Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

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Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

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Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
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Debate Day!

65 responses to “Debate Day!”

  1. I’ll have to stay up past bedtime tonight.

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  2. An NPR/PBS poll has Kamala leading 49-48. The crosstabs are interesting. Trumps gets 51% of the Hispanic vote, 24% of the Black vote but only leads among white voters 50-47.

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  3. Over 140 Ukrainian drones overnight targeted multiple Russian regions, including the capital Moscow and the surrounding areas, Russian officials reported Tuesday, in one of the biggest Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian soil in the two 1/2-year war.”

    I am sure it is ok with Janzam that Ukraine give Russia a little taste of its own medicine.

    Although Janzam the Putin Lapdog still hasn’t answered my simple question.

    Given the destruction Russia has wrought on Ukraine’s infrastructure, does she approve of Ukraine attacking Russia’s infrastructure.

    Yes or no will suffice.

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  4. More evidence that decades of leftwing academia turning out Marxists has permeated the business world

    https://x.com/chadfelixg/status/1833222609367875697/photo/1

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  5. Betting markets think polls will show Kamala as winner of the debate.

    Not a bad bet

    https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-debate-according-to-polls?tid=1725972824626

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  6. I won’t be watching but I will post my opinions of the debate afterwards or tomorrow AM.

    Stay tuned.

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  7. Those debate odds may be driven in part by the fact the bet will be resolved according to the results of an Ipsos/538 poll of who won.

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  8. You can go back to Clinton vs. GHWB and maybe the MSM polling on debates showed Rs winning 2 of them ….I think Romney vs. Obama first debate and now Trump vs. Biden.

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  9. The Babylon Bee has exclusively obtained the following list of demands made by the Harris campaign prior to tomorrow’s debate:

      Moderators must respond to all of Kamala’s answers with “you KNOW das right” or “guuuuuurl, say it!”: Conversely, all of Trump’s answers must be met with boos and hisses.

      The debate is to be held 3 hours before air time and edited down to her best 7 minutes: It’s standard practice with all Kamala Harris public appearances.

      She will be awarded extra points for each accent she uses: Being multi-lingual should have its advantages.

      Trump will be docked speaking time for being white and male: Plus, he’s wealthy, so he’s lucky to even be allowed to speak at all.

      Jamaal Bowman must be stationed by the fire alarm: Just in case things aren’t going Kamala’s way.

      She must be given the opportunity to sleep with the moderator the night before.Kamala always has to have her secret weapon up her sleeve.

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    1. just so we can see what the average American gets fed, and we wonder why the election is so close when one candidate has a record of prosperity and peace and the other has a record of inflation, lowering wages and marxist principles:

      Trump is increasingly vowing to prosecute political foes … – NBC News

      Trump Steps Up Threats to Imprison Those He Sees as Foes – The New York Times

      Trump threatens adversaries who ‘cheat’ with jail if he wins … TODAY.com

      Trump Threatens to Jail Adversaries in Escalating Rhetoric… Time Magazine

      Trump Threatens to Jail Adversaries in Escalating Rhetoric… AP News

      Trump threatens to jail adversaries for ‘unscrupulous behavior… – The Guardian

      Trump threatens adversaries who ‘cheat’ with jail if he wins election… Yahoo

      Trump Threatens to Jail Adversaries in Escalating Rhetoric Ahead of Pivotal Debate… DTN Progressive Farmer (Wisconsin)

      Liked by 1 person

    2. The predictions about the Trump-Biden debate were so wrong that Biden ended up dropping out.

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    3. Family is heading to Wisconsin to start convincing Harris voters to turn out. Time to start wrangling the mule train.

      Liked by 1 person

    4. I guess people who cheat in elections could be called “adversaries”

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    5. The predictions about the Trump-Biden debate were so wrong that Biden ended up dropping out.’

      Zzzzzz….

      As I indicated above, the MSM has given an R the win in debates like twice in 40 years.

      But if Bitter thinks the MSM will give Trump the win, he can get 4-1 odds.

      Time to cash in.

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    6. And btw, post debate there were dozens of MSM talking heads trying to pretend Biden won because “Trump lied”.

      A few were honest, but only because they wanted to use it to engineer a coup against Biden.

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    7. Family is heading to Wisconsin to start convincing Harris voters to turn out.”

      I hope Paul’s family members are as “convincing” as he is.

      In which case Trump will gain some votes.

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    8. Place your bets:

      Debate winner Kamala 73%

      Who will speak more Trump 65%

      Will Trump use a slur during debate 13%

      Favorite to be winning at Polymarket day after debate Trump 80% Week later Trump 68%

      Will they shake hands 38% chance

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    9. Kamala to say “convicted felon” 59%

      Trump to say :”border czar” 73%

      Kamala to say “project 2025” 85%

      Trump to say Komrade Kamala 41%

      Kamala to say I’m speaking 23%

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    10. hmmm i might bet on the shaking hands one…though I don’t see Komrade Kamala shaking Trump’s hand. I can see Trump offering, but Liberals are the worlds biggest hypocrites. They are also the most exclusionary people, refusing to accept anyone who differs from their party line at all. We think we demand loyalty…pffft. Liberals have us destroyed in this category

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    11. MRC analysts reviewed all 100 campaign stories that aired on ABC’s World News Tonight from the day Harris entered the race (July 21) through September 6, including weekends. Our analysts found 25 clearly positive statements about Harris from reporters, anchors, voters or other non-partisan sources, with zero negative statements — none. That computes to a gravity-defying 100% positive spin score for the Vice President.

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    12. I didn’t say Trump would be declared the winner. I said many of the predictions were wrong last time. GFY

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    13. “I didn’t say Trump would be declared the winner. I said many of the predictions were wrong last time. GFY”

      So why did you say that in response to a perfectly reasonable post that stated the odds were low the MSM polling would show him the winner?

      I will call out all your fake equivalencies every time.

      Deal with it.

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    14. Aaron Rupar

      @atrupar

      i don’t know who needs to hear this but normal people are not worried about immigrants stealing and eating their pets”

      Sorry abnormal people.

      You are going to have to give up Rover and Kitty.

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    15. Lupita did look a little worried this morning.

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    16. GOP are working up to a government shutdown. That’s always fun.

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    17. Rapist Trump 100%
      Traitor Trump 100%
      Insurectionist Trump 100%

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    18. Actually, A-hole (second tier), my post was in response to this list of “rules” from Babylon Bee that stared with this. GFY

      The Babylon Bee has exclusively obtained the following list of demands made by the Harris campaign prior to tomorrow’s debate:

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    19. The Washington Post has a poll out of Virginia which claims Komrade Kamala is up by 8%, 50% – 42% over Trump. Some fun tidbits from the poll. Harris gets 99% of the Dem vote, while Trump supposedly only gets 88% of the GOP vote. Even more startling, Harris approval rating amongst Dems….99%. I kid you not. This, from the most unpopular VP of all time, to a 99% approval rating.

      File under you can’t make this sh&t up.

      Virginia: Washington Post Harris 51%  Trump 43%

      Virginia: Multi-Candidate Harris 50%  Trump 42% Stein 1% West 0% Oliver 1%

      Virginia Senate Kaine 53%  Cao 41%

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    20. Actually, A-hole (second tier), my post was in response to this list of “rules” from Babylon Bee that stared with this. GFY”

      Prediction:

      No matter how badly Kamala does in the debate, Bitter will be here with his usual fale equivalency “Trump supporters think he did great, Kamala supporters think she did great”.

      Bet on it.

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    21. You can’t make this sh-t up…

      Adam Schiff says the problem Kamala may have in the debate tonight is “knowing the facts too well.”

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    22. Sickening this guy will be a US Senator but that is CA for you.

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    23. Apparently, false equivalency does not translate to Qu’chua.

      Prediction:

      Jason will not watch the debate but will make dozens of posts about it.

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    24. Jason will not watch the debate but will make dozens of posts about it.”

      Absolutely, and they will most likely be more insightful and accurate than “Kamala supporters thought she was wonderful, Trump supporters thought he was wonderful”.

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    25. A paragraph of truth by RFK Jr.:

      ”Democrats control 70% of America’s wealth compared to 30% controlled by Republicans. Republicans are now the party of the working poor, middle-class business owners, cops, firefighters, collective bargaining, constitutional rights, and personal freedom. The Democrats are the party of the wealthy elites, of academia, and of centralized control. This is a party that RFK and JFK would never recognize. I didn’t leave the party. The party left me.”

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    26. Zzzzzz….

      I have, of course, made this same point for years here.

      Maybe Janzam and RFK Jr can send Ukraine a check for stealing my ideas.

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    27. Distractions….

      “In the interview, Tyler was asked about a CNN report that broke this week that showed the Harris filled out a questionnaire from the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) showing support for “sweeping reductions” to Immigration and Custom Enforcement (ICE) operations, as well as support for decriminalizing federal drug possession for personal use. 

       “I do want to ask you about this CNN report. It shows Harris voiced support for cutting funding for ICE and for taxpayer money to fund transgender surgery for detained migrants in 2019. Does the vice president still support those positions and do you expect them to address them tonight?” Diane Macedo asked Tyler. 

      “Listen, I think these old questionnaires are a complete distraction from the task at hand right now, and frankly what the American people are actually asking about, right?” Tyler responded condescendingly.”

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    28. NT at 8:00 pm is loaded for the debate.

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    29. The filter is clear so posts should be up to date.

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    30. Two airplanes collided at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport on Tuesday, resulting in a Delta plane’s vertical stabilizer being torn off. 

      According to The New York Times, two Delta Air Lines planes collided on the tarmac. No injuries were reported.”

      Buttigieg was quick to point out that blaming the DEI program for blind pilots is hatred against disabilities.

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    31. A great day for Tina and Janzam. Their candidate Vladimir Putin, in free and honest elections, slated to win everywhere!

      “Russia’s three-day local and regional elections came to an end on Sunday evening, with voters expected to elect Kremlin-backed candidates in all 21 gubernatorial races, as well as legislative assembly members in 13 regions and city council officials across the country.”

      Champagne corks flying in the Tina and Janzam households to celebrate this great victory and shining example of democracy and freedom.

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    32. Jan and Tina will praise Putin for holding fake elections with a pre-determined outcome in the middle of a war where 99.5% of the fighting is in Ukraine.

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    33. Their champion is an ex-KGB communist thug that has 100% control of the media, rules a one party state based on fake elections where he can jail and kill any opponents, and is guilty of horrendous war crimes perpetrated against civilians not only in Ukraine but everywhere Russia has engaged in its expansionist goals of a new USSR or “Greater Russia”.

      But yet Tina and Janzam claim to be “conservatives”.

      Liked by 1 person

    34. If there was any justice in the world and considering she gives Putin a free pass for his war crimes, every time Tina typed the words “free passer” or “grifter” she would get her hand shocked by a bolt of electricity.

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    35. All of Jason’s comments will be based on the observations of others who actually watch the debate.

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    36. Great clip of Kamala being asked if she is Willie Brown’s “daughter”

      https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1833539331505770508

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    37. This platform charges extra for the “electric shock” feature.

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    38. All of Jason’s comments will be based on the observations of others who actually watch the debate.”

      Not at all, far from it.

      They will be based on my profound and uncanny, some would say sagacious, ability to filter out the truth and gist from just reading the news published of any event.

      It is what makes me such a great translation wizard, the ability to discern what is really meant despite whatever words are used.

      It is kind of analogous, for those more simple of mind, to seeing a worm hole in an apple and not having to actually eat the apple to determine that is has a worm in it.

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    39. This platform charges extra for the “electric shock” feature.”

      I should have credit, implement immediately.

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    40. You know they wanted to say “fast women” but held back and said “fine women” and fast cars.

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    41. Mike Pence gives Trump some advice, FWIW

      “My advice to my old running mate is that he should challenge her to defend her record,” he said in broad strokes before offering Trump specific stage instructions: “Answer the question as quickly as you can, but then I think he should attack.”

      It is a simple game plan on paper, but Trump remains a wildcard if nothing else. Despite all the distance between them now, Pence still believes his old friend has the discipline necessary to deliver. “President Trump is perfectly capable of focusing the debate on the Biden-Harris record,” he said before adding, “I thought he acquitted himself very well in the last debate with Biden,” an achievement that has largely been eclipsed in retrospect “by Biden’s disastrous performance.” …

      “We went into that debate with the expectation that she would be formidable, that she would be poised, and that she would make her case,” he said of his debate with her in Salt Lake City, noting the thick policy binders and the many hours that went into his preparation.

      “I think we were right about the first two things,” he said looking back, “and not really the third in this sense: She either can’t, or won’t, defend her record.”

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    42. “Activist” given military funeral. The irony meter explodes…

      BREAKING: The funeral for activist Aysenur Ezgi, who was killed by Israel, began in Nablus in the occupied West Bank. The body of the 26-year-old Turkish-American dual citizen is being transported from the hospital to the cemetery in a military ceremony.”

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    43. Saw a lot of police around City Hall while walking to the train. I guess they are over prepared for trouble around the debate. Not sure why. Harris will get 85% of the vote in Philadelphia. Trump’s voters in the city are dispersed in the Northeast and South Philadelphia and don’t like coming in to Center City.

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    44. Not that sure that Kamala will get a higher percentage than Biden, he got 81% against 18% for Trump. (82-15 in 2016). We will see. If the black vote really swings a little to Trump, Kamala might not even get 80%.

      But Trump got 132k votes in Philadelphia, so maybe they think 10% might show up, that would be a crowd.

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    45. There was a truck with a giant “Fuck Trump” flag driving around my town today. AND IT WASN’T ME!

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    46. The Latino and Black vote is not swinging toward Trump.

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    47. Excuse me, Quemala, are you Willie’s daughter?

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    48. The NPR poll released today has Trump winning Hispanics 51-47 and getting 24% of the Black vote. The crosstabs are available through hyperlinks at RCP.

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    49. Is it on yet

      I can’t watch it. Im afraid he’s gpong to be a trainwreck

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