The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

I have moved the highly successful 2024 Polling Aggregator off to a historical page so that it can be reviewed any time you wish to see polling prediction averages that were MUCH more accurate than RCP or 538.

The HHR Polling Aggregator left the others far behind: U.S. President – Battleground States AZ NC NV PA GA MI WI NH VA MN NM Res. 5.5 3.3 3.1 1.8 2.2 1.5 0.8 2.8 5.2 4.2 5.7 Gap 4.7 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.0 0.8 0.2 -2.3 -2.3 -4.2 -4.6 EVs 230 246 252 271 287…

Yesterday McCormick was up 40,040. Right now, the lead is only 29,531 and yet the % remaining in Philly to report does not drop.

Will he survive? Are we watching the early stages of the “Al Franken” theft, 2.0? –DW

The winners did the best job picking the states in the POTUS election as well as the winners in the United States senate. Six contestants picked correctly that Trump would win all seven of the battleground states but no more: DWJanzamoahodgesscooterJohn GogginJeffrey Shaw In the seven battleground states, Jeffrey Shaw was by far the more…

No surprise AtlasIntel was again #1, and is now clearly the GOLD standard of polling. But AtlasIntel is not alone in the collection of pollsters that kept their average miss below 2.0, well within the margin of error. In fact, there are nine who met this standard and should be considered the go-to pollsters in…

If my math is correct, and if in the uncalled races everyone who is currently leading goes on to win, then the new House will be: 223 Republican 212 Democrat Here is the list of uncalled races according to CNN (who is VERY slow to call anything), showing who is currently leading and it it…

2024 Election polling Grades Please review the new 2024 Polling Grades page linked here and on the main page and look over the format and please make suggestions. This is a work in progress and I cannot fill in many of the pollsters because the final margin is not sure in many states. The first…

Single State Pollsters: These pollsters surveyed only one state in the 2024 Presidential election. Pollster State Grade Points Off Alaska Survey Research AK C 5.0 Arc Insights WI A 0.2 ARW Strategies IN B- 3.1 BK Strategies WI C+ 3.8 Bowling Green State University OH C 4.3 Capitol Weekly CA C 4.8 Cherry Communications FL…

Eastern time zones in KY and IN close at 6:00 p.m.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/results/indiana https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/results/kentucky