According to new polling by McLaughlin and Associates taken 8/6-8/8 against 800 likely voters.
 | FLORIDA |
| Trump | 52 |
| Harris | 44 |
| Kennedy | 3 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Scott | 52 |
| Mucarsel-Powell | 42 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
102 responses to “Trump up 8 and Scott up 10 in Florida”
first
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but but but they said yesterday statewide races were within 4%. This is misinformation. You are going to be reported for your anti-democracy post
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And finally a new poll with more than 400 in the sample size.
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I know, I know…if we were as big as Rasmussen, we would get a threatening email sent to us before being canceled for telling the truth.
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I will think Kamala will stay hidden. She is ahead
.—Crockchump
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Yesterday it was the chia pet throwing quemala under the bus (there is no difference between them /they believe the same things).
Now it is demented that threw Quemala under the bus.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/watch-joe-biden-says-kamala-harris-is-also/
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Chilling. The media does not report the news. They decide what is true and false, and how everyone should behave. Read the threatening letter ABC news sent to Rasmussen:
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1823427696224801114/photo/1
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https://thefederalist.com/2024/08/13/trump-on-x-if-kamala-harris-wanted-to-stop-the-border-invasion-shed-have-done-it-by-now/
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I doubt Scott will out poll Trump in FL, although his opponent is a real dingbat.
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I forgot about Kennedy, if he gets 3 or 4% then it is possible
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DW: Chilling is fun.
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Oh wow, a DEM polling firm does a poll for @BernieSanders, of ‘the battleground states’ that they say did NOT include NC, but are the AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA and WI. And they did this poll right at the peak of Kamala’s “I am not demented” surge. And it was a push poll designed to show that Americans are ready for economic socialism.
My first reaction was oh boy, here we go, they will show Harris up 50 to 44 and thereby give ‘support’ to NY Times and some of these pathetic online surveys that have come out recently. Instead:
Survey of 1,158 likely voters in swing states (AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA and WI) by
@DataProgress
for
@BernieSanders
(D)
🟦 Kamala Harris: 49%
🟥 Donald Trump: 49%
July 26-29 | MoE: ±3%
https://dataforprogress.org/insights/2024/8/6/democrats-should-run-on-a-progressive-economic-agenda-americans-are-ready
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Rob Smith
@robsmithonline
IT GETS WORSE FOR WALZ: Unearthed footage from 2004 shows then-Rep. Tim Walz telling a Gold Star family that he deployed to Afghanistan and that he and the troops under his command struggled with PTSD. WOW.
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Stolen Valor and Stolen PTSD struggles.
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We’ve got ourselves a fight to the finish like 2000.
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DW if that is true, and it has what it is claiming to have, that is a BIG BIG deal. Like kicked off the ticket big deal, so then both a President and a Vice Presidential candidate will be kicked off the ticket in once cycle, 100 days before the election. But all is normal here…nothing to see. Move on…Trump is mean, let’s not forget that.
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Normally I would say Walz is done. But the media will just keep covering for him and praising him. He just misspoke.
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Actually, do we really want Walz replaced?
Don’t think so if it is Shapiro, although he is somewhat damaged goods now.
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Click the link, there is video footage.
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Has anyone seen the actual video?
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This would be an “Eagleton” moment.
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I don’t see the link
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Shapiro already said HE was the one who begged off.
Whether true or not, he would now be boxed into a corner.
Of course, the MSM would not care.
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Axelrod also skeptical of the Siena poll?
As for NYT polls in PA, MI and WI today, some of the internal numbers seem improbable–42% for Harris among non-college whites, for one eg. If you adjust for them, you’re probably looking at basically tied races (maybe a tick better for Harris in WI), which is where most, private, high-quality polling has them. Still, this is a big shift.”
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Unearthed footage from 2004 shows then-Rep. Tim Walz telling a Gold Star family that he deployed to Afghanistan and that he and the troops under his command struggled with PTSD. WOW.”
If there really is such a video where he clearly says that (not just implied) I don’t think even the MSM would save Walz.
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Food inflation is the worst culprit, along with homes; rent; and autos.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/black-philadelphia-woman-fights-back-tears-as-she/
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Looks like quemala poles are dropping or returning back down from the honeymoon. Economy is awful.
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Try this link and scroll down:
https://x.com/Peoples_Pundit?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
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LOL even liberal Steven Colbert’s audience knows CNN is a mouthpiece for Komrade Kamala
Also, how interesting that the MSM is now portraying Trump as old, and questioning his age, when it was taboo to do so for biden…
https://www.foxnews.com/media/stephen-colberts-new-york-city-audience-laughs-after-he-praises-cnns-objectivity
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I noted a few days ago that the only way for those Siena polls to be correct would be if Trump is bleeding the white vote. Axelrod seems to agree.
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I don’t know how quemala will be able to flip all of her positions, when her record says otherwise.
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We should start posting concrete examples of inflation. About 5 years ago (under Trump) I had purchased a new wristwatch, you know those cheap flimsy Chinese made stopwatches with a plastic band that cost $6 at Walmart. It finally died, and now its replacement, almost identical with an even cheaper looking plastic band was $18 at Walmart. Triple the price.
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take a look at that poll closer, there is no way that she is getting the numbers they say shes getting
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This is what we are facing nationally, and why the polls are even as close as they are. It’s not about policy. A majority of Americans receive their news, and then spread their news from these organizations. Look at how they characterized last nights X Musk/Trump interview
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Tulsi Gabbard criticized Kamala and suddenly Tulsi finds herself on the terrorist watch list. We are now the Soviet Union.
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That is scary. A veteran, served in combat (until walz), a member of congress and a candidate for President nomination of her party…put on a terrorist watch list.
This can’t be happening in America. Everyday americans, Everyday voters need to find out
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Tomorrow Monmouth will drop a new national poll. Their last one was Trump 44, Biden 43 back in early June.
I predict this one will show Trump 40, Harris 49. Just because they can, and they will.
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Breanna Morello
@BreannaMorello
EXCLUSIVE: Former Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard was added to a terror watchlist shortly after she criticized VP Kamala Harris.
@TulsiGabbard
joined me to react to that report PLUS the hundreds of conservative Americans that were also added to that list.
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LOL I just looked online and the left is touting how close now Florida is (relying on some poll that has her within 5% there) and how close Texas is getting. They are pushing the meme that Texas is turning blue this cycle based on some other flawed Texas poll…oh and saying Cruz is down to Allred hahahaha
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I believe our fearless site administrator declared that tulsi piece to be a conspiracy theory. Gubment would not do that.
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Tina there are no pending comments, what do yo umean?
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I had one in moderation on another thread, yesterday.
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or 2 days ago, Vic…. Bl took care of it. Thanks.
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Republican Party of Arizona
@AZGOP
🚨 BREAKING: Election Integrity Win! 🚨
The @AZGOP, @MaricopaGOP, and@maricopacounty
have reached a crucial agreement to ensure proper logic & accuracy testing on the actual tabulators used in Maricopa County elections.
https://x.com/AZGOP/status/1823410120224891390
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Seeing Biden speaking at the ‘cancer moonshot’ event. I wonder if he actually does make it through January or needs to leave office sooner.
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I can see a scenario where after the election, if Harris loses, that he leaves so she can go down as the first Female President.
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He does seem like a different person than he was in March at the state of the union.
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https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2024-08-13/trump-wins-over-another-silicon-valley-democrat
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Vic- I had the same thought earlier today. Maybe Jill would let him resign at 11:30 the morning Trump is sworn in at noon.
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It will deny a R woman from being the first female President from 2028 on
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As long as she’s gone on Jan. 20, 2025, I don’t care.
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Speaking of 2028…looking far, but not so far, into the future, there is a tectonic shift in the electoral college coming once again (not to mention the House).
Dem states lose 14 electoral votes in 2030…California loses 4, New York 3, Illinois 2 and then a bunch of states (MN, MI, PA, RI, OR). All are going to Red states, or toss up states.
Texas gets 4, Florida 3 (which in this cycle would mean Trump wouldnt need Nevada and NE-2), as well as GA, SC, NC, TN each picking up one, plus Arizona, Nevada and Idaho picking up one.
Therefore, in 2032, the Republican candidate need only win GA and NV to win the election. No rust belt states, no AZ…etc
Congress will get redder as well, as you can imagine Texas and Florida will ensure most of those seats go red…same with SC, TN, NC and Idaho.
Wish it were this cycle
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I am feeling very down about the election. Where I live, it is non-stop ads for Dems with only token resistance from Trump and McCormick. Maybe it is the opposite where Jason lives but there are more voters here.
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I killed the thread.
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You did.
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doornail…
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Never too old for a scam….the funny thing is, school cafeterias don’t serve chicken wings to children because of the bones.
“HARVEY, Ill. (Gray News) – A former employee of a school district in Illinois has pleaded guilty to stealing $1.5 million worth of chicken wings from the district’s food service.
According to a report from WGN, Vera Liddell was arrested in January 2023 and pleaded guilty Friday.
She was sentenced to nine years in prison.
Liddell, 68, was the food service director for Harvey School District 152 near Chicago for more than a decade, WGN reported.
The crimes took place during the COVID pandemic when students were not allowed to be physically present at school. During this time, the district continued to provide meals for students that their parents could pick up.
Court records show that Liddell ordered more than 11,000 cases of chicken wings from the school district’s food provider and picked up the order in a district cargo van.
The food was never brought to the school or given to students, records show.
District funds were used to pay for the chicken wings, according to prosecutors”.
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Where I live, it is non-stop ads for Dems with only token resistance from Trump and McCormick. Maybe it is the opposite where Jason lives but there are more voters here.”
Yeah, much more even here.
But Trump was vastly outspent in ads in 2016 and 2020 too and was competitive. I think he has more funds this time around.
Maybe I am biased, but I think most of the Harris ads are awful. Do people who have 2 jobs really believe they will only have to work one under Kamala. Or that she “will bring prices down”? Or that she will “secure the border”?
On the other hand, if ads didn’t work, would candidates still run them?
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Bitterlaw: I live in Illinois. And we had constant McCormick ads the other day. I think there was a glitch in the streaming service. So, he’s getting ads out just in the wrong state. 🙂
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You are biased. Trump hatred is so strong that many people would work 3 jobs just to get rid of him.
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Vic, I think the numbers for white and Black voters are about right. But Trump is going to do much better than 30-67 with the Hispanic vote.
I think he’ll get at least 40% of the Hispanic vote. The Siena polls from MI, WI, and PA showed it as 41-41 with “other nonwhites”, who are mostly Hispanics.
The difference in those Siena polls was that they had Trump winning the white vote by only 2 points.
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Not much “Trump hatred” at Loews…
https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1823007638206267852
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But it’s true. That one guy who was for Kamala said he would shoot Trump. So I guess he would work 3 jobs and go to jail to get rid of Trump.
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On the home improvement front, Home Depot issued a sales warning,
”Home Depot lowers its sales forecast as economic uncertainty pressures consumers to cut back on major home renovation projects.” – epoch times
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Here are my 2 cents on why I am less pessimistic than Bitter and why I think the election might settle back to what it was pre-Kamala.
What has changed since Trump was leading comfortably?
The Dems changed candidates. That’s it.
All the underlying factor in this election haven’t changed. The issues haven’t changed.
So for you to believe that the candidate change also changed the fundamentals of the election they you have to believe Kamala is a better candidate than Biden (PRE-DEBATE).
Remember, Trump was leading Biden while the MSM was still saying he was perfectly ok.
Is Kamala a better candidate than Biden?
I have serious doubts.
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Would never happen in PA (meaning nobody would ever be charged for this in PA)
BREAKING: A Democrat Election Worker in Harris County, Texas named Darryl Blackburn has just been charged with six felonies for his part in rigging the 2022 midterm election against Republican candidates “Mr. Blackburn’s crime DID impact the election [results].” – DA Kim Ogg “Defendant Darrell Blackburn, who worked in the now defunct elections administrator’s office, has been charged with six felony charges, five of them tampering with the document, one theft by a public official.” “This individual was specifically assigned to see that paper was allocated properly see that paper was allocated properly…. The result is he didn’t do his job for Harris County.”
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Kamala supporters are dedicated to go all the way.
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To help Bitterlaw and Jason: I’m not very optimistic on Kamala. One of the benefits she currently has is that no one knows where she stands on Israel/Gaza. So both sides are okay with her. But once she makes a strong stand supporting Israel, she will lose some votes.
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She won’t make a strong stand supporting Israel.
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And when she is weak for Israel, she will lose the pro-Israel crowd. One way or another, she’s goiing to make one side unhappy. Or as Biden did, make both sides mad at her.
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Biden was a walking corpse. Harris looks like she will live long enough to be sworn in. That is a fundamental change in favor of the Democrats.
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She will never take a strong stand supporting Israel.
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Anecdotal story from today: we hired a young kid, 21 years old, for part-time work. For some odd reason, he does not have an government-issued ID yet (he is legal), but needs one to get into some of the delivery locations. When I asked him about it, I jokingly asked “without an ID, how will you be able to vote this November?”. He responded, in a laughing but serious way “Well, I ain’t voting for Kamala, and where I live (in Brooklyn), they may not allow me the other choice, so I probably won’t vote.”……..we decided to give him a raise starting tomorrow…..
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Squad member Omar in a bit of trouble…not saying she’s going to lose, but its tight early on
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Bitterlaw – buck up, kiddo! Don’t make me drive out there!
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That is a fundamental change in favor of the Democrats.
But is it really? That would imply Biden was losing because he was a walking corpse.
I don’t think that was the reason.
The reason was people are unhappy with the economic situation and his policies.
That hasn’t changed.
Kamala is actually a worse candidate. She doesn’t have the blue collar (fake) appeal Biden had. She is much weaker on substance than he was.
Maybe the MSM can sustain the “style over substance” until the election.
But if the election is to be decided on the same fundamentals as existed before the debate then Kamala will lose just like Biden would have.
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I spoke too soon. She pulled it out.
Jason – I agree…but you watch the media try to coddle her and keep her insulated and isolated until the election. Especially after the coronation that is coming next week. Get ready for a 3-5pt bump, which will fade after Labor day.
I hate to say it, but a lot is riding on the debate. Like…A LOT
though the media will tell the public everything Trump said was a lie
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Omar won 58-42.
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yes was closer than expected. Maybe next cycle
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I believe Kamala’s “popularity” is all media driven. Stay the course, keep repeating your attacks against her, and then ask why won’t she come out and answer the questions herself. Stay positive and stay strong.
The bigger question is has the Trump campaign and the RNC done the dirty work for poll observers/watchers, and for GOTV volunteers.
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3 more days until the Indiana Fever resume their march to a championship!
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NYCmike: Dirty work? That’s what Trump and the Trump electoral fraudsters do.
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Paul, I could only wish the Republicans would get as dirty as the Democrats! That said, I am glad they do draw the line somewhere, as I would not like to win by cheating.
I want clean, open and fully verified elections all across this land, so each CITIZEN knows their vote was counted and means something. ALL CITIZENS should have a voice, and ALL CITIZENS have a responsibility to pay attention and be informed. It’s very sad that so many don’t take it as seriously as they should.
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nycmike: I will never vote for a Republican since they steal elections and refuse to concede when they lose an election. FUCK THEM ALL.
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LOL! Easy does it, mi amigo! You may think you want some centralized entity to intercede into your daily affairs even more than they do already, but methinks you won’t like it if Harris/Walz actually win and they implement even more of their liberal/progressive Democratic policies. Check out both California and Minnesota……both states are on a downward slope, all because of Democratic policies.
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I am voting for Harris so that she sets up re-education camps for MAGA. It is a necessary part of the process of becoming a more perfect union.
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I will see you there. The fascists/commies/tyrants usually end up eating their own as well.
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Yes, some democrats are not fully marxist and those may need to be purged. Night of the long knives
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Thought jason might post this, found at Instapundit
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https://x.com/sumlenny/status/1823316593364832487?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1823316593364832487%7Ctwgr%5Ec975dd5b7e4d8c052d7452ade26bfdf340354331%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Finstapundit.com%2F666859%2F
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Cheers! Back to work.
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When comparing polls from 2020 and their bias toward Biden, it would appear that Trump is still winning.
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Sheehy leading Tester 51-45 in new poll RCP posted overnight.
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Yup, here it is
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
·
Follow
Montana Senate GE:
Tim Sheehy: 51% 
Jon Tester (inc): 45% @AmericanPulseUS | 8/10-12 | 538 RV https://kulr8.com/elections/new-poll-shows-sheehy-holds-slim-lead-over-tester-in-u-s-senate-race/article_cb29829e-99ef-500c-83f7-9ae779efe5db.html
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comment is in moderation, Vic or Bl. The pole about detester trailing.
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Susan Rice: ‘Bizarre’ and ‘offensive’ to say VP ‘wasn’t integral architect’ of Biden-Harris agenda
(Former Biden adviser Susan Rice insisted on MSNBC Tuesday Kamala Harris as an “integral” part of the policies pushed and enacted by the Biden administration)
Video…
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6360376609112?dicbo=v2-axntYF9
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new thread at 9 am
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Approved
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Thanks.
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2024 GE: @J_L_Partners | @DailyMail
🟥 Trump: 43%
🟦 Harris: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟪 Other: 2%
#145 (1.6/2.0) | 1,001 LV | 8/7-11 | ±3.1%
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13739189/donald-trump-kamala-harris-poll.html
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NT but the First has been claimed.
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