NEW YORK
Governor
🟥 Blakeman: 41%
🟦 Hochul: 48%
co/efficient (A) – 9/23-25; 1046 LV
MAINE POLL – Senate
🟥 Susan Collins (inc): 47%
🟦 Troy Jackson: 51%
Marist (C-) | 10/1-4 | 1505 RV
- Close in Michigan
- Is New York this Close?
- Is California this Close?
- Weekend Thread
- Close in Iowa and Texas
New Book:
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrat +13 | 211 | 224 |
***There are no “freepassers” here***
Is New York this Close?
67 responses to “Is New York this Close?”
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whoops, next mn senator?
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If knova was still around he might agree with PBS that in fact there is no proof the co-pilot in the flydubai plane was a radical islamic terrorist. Despite the fact that he was previously grounded for radical islamic views, he was up there flying with his friend and buddy from India, then just suddenly had a bad day, pulled out the knife and started killing the pilot, put the plane in a nose dive, and it just happened to be a plane full of JEWS.
yeah, just a victim of circumstance there.
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Our future if the DSA led dems take over our country:
🚨 JUST IN: VIOLENCE IS BREAKING OUT as riots in France CONTINUE, pushed by radical leftists and migrants participating France is in desperate need of a right-wing leader and severe tough-on-crime crackdown! Marine Le Pen is France’s last hope. Elect her in huge numbers 🇺🇸🇫🇷 Over 5,000 arrests have already been made.— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 6, 2026
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here is how the psy-ops game works:
Alaska Senate
Trafalgar, co/efficient, and Quantus, all B or A rated pollsters say Sullivan leads. All three polled more than 750 likely voters.
B rated Rasmussen shows a tie.
Alaska Research Survey shows a close race with a narrow 3.8 lead for the Dem, but they got a C grade in 2024 for being off in the direction of Harris by 5 points.
So by all reasonable metrics, this is a tossup race.
But then NY Times/Siena (C grade in 2024) comes along, drops a poll with only 504 LV and a huge 5.1 MoE, showing Peltola up 7.
This immediately triggers Sabato to move it from Tossup to Lean D.
The left cheers and says this race is over, on to Kansas and Kentucky.
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Interesting…
WI 7th CD. (an open seat)
[in northwestern Wisconsin, seat formerly held by Shaun Duffy]
Michael Alfonzo won the R primary getting 48% in a crowded 5-person primary.
He is 26 years old and son-in-law of U.S. Treasury Secretary Shaun Duffy.
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France deserves it. Macaroni is a disaster. I remember when he was referred to as a moderate in the old hhr
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Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent just caught $175 MILLION in federal payments that were headed to DEAD PEOPLE — and stopped it in its tracks
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Mediaite: Jewish Democrats voice concern about Abdul El-Sayed in MS NOW focus group MS NOW conducted a focus group in Michigan of Jewish Democrats recently, most of whom voiced concerns about their choice between Republican Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in their state’s U.S. Senate race, with one voter going so far as to say it’s like “Sophie’s Choice.”
How about I help you out…ROGERS doesn’t want to slit your throat, and ROGERS is not opposed to Jews having the Iron Dome in Israel. ROGERS wants you to be a successful American.
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NH POLL By St. Anselm for AARP
Senate
🟦 Chris Pappas: 51%
🟥 John Sununu: 44%— Governor
🟥 Kelly Ayotte (i): 52%
🟦 Cinde Warmington: 45%— Generic Ballot
🟦 Democrats: 53%
🟥 Republicans: 43%9/28-29 | 1,042 LV | R32/D31/I37
This is interesting at many levels. AARP had been using a combo of Fabrizio (R) and Impact Research (D) to get their polls. But now they just switched to St. Anselm for their polling with no GOP pollster to balance it. Were they afraid it would be too close if they included Fabrizio?
The prior St. Anselm poll was also D +7, but 48/41
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From the black focus group in MI: “Black people are Democrats, and he thinks we’re just gonna vote for him anyway. And I’m like, ‘NO, sir, I’m uncommitted!’”
They probably all vote for him in the end anyway, but its an opening for Rogers to reach out to them.
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There are now several states with early votes. . Down among yutes and Aa
Ohio is one example of this.
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Re Michigan. Prolly a reason why the obumbler is going there
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Canada approved woman’s euthanasia request because she could no longer cook for her family, as country’s leading doctors warn system is far too permissive”
I showed this article to my wife.
Then I asked her to cook something good for dinner.
Just a coincidence.
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I remember when he was referred to as a moderate in the old hhr”
Tina reminds me of Ronald Reagan when referring to liberals.
“The trouble with our liberal friends is not that they’re ignorant; it’s just that they know so much that isn’t so”
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Prolly a reason why the obumbler is going there”
Is he going to tell the “bros” how to vote?
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DW,
Based on your headlines, I am here in WV to tell you MD is close. So is VA, PA, OH, and KY.
BTW, why would any serious poster today, 3 weeks before the election, be using an RV screen?
Am now driving Goofball to long established Dr. appointment. But Giofvall also says he is sick?
if this MF gets me sick with whatever he has…
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Walt you need a new outlet for good deeds. Besides, if the commies take over our country, goofball will either be put in a field to harvest crops until he dies, or he will be euthanized.
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or if goofball has lots of money, then he could become a CEO, brain surgeon, or whatever he wants.
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new pollster who drops in out of nowhere to do a generic ballot poll:
Centerline Research & Strategy poll | 9/26-10/1 (Likely voters)
Generic congressional ballot 2026
🟦Democratic 50%
🟥Republican 42%LikeLike
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YouGov out with a huge pile of senate polling. They went from 9/22-10-4; however, here is their methodology:
“All interviews were conducted online using YouGov’s web based survey system.”
Meaning many elderly are left out as they are not web savvy.
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NEW HAMPSHIRE POLL By YouGov
SENATE
🟦 Chris Pappas: 51%
🟥 John Sununu: 43%——
GOVERNOR
🟥 Kelly Ayotte (inc): 49%
🟦 Cinde Warmington: 40% 9/28-10/5 | 1,520 LVNEBRASKA POLL By YouGov
SENATE
🟨 Dan Osborn: 48%
🟥 Pete Ricketts (inc): 47%——
GOVERNOR
🟥 Jim Pillen (inc): 44%
🟦 Lynne Walz: 43%9/24-10/3 | 1,809 LV
MICHIGAN POLL By YouGov
SENATE
🟦 Abdul El-Sayed: 49%
🟥 Mike Rogers: 48%——
GOVERNOR
🟦 Jocelyn Benson: 48%
🟥 John James: 45%9/22-10/4 | 3,949 LV
FLORIDA POLL By YouGov SENATE
🟥 Ashley Moody (inc): 49%
🟦 Angie Nixon: 44%——
GOVERNOR
🟥 Byron Donalds: 47%
🟦 David Jolly: 45%9/28-10/5 | 3,813 LV
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they also have abbott losing by 1 and paxton by 6, and Husted & Ramaswamy both losing by 4.
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If James is really only 3 pts behind Benson then Rogers would win.
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A small win against commie judges.
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When you are too left wing even for the PA SC…..
“The volume of Cohen’s posting was so great that the Pennsylvania Supreme Court would eventually conclude that his Facebook activity made him appear “little more than a spokesperson for the Democratic Party.” Justice David Wecht’s concurrence actually described Cohen’s conduct as “partisan punditry and running online commentary on politics” that “poured forth continually from the keyboard.”
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YouGov is a joke. They brag about these HUGE sample sizes…3,625 in Texas for example, but they admit they still have a 3.0 MoE, why? Its an online only survey. No live interviews, and easily manipulated.
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@SecScottBessent
·
28m
Iran has a new oil minister. Considering Iran has not loaded a single barrel of crude onto a vessel since August 25th, what is the oil minister managing?
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RCP generic ballot average has dropped to Dem +7.8. My own tally including only the more recent polling has it at Dem +6.2
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Judge also tossed away more than $215,000 per year in salary.
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These polls make me want to throw up. Almost the same feeling I get when I have to stomach the daily “Republicans are doomed to get wiped out because Trump attacked Iran” spill from Baris. Same nausea I feel whenever Tucker opens his mouth. It’s all sickening.
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Phil, that’s what YouGov intended. But remember, its the same org that two years ago put out polls showing Trump winning FL by just 1 point, losing Michigan by FIVE, losing Nevada by four, and winning Texas by only 4. I point out these TX and MI numbers in particular given their polls of MI and TX here. I think El-Sayed is toast.
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Mason-Dixon has Moody up 10 and Donalds 7 in Florida
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And Mason-Dixon had a C grade in 2024 for a skew to the Dems of 3.78
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Is anyone watching baseball and taking a break from polling madness?
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no
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Bitterlaw
Judge also tossed away more than $215,000 per year in salary.”
That is dedication to the cause.
Lose a 215k salary and your pension so you can post leftist propaganda online.
Soros will probably give him a job.
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Jeff G showed up?
Where are Vic and Jeff P?
And FLA2025?
John Goggin disappeared, hope it wasn’t because of the Clancy fight.
I think it was the first time I ever disagreed with him on anything.
Of course, he did get me some good points calling me a woman hater.
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Vic was upset by the cancellation of USAID. Of course that money is no longer electing commies in Latin America
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USAID was the largest money laundering scheme in world history, and the MSM didn’t even cover it — at least not that angle of the overall USAID scandal.
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Thank you, BL. That gave me one of the better laughs I’ve had in a while. Also, I appreciate the sentiment of your “no RIP” for Dennis Hastert post in the last thread. What a sad and horrifying scandal.
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I don’t watch generally baseball unless it is the Phillies. However, I hope the Braves get stomped. I would like the Brewers to win the WS since I don’t they ever have.
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BL, I would love to see the Brewers win. I rooted for the Brew Crew in 1982 when Harvey’s Wallbangers lost to the Cards in 7. That was a cool team — Yount, Molitor, Cooper, Caldwell, Thomas, Oglivie, Fingers — too bad Rollie was injured and missed the postseason.
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I forgot to mention Pete Vuckovich, who won the Cy Young but also missed the postseason due to injury. That was a fun team
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My favorite team was the 1993 Phillies. Fun and likely crazy players. Schilling should be in the HOF but his political views kept him out. Joe Carter scarred my soul.
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Gaslighting Marist has Hochul up only 11 in New York
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Dont think Blakeman can win, but hopefully the strong turnout against Hochul will help in the house races
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I hope no one here thinks I stop posting for periods because I am upset about something.”
I hope you don’t think anyone cares if you did.
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If Ayotte is really like 8 points ahead you would think Pappas would not be leading by 6.
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Personally I never post in anger.
I just hope people will post in anger based on what I post.
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I was a strong supporter of USAID when it was really supporting worthwhile projects, as I had witnessed growing up in South America. As such it was like an ambassador for goodwill towards the US. Many of the projects financed entrepreneurship and were not handouts, and were based on using American technology and know how to improve economic conditions where implemented.
However, the agency became infested with Marxists who decided it was a good vehicle to export leftwing ideology to the tune of hundreds of millions of wasted money.
So while I agree with Vic that ending USAID was a shame, I don’t think it could be salvaged with the current leadership and staffing, so I supported its demise.
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Tina forgot to say the freepassers said Hormuz is closed, so let me fill in.
No, no need to thank me, it’s what i do.
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“Doe says she took nine shots of vodka in her own sorority house before heading out for the evening. Meanwhile, according to Doe, every defendant took ketamine, and she did as well. In her statement to police, she said that one of her first two sex partners could not stay awake during sex, and she woke him several times to see if he needed care, and the other was dry-heaving immediately afterward. According to the New York Times’ summary of the men’s statements during the Title IX process, they agree that they were drunk and high on marijuana to the point of vomiting at the time of the encounter.“
Not sure if you take 9 shots of vodka and have to wake your “attacker” to see if he is ok during sex qualifies as rape exactly.
Also, if you can use being drunk and high as justification for not knowing what your were doing, does that apply to the “attackers” also.
This case is smelling more and more like the Duke case by the minute.
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new thread
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