According to top rated pollster Insider Advantage, who polled 800 likely voters on August 18-19 with an MoE of 3.46
 | PENNSYLVANIA |
| Trump | 47 |
| Harris | 46 |
| Other | 3 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
98 responses to “Trump up 1 in Pennsylvania”
1st
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I sincerely hope I am dead wrong about the Dems being able to successfully replace Biden and win with the replacement, proving jason right.
I sincerely hope I am dead wrong about a potential future Harris administration not using lawfare to criminalize people of faith.
I would love for Jason to be right, but if he’s wrong, then I would love for Bitter to be right.
I have never wanted to be more wrong in my life.
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Good news: three out of the last four polls of PA have had trump in the lead.
Bad news: his lead in those three was 1 point or less in each poll.
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test
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DW – You are a Mets fan. You are often wrong. Have hope.
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I left my house to go to work at 6:30 am. I will get home at 6:45 pm. Still have to log on and work until 10:00 pm. Maybe MG can tell me about my privileged life again.
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Bitter, thanks for the encouragement. Had the Mets stayed hot, they would be four games out, and in contention. Instead, they did what they always do.
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I sincerely hope I am dead wrong about the Dems being able to successfully replace Biden and win with the replacement, proving jason right”
I was already right and you were already dead wrong long ago. You are mischaracterizing my position.
I said your theory that Biden would be replaced by some “dark horse” senator was not going to happen because the Dems have no bench. My point at the time was that the minute such “dark horse” was given a name it would turn into a loser and that is why it never happened. You gave the example of Senator Who Warner and I LMAO.
And had Biden not self destructed at the debate, he would still be the candidate, there would be no coup.
The scenario playing out now is not one we were considering. A complete meltdown, illness, death, accident, etc. was not what we were talking about. Unless you consider Kamala “bench”, which I don’t, we were talking about Biden being replaced by someone n the “field”.
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Doltz is a commie or inner Maoist, per his associate or friend that went to China with him.
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And again, the good news is that it seems Georgia is staying firm in Trump’s column.
Pennsylvania is everything. GA+PA=270.
I do NOT trust having to wait for the west coast and roll the dice on GA+AZ+NV+NE2 to get to 269.
If they figure out on election night that Trump has to win AZ and NV, they will cheat to get it done. Win convincingly in GA and PA.
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jason, we also talked about Kamala as one of the replacement options. And she was decried as being worse than Biden and would have no chance. I hope that turns out to be true.
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PredictIt numbers unchanged today.
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-13758359/scientists-discovery-jesus-cloth-buried-shroud-turin.html
DW?
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ason, we also talked about Kamala as one of the replacement options.”
Nah, Kamala was the VP, she was obviously a “replacement option”. But this was not your “dark horse” scenario, Kamala was no “dark horse”.
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we talked about both options
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Oh, I certainly believed and still do that Kamala’s chances were worse than Biden, so if she wins, I will be wrong.
But I was not wrong about the “dark horse” replacement scenario and the point of the Dems having no bench to replace Biden with.
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Kamala is the Hail Mary. Biden self destructed in the debate, a completely unforeseen event, and Kamala was the only option barring a floor fight at the convention.
Sometimes Hail Mary’s work out.
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Here is what Morning Consult thinks of the race.
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The MSM has a lot to do with this:
“voters remain more likely to say they heard something positive (43%) than negative (31%) about Harris by a double-digit margin”
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/hes-cooked-joe-biden-shows-up-dnc-zoned/
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Finally saw a Trump ad in Philadelphia tv market. Only a few weeks late.
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“Kamala was no ‘dark horse.’”
No, but she is a horse’s arse.
The question of her darkness I will leave to the Stormfront types.
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According to CNN, babies will be yelling for Biden.
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Democrats loved him so much they kicked him to the curb.
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It was the Russians that kicked Biden to the curb.
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I did not say that, Tina. GFY
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Laugh, bitter, laugh, like your buddy, Doltz.
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There appears to be a lot of empty seats. Anyone else with a read on the commie convention?
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WTF is wrong with you? tonight? I have never said anything positive Walz and I am not voting for him.
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I find it hard to believe CNN said that. I have been hearing that throughout the last month from Dem who has practicially deified Biden, as if he were not a three time failed Presidential candidate who served in the Senate for 30+ years and had little to no bills he sponsored become law, failed law student who finished almost last in a fourth tier law school…and then who hid in the basement during a campaign, unleashed 20+M illegal immigrants into the country, created the highest inflation rate in 50 years….
but yeah, people will be crying for him.
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https://x.com/alexbruesewitz/status/1825669362176401443?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1825669362176401443%7Ctwgr%5E600eca8e524e16ce4827c5770ef612ad90dbf65e%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheconservativetreehouse.com%2Fblog%2F2024%2F08%2F19%2Fbiden-says-farewell-dnc-livestream-and-open-discussion-thread%2F
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The joint is not full at all.
https://wltreport.com/2024/08/19/its-dead-inside-dnc-low-energy-less-than/?utm_source=PTN&utm_medium=mixed&utm_campaign=PTN
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They are not treating quemala nicely given it’s 75 to 80 percent full, or the man from Scranton, who ran away.
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I guess the Dems want the East Coast voters to go to bed before Biden speaks.
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This is a disastrous day 1. Seems like all the actions. Is on the street with the protestors
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I just saw a video where Komrade Kamala came out on stage and it was completely full…also, Walz is a real weirdo. Did you see how he was jumping up and down. F-ing coward.
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so, it’s full or nearly full, or 3/4 full? Others suggests it’s not full?
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They keep saying the 3rd level of the un-United center and the upper deck are empty.
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Something fugly is there.
https://x.com/amuse/status/1825716793497038886?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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It looks pretty full and I checked 3 channels but who knows unless you are there?
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Too bad my response to Bl’s question (1030 pm posts) came before,
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I mean too bad my response did not come after Bl’s question.
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Curious if angry Biden or low key Biden will show up.
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Vic, can you post fugly (seems 1030 post).
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You cannot find 5 D voters or 5 Indys in the U.S. who give a ratz a$$ about the undemocratic shenanigans of the Big Switcheroo of Demented Joe running and winning primaries on ly at a late stage pull out of the 2020 race and hand it off the Kamelia Kamala.
Trump should stop harping about that.
________________
You cannot find 5 Ds or 5 Indys in the U.S. who care that Kamelia Kamala sometimes ays she is Indian Americans and other times says she is AA.
Trump should stop harping about that.
______________________
You cannot find 5 Ds or 5 Indys who care whether Trump or Kamelia Kamala is “prettier”.
Trump should stop harping on that.
_______________
You can find hundreds of thousands of voters, perhaps millions, who DO care about
–run-a-way inflation
–high price of gasoline and home heating costs
–open southern borders
–crime increase and refusal of officials to enforce the rule of law to protect lives and property of the vast majority law-abiding people.
–Biden EOs that have been disastrous and often struck down by the courts as unconstitutional abuse of presidential executive power.
–the war in Ukraine, the war in Middle East, the potential war threat in Asia and the steep declining of the standing and influence and respect of the U.S. throughout the world.
–the push to push trans and LBGTQ-ism in schools and the rest of society and to the detriment of the other 97% of the country.
__________________________
Trump needs to keep ON MESSAGE and hammer home how those TOP ISSUES are NEGATIVELY IMPACTING American families and individuals and
HOW. EACH. OF. THESE. THINGS. WERE. BROUGHT. TO. YOU. BY. THE. BIDEN/HARRIS ADMINISTRATION. DURING. THE. LAST. FOUR. YEARS. For God’s sake, do you voters want 4 MORE YEARS of this insanity?
And for God’s sake, when is Trump/Vance going to come out and say that abortion is NOT A FEDERAL ISSUE, IT IS STILL LEGAL, ABORTIONS CONITUE TO INCREASE SINCE DOBBS SCOTUS DECISION, AND THAT IT IS A STATE ISSUE–the SCOTUS did NOT say abortion ws illegal. THEY SAID IT IS NOT A FEDERAL ISSUE AND SHOULD NOT BE AN ISSUE IN THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE. And that the Republican Platform does NOT want to outlaw all abortions, but is opposed to abortion in the LAST TRIMESTER–including PARTIAL BIRTH ABORTIONS.
**********************************
Dear God, WHY can TRUMP not by focused on ISSUES, and instead go off on needless non-important tangents that make him look foolish, childish and surly?
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Tina here you are
https://x.com/yashar/status/1825703704596815877
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watch walz…if he’s not a nerdy weirdo…Im sorry. He makes Vance look like Brad Pitt and the Prom King rolled into one
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muh issues bs again.
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Everything Walt has said is a lie.
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Vance is like Tom Cruise. They both like to jump couches.
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Trump for the life of him cannot be disciplined enough to stay on message.
Our only hope is that the Potemkin village facade erected about Kamelia Kamala will fall down and be torn away before it is too late.
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Only if trump talked about the issues,
-free passer
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I believe all the polls. Trump is not talking about the issues.
-Hhr parrot (one a day keeps the doctor away)
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Vic it’s the top portion of the arena that’s empty allegedly.
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Trump should be focusing on Kamala being a descendant of slave owners. That is what he should really focus on….. Just trying to help.
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Dolts looks like a pedo,
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It’s a freak show.
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Trump should focus speeches on Walz looking like a pedo. That would be good, too.
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Trump should also make a big deal about him getting Tampons in bathrooms that girls use in his state.. Call him Tampon Tim, LOL.
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So the moderator of the VP Debate went on air today and said Trump is wrong to call Kamala Harris’s plans full communist, and then proceeded to explain the Harris agenda, going on to say Trump was wrong over and over.
And SHE’S MODERATING THE VP DEBATE…WTF
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I think Tina comes to HHR every day planning to post her Gateway Pundit talking points whether they relate to the discussion or not. That would explain why she posts something nobody said and then claims it was said.
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They need to fire the moderator and have another one. They got rid of stephanitlupus
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Maybe Biden went to bed already.
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I think trump needs to talk about the issues and no mean tweets or truths
-free oasser
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VictrC can’t handle the truth.
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I don’t believe in a “nice Trump” and I don’t believe being “nice” to Kamala is going to win him the election.
Sue me.
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This explains the polls..
‘Unprecedented’ positive media for
@VP
@KamalaHarris, 89% negative for Trump Harris’s coverage 84% positive by ABC, CBS, NBC. Trump’s entirely hostile, 89% negative
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The Columbia Bugle
@ColumbiaBugle
If they’re struggling to fill seats at the DNC, Kamala should just let the protesters in!
·
4,600 Views
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So far no bounce!
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Trump has improved with all the minority groups. Dont listen to the narrative currently being pushed by Leftist.
The Latest…
CBS/YouGov – Hispanic:
Harris 58%
Trump 41%
On Point Politics – Hispanic:
Harris 57%
Trump 40%
Morning Consult – Blacks
Harris 72%
Trump 21%
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Trump has not improved. He is just mean tweeting and not on the issues.
-free passer
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Joe Biden’s daughter loves him. Wow. Game changer. Of course, millions of voters in battleground states went to bed an hour ago.
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#Latest @TheEconomist Forecast
Electoral Votes
🟥 Donald Trump: 270 🏆
🟦 Kamala Harris: 268
——
Swing States (chance of winning)
Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump 52-48%
Nevada – 🔴 Trump 52-48%
Arizona – 🔴 Trump 55-45%
Georgia – 🔴 Trump 64-36%
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 67-33%
Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris 51-49%
Michigan – 🔵 Harris 57-43%
@Polymarket swing states odds 👇
polymarket.com/elections
——
The Economist forecast link
https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president/michigan
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I am about to go t9 bed too, this is a sheot show of loons, pedos, and freaks
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Night gang.
don’t let Antifa disturb you.
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Biden finally emerges.
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MichiganGuy: The bounce won’t appear until after Biden’s stellar speech.
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5 minutes of applause and….
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Joe loves Jill. What other hard hitting stuff will we learn?
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You guys have cast iron stomachs.’
I am watching “Air Disasters”
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which air disaster jason
Hiw did they keep Biden up so late. It’s already tomorrow for him
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Why is Trump spending so little in AZ. That’s a key state
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looks like he’s focusing on the PAGA strategy
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Avoid personal attacks …zzzzz
Stick to the issues….zzzzz
No mean tweets…..zzzzz
The same people who say Kamala reinventing herself won’t work want Trump to reinvent himself.
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which air disaster jason”
Several…. Singapore 747 takes off from wrong runway in Taipei and runs into construction equipment
Gyroscope failures crash 3 planes…
Hail in engines crashes plane in Georgia
Two Northwest Airlines planes collide on runway.
Korea 747 crashes in Guam
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“millions went to bed an hour ago”
Probably intentional. That’s also why they have him on Monday night.
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dude. Thats binge watching!
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https://x.com/interesting_aIl/status/1825476680107921860/mediaViewer?currentTweet=1825737254230184385¤tTweet=1825222273957007725¤tTweet=1813963935479214479¤tTweet=1825263602347184352¤tTweet=1825426954147058080¤tTweet=1825488049708380270¤tTweet=1791470165671948449¤tTweet=1825111190575419714¤tTweet=1825111190575419714¤tTweet=1813963935479214479¤tTweet=1825309210977968585¤tTweet=1825518415404253396¤tTweet=1823742471521685538¤tTweet=1825278990342385997¤tTweet=1825480337402601843¤tTweet=1825476680107921860¤tTweetUser=TRHLofficial¤tTweetUser=AMAZlNGNATURE¤tTweetUser=SamsungMobileUS¤tTweetUser=RealCrazyFight_¤tTweetUser=akafacehots¤tTweetUser=stillgray¤tTweetUser=DefendFaithUA¤tTweetUser=PicturesFoIder¤tTweetUser=PicturesFoIder¤tTweetUser=SamsungMobileUShttps://x.com/interesting_aIl/status/1825476680107921860/mediaViewer?currentTweet=1825737254230184385¤tTweet=1825222273957007725¤tTweet=1813963935479214479¤tTweet=1825263602347184352¤tTweet=1825426954147058080¤tTweet=1825488049708380270¤tTweet=1791470165671948449¤tTweet=1825111190575419714¤tTweet=1825111190575419714¤tTweet=1813963935479214479¤tTweet=1825309210977968585¤tTweet=1825518415404253396¤tTweet=1823742471521685538¤tTweet=1825278990342385997¤tTweet=1825480337402601843¤tTweet=1825476680107921860¤tTweetUser=TRHLofficial¤tTweetUser=AMAZlNGNATURE¤tTweetUser=SamsungMobileUS¤tTweetUser=RealCrazyFight_¤tTweetUser=akafacehots¤tTweetUser=stillgray¤tTweetUser=DefendFaithUA¤tTweetUser=PicturesFoIder¤tTweetUser=PicturesFoIder¤tTweetUser=SamsungMobileUS¤tTweetUser=elonmusk¤tTweetUser=Morbidful¤tTweetUser=DefendFaithUA¤tTweetUser=ykkswb¤tTweetUser=InterestingSTEM¤tTweetUser=interesting_aIl¤tTweetUser=elonmusk¤tTweetUser=Morbidful¤tTweetUser=DefendFaithUA¤tTweetUser=ykkswb¤tTweetUser=InterestingSTEM¤tTweetUser=interesting_aIl
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it’s Tim Walz lmao
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I fell asleep during Biden’s speech. Since I did not see all of it live, I will not comment on it.
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Test
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The Democratic National Convention sucked. Probably, the worst convention in the history of conventions! It was abhorrent,abominable,appalling,awful,cruel,disgusting,dreadful,eerie,frightful,ghastly,grim,grisly,gruesome,heinous,hideous,horrendous,horrid,lousy,nasty,scandalous,scary,shameful,shocking,terrible, and terrifying. Disclaimer: I did not watch one second of the shameful propaganda fest of the Democratic National Convention!
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new thread within the next 40 minutes
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Your comment is awaiting moderation.
How dare you!!!
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I released it. I don’t know why it caught in the filter.
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I was just joking. No big deal.
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