According to a new poll from Quantus Polls and News, taken July 27-28 against
500 RV. The Poll is D+2, with a 4.4 MoE:
 | PENNSYLVANIA |
| Trump | 48 |
| Border Czar Harris | 46 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
134 responses to “Trump with edge in Pennsylvania”
Paul, was reading some of your comments on the last thread. If you think KH is an honest candidate trying to follow the rule of law, look up her record in CA as DA and then AG. Also read the link posted yesterday about how she acts as a boss and treats her staff. This would give you a better idea of who she really is, rather than judging her by stump speeches given or how the MSM presents her policies.
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janzam: I know she was tough on criminals as DA and AG. I’m okay with that.
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Vox shares my skepticism that Shapiro will help Kamala in PA.
Not that I don’t think she can win, just that he won’t be the deciding factor.
https://www.vox.com/politics/363899/kamala-harris-vp-pick-josh-shapiro-walz-kell
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Quantus? Are they out of New Zealand?
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Ooops. That’s Qantas. And Australia. Not New Zealand.
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janzam: I know she was tough on criminals as DA and AG.”
LOL.
Reminds me of Reagan’s famous line.
“The trouble with our Liberal friends is not that they’re ignorant; it’s just that they know so much that isn’t so.”
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Actually Paul she withheld exculpatory evidence from one prisoner, kept others jailed longer than they should have been, maxed sentences for those jailed for marijuana use, covered up evidence against a catholic priest for molesting a boy, while as VP she set up bail funding in Minnesota for BLM members who some, when released, committed heinous crimes of murder and rape. Basically, her law and order record is spotty, filled with rulings that have hurt the innocent and freed the guilty.
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Furthermore, during a Frank Lunz focus group 70% of the people could not name one accomplishment achieved by KH during her time as VP.
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I would have supported max sentences for marijuana, too. Now I am indifferent.
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You could say that about any VP. Name an accomplishment of VP John Adams or VP Teddy Roosevelt.
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Bitter said….”You could say that about any VP. Name an accomplishment of VP John Adams or VP Teddy Roosevelt.”
True dat.
Chicon
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So, what you’re saying Bitter is lock up marijuana offenders, and release those who burn buildings and plunder businesses.
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janzam: This part is not true: “she set up bail funding in Minnesota for BLM members.” I support the other parts of her being tough on crime.
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Jan. That’s not what bitter said at all
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Paul. – she did set up funding for bail of violent terrorist BLM criminals
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HHR Factchecker:
Claim by VictrC: “she [Harris] did set up funding for bail of violent terrorist BLM criminals”
True.
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She didn’t release any of those people, Jan. Same old lies from jan troll.
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And there we go. The Factchecker has confirmed the truth of the matter.
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https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/3093548/kamala-harris-backed-bail-fund-freed-violent-criminals-back-in-spotlight/?utm_source=msn&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=msn_feed
”Vice President Kamala Harris is coming under renewed scrutiny as she embarks on her second White House bid over her promotion in 2020 of a bail fund that helped free convicts, including murderers and serial domestic abusers.”
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Betting markets say KH’s VP pick to be Josh Shapiro.
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Wasn’t there a VP that said the vice presidency wasn’t worth a “bucket of warm spit”?
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She did not set it up. She did not release anyone. She agreed with the bail fund. I AGREE WITH THAT, TROLL>
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By the way, heard back from Transparent Dem Troll, who as I said is now in retirement. Here is the reply:
“If you are only now getting new trolls from the DNC assigned to the new HHR blog, then it means they finally found you. The fact that it took this long means you are small potatoes. But with the influx of illegals into the country there is a huge workforce available to cover even small conservative blogs. If your new trolls struggle with English, it means the troll is one of these new entries into the country. If the use of English is okay, but the troll does a poor job of masking, then you have one of the college dropouts working from a parent’s basement.”
I guess we have the latter.
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DW: YOU ARE FULL OF SHIT. SHE DID NOT SET UP ANY FUND.
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ViictrC: You are a wrong in your facts like you usually are. She did not set up any such fund.
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She hates the police and compared border guards to the kkk.
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More lies,
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Paul, the factchecker already ruled on this. Stop fighting factcheckers as a factchecker denier.
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And she wanted to get rid of border guards.
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means the troll is one of these new entries into the country. If the use of English is okay, but the troll does a poor job of masking, then you have one of the college dropouts working from a parent’s basement.”
I guess that describes Dumbchuck.
Thanks Transparent Dem Troll (in retirement)
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DW, a few threads back people wanted to know who Transparent Dem Troll was. I said I knew but would not divulge. Many guesses were made, not one was right.
But now that he has retired, we can now know that TDT was TDT.
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And there is a video of Harris out there laughing hysterically about the prospects of having to ride in the same elevator as Trump with Trump not exiting the elevator alive.
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Quemala also attacked a judicial nominee for belonging to the knights of Columbus.
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The party of Democracy: Kamala Harris to Be Only Candidate on DNC’s Virtual Roll Call Ballot
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Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump·
Crazy Kamala disrespectfully refused to attend the National Association of Black Journalists Conference, but I am on my way to meet with them now in Chicago. Because of which, she’ll probably end up doing, she has no choice, but remember—it is only for that reason!
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No. I would lock all of them up. It is not either/or. They would need a lot of prisons if I was DA or Attorney General.
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Now that is good intelligence and good aim combined.
“Hamas spokesperson and deputy head Khalil al-Hayya said Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh was hit directly by a rocket in the room where he was staying in Tehran, and that Hamas’ military wing the Al Qassam Brigades would not let the killing “go unaccounted for.”
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John Nance Garner.
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We have a Fact Checker? I guess we are in the big league now.
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That is going to be Comrade Czar Harris”s problem, there is so much video evidence of her policy positions, from
Open borders
Being named border czar
Against fracking
Supporting bail for twrrorist blm
Anti-Israel pro-Palestine movement
Higher taxes
Aboetion on demand paid for by taxpayer money
Forced vaccinations
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quemala cannot scrub it. The drats like Polly and cucksucker will overlook it.
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Quemala is an anti catholic bigot too. Trash.
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KH is like a Trojan horse – presenting herself as a hard on crime presidential candidate when her previous actions have been erratic, self-serving and often siding with criminals more than victims. When she was CA AG the Dept. Of Corrections was her “client,” under her jurisdiction. She advocated for any man in the prison system, who identified as a woman, be incarcerated in a woman’s prison, including predators and rapists. She also was behind getting expensive gender altering surgeries, paid for by taxpayers, to be done to men wanting to become women while in prison.
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Trump comes out with no taxes on tips and no tax on social security income for seniors.
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Trump should not have attended the black conference event in Chicago. It’s a very hostile 3-woman panel questioning him. I thought initially he might walk out.
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Jan, he looks awful there.
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Republicans and Trump should always be willing to speak to hostile audiences. Trump should show up at MSNBC and say, “Bring it!”
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He’s always awful.
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Oh hi Jason
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DW: YOU ARE FULL OF SHIT. SHE DID NOT SET UP ANY FUND:
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ViictrC: ,You are a wrong in your facts like you usually are. She did not set up any such fund.
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L0L
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Is it on somewhere being streamed?
What is happening, why did you say it was bad?
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Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
Crazy Kamala Harris should never have taken the Trump Oil Sanctions off Maduro. She made one of the ALL TIME WORST DEALS! Crazy Kamala helped lead the charge to release Maduro’s top Money Launderer and his two convicted Drug Dealer Nephews in return for an obviously fake promise of Free and Fair Elections for the People of Venezuela. THEY WEREN’T FREE OR FAIR! Look at what’s happening now – Maduro sold his Oil, was reunited with his Money Launderer and Drug Dealing Nephews, and the Venezuelan People GOT NOTHING. Venezuela is destroyed, and its wonderful people are bankrupt and dying! Much of their blood is on the hands of dangerously liberal and failed American Politicians like Crazy Kamala Harris and Crooked Joe Biden….
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New national poll from McLaughlin:
Trump 47, Border Czar Harris 45
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Why is que Mala still trailing?
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I see the New York Pravda Times is having a field day with Trump going to thst conference today. No matter what I’m glad he went. He and the rest of the republicans need to show they aren’t afraid to face those indoctrinated by the Dem party
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They were rude to him. He went in person.
https://x.com/amuse/status/1818720888667488603?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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That was the first question. No hello or thank you while we had technical issues for staying around.
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It was a black journalists conference. The very first question was more like an in-your-face statement, a thousand times more hostile than Meghan Kelly’s infamous opening salvo during the 2016 election. One journalist there said you could cut the tension in the room with a knife.
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I had no issue with Kelly’s first question to Trump in 2016. It was a legitimate issue. Trump had a decent response.
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Trump did stand his ground. But was it worth it for the amount of discomfort such a venue generated? The incredible thing was that the meeting was cut short, but even then Trump stood up and waved graciously at the unfriendly audience like he was at a supportive rally.
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Good answer
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Vic, he does get credit for showing up somewhere to answer difficult questions. Two of the panelists were very hostile to him from the get-go. Harris Faulkner of Fox News asked policy questions. I just didn’t think he looked that good. If you find it online to watch for yourself, you may think differently.
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Meghan Kelly’s question was dissed by Trump who volleyed back with a “Rosie O’Donnell response interpreted as an insult to her.
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Since Biden dropped out and the polling shifted to Border Czar Harris, here are the pollsters saying Harris is up 1 to 2 points nationally:
MEDIA POLLSTERS:
Morning Consult +1
Ipsos/Reuters +1
Economist/You Gov +2
UNIVERSITY POLLSTERS:
Florida Atlantic +2
DEMOCRAT POLLSTERS:
Change Research +1
Non-Partisan POLLSTERS:
Angus Reid +2
UK POLLSTERS:
Redfield and Wilton +2
TOTAL: 7
Here are the ones saying Trump is up Nationally:
MEDIA POLLSTERS:
CNN +3
NY Times/Siena +1
WSJ +2
UNIVERSITY POLLSTERS:
Marist +1
REPUBLICAN POLLSTERS:
McLaughlin +2
Non-Partisan POLLSTERS:
Rasmussen +7
ActiVote +2
Forbes/HarrisX +2
Harvard/Harris +3
AtlasIntel +2
Big Village +1
RMG Research +3
UK POLLSTERS:
The Times/YouGov +2
TOTAL 12
And the reality is that Trump would be favored to snag 270 in each of these national poll scenarios, even with the ones with Harris up 2, the electoral math would favor Trump.
I believe it is around these realities that Silver keeps Trump above 50% in his modeling. If things change for the worse, and Trump is suddenly -4 on average in national polling, then definitely he is no longer the favorite.
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The NABJ forum is available here:
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/watch-live-trump-speaks-at-national-association-of-black-journalists-conference-in-chicago
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Was he asked about no tax on tips. I saw a clip, but was that a question that was asked in the hour or whatever it was? Seemed like it was a separate question. Maybe done later?
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well he stood up to her. Thats for sure
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Vic, I had missed the opening question, which set a nasty tone for the event. I now understand why everyone was so on edge when I joined midday through.
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On edge? Why. I saw the opening clip. I also saw a question about tax on tips. I was not sure if that was asked during the hour or outside of it.
It was a good question and their mikes appear to be having issues. Looks like it was asked through phone
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I won’t watch the full hour of it was hostile. If they asked policy specific questions I will look for more clips.
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Looks like Rep. Donalds facilitated the question. Probably,,something done after the abc event
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Sounds like Harris has taken lead on PredictIt. Interesting to see if other betting markets follow.
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a comrade kamala presidency would be years 12-16 of the disastrous Obama regime. Were becoming a Soviet style republic with dictator for life Obama pulling the strings
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Trump +1.5 national RCP average on the full ballot
Trump +2.0 national RCP average on head to head with Harris.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/07/how-did-they-miss-footage-shows-would-be/
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I have never bowed to Trump. I thought it was a fair question and a good response. If Kelly ever interviews Trump again, she said ask it again.
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If I interviewed Trump, my first question would be-
President Trump – You are an unlikeable a-hole. Half the country hates you and the other half, except for Tina and Jan, tolerate you as the only candidate who can beat Harris. If you are elected, what steps would you take to reach out to the Americans who despise you?
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No one talked about or even inferred anything about ”bowing” to Trump. That Kelly question, though, become somewhat iconic as an opening shot from her early in her career. Eventually Kelly went to Trump Tower to meet and mend the relationship with Trump. The virtual sensationalism surrounding this one episode reminded me of today’s venue which was explosive in nature. Whether or not it becomes viral remains to be seen.
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You’re trying to play into a narcissistic mind with the mind of a normal well adjusted adult.
The end result of such an interaction is always trauma. And no, it’s never the narcissist who suffers trauma.
He’s almost 80. He is who he is. You get to decide what you are willing to live with..or in this case, who you can stomach to be POTUS.
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A Trump presidency is a return to madness
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Bitter. You do realize of the 48%-50% who vote for Harris, 2%, at most, would vote for RSS. As well, many of those who despise Trump would despise RDS and calll him a racist, etc etc
that doesn’t absolve Trump of his boorish behavior and self inflicted wounds, but don’t believe for q moment it would be much better if he kowtowed down to them either
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what we can’t live with is q Harris presidency which will be more destructive than even the weak Biden presidency
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A Trump presidency is a return to madness”
LOL
He was a damm good president.
Madness is to have another 4 years of what we just had.
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AP is racist!
https://x.com/Danblasi1/status/1818735127104561499/photo/1
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Nice dig into the AP past headliner about KH’s ethnicity.
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I have no problem with Trump’s answer. It was pretty good.
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It wasn’t a question, it was a campaign speech.
Trump was right… disgraceful
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Vic – I only discussed Trump. He is the nominee so he gets my vote. I hope he wins but win or lose, I will be happy to no longer see his name on a ballot after 2024.
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great that AP had those two headlines about Harris. This is the exact problem she’s going to have when Americans actually get to know her. She is a radical SF liberal who has tried to wash away all her positions and is willing to lie to the public about them, but gets caught.
the response when she’s caught in her lies, feign surprise and anger.
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I said he should go on MSNBC. Every Republican should.
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bitter. I do agree I will be sad to see him go…but if we get another Presidency like his first, it’s going to be hard to Mar h later on…though our nominee will be nicer
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‘President Trump – You are an unlikeable a-hole. Half the country hates you and the other half, except for Tina and Jan, tolerate you as the only candidate who can beat Harris. If you are elected, what steps would you take to reach out to the Americans who despise you?’
Zzzzz… what a bunch of crap.
There are about 100 horrible policies Kamala embraces that should worry Bitter.
Instead he wants to whine about “who hates Trump” and about “reaching out” to the far leftists who call Trump “Hitler”.
Again, he is more worried about what his wine sipping liberal friends and neighbors think instead of what is really important.
News to Bitter: Trump will win or lose being who is is.
He isn’t going to win by being nice to liberals.
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but don’t believe for q moment it would be much better if he kowtowed down to them either”
Of course not.
If Trump wins, I hope he doesn’t spend ONE MINUTE reaching out to the Marxists.
Because if Kamala wins, she won’t spend ONE MINUTE reaching out to anybody who doesn’t follow her ideology.
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I will be happy to no longer see his name on a ballot after 2024.’
Zzzzz…
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Jason votes for Trump almost as often as Robbie.
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News to Jason – You won’t even be voting for Trump when Harris is opposing him so you have chosen to be irrelevant.
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It is sad that you feel that every time you say you will vote for Trump, you have to make some faux morally superior statement to “balance it out”.
Will you be voting “against Kamala” like you voted “against Hillary?
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Until Jason is willing to support Trump at the polls, his opinion is a zzzzzzzzz.
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Trump will get my GE vote 3 times. Jason’s? Once.
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so you have chosen to be irrelevant.”
Nothing is more “irrelevant” than your supercilious bleating “I hate Trump” on every thread to prove you are somehow morally superior to him.
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Will you become relevant to the discussion by giving Trump your vote or irrelevant by sitting out. Again.
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Trump only needs my vote. You will be 1 for 3.
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LOL
Being “relevant to the discussion” doesn’t make my top 100 priorities.
But it is funny that worrying about Trump reaching out to Marxists is what the guy advocating “relevancy” thinks is important.
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Bitter must think the Dems are “reaching out” and he wants Trump to reciprocate…
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Trump only needs my vote.”
Actually, this is wrong too.
But I guess you want to be the Liz Cheney of HHR.
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If you are not going to help Trump win, you are irrelevant. You are willing to let Harris win unopposed. Really no different than Paul or Cerebro in the outcome.
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I did not say reach out the Dems. Maybe he could be less of an a-hole and get more Independents.
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“The dream of homeownership feels out of reach for many American families.
The vast majority (86%) of current renters in the United Statessay they would like to buy a home — but can’t afford one, according to a CNN poll conducted by SSRS released Monday.
Among those samerenters who can’t afford to buy a home right now, 54% think it’s unlikely they’ll ever be able to, the poll found. The findings underscore the damage done by the one-two punch of surging home prices and elevated mortgage rates, creating an affordability crisis.”
I know Bitter will disagree, but this might be more of an issue than Trump’s “reaching out” to the Marxists.
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. Maybe he could be less of an a-hole and get more Independents.”
So you think independents are a bunch of morons that don’t care about any issues.
All they care is if Trump panders to them?
I guess that is a theory.
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Jason wants to be praised for his refusal to put Vance a heartbeat away from the Presidency but won’t vote to keep Harris from being President.
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Really no different than Paul or Cerebro in the outcome”
Zzzz….voodoo math again.
They are Dems voting for Kamala.
Not sure how that is the same as an independent not supporting either one.
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What else does Trump need from me?
It is ironic that Jason and Liz Cheney will have voted for Trump the same number of times.
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Jason could actually do something by voting for Trump. Instead, he will make hundreds of posts.
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Jason wants to be praised for his refusal to put Vance a heartbeat away from the Presidency”
Nah, I don’t want to be praised. I said I would not vote for a ticket with Haley, Vivek or Vance.
We all face difficult decisions in life. We do what we think is the right thing at the time of the decision.
Sue me.
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I will put it to the HHR Jury-
If Jason does not vote for Trump, is he relevant to the election?
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You won’t vote to prevent Harris from being President. All of your condemnation of her is empty words unless you vote.
The right thing to do is vote for Trump. You looked for excuses in 2016 and 2024. Almost as bad as Robbie and Corey.
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Hey, maybe between now and the election Vance will decide America is not an island and Ron Paul’s foreign policy agenda is not what we need.
I don’t hold out much hope but if that happens I will vote for the ticket.
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btw Liverpool and arsenal are playing in philly
and wrexham finished their tour of us undefeatwd
lastly, We were seated right behind the man city goal in the first half and Haaland scored literally in front of the youngest, then looked back at him and winked!! The you hear idolizes him and has the same haircut (for better or worse)
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‘you looked for excuses in 2016 and 2024″
BS.
I said I would vote for the ticket unless Trump picked Haley or Vance MONTHS before Vance was nominated.
And in 2016 I said I wouldn’t vote for Trump MONTHS before he was nominated.
GFY.
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Per reports, the Harrisburg indoor rally is packed
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All of your condemnation of her is empty words unless you vote.”
Interesting theory, but complete BS.
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40 people were treated for heat exhaustion outside the event, they have been lining up since this morning.
I would have gone if it was outdoors.
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Both the US women and men soccer teams advance in the Olympics to the knockout stage.
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The arena at the farmshow in Harrisburg holds 7000+. Easily filled.
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Meanwhile, while Bitter “reaches out’..
‘A core group of jihadists responsible for planning and executing the September 11, 2001 attacks against America have agreed to plead guilty to avoid the death penalty.
The Biden-Harris Administration has once more betrayed the American people, and have now left us on the hook for subsidizing the costs of keeping these Islamist barbarians alive for another 40-50 years.’
Shameful.
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I would have gone if it was outdoors but won’t vote for Trump/Vance.
Fixed it for Jason 1/3.
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New thread at 9:00 pm.
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They said 20000 showed up. Arena seats 7500, plus another 1500 on floor?
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Schizo Jason is back spamming
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Bitter is right on the Jason not voting for Trump issue.
Sue me.
Ch
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Jason said….”It is sad that you feel that every time you say you will vote for Trump, you have to make some faux morally superior statement to “balance it out”.”
Jason is correct about this one.
Sue me.
Chicon
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Ok so?
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