The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

According to Scott Rasmussen’s RMG Research (not to be confused with Rasmussen Reports). Poll taken 8/6-8/14; 540 RV with a ±4.2% MoE MONTANA Trump 57 Harris 39 Other 3 U.S. Senate: Sheehy 44 Tester 49 Other 2

According to a new TIPP poll done for AmGreatness, 976 LV taken 8/12-8/14 with a ±3.4 MoE: WISCONSIN Trump 47 Harris 47 Other 3 U.S. Senate: Hovde 43 Baldwin 50

According to new polling from AARP, 8/7-8/11; 600 LV; R33/D32/I35. This is polling done by Fabrizio Ward (R) and Impact Research (D): MICHIGAN Trump 45 Harris 43 Kennedy 6 Stein 1 West 1 U.S. Senate: Rogers 44 Slotkin 47

I say up only 3 because the same pollster had Biden over Trump in PA back in January by a margin of 42 to 37, and again Biden leading in March by two, 42 to 40. So my expectation for this poll was Harris +5 or more. Their final 2020 poll was Trump 44, Biden…

Fox News: 🟥 Donald Trump: 50%🟦 Kamala Harris: 49% Pew Research: 🟦 Harris: 46%🟥 Trump: 45%🟨 RFK Jr: 7%🟪 Other: 1% Economist/YouGov: 🟦 Harris: 46% [+1]🟥 Trump: 44% [+1]🟨 RFK Jr: 3%🟪 Other: 2% J. L. Partners: 🟥 Trump: 43%🟦 Harris: 41%🟨 RFK Jr: 5%🟪 Other: 2% Democracy Corps (D) / YouGov Blue (D) 🟦…

According to a new poll from Quinnipiac University whose last poll of PA in 2020 found Biden ahead 51 to 44 over Trump. This new poll was taken Aug. 8-12 against1,738 LVs. PENNSYLVANIA Trump 45 Harris 48 U.S. Senate: McCormick 44 Casey 52

According to same American Pulse Research & Polling poll that also showed Sheehy up 6 points. Aug. 10-12, 538 RV: MONTANA Trump 52 Harris 38 Other 8

According to a new American Pulse Research & Polling survey of 538 RVs taken Aug. 10-12: MONTANA Sheehy 51 Tester 45

According to new polling by McLaughlin and Associates taken 8/6-8/8 against 800 likely voters. FLORIDA Trump 52 Harris 44 Kennedy 3 U.S. Senate: Scott 52 Mucarsel-Powell 42

according to a new poll by ActiVote done against only 400 likely voters, and a long span of time, 7/31-8/13, and it has a 4.9 MoE. TEXAS Trump 53.3 Harris 46.7

According to Suffolk University USA Today/Suffolk poll taken 8/7-8/11 against 500 likely voters. This same pollster found the race in Florida tied in 2020. FLORIDA Trump 47 Harris 42 Others 7

According to a new poll from ActiVote taken over a long span of 7/20-8/12 against only 400 Likely voters. This race has been tightening, with the last four polls in a row ranging from a 4-6 point Brown lead. OHIO Moreno 47 Brown 52

At Rasmussen reports, Mark Mitchell has been mocking other pollsters for their sudden stoppage in releasing new polls. Will see what happens when they finally post something. Meanwhile, here are the numbers nationally, according to Rasmussen:

Best U2 song.

Polling by Siena College done August 6-9 against likely voters Trump trails head to head 46 to 50 in all three states, and with the others included: WI: Harris 49, Trump 43, Kennedy 5, Stein 1, West 0 MI: Harris 48, Trump 43, Kennedy 4, Stein 1, West 0 PA: Harris 46, Trump 44, Kennedy…

According to new polling from Trafalgar Group (NV, NC, AZ, and PA, 1000 LV each) and InsiderAdvantage (MI and WI, 800 LV each) from August 6-8: Trump Harris ARIZONA 48 47 NEVADA 48 45 NORTH CAROLINA 49 45 PENNSYLVANIA 46 44 WISCONSIN 49 48 MICHIGAN 47 49

Perhaps so. The chart below tracked daily the average of all national polls, and it seems now the numbers are settling back into the same range of Trump vs. Biden prior to Biden’s debate debacle.

According to a new poll from Cygnal taken Aug. 4-5 against 600 LV with a MoE of 3.99 NORTH CAROLINA Trump 47 Harris 44 Kennedy 4 Oliver 1 Stein 0 Terry 0

According to AARP (Fabrizio Ward-R / Impact Research-D) poll taken 7/24-7/ 31 against 600 LV: GEORGIA Trump 46 Harris 44 Kennedy 4 West 2 Stein 1

Sheehy up 2 in this new Emerson College poll taken August 5-6 against 1000 RVs: MONTANA Trump 55 Harris 40 Five Candidates: Trump 54 Harris 39 Kennedy 5 Stein 0 West 0 U.S. Senate: Sheehy 48 Tester 46

According to new Democracy Institute Polling done for Daily Express US, sampled on August 5-6, against 400 LV in each state: MICHIGAN Trump 45 Harris 42 Kennedy 5 West 3 Stein 1 Oliver 1 PENNSYLVANIA Trump 45 Harris 43 Kennedy 6 West 1 Stein 1 Oliver 1 WISCONSIN Trump 46 Harris 42 Kennedy 4 West…

According to new polling by Marquette 7/24-8/1; 801 LV: WISCONSIN Trump 45 Harris 46 Kennedy 6 Oliver 1 Stein 1 U.S. Senate: Hovde 47 Baldwin 52

There have been 19 polls of PA, Trump vs Harris, far more than any other state. 13 of them were taken AFTER the demented incumbent dropped out. This allows for a day to day chart showing the number for each candidate. The peak days for Harris seem to coincide with Harris’ peak in national Rasmussen…

According to new polls from UK polling firm Redfield and Wilton, 8,229 RV taken 7/31-8/3: PENNSYLVANIA🟥 Trump: 46%🟦 Harris: 44%🟨 RFK Jr: 3%—GEORGIA🟥 Trump: 46%🟦 Harris: 44%🟨 RFK Jr: 3%🟪 Other: 1%—ARIZONA🟦 Harris: 44%🟥 Trump: 43%🟨 RFK Jr: 4%🟪 Other: 1%—NEVADA🟦 Harris: 40%🟥 Trump: 40%🟨 RFK Jr: 5%🟪 Other: 1%—MICHIGAN🟥 Trump: 42%🟦 Harris: 41%🟨 RFK…

according to a new Siena College poll taken 7/28 – 8/1 against 1199 LV with a MoE of 4.0: NEW YORK Trump 39 Harris 53 Five Candidates: Trump 37 Harris 49 Kennedy 7 Stein 2 West 1

According to top rated pollster Fabrizio Lee, July 29 – August 1; 600 LV: PENNSYLVANIA Trump 48 Harris 48 Three Candidates: Trump 45 Harris 45 Kennedy 4 Other 2

Their prior poll was Biden +2 taken just before his debate debacle. 7/31/8/2; 1,236 RV NATIONAL POLL: TIPP/I&I 🟦 Harris: 46%🟥 Trump: 45% 🟦 Harris: 44%🟥 Trump: 42%🟨 RFK Jr: 7%

My blood sugar was so low my wife said I had a seizure and was unresponsive with my eyes wide open. Ambulance took me to the hospital for IVs of glucose and fluids. EKG was normal. Home by 6:30 am. I just feel bad my wife had to lose sleep over it.

According to a new poll from Insider Advantage / Trafalgar Group done July 29-30 among likely voters. Notice the support for other candidates has all but dried up: GEORGIA – Trafalgar / IA Trump 49 Harris 47 Other 2