Skip to content

The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.


  • Monday Morning After Incredible Rescue
  • Good Friday for those who Observe it
  • No Trouble for GOP in Florida
  • Breaking: Oak Island Treasure Found!
  • Hochul up 13 in New York
  • 2024 Election Polling Grades
  • 2024 Polling Aggregator
  • Walt’s List of Trump’s Achievements

Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:41.6 / 55.6-14.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.5 / 52.1-6.6

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +21207228

2026 Senate Forecast

OHTXMIGANHMEMNNC
Gap+1.4+1.2+1.8+1.4+4.5+5.6+7.0+7.5
Count5051494847464544
  • Trump up 4 in Michigan

    According to Spry Strategies: MICHIGAN – Spry Strategies Trump 48 Biden 44 Three Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 40 Kennedy 9 March 25-28; 709 LV

    April 4, 2024
  • Biden cruising in Colorado

    According to the Colorado Polling Institute: COLORADO – New Bridge Strategy/Aspect Strategic Trump 39 Biden 49 3/15-3/19; 632 LV

    April 3, 2024
  • Trump ahead in PA

    According to the Big Data Poll: PENNSYLVANIA – Big Data Poll Trump 45.7 Biden 40.3 Three candidates: Trump 44.5 Biden 38.8 Kennedy 7.1 3/26-3/30; 1,305 RV

    April 3, 2024
  • Trump with edge in 6 of 7 battleground states

    According to the Wall Street Journal polling: ARIZONA – The Wall Street Journal Trump 47 Biden 42 Five Candidates: Trump 39 Biden 34 Kennedy 11 West 2 Stein 1 March 17-24; 600 RV GEORGIA – The Wall Street Journal Trump 44 Biden 43 Five Candidates: Trump 38 Biden 35 Kennedy 8 West 2 Stein 1…

    April 3, 2024
  • New Jersey in Play? Not a late April fool joke.

    According to Emerson College: NEW JERSEY – Emerson Trump 39 Biden 46 Five Candidates: Trump 36 Biden 41 Kennedy 8 West 1 Stein 1 3/26 – 3/29; 1,000 RV

    April 2, 2024
  • Trump ahead in ARIZONA

    According to RABA Research, but notice the huge number of undecided/other. ARIZONA – RABA Research Trump 39 Biden 36 March 28-31; 503 RV

    April 2, 2024
  • Hogan with edge in US Senate race – Maryland

    MARYLAND – Goucher College Hogan 43 Trone 42     Hogan 44 Alsobrooks 40   Democratic Primary: Trone 42 Alsobrooks 33 3/19 – 3/24; 800 RV

    April 2, 2024
  • It’s going to rain for the next 3 days. GFYs

    April 2, 2024
  • New Battleground State: New York

    According to Paladin Polling: NEW YORK Trump 45 Biden 45 Paladin Polling, March 29-30, 1000 LV

    April 1, 2024
  • Happy Easter!

    March 31, 2024
  • Check out the new HHR logo. It was designed by Vic’s son.

    March 30, 2024
  • While we wait for polls….

    March 29, 2024
  • What’s on today’s topic list?

    March 28, 2024
  • Clean slate.

    March 27, 2024
  • Rust belt tied, Trump leading other battlegrounds. Texas not in Play.

    According to new polls by Morning Consult & Marist: ARIZONA – Morning Consult Trump 48 Biden 43 Five Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 37 Kennedy 12 West 2 Stein 1 3/8 – 3/14; 796 RV GEORGIA – Morning Consult Trump 48 Biden 43 Five Candidates: Trump 45 Biden 38 Kennedy 7 West 2 Stein 0 3/8…

    March 26, 2024
  • Trump sweeps Battleground States & Florida

    According to new polling from Redfield & Wilton: ARIZONA – Redfield & Wilton Trump 44 Biden 41 Kennedy 7 Stein 0 Other 2 3/14-3/17; 600 RV FLORIDA – Redfield & Wilton Trump 46 Biden 39 Kennedy 7 Stein 0 Other 2 3/14-3/17; 1,055 RV GEORGIA – Redfield & Wilton Trump 44 Biden 41 Kennedy 6…

    March 25, 2024
  • No polls? No problem. Happy Palm Sunday.

    March 24, 2024
  • Trump up 3 in MICHIGAN

    According to MIRS/Mitchell Research: MICHIGAN – MIRS/Mitchell Research Trump 47 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 44 Biden 42 Kennedy 6 Stein 1 West 1 3/15-3/16, 627 LV

    March 24, 2024
  • Redshift / Blueshift

    In physics, the difference between redshift and blueshift is a measurement of the increase or decrease of light. The chart below includes states with sufficient 2024 polling data to get an average polling result. This average is then compared against the actual 2020 results to measure how many states have shifted to the red (toward…

    March 23, 2024
  • Saturday thread. Go!

    March 23, 2024
  • Trump up 8 in MI, but tied in PA

    This according to SSRS/CNN: MICHIGAN – SSRS/CNN Trump 50 Biden 42 Four candidates: Trump 40 Biden 34 Kennedy 18 West 4 3/13-3/18; 1,097 RV PENNSYLVANIA – SSRS/CNN Trump 46 Biden 46 Four candidates: Trump 40 Biden 38 Kennedy 16 West 4 3/13-3/18; 1,132 RV

    March 22, 2024
  • Tied in MI, Trump up 4 in WI

    According to Emerson: MICHIGAN – Emerson Trump 50 Biden 50 Five Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 41 Kennedy 5 Stein 1 West 1 US Senate: Slotkin 41 Rogers 39 3/14 – 3/18; 1,000 RV WISCONSIN – Emerson Trump 52 Biden 48 Five Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 40 Kennedy 6 Stein 1 West 1 US Senate: Baldwin…

    March 21, 2024
  • Basketball Bracket Contest!

    March 21, 2024
  • HHR Tournament Bracket. Link is in comments.

    March 20, 2024
  • Hogan dominates MARYLAND US Senate race

    According to the University of Maryland/Washington Post: MARYLAND – Univ. of Maryland/Wash. Post Hogan 49 Trone 37 Hogan 50 Alsobrooks 36 Democratic Party Primary: Trone 34 Alsobrooks 27 3/5 – 3/12; 1,004 RV

    March 20, 2024
  • Trump with small leads in AZ and NV

    According to Emerson/The Hill: ARIZONA – Emerson Trump 48 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 46 Biden 38 Kennedy 7 Stein 7 West 1 3/12-3/15; 1,000 RV NEVADA – Emerson Trump 51 Biden 49 Five Candidates: Trump 41 Biden 36 Kennedy 9 West 2 Stein 1 3/12-3/15; 1,000 RV

    March 20, 2024
  • Trump with edge in GA and NC

    Even according to Marist: GEORGIA – Marist Trump 51 Biden 47 Three Candidates: Trump 45 Biden 40 Kennedy 14 3/11 – 3/14; 1,171 RV NORTH CAROLINA – Marist Trump 51 Biden 48 Three Candidates: Trump 46 Biden 43 Kennedy 11 3/11 – 3/14; 1,197 RV

    March 20, 2024
  • Trump has Edge in ARIZONA

    According to North Star Opinion Research: ARIZONA – North Star Opinion Research Trump 46 Biden 42 Four Candidates: Trump 37 Biden 33 Kennedy 18 West 2 March 14-17; 600 LV

    March 19, 2024
  • NEVADA US Senate Race – Rosen in low 40s

    According to Noble Predictive Insights NEVADA – US Senate – Noble Predictive Insights GOP Primary: Brown 39 Marchant 26 General Election: Rosen 41 Brown 35 Rosen 43 Marchant 34 2/27 – 3/5; 829 RV

    March 19, 2024
  • Biden sucks (except on Ukraine). I hope Trump wins (despite being a moron regarding Ukraine). That should keep the RINO hunters at bay until lunch.

    March 19, 2024
  • Moreno leads GOP Primary race – OHIO US Senate

    According to Emerson OHIO – US Senate – Emerson Moreno 44 Dolan 40 LaRose 16 March 17-18; 450 LV

    March 18, 2024
  • New thread for Tina.

    March 17, 2024
  • Yet another OHIO Poll

    This one from Florida Atlantic University: OHIO – Florida Atlantic University Trump 51 Biden 40 US Senate: GOP Primary Dolan 31 Moreno 29 LaRose 19 US Senate: General Election Brown 48 LaRose 37 Brown 47 Moreno 36 Brown 45 Dolan 42 March 13, 705 LV

    March 16, 2024
  • Waiting at the PA DMV. Noooooooo

    March 16, 2024
  • Trump up 6 in Florida, or 13 in Florida, depending on which pollster you believe.

    According to St. Pete Polls (6) and Big Data Poll (13): FLORIDA – St. Pete Polls Trump 48 Biden 42 March 11-13; 1,963 LV FLORIDA – Big Data Poll Trump 50 Biden 37 March 8-11; 1,378 RV

    March 15, 2024
  • Another OHIO poll and a GOP lead in US Senate race.

    But only if Dolan wins GOP Primary, this according to East Carolina University: OHIO – East Carolina University Trump 48 Biden 38 Kennedy 5 Stein 1 West 1 US Senate – GOP Primary Dolan 33 Moreno 31 LaRose 23 US Senate – General Election: Dolan 43 Brown (D) 41 Moreno 41 Brown (D) 45 LaRose…

    March 15, 2024
  • Reporting for duty.

    March 15, 2024
  • Trump still ahead in Michigan

    According to Quinnipiac: MICHIGAN – Quinnipiac Trump 48 Biden 45 Five candidates: Trump 41 Biden 36 Kennedy 10 Stein 4 West 3 3/8 – 3/12, 1,487 RV

    March 14, 2024
  • Trump way up in OH, Senate race close

    According to SurveyUSA / Ohio Northern University SurveyUSA/Ohio Northern University Trump 50 Biden 38 Three candidates: Trump 44 Biden 32 Kennedy 13 US Senate: Brown 42 Dolan 39 3/6 – 3/11; 1,241 LV

    March 14, 2024
  • Trump with edge in PA, AZ, and NV

    According to Fox News, Emerson, and Noble Predictive Insights ARIZONA – FoxNews Trump 49 Biden 45 Five Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 39 Kennedy 10 West 2 Stein 1 3/7 – 3/11; 1,121 RV PENNSYLVANIA – FoxNews Trump 49 Biden 47 Five Candidates: Trump 42 Biden 42 Kennedy 9 West 2 Stein 2 3/7 – 3/11;…

    March 14, 2024
←Previous Page Next Page→

The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

 

Loading Comments...
 

    • Subscribe Subscribed
      • The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition
      • Join 39 other subscribers
      • Already have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
      • The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition
      • Subscribe Subscribed
      • Sign up
      • Log in
      • Report this content
      • View site in Reader
      • Manage subscriptions
      • Collapse this bar