According to new polling from Rasmussen Reports. Link and other data to be filled in when its officially released. Montana: August 13-20, 835 Likely Voters, and a MoE of 3.0. Nevada: August 13-18, 980 Likely Voters, and a MoE of 3.0. Wisconsin: August 13-19, 1,099 Likely Voters, and a MoE of 3.0.
 | MONTANA |
| Trump | 58 |
| Harris | 31 |
| Others | ? |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Sheehy | 50 |
| Tester | 43 |
 | NEVADA |
| Trump | 46 |
| Harris | 44 |
| Others | 5 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Brown | 39 |
| Rosen | 50 |
 | WISCONSIN |
| Trump | 46 |
| Harris | 46 |
| Others | 6 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Hovde | 42 |
| Baldwin | 52 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
47 responses to “Trump and Sheehy lead in Montana, Trump with edge in Nevada, but Dem blowout win in Senate”
https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-before-november?tid=1724254965519
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Brown is a good candidate. I am going to send him some money.
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“Last night, Michelle Obama said that Americans don’t deserve the right to decide who enters their country. She says this while she lives in a gated community. A community that bussed out the illegal immigrants that were flown in there within 6 hours of their arrival.””
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Trump has to do some rallies in NV with Brown and make the point he is needed in the Senate.
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DW, I noted in the last thread that I was mistaken. That poll was weighted to D+2. But I wonder if getting such a heavily D unweighted sample affects the poll even if the party crosstabs are reweighted. What do you think?
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Jeff G, its garbage. Baris and other pollsters agree. Once you get a raw sample that is that far out of whack, there is no way to recover it. They might twist things around to get a somewhat believable topline, but the internals are irreconcilable.
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RFK, Jr. in charge of health? Dormant polio, smallpox and bubonic plague begin stirring for a comeback.
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TB, measles and other diseases already coming across our open border. RFK would be beneficial in keeping the CDC and FDA in line, reporting apolitical figures on diseases, integrity of clinical trials etc.
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RFK is a kook and a joke, and putting him charge of health is like putting Bunu in charge of the anti-semitism campaign.
Trump should quash this ridiculous idea before it gets traction and loses him a lot of votes.
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Refresh the page, because I have added one state that was missed, Wisconsin, now showing a tie according to Rasmussen.
Note that these polls are currently found nowhere else. HHR is first in line to publish these.
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Dormant polio, smallpox and bubonic plague begin stirring for a comeback.”
Really.
I really can’t think of a cabinet position for this guy. Maybe some kind of commission.
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WHere is Chicon to explain all this ticked splitting.
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Huh, ticket.
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I wonder if the drats get a negative bounce? I mean you had the rebirth of the campaign from demented to joyless.
The last two days have been quite negative and vile.
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RFK is an “environmental lawyer”.
I am probably more qualified to be HHS secretary than he is.
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https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2024-08-20/harris-unrealized-gains-tax-would-obliterate-us-economy
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Largest revision down since mute 43/2008
https://www.theepochtimes.com/business/us-economy-created-818000-fewer-jobs-department-of-labor-5709998?utm_source=partner&utm_campaign=gp&src_src=partner&src_cmp=gp
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The insane part of the revision is that, with that revision, on average there were 174,000 new jobs created per month last year. Let’s put that in perspective (and Trump should pounce on this). During the 2004 campaign Kerry was merciless in attacking Bush for not creating 200,000 jobs a month, even when his numbers were generally higher.
They kept claiming that any job creation that is less than 200,000 means the economy lost jobs because 200K jobs just is replacement level.
Guess that doesn’t apply when a Dem is in the White House.
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Vic, Trump did mention it yesterday. He said a major economic forecaster projected 600000 to 1 million losses. (Gs).
I’m sure he will mention it again since the number came out.
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Also, it was the Philadelphia federal reserve that caught the Bls error apparently.
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Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
@Mark_R_Mitchell
·
42s
We polled seven states this week.
Republican senate candidates lag Trump in ALL of them, by an average of 9 points!
@LeaderMcConnell
Whatcha up to?
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He opposes vaccines. Not sure of his position on leeches and bleeding to reduce coughs and fevers.
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actually every year about this time there is an adjustment to the jobs report because they have clearer figured and are able to better determine job growth. Each month we only get estimates based on one criteria. This takes into account multiple
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He opposes vaccines. Not sure of his position on leeches and bleeding to reduce coughs and fevers.”
I think he favors chicken soup if they are free range organic chickens.
Really, Trump needs to make sure putting this kook in charge of health doesn’t start taking root.
All Trump needs now is to be accused of favoring the death of millions of people by diseases that have already been eradicated by effective vaccines.
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I guess the HHR Surrender Brigade will be happy with the “nice” Trump that “respects” Obama and Michelle.
“Trump also complimented former first lady Michelle Obama.
“But I happen to like him,” he added. “I respect him, and I respect his wife.”
I am sure this will get him a lot of votes….
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Democrat New Jersey Rep. Bill Pascrell, Jr. Dies at 87
Not sure why many of these politicians on both sides of the isle feel the need for power so strongly that they would give up all of their retirement years, but to each his own I guess.
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Today will be the first outdoor venue Trump will speak at since the assassination attempt – at an aviation museum in NC.
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They are not not really giving it up. These people aren’t working a real job. The senate and house are in session about 164 days a year, leaving 200 days for extended vacations, especially if you have a safe seat.
And even on “working days” there are all kinds of perks, nothing too strenuous.
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Scott Jennings leaves the other CNN panelists speechless….
“The gap that I see in all these speeches — as good as they were — [Kamala Harris] is in the White House right now. Democrats have controlled the White House for 12 of the last 16 years, and for all of the talk about division and the problems in the country, and people are hurting, Democrats have mostly controlled this country.
Trump had it for four, the Obama’s and Biden had it for the rest of the time, and somehow, it’s still all Trump’s fault, and somehow, she hasn’t been at the center of it. To me, that is the glaring hole in this campaign that hasn’t yet been solved at the convention. How do you explain all of the problems that will be solved by the person who is currently in there for the last three and a half years, and who is supposed to be already working on solving it?”
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Commissioner of roadkill bears and brain-eating worms.
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Wasn’t it Pascrell who said Trump would be President over his dead body?
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Kamala’s policies so far
Price Controls
28% corporate tax
44.6% capital gains tax
25% tax on unrealized gains”
Yeah, this will grow the economy and create jobs!
Paul probably believes it.
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The above policies would create a massive wealth transfer from the productive/job creating side of the economy to the non-productive side.
A complete disast3r.
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I agree it would be a disaster. None of it will happen. I would be happy with Trump winning if I was equally confident that none of his ideas will happen either.
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“You don’t have to imagine what a Kamala Harris presidency would be, because you’re living through that nightmare right now.”
– Pres. Trump
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DNC is a clusterf–k.
ttps://x.com/katie_rayford/status/1825660713701970055?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1825660713701970055|twgr^315e74744508da01a075a1979c9985cc7bfac95d|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Fnick-arama%2F2024%2F08%2F21%2Fdnc-total-dysfunction-n2178360
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https://x.com/katie_rayford/status/1825660713701970055?ref_src=twsrctfw|twcamptweetembed|twterm1825660713701970055|twgr315e74744508da01a075a1979c9985cc7bfac95d|twcons1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Fnick-arama%2F2024%2F08%2F21%2Fdnc-total-dysfunction-n2178360
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Not to worry.
Bitter will be here in 3, 2, 1 to say he saw lines at the RNC too
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“You don’t have to imagine what a Kamala Harris presidency would be, because you’re living through that nightmare right now.”
– Pres. Trump”
I wish he would stop with these personal attacks and focus on the issues.
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I beat the HHR Surrender Brigade to it.
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Tina: I like my life and my country. I’m sad that your life is a nightmare.
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I have a feeling that whatever RFK does will matter very little.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/after-weeks-silence-kamala-team-trump-trolls-harris/
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Gary Grumbach@GaryGrumbach
·
48m
Robert F. Kennedy to address the nation about “his path forward” on Friday in Phoenix, AZ.
Donald Trump is also speaking at an event in the Phoenix area on Friday.
—Uhm, when you are getting under 3% of the vote, you don’t “address the nation” rather you hold a press conference and hope someone attends.
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Dr Robert Malone just endorsed Trump.
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New Thread
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Who?
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