The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

NATIONAL poll 🔴 Trump: 49% (+2)🔵 Harris: 47% TIPP | 10/17-19 | N=1,254LV

Instructions: Place your predictions in the MOST CURRENT THREAD COMMENT BOX and they will be added to the grid shown here. For each race listed, simply supply the margin of victory, indicating the winner with NO DECIMALS. For example, Virginia Senate: Cao +3. The number will be transferred by a site administrator to the grid…

Rasmussen Reports polled Nevada from 10/9-10/14 against 748 likely voters NEVADA Trump 49 Harris 47 U.S. Senate: Brown 49 Rosen 47 *Correction: Brown 44 Rosen 47 *Rasmussen reports updated their page with the corrected numbers after wrongly posting a two point Brown lead.

According to new polling from East Carolina University taken 10/9 – 10/14 against 701 LVs GEORGIA Trump 49 Harris 46

Latest poll from the University of Texas, 10/2-10/10; 1,097 LV TEXAS Trump 51 Harris 46 U.S. Senate: Cruz 51 Allred 44

When you are a Dem and you are down three with CBS/YouGov, you know you are in trouble. Poll was taken 10/11-10/16 against LVs ARIZONA Trump 51 Harris 48

According to Mitchell Research & Communications Oct. 14; 589 LV MICHIGAN Trump 47 Harris 47 Others 2 U.S. Senate: Rogers 43 Slotkin 47

National poll by @foxnewspoll 🟥 Donald Trump: 50%🟦 Kamala Harris: 48% Last poll – 🔵 Harris+2

says Quinnipiac: GEORGIA poll 🔴 Trump: 52% (+7)🔵 Harris: 45% Quinnipiac | 10/10-14 | N=1,328LV NORTH CAROLINA poll 🔵 Harris: 49% (+2)🔴 Trump: 47% Quinnipiac | 10/10-14 | N=1,031LV Rich Baris says Trump up in PA: PENNSYLVANIA poll 🔴 Trump: 52% (+4)🔵 Harris: 48% @BIGDATAPOLL | 10/16 | LVs

The new Redfield & Wilton polling was taken 10/12-10/14 Trump Harris Oth AZ 48 46 2 FL 50 44 2 GA 47 47 3 MI 47 47 2 MN 43 51 1 NV 47 47 2 NM 45 49 3 NC 48 46 2 PA 48 48 1 WI 47 48 2

according to Emerson College poll 10/12-10/14; 1,000LV CALIFORNIA Trump 37 Harris 61 Also a new poll of Utah from Noble Predictive Insights taken 10/2-10/7; 539 LV UTAH Trump 54 Harris 36 And adding here a new Alaska poll from Alaska Survey Research 10/8-10/9; 1,254 LV ALASKA Trump 54 Harris 46 And one more from out…

according to Rasmussen Reports and InsiderAdvantage: NORTH CAROLINA Trump 51 Harris 46 GEORGIA Trump 49 Harris 47

MRG, 10/7 – 10/11 600 LV: MICHIGAN Trump 44 Harris 44.9 U.S. Senate: Rogers 41.2 Slotkin 46.1

According to new polling from AARP 10/2-10/8; 600 LV in MI and Trafalgar Group in NC 10/10-10/13; 1,085 LV MICHIGAN Trump 49 Harris 48 U.S. Senate: Rogers 46 Slotkin 49 NORTH CAROLINA Trump 46.5 Harris 44.6 Other 3.6

According to the Trafalgar Group 10/10-10/13, 1090 LVs ARIZONA Trump 47.5 Harris 46.0 U.S. Senate: Lake 43.9 Gallego 47.6

According to new polls from Rasmussen Reports and Big Data Poll. The PA poll by Rasmussen was taken 10/9 – 10/13; 1072 LV, while the Big Data poll of MI was Oct. 14; 904 LV PENNSYLVANIA Trump 50 Harris 47 U.S. Senate: McCormick 45 Casey 47 MICHIGAN Trump 47 Harris 45.5 With Leaners: Trump 50.5…

The New York Times/Siena College Oct. 7-10, 808 LV in AZ and 857 LV in PA PENNSYLVANIA Trump 45 Harris 49 U.S. Senate: McCormick 44 Casey 48 ARIZONA Trump 50 Harris 45 U.S. Senate: Lake 41 Gallego 48

According to new Redfield & Wilton polling, 10/8-10/9: GEORGIA Trump 48 Harris 47 PENNSYLVANIA Trump 48 Harris 46

@Fabrizio_Lee (R) & GBAO (D) for Wall Street Journal 2-WAYMichigan – 🔵 Harris 49-47%Arizona – 🔵 Harris 48-46%Georgia – 🔵 Harris 48-46%Wisconsin – 🟡 Tie 48-48%North Carolina – 🟡 Tie 47-47%Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump 47-46%Nevada – 🔴 Trump 49-43%——FULL FIELDArizona – 🔵 Harris 47-45%Michigan – 🔵 Harris 47-45%Georgia – 🔵 Harris 46-45%Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris…

Quinnipiac University, one of the most left-listing pollsters in 2020, out with their much awaited rust-belt polling updates. And the result counters the conventional wisdom that Trump is strong in PA, but struggling in WI and MI. All three states were polled Oct 3-7 against 1,412 Likely Voters in PA, 1,073 in WI and 1,007…

So all you get is this ActiVote poll of Arizona ARIZONA Trump 50.7 Harris 49.3

According to new Insider Advantage polling taken Oct. 7-8 against 800 LV PENNSYLVANIA Trump 49 Harris 47 U.S. Senate: McCormick 45 Casey 47

According to new polling from AARP in AZ, and Research Co in PA, MI, and WI ARIZONA Trump 50 Harris 48 U.S. Senate: Lake 44 Gallego 51 Trump Harris MI 48 51 PA 49 50 WI 48 50

Bullfinch Group steps up with a Harris +4 and Casey +10 poll of Pennsylvania (Sept. 26-29; N=800 RV): PENNSYLVANIA Trump 46 Harris 50 U.S. Senate McCormick 42 Casey 52

No matter how many times its polled…this time Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research Oct. 2-6; 775 LV TEXAS Trump 50 Harris 45

According to the NY Times/Siena FLORIDA Trump 55 Harris 41 TEXAS Trump 50 Harris 44

If you believe Christopher Newport University (Sept. 28-Oct. 4; 800 LV) or Democracy Institute (10/2-10/3; 800 LV) VIRGINIA – CNU Trump 41 Harris 52 VIRGINIA – Democracy Institute Trump 45 Harris 47

New poll of Arizona from RMG Research 9/30-10/02; 783 LV ARIZONA Trump 50 Harris 46