The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

According to a new poll by Democrat polling firm Public Policy Polling. Their sample was simply ‘voters’ with no indication as to registered or likely. PPP says that Hispanics in NM favor Biden over Trump 57/31. This survey found Biden’s job approval in NM at 44/50, which is much stronger for Biden than another Democrat…

According to Selzer. Also a new batch of Redfield and Wilton polls: IOWA – Selzer Trump 50 Biden 32 Kennedy 9 Oliver 2 Other 3 Not Sure 3 June 9-14; 632 LV ARIZONA – Redfield & Wilton Trump 40 (-4) Biden 38 (-4) Kennedy 6 (-1) Other 1 Not Sure 13 June 8-11 FLORIDA –…

According to McLaughlin and Associates poll: MINNESOTA – McLaughlin and Associates Trump 47 Biden 45 Six Candidates: Trump 41 Biden 37 Kennedy 7 Stein 2 West 2 Oliver 1 Undecided 11 6/9-6/11; 600 LV

According to a new poll by Rasmussen: ARIZONA – Rasmussen Trump 47 Biden 40 Other 9 Five Candidates: Trump 41 Biden 37 Kennedy 10 West 2 Stein 1 Undecided 7 U.S. Senate: Lake 39 Gallego 40 Hernandez 4 6/11-6/13; 750 LV

According to PPIC, and J.L. Partners. Caveat on the Wisconsin poll. Looking it over, it appears to be a push poll for the “American Dream Fund.” The polling result suggests that the candidate who endorses this project is the one who will win Wisconsin. I am always skeptical of a poll where the aim is…

VIRGINIA – coefficient Trump 41 Biden 41 Kennedy 7 Undecided 12 6/11-6/12; 851 LV

According to Deseret News, University of Utah Hinckley Institute of Politics/HarrisX UTAH – HarrisX Trump 57 Biden 25 Three Candidates: Trump 49 Biden 20 Kennedy 20 June 4-7; 857 RV

2020 results compared to 2024 polling.

According to a poll commissioned by the AARP: ARIZONA – Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research Trump 50 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 45 Biden 37 Kennedy 11 Stein 3 Oliver 0 U.S. Senate Lake 45 Gallego 48 May 28-June 4; 600 LV

According to FAU Polling: FLORIDA – FAU Trump 49 (-2) Biden 43 Three Candidates: Trump 45 (-4) Biden 40 Kennedy 8 (+2) Other 2 U.S. Senate Scott 45 (-8) Mucarsel-Powell 43 (+7) 6/8-6/9; 777 LV

According to Marist: PENNSYLVANIA – Marist Trump 47 Biden 45 Kennedy 3 West 1 Stein 1 U.S. Senate: McCormick 46 Casey 52 6/3 – 6/6; 1,181 RV

Yes according to a NRSC internal poll: NEW MEXICO – Red Oak Strategic Domenici 38 Heinrich 41 May 7-19; 1,800 RV

Also Trump ahead 10 in Florida according to Tyson Group: OHIO – Marist Trump 48 Biden 41 Kennedy 5 Stein 1 West 1 U.S. Senate: Moreno 45 Brown 50 6/3 – 6/6; 1137 RV FLORIDA – Tyson Group Trump 46 Biden 36 U.S. Senate: Scott 46 Mucarsel-Powell 33 6/6-6/10; LV

According to Mason-Dixon: MINNESOTA – Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy Trump 41 Biden 45 Kennedy 6 Other 2 Undecided 7 June 3-5; 800 LV

According to Fox News: VIRGINIA – Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Trump 48 Biden 48 Five Candidates: Trump 41 Biden 42 Kennedy 9 Stein 2 West 2 June 1-3; 1,107 RV FLORIDA – Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research Trump 50 Biden 46 Five Candidates: Trump 47 Biden 40 Kennedy 7 Stein 1 West 2 June…

According to Kaplan: WEST VIRGINIA – Kaplan Trump 55 Biden 28 6/4; 464 LV

After the NY jury verdict, according to East Carolina U: NORTH CAROLINA – East Carolina U. Trump 48 (+1) Biden 43 (-1) 5/31-6/3; 1,332 RV Also, here is the current score on Biden Job Approval against past first term presidents running for re-election:

My uncle went ashore on June 7, 1944. Many years ago, I asked him if he felt envious of the attention received by those who stormed the beach on June 6th. He said the Germans did not stop shooting at him until the war ended.

According to Rasmussen: NORTH CAROLINA – Rasmussen Trump 51 Biden 43 5/26-5/27; 1,053 LV

According to Quinnipiac and National Public Affairs (a firm that must have been started by Bill Clinton): GEORGIA – Quinnipiac Trump 49 Biden 44 Six Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 37 Kennedy 8 West 3 Oliver 3 Stein 2 May 30-June 3; 1,203 RV OHIO – National Public Affairs Trump 54 Biden 46 Five Candidates: Trump…

From YouGov/UMASS, Mitchell, and FAU: MASSACHUSETTS – YouGov/University of Massachusetts Trump 27 Biden 48 Kennedy 9 May 17-30; 700 A MICHIGAN – MNS/Mitchell Research Trump 48.2 (-1) Biden 47.6 (+1) Five Candidates: Trump 46.3 Biden 45.1 Kennedy 3 (-2) Stein 1 West 1 U.S. Senate Rogers 33 (-3) Slotkin 36 (-4) 6/3 – 6/3, 697…

According to North Star Opinion Research: NORTH CAROLINA – North Star Opinion Research Trump 49 Biden 41 Five Candidates: Trump 44 Biden 32 Kennedy 9 West 3 Stein 2 Governor Robinson 44 Stein 42 May 29-June 2; 600 LV

This according to Emerson College: NEW YORK – The Hill/Emerson Trump 41 Biden 48 Five Candidates: Trump 38 Biden 44 Kennedy 6 West 2 Stein 1 5/28 – 5/29; 1,000 RV

Field work done by GS Strategy Group & Benenson Strategy Group: ARIZONA – Cook Lake 41 Gallego 46 May 6-13 NEVADA – Cook Brown 41 Rosen 48 May 6-13 PENNSYLVANIA – Cook McCormick 41 Casey 49 May 6-13 WISCONSIN – Cook Hovde 37 Baldwin 49 May 6-13 MICHIGAN – Cook Rogers 42 Slotkin 44 May…

A new national poll by Marist seems to suggest that RFK, Stein, and West hurt Biden much more than Trump. Most polls show the difference is negligible, or that Trump is hurt more by the others: National Poll NPR/PBS/Marist Trump 48 Biden 50 Five Candidates: Trump 44 Biden 40 Kennedy 8 Stein 3 West 2…