/5-10/8; 950 LV		50	50		0
Research Co	10/5-10/7; 450 LV		48	51		+3
Quinnipiac University	10/3-10/7; 1,007 LV	3.1	50	47	2	+3
AARP	10/2-10/8; 600 LV	4.0	49	48		+1
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO	9/28-10/8; 600 RV	4.0	45	47	5	+2
Michigan State University/YouGov	9/23-10/10; 845 LV		48	52		+4
Democracy Institute	10/2-10/3; 400 LV		47	46	5	+1
Glengariff Group	10/1-10/4; 600 LV		44.2	46.8	8.3	+2.6
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9/27-10/2; 839 LV		46	48	1	+2
Mitchell Research	9/30; 709 LV		49	48		+1
OnMessage	9/24-10/2; 500 LV		46	48		+2
Trafalgar Group	9/28-9/30; 1086 LV		46.9	44.7	3.5	+2.2
Global Strategy Group/North Star Opinion Research	9/23-9/29; 404 LV		48	46	3	+2
ActiVote	9/15-10/9; 400 LV		49	51		+2
RMG Research	9/24-9/27; 789 LV		43	49		+3
AtlasIntel	9/20-9/25; 918 LV	3.0	50.4	46.6	1.6	+3.8
The New York Times/Siena College	9/21-9/26; 688 LV		46	46	3	0
Cook Political Report	9/19-9/25; 416 LV		48	51		+3
Morning Consult Bloomberg	9/19-9/25; 800 LV		46	50	2	+4
Rasmussen	9/19-9/22; 1086 LV		48	48		0
Remington Research Group	9/16-9/20; LV		47	49	1	+2
Redfield and Wilton	9/16-9/19; 993 LV		45	46	1	+1
USA Today/Suffolk	9/16-9/19; 500 LV	4.4	45.4	47.6		+2.2
Emerson College	9/15-9/18; 875 LV		49.1	50		+0.9
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov	9/11-9/19; 650 LV		43	48	6	+5
Marist College	9/12-9/17; 1,138 LV		47	52		+5
Quinnipiac University	9/12-9/16; 905 LV		45	50	2	+5
Morning Consult	9/9-9/18; 1,297 LV		44	52		+8
InsiderAdvantage	9/11-9/12; 800 LV		49	48		+1
Mitchell Research & Communications	9/10; 600 LV		48	48		0
Focaldata	9/3-9/16; 714 LV		48	48.7		+0.7
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9/6-9/9; 556 LV		45	48	2	+3
co/efficient	9/4-9/6; 931 LV		47	47		0
YouGov	9/3-9/6; 1,077 LV		49	50		+1
Morning Consult	8/30-9/8; 1,368 LV		46	49		+3
Patriot Polling	9/1-9/3; 822 RV		48	48		0
Cygnal	8/28-9/1; 600 LV		46	47		+1
Trafalgar Group	8/28-8/30; 1,089 LV		47	47		0
Glengariff Group	8/26-8/28; 600 LV		45	44	6	+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8/25-8/28; 761 LV		44	47	2	+3
Emerson College	8/25-8/28; 800 LV		48	51		+3
CNN/SSRS	8/23-8/29; 708 LV		43	48	5	+5
Z to A Research	8/23-8/26; 500 LV		47	47		0
Morning Consult	8/23-8/26; 651 LV		47	49	2	+2
EPIC-MRA	8/23-8/26; 600 LV		47	46		+1
TIPP Insights	8/20-8/22; 741 LV	3.7	46	48		+2
Fabrizio Ward	8/19-8/21; 400 LV		48	46		+2
YouGov Cato Institute	8/15-8/23; LV		48	47		+1
ActiVote	7/28-8/28; 400 LV		50	50		0
Redfield and Wilton	8/12-8/15; 530 LV		45	44	6	+1
ActiVote	7/28-8/28; 400 LV	4.9	50	50		0
Rasmussen Reports	8/13-8/17; 1,093 LV		47	48		+1
Focal Data	8/6-8/16; 651 LV		44	51		+7
The Bullfinch Group	8/8-8/11; 500 RV		40	46	9	+6
AARP	8/7-8/11; 600 LV	4.0	45	43	8	+2
InsiderAdvantage	8/6-8/8; 800 LV		47	49	2	+2
NY Times/Siena	8/6-8/8; 619 LV		43	48	5	+5
Democracy Institute	8/5-8/6; 400 LV	5.0	45	42	10	+3
Navigator Research	7/31-8/8; 600 LV		44	44	6	0
Redfield and Wilton	7/31-8/3; 771 LV		42	41	6	+1
BSG/GS Strategy Group	7/26-8/2; 406 LV		44	46	6	+2
POS	7/23-7/29; 400 LV		45	45	4	0
Bloomberg	7/24-7/28; 706 RV	4.0	39	51	8	+12
SoCal Research	7/25-7/26; 500 RV	4.4	49	46		+3
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7/22-7/24; 512 LV		44	41	7	+3
Glengariff Group	7/22-7/24; 600 LV		41	42	12	+1
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research	7/22-7/24; 1,012 RV		45	43	9	+2
Emerson	7/22-7/23; 800 RV		44	44	7	0
PPP	7/17-7/18; 624 RV		46	41	6	+5
Civiqs	7/13-7/16, 600		46	46	5	0
Public Policy Polling	7/11-7/12; 568 R		48	46		+2
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Gap	Trump	Biden	Ken.	Gap
Final Average		2.4	46.4	44.1
Final Average (Inc. RFK)			43.8	41.5	5.7	2.3
PPP	7/17-7/18; 624 RV	+3	49	46
			45	44	5	+1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies			42	41	6	+1
Trafalgar Group	7/15 – 7/17; 1,091 LV		45	43	4	+2
Emerson	7/15-7/16; 1,000 RV	+3	45	42
			43	40	7	+3
EPIC-MRA	7/13-7/17; 600 RV	+7	49	42
			43	36	8	+7
Civiqs	7/13-7/16, 600		46	43	5	+3
MRG	7/11-7/13; 600 RV	+3	39	36
The Times/YouGov	7/4-7/12; 1,000 RV		44	42	4	+2
Redfield and Wilton	7/8-7/10; 560 RV		42	43	6	+1
Morning Consult Bloomberg	7/1-7/5; 694 RV	+5	43	48
			39	45	6	+6
Emerson College	6/30-7/2; 1,000 RV	+1	45	44
Remington Research Group	6/29-7/1		45	42	?	+3
1983 Labs	6/28-6/30; 563 LV		45	41	5	+4
OpenLabs	6/28-6/30		44	37	(6)
EPIC-MRA	6/21-6/26; 600 LV	+4	49	45
			42	38	10	+4
P2 Insights	6/11-6/20; 650 LV		43	40	8	+3
Emerson	6/13-6/18; 1,000 RV	+1	46	45
			44	42		+2
Redfield & Wilton	6/8-6/11; 594 LV		37	36	8	+1
MNS/Mitchell Research	6/3, 697 LV	+0.6	48.2	47.6
			46.3	45.1	3	+1.2
Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research	5/30-5/31; 636 LV	+1	46	47
			43	44	8	+1
MIRS/Mitchell Research	5/20-5/21; 697 LV	+2	49	47
			46	45	5	+1
KAConsulting	5/15-5/19; 600 RV	+1	45	44
			42	41	7	+1
P2 Insights	5/13-5/21; 650 LV		45	37	7	+8
Prime Group	5/9-5/16; 482 RV	+4	48	52
			42	44	10	+2
Bloomberg/MrnConsult	5/7-5/13; 704 RV	+1	45	46
			40	42	7	+2
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group	5/6-5/13; 606 LV	+2	47	45
			43	40	7	+3
The New York Times/Siena College	4/28-5/9; 616 LV	+1	46	47
			39	42	7	+3
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	5/2-5/4; 522 LV		43	37	7	+6
Emerson	4/25 – 4/29; 1000 RV	+4	52|45	48|44
			43	42	5	+1
YouGov	4/19-4/25; 1,262 LV	+2	49	51
			43	45	9	+2
Kaplan Strategies	4/20-4/21; 804 RV	+15	51	36
Zogby	4/13-4/21; 640 LV	+2.8	45.3	48.1
Fox News	4/11-4/16; 1,126 RV	+3	49	46
			42	40	9	+2
Bloomberg/MrnConsult	4/8 – 4/13; 803 RV	+2	45	47		+3
			40	43	7
MRG	4/8-4/11; 600 LV	+6	42	36
			37	34	13	+3
The Bullfinch Group	3/29-4/3; 600 RV		39	42	14*	+3
Big Data Poll	3/26-3/30; 1,218 RV	+3	51.5	48.5
			43.9	42.2	11.3	+2
Spry Strategies	3/25-3/28; 709 LV	+4	48	44
			43	40	9	+3
Wall Street Journal	3/17-3/24; 600 RV	+3	48	45
			39	37	12	+2
Emerson	3/14-3/18; 1,000 RV	0	50	50
			43	41	5	+2
Echelon Insights	3/12-3/19; 400 LV	+6	51	45
SSRS/CNN	3/13-3/18; 1,097 RV	+8	50	42
			40	34	18	+6
MIRS/Mitchell Research	3/15-3/16; 627 LV	+3	47	44
			44	42	6	+2
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	3/14-3/17; 735 RV		41	39	6	+2
Quinnipiac	3/8-3/12; 1,487 RV	+3	48	45
			41	36	10	+5
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	3/8-3/12; 698 RV	0	45	45
			40	40	9	0
North Star Opinion Research	2/22-2/25; 600 LV	0	43	43
Kaplan Strategies	2/22-2/23; 1,019 RV	+10	46	36
Emerson	2/20-2/24; 1,000 RV	+2	46	44
			42	39	6	+3
EPIC-MRA	2/13-2/18; 600 LV	+4	45	41
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	2/12-2/18; 702 RV	+2	46	44
			41	40	9	+1
Fox News	2/8-2/12; 1,106 RV	+2	47	45
			42	37	11	+5
Emerson	January	+6	47	41
FocalData	1/17-1/23; LV	+2	49	51
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	1/16-1/20; 703 RV	+5	47	42
			43	37	8	+6
Target Insyght (D)	1/4-1/10; 800 RV	+4	41	45
Glengariff Group	1/2-1/6; 600 LV	+8	47	39
			41	29	8	+12
John Zogby Strategies	1/2-1/4; 602 LV	+3	47	44
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	12/28-12/30/23; 832 LV		39	37	9	+2
SSRS/CNN	11/29-12/6/23; 1,197 RV	+10	50	40
			39	31	20	+8
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	11/27-12/6/23; 703 RV	+4	46	42
			39	35	10	+4
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	11/27-11/29/23; 874 LV		39	38	9	+1
Big Data Poll	11/16-11/19/23; 1,273 RV	+5	42	37
EPIC-MRA	11/10-11/16/23; 600 LV	+5	46	41
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	10/30-11/7/23; 700 RV	0	43	43
			37	38	10	+1
Emerson	10/30-11/4/23; 788 LV	+1	43	44
Siena College/NY Times	10/22-11/3/23; 616 RV	+5	48	43
			34	34	25	0
Morning Consult/Bloomberg	10/10-10/15/23; 706 RV	0	44	44
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/9/23	0	41	41
			40	38	7	+2
MRG	10/8/23	+7	42	35
Emerson	10/4/23	+1	43	44
PPP (D)	9/27/23	+4	44	48
Susquehanna	9/12/23	+3	43	46
EPIC-MRA	8/11/23	+1	45	46
Emerson	8/2/23	0	44	44

U.S. Senate:

	AVERAGE	44.2	46.6	2.4
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Rogers	Slotkin	Gap
Mitchell Research & Communications	10/14; 589 LV	43	47	+4
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/12-10/14; 682 LV	40	44	+4
NRSC	10/13	48	48	0
SoCal Strategies	10/11-10/13; 692 LV	45	48	+3
MRG	10/7 – 10/11 600 LV	41.2	46.1	+4.9
InsiderAdvantage	10/8-10/9; 800 LV	45	46	+1
Emerson College	10/5-10/8; 950 LV	44	49	+5
Research Co	10/5-10/7; 450 LV	47	52	+5
Quinnipiac University	10/3-10/7; 1,007 LV	48	48	0
AARP	10/2-10/8; 600 LV	46	49	+3
Glengariff Group	10/1-10/4; 600 LV	43	47	+4
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9/27-10/2; 839 LV	39	45	+6
Mitchell Research	9/30; 709 LV	44	49	+5
Trafalgar Group	9/28-9/30; 1086 LV	47	47.4	+0.4
RMG Research	9/24-9/27; 789 LV	43	49	+6
AtlasIntel	9/20-9/25; 918 LV	49.3	43.6	+5.7
Cook Political Report	9/19-9/25; 416 LV	46	50	+4
The New York Times/Siena College	9/21-9/26; 688 LV	42	47	+5
Remington Research Group	9/16-9/20; LV	43	50	+7
Redfield and Wilton	9/16-9/19; 993 LV	37	46	+9
USA Today/Suffolk	9/16-9/19; 500 LV	43	45	+2
Emerson College	9/15-18; 875 LV	42	47	+5
Tarrance Group	9/14-9/18; 607 LV	47	49	+2
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov	9/11-9/19; 650 LV	34	47	+13
Marist College	9/12-9/17; 1,138 LV	45	52	+7
Quinnipiac University	9/12-9/16; 905 LV	46	52	+6
Morning Consult	9/9-9/18; 1,297 LV	37	51	+14
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	9/6-9/9; 556 LV	39	44	+5
co/efficient	9/4-9/6; 931 LV	38	39	+1
YouGov	9/3-9/6; 1,077 LV	41	48	+7
Morning Consult	8/30-9/8; 1,368 LV	40	49	+9
Cygnal	8/28-9/1; 600 LV	43	44	+1
Glengariff Group	8/26-8/28; 600 LV	35	44	+9
CNN/SSRS	8/23-8/29; 708 LV	41	47	+6
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8/25-8/28; 761 LV	35	42	+7
Emerson College	8/25-8/28; 800 LV	41	47	+6
EPIC-MRA	8/23-8/26; 600 LV	42	46	+4
TIPP Insights	8/20-8/22; 741 LV	39	49	+10
Fabrizio Ward	8/19-8/21; 400 LV	43	43	0
Rasmussen Reports	8/13-8/17; 1,093 LV	43	45	+2
AARP	8/7-8/11; 600 LV	44	47	+3
NY Times/Siena	8/6-8/8; 619 LV	43	46	+3
BSG/GS Strategy Group	7/26-8/2; 406 LV	42	50	+8
Glengariff Group	7/22-7/24; 600 LV	41	46	+5
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research	7/22-7/24; 1,012 RV	46	51	+5
Emerson	7/22-7/23; 800 RV	41	45	+4
PPP	7/17-7/18; 624 RV	38	46	+6
EPIC-MRA	7/13-7/17; 600 RV	40	43	+3
The Times/YouGov	7/4-7/12; 1,000 RV	40	49	+9
Public Policy Polling	7/11-7/12; 568 RV	35	45	+10
Remington Research Group	6/29-7/1	43	47	+4
EPIC-MRA	6/21-6/26; 600 LV	42	44	+2
Emerson	6/13-6/18; 1,000 RV	39	43	+4
MNS/Mitchell Research	6/3; 697 LV	33	36	+3
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research	5/30-5/31; 636 LV	42	43	+1
MIRS/Mitchell Research	5/20-5/21; 697 LV	36	40	+4
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group	5/6-5/13; 606 LV	42	44	+2
Emerson	4/25 – 4/29; 1000 RV	40	42	+2
Mitchell Research	3/15-3/16; 627 LV	37	37	0
Emerson College	3/14-3/18; 1,000 RV	39	41	+2
EPIC-MRA	2/13-2/18; 600 LV	38	39	+1
Glengariff Group	1/2-1/6; 600 LV	37	38	+1
EPIC-MRA	11/10-11/16/23; 600 LV	37	39	+2
EPIC-MRA	8/6-8/11/23; 600 LV	37	42	+5
Emerson College	8/1-8/2; 1,121 RV	38	44	+6