according to Emerson College poll 10/12-10/14; 1,000LV
 | CALIFORNIA |
| Trump | 37 |
| Harris | 61 |
Also a new poll of Utah from Noble Predictive Insights taken 10/2-10/7; 539 LV
 | UTAH |
| Trump | 54 |
| Harris | 36 |
And adding here a new Alaska poll from Alaska Survey Research 10/8-10/9; 1,254 LV
 | ALASKA |
| Trump | 54 |
| Harris | 46 |
And one more from out west, SurveyUSA polled Washington state 10/9-10/14;
703 LV
 | WASHINGTON |
| Trump | 35 |
| Harris | 57 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
38 responses to “Harris up only 24 in California, off 5 from Biden in 2020 and off 6 from Hillary’s 2016 margin”
First….. SUCKERS !!!!
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Just added UTAH and ALASKA polls to this same thread.
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from RMG Research:
Scott Rasmussen
@ScottWRasmussen
·
31m
This week, we’re releasing MI, WI, FL, and our final national poll. Here’s why we’re not releasing anything in the final two weeks
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just added a WASHINGTON state poll to the thread, see above.
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yes we needed this one:
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New trump,ad:
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The CA poll is not good news because it means the national polls are less favorable than 2020 in the blue wall (the Dems are “wasting” fewer votes there)
But it does show overall sentiment is not pro-Kamala.
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Who are these 40%?
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters say they are better off than they were four years ago, while 56% say they’re not better off
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40% desperately want to make the federal government their god, father, and husband all in one. They desperately want to give up personal wealth, freedom of speech, the 2nd amendment, and they desperately want to be told when to get up, when and what to eat, and when to go to bed. They want government agents to control everything.
So they look at the last four years and see themselves better off in their long term goals.
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Quinnipiac buckling under the pressure to redo their GA (Trump+6) and NC (Trump +2) polls to get more desirable results:
Quinnipiac University Poll
@QuinnipiacPoll
·
5m
Tim Malloy to discuss results of #Georgia & #NorthCarolina likely voter polls on 2024 presidential election, #KamalaHarris & #DonaldTrump & their handling of issues & personal traits, & NC gubernatorial race TODAY
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
·
11m
Ted Cruz absolutely decimated Colin Allred at the debate last night.
Cruz scathed Allred for supporting men playing against women in our sports. Also something Harris supports.
Texas is not in play, Democrats.
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Anyone for election day predictions?
I have one. On election day, there will be several reports around the nation of violence, fistfights, brawls, injuries, and maybe a few fatalities among voters standing in line to vote.
Its come to this. When the lying media keeps saying Trump is Hitler, dupes who believe this stuff will not be able to comprehend that anyone would vote for Trump and violence will be the result.
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she mentioned it yesterday Vic, saying she is open to reparations. Buying votes.
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
·
25s
Today’s Georgia early voting, so far, is looking awfully similar to yesterday.
Not so great for the Democrats and blue areas.
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Dan O’Donnell
@DanODonnellShow
·
5m
EXCLUSIVE: Kamala Harris’ campaign has dramatically pulled back local television advertising in the Milwaukee market and reallocating those resources to Philadelphia, where it is believed the campaign is deeply concerned about turnout and margins there.
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What does that say about Wisconsin then. Either they are confident they will win, or they know they will lose. You don’t abandoned an area you need to go to another area you need, when you need them both
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NATIONAL party identification tracker
🔴 Republican: 49% (+7)
🔵 Democratic: 42%
Gallup | Oct. 1-12
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btw Wi does what PA does if he gets GA and AZ
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Damn it Scooter! I know you got your ears shot off in the Great War with RRH, so maybe it triggers some PTSD, but you forgot the all important…
BOOM!!!
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Didn’t someone here mention that Party ID was D+5 the other day, and we all wondered how it could shift from R+3 to D+5 in so short a time frame?
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Gallup party identification +7 Rs
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Gallup is all over the place. There is no way such a significant part of the electorate would keep changing back and forth between R and D.
But I would rather have R+7 in the first two weeks of October than D+5 in the last two weeks of September.
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scooter got it.
I don’t know what caused them to change it again. Any commentary from Gallup?
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I mentioned that D+5 had to be wrong.
R+ 7 has to be right.
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Truth is probably somewhere in between. Even if it’s tied, that’s not good for Ds.
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Kamala down 20 at Polymarket, down 4 at Predictit
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1729095162161
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No. That is not it. Obviously its all wrong. Party ID doesn’t change like that over a course of a year or two, much less in a week. Gallup is just reporting on the people they survey that week. It’s random, and obviously not reflective of the country as a whole.
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Sorry, but that is not the HHR truth.
The HHR truth is R + 7
We have traditions to uphold!
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538 still hanging on to Kamala 54-46
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo
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Latinx Adjacent Doc on X
I thought you’d guys like to know the best performing counties in GA in voting right now are the Helene hit counties, turning out at more than double the pace of the black belt.
The Northeast counties are on fire.
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NEW THREAD
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PA is reported to be having problems in the Harris campaign’s workers – said to be in “disarray.” Musk, OTOH, is committed to campaign in PA, doing speeches on Trump’s behalf, from now through Monday. Plus, Musk has donated $75 million to the campaign.
Charlie Kirk, who has been on the college circuit for years, challenging students in their liberal beliefs. Yesterday he visited Northern Arizona University, located near the more liberal city of Flagstaff. Last year when he made the same stop he was met with a contentious group of students. Yesterday it was 180 degree different reception, with 1500 students clamoring for red hats and vowing to vote for Trump. A growing consensus is that it is becoming “cool” to vote Republican these days – go figure!
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”Damn it Scooter! I know you got your ears shot off in the Great War with RRH, so maybe it triggers some PTSD, but you forgot the all important…
BOOM!!!”
Got my ears shot off ???? So that’s what happened ??? Are these Bastards fake and just stuck to my head? People been lying to me all these years ???
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Baris: “The left is not preparing its people for the upcoming defeat.”
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From what I understand, Harris needs to be closer to 40% Black vote to have a shot at GA. Just from what people are saying. But I’m deaf, so I might be hearing things wrong.
Current GA racial tabs including absentee ballots. AND including data as of 10:30am today.
White (225,095) 57.4%
Black (118,960) 30.2%
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Sam Almy on X
Maricopa (26k), Pinal (16k 😮), and Pima (1.6k) updates this morning. More counties listed below. GOP leads in Maricopa (+2.7R), I doubt Dems will have a ballot lead at all.
Total: 72.8k🔵: 23k 🔴: 34.2k ⚫: 15.5k
Turnout: 1.7%🔵: 2.7% 🔴: 4.4% ⚫: 1.3%
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