The new poll was taken July 19-22; 2,121 LV:
 | CALIFORNIA – Capitol Weekly |
| Trump | 35 |
| Border Czar Harris | 54 |
| Kennedy | 7 |
| Stein | 3 |
| De la Cruz | 2 |
| West | 0 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
41 responses to “Border Czar Harris leads Trump by 19 in her home state of California”
Stunning.
Chicon
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Sorry, Vic.
Chicon
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Chicon, it kind of is. California is her home state. Biden won it by 29 points last time. Only 19 points shows she is weak.
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Good context, DW.
Chicon
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Biden won 63-34 so 54 is hardly impressive.
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Echelon Insights took a poll of all the battleground states, July 1-8, Trump vs. Biden, and only now released the results. I won’t post them, because there is no point to it.
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Walz is one of the VP contenders.
He would get killed in a debate with Vance.
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Anything interesting in that poll?
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My top choice for Kamala VP is Mayor Butt.
Sue me.
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I have tingles in my basement
-Russian hoaxer.
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MayorButt? come on…he doesn’t help her one bit
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Pro-NATO Kamala is ahead of Anti-NATO Trump.
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It’s “FrAuD!”
-Whiney Jason
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I will stay with Shapiro as the VP nominee. What are the Islamic voters going to do? Not vote for Harris (who is pro-Hamas) and instead get Trump (a strong defender of Israel)?
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Agree with Bitter. Shapiro makes sense. Does potential damage to chances in Michigan if its razor close there, but it would increase Harris’ chances of winning PA, fracking notwithstanding.
Maybe she will go with GA senator Warnock
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The problem with saying that Islamic voters will go to Comrade Harris before Trump overlooks the fact that throughout the Islamic world that is not associated with Iran, Hamas or Hezbollah, Trump is preferred over any Dem. They hated Obama and despise Biden.
Lumping all islamic voters together doesn’t work. In fact, many islamic voters don’t like Dems because they side with Iran.
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Republican 30%
Independent 41%
Democrat 28%
https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
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Back to jason’s list of 8
-Trade – there is definitely a difference of opinion. Founding Fathers, Reagan and Trump used tariffs as a method of dealing with trading partners. Other Republican Presidents probably did as well.
-Personal responsibility – Trump doesn’t drink or do drugs. He has had several affairs. Pretty average for a politician and/or billionaire personality. Did he or his administration have any scandals that went unpunished?
-Fiscal responsibility – he should have vetoed the ridiculously overbudget bills passed by “budget-hawk” Paul Ryan. Same as Delay and a Republican Congress shouldn’t have padded the budgets so much after 2000, and Dubya should have vetoed a bunch of them. If you blame Trump, blame all of the other Republicans as well. The only time they all look good is when they are compared to the Democrats, who are just simply bat-sh*t crazy, and more so each and every year.
-Free enterprise – Trump is against Free enterprise? Who knew?
-Limited government – between the justices he picked and the number of regulations his administration cut, it is safe to say Trump was more limited government than both Bush Presidencies, and his reluctance to start any new wars is a signature of limited government
-Defense of U S interests – I’ve asked this question repeatedly in last 2 weeks – where did Trump relinquish United States interests?
-#8 – got it – you want all liability to be borne by the citizens of the United States, and no accountability from your “partners”……sounds like “free trade” with China…pure silliness. Much better to demand shared liability, demand more accountability, demand more cooperation on all fronts (militarily, and in trade (German natural gas deal with Russia is a YUGE mistake)).
That said, take your ball and go home because Vance “said some things” that you don’t like.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/07/liberal-narrative-fail-wsj-poll-finds-jd-vance/
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We need some r +5 poles. Not drat plus 8
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Shapiro makes sense
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F Michigan. They will fall in line
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MayorButt? come on…he doesn’t help her one bit”
I know.
That is why it is my preference.
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Dumbchuck is afraid his mentor Maduro might be ousted in Venezuela.
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That said, take your ball and go home because Vance “said some things” that you don’t like.”
Ok.
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but it would increase Harris’ chances of winning PA”
I don’t think so.
Shapiro’s approval ratings are good but nothing exceptional, barely 50%, and less than that among Indies.
Add that to the fact people vote for the head of the ticket and a lot of people are really not that crazy about the Lt. Governor and you are not going to see a lot of difference.
Kamala may win PA, but I doubt Shapiro makes a difference one way or the other.
(WHTM) – A new poll shows about half of Pennsylvania’s residents approve of Governor Josh Shapiro‘s job performance as he’s reportedly being considered as a Vice Presidential candidate.
The new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey found 49% of Pennsylvanians surveyed approved of Shapiro while only 31% disapproved. Twenty-two percent of Pennsylvania Republicans and 46% of Independents approved of Shapiro’s performance.”
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-Personal responsibility – Trump doesn’t drink or do drugs.”
LOL
Best non-sequitur of the month.
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Anybody who thinks it is Shapiro can get 3-1 odds at Polymarkets
https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-vp-nominee?tid=1722310584661
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Top donors to Biden were Google employees. No surprise there.
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Facebook has officially admitted that it wrongly censored the historic, iconic photo of former President Trump pumping his fist with his ear bleeding after the tragic event that occurred during his rally in Pennsylvania, saying this was an error”
I believe that as much as I believe Dumbchuck is an “ex0-Republican”
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I don’t think Shapiro changes things much for Michigan. BUt helps in Pa.
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I agree, but more importantly, Shapiro does nothing to help AZ and NV which are absolutely gonewith Border Czar Harris topping the ticket. So those plus NE-2 give Trump the election, Michigan just makes it easier, and anythign else is gravy
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Heh… DeSantis tells it like it is…
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Tim Walz is my pick for VP
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Wacko territory here
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Dumbchuck went from Kelly to Shapiro to Walz.
Trolls can’t get their talking points aligned.
Walz is fine. Will also get destroyed by Vance.
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Don’t you like it when trolls auto police themselves
cerebrochuck
July 30, 2024 at 1:42 am
Tim Walz is my pick for VP
cerebrochuck
July 30, 2024 at 1:43 am
Wacko territory here
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📊 FLORIDA GE: @UNFPORL
🟥 Donald Trump: 49%
🟦 Kamala Harris: 42%
🟪 Other: 4%
Senate
🟥 Rick Scott (inc): 47%
🟦 D. Mucarsel-Powell 43%
—#13 (2.8/3.0) | 774 LV | MoE: ±4.6%
https://www.palmbeachpost.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/30/election-poll-who-leads-in-florida-kamala-harris-or-donald-trump/74593606007/
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new thread at 9:10
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NT
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