The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

According to Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R) / Impact Research (D): VIRGINIA – Fabrizio Lee / Impact Research Trump 42 Biden 43 U.S. Senate: Cao 36 Kaine 48 April 26-28; 500 RV

After a week of almost no polls, suddenly inundated with new polls at a time when my connectively is limited. So I will dispense with the normal format, and just give you the goods: Redfield and Wilton – May 2-4 PA: Trump 43 / Biden 41 / Kennedy 7 (509 LV) MI: Trump 43 /…

According to North Star Opinion Research: GEORGIA – North Star Opinion Research Trump 49 Biden 39 3 Candidates: Trump 41 Biden 33 Kennedy 13 5/1-5/5; 600 LV

According to Slingshot Strategies. Apparently they did not poll with other candidates included: NEW YORK – Slingshot Strategies Trump 37 Biden 56 5/2-5/3; 1,059 RV

According to Faucheux Strategies: LOUISIANA – Faucheux Strategies Trump 52 Biden 38 Five Candidates: Trump 48 Biden 33 Kennedy 10 West 2 Stein 1 April 22-26; 800 RV

This time Cherry Communications: FLORIDA – Cherry Communications Trump 51 Biden 42 Three Candidates: Trump 46 Biden 37 Kennedy 10 U.S. Senate: Scott 54 Mucarsel-Powell 39 4/28-5/7; 602 RV

I was away and didn’t see all the discussion last night. But I reviewed the data and there is no censoring going on. Sometimes we add labels to the anonymous bunu posts, but if anything goes into moderation, or is held up due to a link or anything like that, it was not intentional on…

According to Cygnal/Carolina Journal: NORTH CAROLINA – Cygnal Trump 43 Biden 38 (-1) Kennedy 9 (+2) NC Governor: Robinson 39 (-1) Stein 39 (+1) Ross 4 (+1) Turner 1 May 4-5; 600 LV

Trump of course down in Maryland, but only by 17: MARYLAND – Emerson Trump 35 Biden 56 Five Candidates: Trump 33 Biden 50 Kennedy 6 West 3 Stein 1  U.S. Senate: Hogan 38 Trone 49 Hogan 38 Alsobrooks 48 5/6 – 5/8; 1,115 RV

According to PPP (D): MARYLAND – PPP Trump 32 Biden 60 U.S. Senate: Hogan 37 Trone 47 May 6-7; 719 V

According to Quinnipiac WISCONSIN – Quinnipiac Trump 44 Biden 50 Five Candidates: Trump 39 Biden 40 Kennedy 12 Stein 4 West 1 U.S. Senate: Hovde 42 Baldwin 54 5/2-5/6; 1,457 RV

This one from Muhlenberg College PENNSYLVANIA – Muhlenberg College Trump 44 Biden 41 Five Candidates Trump 35 Biden 35 Kennedy 18 Other 9 U.S. Senate: McCormick 41 Casey 45 4/15-4/25; 417 RV

According to new poll from Data Orbital: ARIZONA – Data Orbital Trump 38.1 Biden 38.8 Kennedy 13.5 Undecided 8.1 U.S. Senate: Lake 43.9 Gallego 48.1 Undecided 6.3 April 27–29; 550 LV

According to a new poll from AARP (Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) PENNSYLVANIA – AARP Trump 49 Biden 45 U.S. Senate: McCormick 44 Casey 48 April 24-30; 1,398 LV

Using the data from 538 you can see how at -17.7 on the 1,204th day of the Biden presidency, he sits opposite of President Nixon in 1972, who on this same day was +17.7.

This according PPP (D): NEBRASKA – PPP Trump 57 Biden 34 CD_02 (Omaha): Trump 46 43 CD_02 (5 candidates): Trump 37 Biden 34 Kennedy 9 Stein 4 West 4 April 24-25; 737 RV +/- 3.6 MoE

According to Trump internal polling by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates. MINNESOTA – McLaughlin and Associates Trump 49 Biden 46 Six Candidates (only three results given): Trump 40 Biden 40 Kennedy 9 600 LV VIRGINIA – McLaughlin and Associates Trump 44 Biden 48  Six Candidates (only three results given): Trump 37 Biden 40 Kennedy 8…

Or put another way, look what happens when The Bullfinch Group polls with absurdly small sample sizes! WASHINGTON – The Bullfinch Group Trump 46 Biden 45 Five Candidates: Trump 40 Biden 35 Kennedy 13 Stein 4 West 1 April 16-23; 250 RV ALASKA – The Bullfinch Group Trump 55 Biden 36  Five Candidates: Trump…

If for no other reason to see what their flags look like. RHODE ISLAND – Zogby Trump 43 Biden 47.6 April 13-21; 398 LV CONNECTICUT – Zogby Trump 37.8 Biden 54.7 April 13-21; 411 LV DELAWARE – Zogby Trump 39.6 Biden 50.5 April 13-21; 310 LV HAWAII – Zogby Trump 33.4 Biden 55.1 April 13-21;…

Zogby and Noble Predictive Insights with completely different results with polls having overlapping dates: UTAH – Noble Predictive Insights Trump 54 Biden 26 Five Candidates: Trump 47 Biden 23 Kennedy 13 Stein 1 West 1 April 8-16; 600 RV UTAH – Zogby Trump 45.7 Biden 43 4/13-4/21; 414 LV

WISCONSIN – Zogby Trump 48.1 Biden 46 4/13-4/21; 518 LV MICHIGAN – Zogby Trump 45.3 Biden 48.1 4/13-4/21; 640 LV PENNSYLVANIA – Zogby Trump 44.8 Biden 49.5 4/13-4/21; 628 LV GEORGIA – Zogby Trump 46.5 Biden 43.9 4/13-4/21; 635 LV NORTH CAROLINA – Zogby Trump 49.4 Biden 44.8 4/13-4/21; 641 LV ARIZONA – Zogby Trump…

According to Zogby: VIRGINIA –Zogby Trump 45.4 Biden 44.9 April 13-21; 586 LV MAINE –Zogby Trump 46 Biden 45 April 13-21; 350 LV

According to Cygnal: OKLAHOMA – Cygnal Trump 61 Biden 30 Five Candidates: Trump 56 Biden 24 Kennedy 7 West 2 Stein 1 April 11-12; 615 LV

According to the University of Texas: TEXAS – University of Texas Trump 48 Biden 40 Five Candidates: Trump 45 Biden 36 Kennedy 8 Stein 2 West 2 U.S. Senate: Cruz 46 Allred 33 4/12 – 4/22; 1,200 RV Meanwhile, Biden’s Net Job Approval still languishing at -17:

According to Emerson College: ARIZONA – Emerson Trump 48 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 44 Biden 40 Kennedy 9 West 1 Stein 1 U.S. Senate: Gallego 45 Lake 43 4/25 – 4/29; 1000 RV GEORGIA – Emerson Trump 47 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 45 Biden 39 Kennedy 5 West 2 Stein 2 4/25 –…

According to CBS/YouGov: U.S. Senate – WISCONSIN – YouGov Baldwin 48 Hovde 41 4/19-4/25; LVs U.S. Senate – PENNSYLVANIA – YouGov Casey 46 McCormick 39 4/19-4/25; LVs

NEVADA – Rasmussen Trump 43 Biden 43 Kennedy 9 April 2-12; 869 LV

PENNSYLVANIA – YouGov Trump 50 Biden 49 April 19-25; 1,288 LV WISCONSIN – YouGov Trump 50 Biden 49 April 19-25; 1,226 LV MICHIGAN – YouGov Trump 49 Biden 51 April 19-25; 1,262 LV These are races that will never happen because Kennedy, Stein and West will likely be on the ballot in these states.

This week a number of new job approval polls came out (Gallup, Quinnipiac, and others), and the average gap in job approval just stubbornly does not get better for Biden, regardless the cheering of the media, pundits wish-casting a “Biden Surge” and talking up the “recovered economy” and so on. It’s not working. Below is…