This according to new polling from Focal Data, a UK polling firm who asked a minimum of 651 Likely Voters per state, through an online only survey method conducted 8/6-8/16:
| Trump | Harris | ||
 | GA | 49 | 45 |
 | AZ | 46 | 45 |
 | PA | 47 | 48 |
 | NC | 46 | 47 |
 | NV | 42 | 48 |
 | WI | 44 | 50 |
 | MI | 44 | 51 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
31 responses to “Trump down 6 to 7 points in MI, NV, and WI, ties in NC, PA, and AZ, Trump up 4 in GA”
First
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Garbage in and out. An online pole.
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These polls are very believable. It’s the hard core middle now for Kamala.
-free passer
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and it seems its polling done for a far left org too.
But the news is not all bad. Regardless the pollster, PA is right on the cusp, never straying too far in either direction from a tie, unlike MI and WI.
Georgia seems to be slipping back into Trump’s column outside the margins of error and fraud. This is great news, because GA + PA = 270 EVs and the ballgame is over.
Trump needs to start spending hugely in the Philly markets. Even if all it does is move the needle a tiny bit, that could be the difference for the entire election.
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Trump is in pa today as is Jd Vance.
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Reposting the schedule.
ul Villarreal (AKA Vince Manfeld)
@AureliusStoic1
Updated President Trump and Sen. JD Vance schedule for “DNC Week.” Will update further as necessary. * Mon 8/19 Trump in York, PA Vance in Philadelphia * Tue 8/20 Trump in Howell, MI Vance in Kenosha, WI * Wed 8/21 Both in Asheboro, NC * TR 8/22 Trump at the AZ border Vance in Valdosta, GA * Fri 8/23 Trump in Las Vegas, NV Trump rally in Glendale, AZ (information gathered from several news reports)
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You probably should not have included partisan polling/faulty online poll. Your efforts posting this stuff is Herculean
There will be more “bad” poles. They are agenda poles for Quemalas convention especially due to the price controls and stolen valor
Now we are getting scripted Doritos /sheets appearances and fake crowds in restaurants.
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Thanks Tina, I am determined to post ALL polls in the history pages, so there is a permanent record. Some of these will not age well.
When its all over, there will be an scorecard showing how far off all these pollsters were on their final polls.
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Nobody at HHR said that.
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DW – Stay true to your methodology.
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For what its worth, FocalData did a round of polls earlier, Trump vs. Biden, and they were so out of step with the others, that people here were calling it FecalData
Here was their prior data from January:
AZ: Trump 50 / Biden 50
GA: Trump 52 / Biden 48
MI: Trump 49 / Biden 51
NV: Trump 51 / Biden 49
PA: Trump 51 / Biden 49
WI: Trump 51/ Biden 49
This was at a time when other pollsters showed a substantial lead for Trump in most of these.
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So while these new polls and other ones may or may not be absolute garbage (some might even be right like a stopped clock twice daily), there is a permanent record, and however far these pollsters are off, they will own it. No forgiveness.
In the leftist social media they continue to blast Rasmussen, Insider Advantage, and Trafalgar, even though these three were among the most accurate in 2016 and 2020.
But truth is still truth, and in the end there it stands.
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For what its worth (not much) PredictIt spent all last week with Trump hovering around 44c and Kamala 58c. So far this morning its been stable at Trump at 46c and Harris at 56c.
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You think the idea of Trump Hatred is overblown because you are sheltered from it where you live”
Zzzzzz…..
Hilarious from someone who thinks Radnor is representative of America and never goes anywhere. I travel a lot more than you do and contrary to you, never “shelter” myself.
“Trump hatred” is an MSM talking point which you proudly love to regurgitate, or maybe its also the talking point of your wine sipping leftist friends and neighbors.
Trump is a polarizing figure, no doubt, but the haters and the cultists are on the extreme ends and cancel each other out.
Trump did better in 2016 and 2020 than “nice guy” Romney and “maverick” McCain who supposedly were not “hated” like Trump.
Well nice guy Romney became a “vulture capitalist who preyed on poor old ladies”, a “dog torturer”, an elitist Cadillac and elevator owner, etc. nothing was too low to attack him. McCain? Didn’t know how many houses he owned, philanderer, way too old and out of touch, etc. Both their negatives were pushed way up just like Trump’s.
So “Trump hatred” has to be put in context, just like “Trump love”.
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For anyone interested, HHR is doing fairly well compared to RRH Elections. Often our threads are LONGER with more comments. I think they are guilty of saying way TOO MUCH in their thread starters, given the sometimes small number of responses.
Essentially, they have several moderators who are most led by the hand by one liberal hack from Minnesota. I don’t know how rdelbov can stand it there. They did do us one favor by picking up Messy who is a regular there now instead of here.
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Phil Donahue has gone on to his reward. Turned a lot of conservative women who watched daytime TV into raving liberals.
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I am a bit worried about NC. The Republican candidate for governor, Mark Robinson, is motivating Democrat turnout. That could be a factor in the presidential vote.
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File under, “You really really really can’t make this sh*t up”
The MSM is now portraying Komrade Kamala as a true patriot and Dems as the ones who are Patriotic…Republicans…wait for it…”after all, were the ones who violently attacked Congress in 2021, and Donald Trump regularly portrays modern America as a hellscape.
Komrade Kamala and Stolen Valor Timmy are from…”quintessentially American backgrounds. “two middle-class kids,” as the Philadelphia crowd burst into a chant of “U.S.A.! U.S.A.!”
This sort of unabashed patriotism…has been central to Harris’s presidential campaign. In her ads and speeches, she portrays herself as a tough, populist, progressive patriot.
It has made a difference, too. Harris has persuaded — for now, at least — a meaningful slice of swing voters that she is not the out-of-touch California liberal who Republicans claim she is. In Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, she has surged ahead of Donald Trump partly because she is performing better with working-class voters and rural voters than President Biden was (even before his disastrous debate), according to Times/Siena College polls. Across both the Midwest and Sun Belt swing states, she is faring better with independents.
A democrat as a patriot…They even say, Democrats are (RIGHTLY) more likely to have qualms about national institutions like Thanksgiving, the military or the flag…but yes,, Komrade Kamala is patriotic
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Zzzzzzzz The only Democrats who discuss politics with me are 2 coaches in their 70s. The last party I went to was a HS graduation party 3 years ago and everybody there had voted for Trump.
Jason goes places but lives in MAGA land. Good for him. Radnor represents only itself – a place of hardworking people with an awesome school district.
Jason lives where everybody loves Trump so that is what he perceives is representative of America. He is surrounded by Jans.
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I am not at all worried about NC. There have been FIVE polls, Trump vs. Harris, from a wide variety of pollsters showing Trump +3 or greater.
The others are highly suspect pollsters like NY Times/Siena who has a terrible record, and then a bunch of online only polls, things like this Fecal Data poll and the YouGov Blue.
If PPP-D had a current poll with Harris ahead in NC, they would release it. But its been silence from them since their 7/19-7/20 that had Trump +4 over Harris.
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Lol, the slimes wrote that?
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As NEWS…not an opinion piece
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she is a Muscular patriot…
They even portray her change on the border as patriotic. “Harris’s flip-flop on immigration embodies both the toughness and patriotism themes. As a presidential candidate in 2019 — when the left was more influential in the Democratic Party — she favored decriminalizing border crossings. Today, she promises to protect Americans from gangs and fentanyl flowing across the border, and she criticizes Trump for blocking a border-security bill”
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The Dems actually believe its the Republicans who are responsible for the border. I kid you not, because they didn’t vote for the bill that would have forbid future presidents from changing what Komrade Kamala proposed LMAO
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/watch-things-go-south-quickly-when-comrade-kamala/
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I agree that Trump is still the favorite in my home state, but opposition to Mark Robinson is going to spur Democrat turnout. NC could be very close on election night.
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The media and university pollsters have already decided that there will be a huge bump for Harris due to the convention.
Next week at this time expect National polls like Harris 54, Trump 44
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At Bongino:
The Transgender Medical Agenda’s Horrific Toll on Young Girls Gets Exposed
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The post election battle is shaping up to be fought by very unprincipled democrat party operatives and lawyers. I think it’s going to make the 2020 election rebukes look tame if Trump happens to pull it out and win in 24. Harris has assembled a legal team 10x larger than Biden’s, with Marc Elias hired on – someone who doesn’t know the meaning of election integrity.
https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:https://dnyuz.com/2024/08/17/harris-campaigns-legal-team-takes-shape-as-election-battles-heat-
”Amid threats of certification battles and mass voter challenges, Vice President Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign has assembled an expansive senior legal team that will oversee hundreds of lawyers and thousands of volunteers in a sprawling operation designed to be a bulwark against what Democrats expect to be an aggressive Republican effort to challenge voters, rules and, possibly, the results of the 2024 election.
The legal apparatus within the Harris campaign will oversee multiple aspects of the election program, including voter protection, recounts and general election litigation, and it is adding Marc Elias, one of the party’s top election lawyers, to focus on potential recounts”
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New Thread
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