HarrisX polled Utah on Aug. 2-9 against 800 RVs. The ActiVote polls have been coming in the last several days, so I finally figured I would post them here, but they are highly suspect, given they are online only, have samples of only 400 likely voters, and take about three weeks to complete the sampling. They have grossly distorted raw party ID, meaning they have to do major re-weighting that results in bad internals that cannot really be fixed. These polls have ranged from late July up through this week.
 | UTAH |
| Trump | 60 |
| Harris | 28 |
| Trump | Harris | ||
 | MO | 59 | 41 |
 | PA | 49 | 51 |
 | NY | 42 | 58 |
 | OH | 56 | 44 |
 | CA | 35 | 65 |
 | TX | 53 | 47 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
66 responses to “Trump up 32 points in Utah and new ActiVote polls”
first
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So the media and leftist always “fact check” Trump and if he, for instance said today was the 22nd by mistake, they would say…TRUMP LIED…well look at this from Harris last night, and no fact checking at all..except newsweek..who basically said its all true, or close to it!!!
‘Trump tried to steal your vote, and When he failed, he sent an armed mob to the U.S. Capitol, where they assaulted law enforcement officers’
‘When politicians in his own party begged him to call off the mob and send help, he did the opposite—he fanned the flames.’
‘He was found guilty of fraud by a jury of everyday Americans’…and…and separately found liable for committing sexual abuse’
‘Consider his explicit intent to set free violent extremists who assaulted those law enforcement officers at the Capitol’…and”his explicit intent to jail journalists, political opponents and anyone he sees as the enemy’
Trump has ‘explicit intent to deploy our active duty military against our own citizens’
“Donald Trump tried to cut Social Security and Medicare.”
Trump ‘intends to enact what, in effect, is a national sales tax, call it a Trump tax, that would raise prices on middle-class families by almost $4,000 a year.’…and He doesn’t actually fight for the middle class. Instead, he fights for himself and his billionaire friends and he will give them another round of tax breaks that will add up to $5 trillion to the national debt.’
‘He plans to create a national anti-abortion coordinator and force states to report on women’s miscarriages and abortions’
and lastly
‘He encouraged Putin to invade our allies. Said Russia could ‘do whatever the hell they want”
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and the problem is that the general public will believe all of this. They will actually believe that Trump and Republicans are responsible for the Border, not Harris, because they killed the horrendous border deal, which wasn’t a border deal at all, but a way to hamstring all future presidents.
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Trump is holding at 48c at PredictIT down only 1 today.
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I wonder if Trump is running more ads in Utah or Philadelphia.
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This is messed up, and not just a lie, but meant to incite people. How does the media let her get away with hit.
‘Trump tried to steal your vote, and When he failed, he sent an armed mob to the U.S. Capitol, where they assaulted law enforcement officers’
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Trump still at 48c at PredictIT
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looks like Quemala got no bounce or very minimal.
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Tina, she got a minimal bounce. The PredictIT is because of the RFK news.
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The following is a commentary, analyzing Harris’s speech, by Sasha Stone – former liberal, now voting for Trump:
”I will admit I didn’t watch the DNC. I couldn’t bear it. I did catch Kamala Harris giving the speech of her life.
I thought it was a pretty good speech at the beginning. The warm and friendly Kamala Harris is the one I like best. But then she did what every Democrat does: She lied. She looked us right in the face, and she lied.
She said, “Donald Trump tried to throw away your votes,” and she said, “He sent an armed mob to the Capitol.”
No, he did not, Madame Vice President. No, he did not. He had a rally in Washington, DC, with his supporters. Desperate were they at what happened during the 2020 election? I wasn’t there that day, but I, too, was horrified by what I saw the Democrats do, so much so that I left the party and registered as an independent.
Donald Trump said, “March peacefully and patriotically.” A riot broke out at the Capitol, with hundreds of FBI informants embedded in the operation. Nancy Pelosi herself declined to send the National Guard even though General Mark Milley kept warning of a “Reichstag Fire.”
No, he did not send an “armed mob” to the Capitol. They weren’t armed. And Trump did not send them.
The suppression of the Hunter Biden laptop alone was enough proof that the FBI tampered with the election. But that was only the beginning of what they did. Trump’s supporters had every right to protest. Do the people want a president who leads a protest against an election? Probably not. But that is for them to decide, not her.
If Trump is so bad, the Democrats should not have to lie. But that’s all they did was lie. They have an entire propaganda press that helps them spread those lies.
He wants a Federal abortion ban. No, he does not.
He said there would be a “bloodbath” if he lost. No, he did not.
He said he would be a dictator from day one. No, he did not.
He said there were “fine people on both sides,” No, he did not.
Kamala Harris told us that January 6th was like Pearl Harbor and 9/11. Why did she say that? Because they were about to weaponize the Justice Department and begin arresting and jailing American citizens. She feels justified in how they’ve used the Justice Department and the courts to persecute her political enemy. How far will that go if she is elected?
Kamala Harris pledged that the riots and protests in 2020 would go on and on. She visited Jacob Blake in Kenosha, Wisconsin, rather than the police who were injured or the businesses that were destroyed. She did not care about any police officer throughout the Summer of 2020.
Her running mate, Tim Walz, stood by and allowed his own city of Minneapolis to burn. He refused to send in the National Guard. The Democrats do not care about keeping America safe. They only care when the wrong people riot and protest. Then, all of a sudden, they want to throw them all in jail.
I would never have voted for Harris anyway. But her speech reminded me why I am no longer a Democrat and why I am doing everything I can to vote them out of power. They’re not only liars. They’re dangerous. They are the real threats to our Democracy.
These weren’t the only lies Kamala Harris told. But it was the one that made me the most angry. She says she will be a president for all of America. Her speech proved just the opposite. “
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Seems like she lied to the American people last night. And failed to talk policy.
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Nice bit of fan fiction, janzam
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RFK announcement now scheduled for 11:30 pacific, 2:30 eastern.
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‘Trump tried to steal your vote, and When he failed, he sent an armed mob to the U.S. Capitol, where they assaulted law enforcement officers’
VictrC: That is the truth. Are you a dipshit or something?
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Yahoo Headline:
WHY KAMALA’S CENTRISM SEEMS TO BE WORKING
No, not the Babylon Bee
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‘Trump tried to steal your vote, and When he failed, he sent an armed mob to the U.S. Capitol, where they assaulted law enforcement officers’”
Goebbels would be proud!
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Thanks for posting that jan, Harris and Walz are pathological liars. And its the same as the old communist saying that “truth is whatever advances the cause of communism” and that’s what these people believe. They are sick and they are evil.
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‘Trump tried to steal your vote, and When he failed, he sent an armed mob to the U.S. Capitol, where they assaulted law enforcement officers’
Paul this is absolutely false. If you believe this, then you too are a pathological liar.
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I HAVE BEEN SAYING THIS ALL DAY!!!!
Literally posted it, and all her lies twice, as well as the Centrist headline which started with the NY TIMES
It’s spreading and people believe it. It is insane. I mean, saying Trump sent an armed mob to the White House. That’s not just a lie, thats libelous. That’s calculated deception of reality in order to instill fear in the voters.
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btw isn’t anyone concerned it went from +10 one day to tied the next three days. Though, a tied general election is a Trump electoral college win..still…
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DW, I ordinarily am not so uneasy about an election as this one. And, it really has little to do about one party winning over another party. It’s strictly because of how Harris/Walz have fictionalized their damaging, intolerant policies, along with how they have irresponsibly demonized and lied about the actions of their opponent. The thought of them winning this election in sheep’s clothing, and then ruling as the wolves they really are keeps me up at night.
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Look on the bright side. Regardless of whether Trump or Harris wins, most of us have to go to work the next day.
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DW: ‘Trump tried to steal your vote, and When he failed, he sent an armed mob to the U.S. Capitol, where they assaulted law enforcement officers’
It is the truth. You are an idiot.
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Don’t worry. Harris will be able to accomplish very little. That is why I’m voting for her. I don’t want them to accomplish much.
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Paul, either you didn’t take your meds today, or you want people to fight with you, but no, he did not send an armed mob to the Capital. Not at all, not even by a stretch.
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It is the truth.”
Paul lives in an alternate universe, poor bastard.
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The whacko will endorse Trump.
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You know CNN is worried because they are saying “it doesn’t matter” and it could “cause a blowback against Trump”.
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RFK withdraws from PA ballot.
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VictrC: Show me the evidence that he did not encourage the people to go to the capital and fight like hell.
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VictrC: And Trump did not try to steal our votes? Did you miss that, you dipshit.
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My view was always that he helped the Dems more than he did Trump.
He is a flaming liberal and an enviro terrorist and a Kennedy, I thought that “trumped” any positive he had with Trump voters by being anti-vax.
But maybe it is a rare occasion I could have been wrong.
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Show me the evidence that he did not encourage the people to go to the capital and fight like hell.”
Sure.
His actual words were “peacefully and patriotically”.
The words “fight like hell” in a political sense is not encouraging violence. He used it after he was shot. It means fight for your ideals, your convictions.
But you know this. Or should. Or maybe you are really that stupid.
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Great. I was worried that the kook vote would be lost to Harris.
Investment tip – Buy stock in iron lung manufacturers. Polio’s back, Baby!
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Far left ass Smercomish who poses as a journalist but is really just another Marxist hack is worried?
CNN host and political commentator Michael Smerconish said on Friday that Trump holds a significant advantage over Harris on policy.
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Gets the 2024 Hypocrisy Award.
Kamala says that she stood up “for seniors facing elder abuse.”
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One comment:
“Kamala didn’t get where she is by doing much standing”
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I assume RFKj makes little difference either way. His coalition was confused older Dems and anti-vax nuts. 1 part goes to Trump. 1 part goes to Harris. And 3rd part stays home.
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The stolen votes were in PA, AZ and GA…we all know this.
BTW gather peacefully and patriotically is not sending an armed mob to the capital to assault police officers. This is not a “misspeak” or semantics. She claimed he sent an armed mob to the capital to commit assault.
Show evidence he gathered the mob, armed them, and told them to go commit assault.
Libel.
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VictrC: And Trump did not try to steal our votes?”
LOL.
No, the opposite, Trump tried to make sure only valid votes counted.
You should thank him.
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talk about hypocrisy. Komrade Kamala is the tough on the border candidate according to the NY Times. Today, Komrade Kamala, without Congress, decreed 550,000 illegal immigrants to be legal with the stroke of a pen.
That should play well with Americans. Oh and btw, if they have criminal records, they can, and I quote, if they show they are better people now.
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Dw, looks like a tied race at best. This with the convention and media orgasims. There is a drag guy that expressed concern about being tied and not clearly ahead-Van Jones
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Smerconish went to Lehigh. Truly a bad dude.
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RFK giving a scorching analysis of how the DNC, along with their media pals, took down what we think we have – free, fair elections. He compares the DNC political maneuvering, in his and Trump’s campaigns, to how Putin controlled his own elections, with the help of a state-owned, Putin-compliant press. It’s riveting in it’s directness, truth telling, and humility.
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“Show me the evidence that he did not encourage the people to go to the capital and fight like hell.”
Doesn’t work like that.
You show me the evidence that you didn’t rape your mother.
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We do have the evidence that he was trying to shake down the SOS of Georgia for votes.
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Trump up to 49c at PredictIT
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He is just like his Dad.
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Appears that JFK and Trump may join forces as the “Unity Party.” There’s lots of sincerity in his words. He and Trump have met several times since Butler and found they have agreement regarding many issues.
BTW Paul, most of your statements are falsehoods, Biden/Harris propaganda distributed to their incurious voter base.
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This endorsement will make an impact in favor of Trump.
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Yup, the drats ar trying to throw candidates off ballots. Also, they are threats to democracy for allowing illegals to come in.
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meant to say RFK instead of JFK.
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JeffP are you listening to his speech?
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“meant to say RFK instead of JFK.”
Essentially JFK is same thing. He would be horrified at what has happened to his party.
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RFK opened his speech with what the democrat party stood for during the days of his father and uncle, saying the party has been completely corrupted today.
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Yep. His candor, anti establishment and classic liberal convictions are just like his Father.
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I am back to having positive vibes that Trump might have enough votes to overcome the margin of fraud.
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I have done extensive research on the FDA and the corruption over several decades and its impact on the American diet and chronic disease in the US. RFK would be perfect to address this.
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wtf?
https://x.com/bonchieredstate/status/1824883826427850922?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1824938604256248250%7Ctwgr%5E43df5615855ab80d9ad8da4cb3aecb6f150b7787%7Ctwcon%5Es3_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheconservativetreehouse.com%2Fblog%2F2024%2F08%2F23%2Faugust-23rd-2024-presidential-politics-resistance-day-1313%2F
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There is no corruption at fda or in government. They tell the truth.
-free passer
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We have a goal of eliminating pasteurization by 2027.
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RFK calling out ultra processed foods and seed oils! I can’t believe it. Some ignorant people won’t be able to understand.
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The d ticket is a threat to free speech.
Kennedy, in a statement, outlined the three primary causes that drove him to this decision: free speech, the war in Ukraine, and what he described as “the war on our children.”
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RFK to be in charge of school lunches.
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NT
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RFK will be over the FDA from what I gather if Trump wins.
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