The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

According to Chism Strategies (D) Taken 10/28-10/30 against 520 likely voters: VIRGINIA Trump 45 Harris 45 U.S. Senate: Cao 45 Kaine 46

Trump 50, Harris 47

FINAL VIRGINIA poll 🔵 Harris: 51% (+10)🔴 Trump: 41%🟣 Oliver: 2%🟡 West: 2%🟢 Stein: 1% Last poll: Harris+3 Roanoke College | 10/25-29 | N=851LV FINAL MICHIGAN poll 🔵 Harris: 48% (+3)🔴 Trump: 45%🟡 RFK: 3%🟢 Stein: 3%🟣 West: 1% Final 2020 poll: Biden+7 Favorability:🔴 Trump: 47% (+2)🔵 Harris: 45% EPIC-MRA | Released 11/1 | N=600LV…

If this new Echelon Insights poll is anywhere close to accurate. FINAL PENNSYLVANIA poll 🔴 Trump: 52% (+6)🔵 Harris: 46% Echelon Insights | 10/27-30 | N=600LV

MINNESOTA poll 🔵 Harris: 50% (+3)🔴 Trump: 47%🟢 Other: 2%🟡 Undecided: 2% @Rasmussen_Poll| 10/24-26 | N=959LV NEW HAMPSHIRE poll 🔵 Harris: 48% (+1)🔴 Trump: 47%🟢 Other: 3%🟡 Undecided: 2% @Rasmussen_Poll| 10/24-28 | N=901LV

Their prior poll was Harris +2. And the new one was registered, not likely voters. Their final 2020 PA poll was Trump 45, Biden 50 🔴 Trump: 47% (+1)🔵 Harris: 46% Monmouth | 10/24-10/28 | N=824 RV Also, SoCal Strategies polled Georgia and found 🔴 Trump: 50% (+1)🔵 Harris: 49% They also polled Wisconsin, finding…

Trump up one in Michigan according to Emerson MICHIGAN poll 🔴 Trump: 49% (+1)🔵 Harris: 48% Emerson | 10/25-27 | N=1,000LV

Here is one that is frankly disappointing: PENNSYLVANIA poll by North Star Opinion Research (R) for American Greatness 🟦 Harris: 47%🟥 Trump: 47%🟪 Oliver: 1%🟩 Stein: 1%——PA Senate🟦 Casey (inc): 45%🟥 McCormick: 42%🟪 Thomas: 2%🟩 Hazou: 1%⬜ Other: 2%——

According to Rasmussen Reports. 1,014 Virginia Likely Voters was conducted on October 24-25, 2024. VIRGINIA Trump 46 Harris 48 Same release has Trump 50, Harris 44 in Texas, and Cruz ahead 47 to 43 in the Senate race.

MICHIGAN poll 🔴 Trump 50% (+1)🔵 Harris 49% Last poll: Harris +1 Patriot Polling | 10/24-26 | N=796RV WISCONSIN poll 🔴 Trump: 48% (+1)🔵 Harris: 47% USA Today/Suffolk | 10/20-23 | N=500LV NEW HAMPSHIRE poll 🔴 Trump. 50.2% (+0.4)🔵 Harris: 49.8% NH Journal | 10/24-26 | N=622RV TEXAS poll 🔴 Trump: 52% (+10)🔵 Harris: 42%…

According to Cygnal. New Jersey was +16 for Biden in 2020. NEW JERSEY poll 🔵 Harris: 52% (+12)🔴 Trump: 40% Cygnal 10/23-10/24; 600LV

According to Quantus Insights poll taken 10/22-10/24; 725 LV VIRGINIA Trump 48 Harris 49

According to new polling from WHDH-TV/Emerson NEW HAMPSHIRE Trump 46.7 Harris 50.3 also, the final NY Times/Siena poll is a tie at 48.

I don’t have time to make them look pretty, so… CNBC national poll, Trump +2 WSJ national poll, Trump +3 TIPP national poll, Harris +3 PA: Franklin & MarshallTrump 50, Harris 49 PA: EmersonTrump 49, Harris 48 WI: EmersonTrump 49, Harris 48 NC: EmersonTrump 50, Harris 48 NC: MaristTrump 50, Harris 48 AZ: MaristTrump 50,…

According to new polling from Quinnipiac WISCONSIN Trump 48 Harris 48 MICHIGAN Trump 46 Harris 49

Maryland poll according to The Hill/Emerson and NC according to SoCal Strategies MARYLAND Hogan 40 Alsobrooks 54 NORTH CAROLINA Trump 49 Harris 46

According to newly released but a somewhat stale polling from AARP, taken 10/8-10/15 against 600 LV NEVADA Trump 49 Harris 47 I wonder if we will eventually see polling done that weights the party ID based on real data coming in from early voting.

Rust belt vs. Sun Belt Swing States poll by Redfield and Wilton N=8,553; 10/16-10/18 Florida – 🔴 Trump 49-45%Arizona – 🔴 Trump 49-46%North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 48-45%Georgia – 🔴 Trump 48-47%Nevada – 🔴 Trump 47-46%Pennsylvania – 🟡 Tie 48-48%Michigan – 🟡 Tie 47-47%Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris 47-46%——SENATEWisconsin – 🔵 Baldwin 45-44%Nevada – 🔵 Rosen…

FLORIDA Univ. of N. Florida 10/7-10/18; 977 LV Trump 53 Harris 43 ActiVote 9/23-10/20; 800 LV Trump 54.6 Harris 45.4%

NATIONAL poll 🔴 Trump: 49% (+2)🔵 Harris: 47% TIPP | 10/17-19 | N=1,254LV

Instructions: Place your predictions in the MOST CURRENT THREAD COMMENT BOX and they will be added to the grid shown here. For each race listed, simply supply the margin of victory, indicating the winner with NO DECIMALS. For example, Virginia Senate: Cao +3. The number will be transferred by a site administrator to the grid…

Rasmussen Reports polled Nevada from 10/9-10/14 against 748 likely voters NEVADA Trump 49 Harris 47 U.S. Senate: Brown 49 Rosen 47 *Correction: Brown 44 Rosen 47 *Rasmussen reports updated their page with the corrected numbers after wrongly posting a two point Brown lead.