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The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.


  • Good Friday for those who Observe it
  • No Trouble for GOP in Florida
  • Breaking: Oak Island Treasure Found!
  • Hochul up 13 in New York
  • Monday Morning
  • 2024 Election Polling Grades
  • 2024 Polling Aggregator
  • Walt’s List of Trump’s Achievements

Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:41.6 / 55.6-14.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.5 / 52.1-6.6

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +21207228

2026 Senate Forecast

OHTXMIGANHMEMNNC
Gap+1.4+1.2+1.8+1.4+4.5+5.6+7.0+7.5
Count5051494847464544
  • Border Czar Harris with narrow leads in Oregon and New Hampshire

    OREGON – Hoffman Research Trump 40 Harris 45 Kennedy 7 Stein 1 7/24-7/26; 700 V NEW HAMPSHIRE – Emerson Trump 41 Harris 48 Kennedy 6 Stein 1 Also some new polling by PPP (D) for a far left org: ARIZONA🟥 Trump: 49%🟦 Harris: 47%—PENNSYLVANIA🟥 Trump: 48%🟦 Harris: 47%—GEORGIA🟦 Harris: 48%🟥 Trump: 47%—ppppolls for Progress Action…

    July 31, 2024
  • HHR Harris VP Contest!

    Please state who you think she will pick and who she should pick.

    July 31, 2024
  • Bloomberg says Border Czar Harris has the election in the bag

    New Bloomberg polling gushing with praise for her chances. July 24-28; 4,973 RV. MICHIGAN🟦 Harris: 53% (+11)🟥 Trump: 42% ARIZONA🟦 Harris: 49% (+2)🟥 Trump: 47% WISCONSIN🟦 Harris: 49% (+2)🟥 Trump: 47%—NEVADA🟦 Harris: 47% (+2)🟥 Trump: 45%—GEORGIA🟦 Harris: 47% (=)🟥 Trump: 47%—PENNSYLVANIA🟥 Trump: 50% (+4)🟦 Harris: 46%—NORTH CAROLINA🟥 Trump: 48% (+2)🟦 Harris: 46%

    July 30, 2024
  • Border Czar Harris up 4 in Pennsylvania

    According to Susquehanna. Keep in mind their prior poll was Biden +5. Same poll has McCormick down by 5. 7/22-7/28; 600 LV: PENNSYLVANIA – Susquehanna Trump 43 Border Czar Harris 47 Kennedy 3 U.S. Senate: McCormick 42 Casey 47

    July 30, 2024
  • Trump up 7 in Florida

    According to a new poll from the University of North Florida taken 7/24-7/27; 774 LV: FLORIDA – Univ. of North Florida Trump 49 Border Czar Harris 42 U.S. Senate: Scott 47 Mucarsel-Powell 43

    July 30, 2024
  • Border Czar Harris leads Trump by 19 in her home state of California

    The new poll was taken July 19-22; 2,121 LV: CALIFORNIA – Capitol Weekly Trump 35 Border Czar Harris 54 Kennedy 7 Stein 3 De la Cruz 2 West 0

    July 29, 2024
  • DW is supposed to be back with polls today.

    July 29, 2024
  • Sunday Night Open Thread

    July 28, 2024
  • Anybody have a poll?

    July 28, 2024
  • Saturday’s all right for fighting.

    July 27, 2024
  • Friday night and the Olympics start!

    July 26, 2024
  • Weekend Eve Thread

    July 26, 2024
  • HHR Evening Shift

    July 25, 2024
  • Border Czar Harris easily winning Maine and New Hampshire

    According to new polling from University of New Hampshire (7/23-7/25; 2,875 LV): NEW HAMPSHIRE – UNH Trump 46 Harris 53 Three Candidates Trump 43 Harris 49 Kennedy 4 MAINE – UNH Trump 45 Harris 54  Three Candidates Trump 40 Harris 48 Kennedy 4

    July 25, 2024
  • Harris better than Biden in battleground states

    According to Emerson College ARIZONA – Emerson Trump 49 Harris 44 Five Candidates: Trump 48 Harris 40 Kennedy 5 Stein 1 West 1 U.S. Senate: Lake 42 Gallego 46 7/22-7/23; 800 RV GEORGIA – Emerson Trump 48 Harris 46 Five Candidates: Trump 46 Harris 43 Kennedy 4 Stein 1 West 1 7/22-7/23; 800 RV MICHIGAN…

    July 25, 2024
  • Biden to speak and say nothing….

    July 24, 2024
  • Trump up 2 in PA

    According to a new poll from North Star Opinion Research, with 25% of responses taken before the news of Biden’s withdrawal. No numbers were provided with RFK or other candidates. 7/20-7/23; 600 LV PENNSYLVANIA – North Star Opinion Research Trump 47 Harris 45 U.S. Senate: McCormick 41 Casey 49

    July 24, 2024
  • Economist/YouGov poll shows no difference between Biden and Harris

    YouGov/Economist 🟥 Trump: 44%🟦 Harris: 41%🟨 RFK Jr: 5%🟪 Other: 4% 1,435 RV; 7/21-7/23 Their prior poll was Trump 43, Biden 41.

    July 24, 2024
  • I am at a concert. GFYs

    July 23, 2024
  • Close race in GEORGIA

    According to Landmark Communications in a one-day (7/22) poll of 400 Likely voters with a +/- 5 MoE: GEORGIA – Landmark Communications Trump 48 Harris 47 Five Candidates: Trump 46 Harris 44 Kennedy 4 West 1 Stein 0

    July 23, 2024
  • Harris worse off than Biden in MICHIGAN

    According to new polling by PPP done for the “Clean and Prosperous America” political action committee. 7/17-7/20, 2583 total voters. MICHIGAN – Public Policy Polling Trump 46 Harris 41 Kennedy 6 Stein 2 ARIZONA – Public Policy Polling Trump 46 Harris 40 Kennedy 7 Stein 1 PENNSYLVANIA– Public Policy Polling Trump 45 Harris 43 Kennedy…

    July 23, 2024
  • HHR Conspiracy Blog now open.

    I disavow all of it but have fun.

    July 23, 2024
  • Two more polls of Pennsylvania

    PENNSYLVANIA – SoCal Research Trump 51 Harris 43 Five Candidates: Trump 43 Harris 37 Kennedy 9 Oliver 4 Stein 3 July 21, 800 LV Correction: There was only ONE new poll, the one above.

    July 22, 2024
  • No difference in PA

    According to SoCal Research: PENNSYLVANIA – SoCal Research Trump 50 Harris 46 Trump 50 Biden 46 July 20-21; 500 LV

    July 22, 2024
  • Trump up 1 in NH, 5 in GA, Harris up 11 in NY

    A wild eight days in American politics. Trump was shot, 1/3 of Democrats denied it happened even though there is ample video proof. Then Biden dropped out after assuring everyone he was fit for the job. Biden has destroyed everything he has ever touched and now has messed up even the HHR Polling Aggregator. So…

    July 22, 2024
  • It should be an interesting week of polls.

    July 22, 2024
  • Joe must….gone.

    July 21, 2024
  • Weekend Day 2

    July 21, 2024
  • Weekend Day 1

    July 20, 2024
  • Friday Night!

    July 19, 2024
  • New Rust Belt poll from Civiqs (D)

    Civiqs polled these states 7/13-7/16, 600 Voters per state: Trump Biden WI 47 47 MI 46 43 PA 46 42

    July 19, 2024
  • New poll of Nebraska

    Done by Torchlight Strategies: NEBRASKA – Torchlight Strategies Trump 52 Biden 33 Other 11 NE-02: Trump 42 Biden 42 Other 12 U.S. Senate: Fisher 50 Osborn 24 Eddy 9 7/8-7/11; LVs

    July 19, 2024
  • Trafalgar Group is back after long vacation

    New polls in WI and MI: WISCONSIN – Trafalgar Group Trump 46 Biden 43 Kennedy 3 Stein 1 West 0 7/15 – 7/17; 1,087 LV MICHIGAN – Trafalgar Group Trump 45 Biden 43 Kennedy 4 Stein 1 West 1 7/15 – 7/17; 1,091 LV

    July 19, 2024
  • Lost opportunity.

    July 19, 2024
  • RNC – Night 4

    July 18, 2024
  • More Insider Advantage polls – Trump leads

    July 15-16, 800 Likely voters each state, polled by Insider Advantage. And they include numbers for what happens if Democrats break the glass in case the demented candidate cannot continue: Trump Biden Trump Harris PA 49 45 47 40 NV 49 42 50 40 AZ 49 44 48 42

    July 18, 2024
  • Trump leads in all battlegrounds

    According to new polls from Emerson College: PENNSYLVANIA – Emerson Trump 48 Biden 43 Six Candidates: Trump 46 Biden 40 Kennedy 4 West 1 Stein 1 Oliver 0 7/15-7/16; 1,000 RV WISCONSIN – Emerson Trump 48 Biden 43 Six Candidates: Trump 46 Biden 43 Kennedy 4 West 0 Stein 1 Oliver 1 7/15-7/16; 1,000 RV…

    July 18, 2024
  • And now we wait for Trump’s speech….and DW’s polls.

    July 18, 2024
  • RNC – Night 3

    July 17, 2024
  • Biden up 15 in Washington State

    According to a new poll by SurveyUSA conducted for KING-TV (Seattle), The Seattle Times, University of Washington Center for an Informed Public. WASHINGTON – SurveyUSA Trump 36 Biden 50 In Case of Demented Incumbent, break glass: Trump 36 Harris 51 7/10-7/13; 708 LV

    July 17, 2024
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The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

 

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