According to Emerson College
 | ARIZONA – Emerson |
| Trump | 49 |
| Harris | 44 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 48 |
| Harris | 40 |
| Kennedy | 5 |
| Stein | 1 |
| West | 1 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Lake | 42 |
| Gallego | 46 |
| 7/22-7/23; 800 RV |
 | GEORGIA – Emerson |
| Trump | 48 |
| Harris | 46 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 46 |
| Harris | 43 |
| Kennedy | 4 |
| Stein | 1 |
| West | 1 |
| 7/22-7/23; 800 RV |
 | MICHIGAN – Emerson |
| Trump | 46 |
| Harris | 45 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 44 |
| Harris | 44 |
| Kennedy | 5 |
| Stein | 1 |
| West | 1 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Rogers | 41 |
| Slotkin | 45 |
| 7/22-7/23; 800 RV |
 | PENNSYLVANIA – Emerson |
| Trump | 48 |
| Harris | 46 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 46 |
| Harris | 44 |
| Kennedy | 3 |
| Stein | 1 |
| West | 1 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| McCormick | 44 |
| Casey | 48 |
| 7/22-7/23; 850 RV |
 | WISCONSIN – Emerson |
| Trump | 47 |
| Harris | 47 |
| | Five Candidates: |
| Trump | 45 |
| Harris | 45 |
| Kennedy | 3 |
| Stein | 1 |
| West | 0 |
| | U.S. Senate: |
| Hovde | 43 |
| Baldwin | 49 |
| | 7/22-7/23; 845 RV |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
167 responses to “Harris better than Biden in battleground states”
First!
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I like this video Dave McCormick put out tying Casey to Harris.
https://x.com/DaveMcCormickPA/status/1815894904650047929
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Pretending that Putin only invaded because Big Bad Trump was gone is cult-like hero worship of Trump.”
Zzzzzzz….
Putin could have invaded at any time. He didn’t invade while Trump was President.
Facts are a hard thing to admit sometimes.
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McCormick is running ads here about 3-1 against Casey, about 2 an hour on most channels. So he must have money. Not sure what the strategy is for not doing it in your area. Perhaps he is using the Trump 2016 playbook, get such a massive vote in rural PA that he can afford to lose big in the Philly area. Hillary won Philadelphia Co. by an astounding 480k votes, as well as Obama, and still lost.
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Another guy that is running ads non-stop is Dave Sunday for AG.
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Hovde is teaming up with McCormick to beat Casey?
I like it.
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Another good video put out by McCormick.
https://x.com/DaveMcCormickPA/status/1816271757541515376
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Biden didn’t give – and still hasn’t given – full military equipment, training and freedom for unlimited use of weapons. The result of this half-assed effort is the current stalemate.
Putin waited until Trump was out of office to invade, after taking Crimea during Obama’s reign.
Bitter’s hero has contributed to the death of Ukrainians. The guy he hates? Zero Ukranian deaths….
Chicon
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Seen on the Internet
Dream ticket
HarriButt
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Bitter can’t even admit simple facts like when Russia began massing troops.
TDS….
Chicon
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I am pessimistic about McCormick because Casey is so successful pretending to be a moderate, when he actually votes 99% with the far leftists.
Still, he is hanging in there and Casey is below 50%.
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Putin did not invade 190+ countries between 2017 and 2021. Jason must think that is because of Trump.
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He already has the votes outside the Philadelphia area. Maybe shifting some ad buys here to get some votes would be a good idea.
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Bitter can’t even admit simple facts like when Russia began massing troops.”
Bitter’s has the right view on Ukraine and we have agreed on this from Day 1.
But he is in lalaland if he thinks Putin built up the invasion force during Trump’s term. The invasion was over a year AFTER Trump left office.
He is in lalaland if he doesn’t think Putin was deterred from invading during Trump’s term.
His silly “hatred” for Trump is clouding his judgment.’
All can be true.
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Maybe shifting some ad buys here to get some votes would be a good idea”
Yes, I agree, I was just putting out a theory on why that didn’t happen yet.
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So you are blaming Zelensky for Ukrainian deaths. Sick.
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Biden didn’t give – and still hasn’t given – full military equipment, training and freedom for unlimited use of weapons. The result of this half-assed effort is the current stalemate.”
Maybe.
But you can assign part of the blame for that on the R isolationist morons.
Biden would have given MORE aid if he had full support from Rs in Congress.
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Planning on a 3 for 3 record of giving my vote to Trump. Chi has a strange definition of TDS.
I wonder if Chi has a 100% GOP voting record. I count Trump in there but he is the ultimate RINO.
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I guess you can have TDS and vote for Trump and not have TDS and not vote for him.
Seems to be the case here with me and Bitter.
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As I said, Bitter is unable to admit he was wrong about a simple fact. He so badly wants to blame Trump for everything that it has clouded his judgment.
Putin did not mass troops until Biden was President.
No free lunch.
Chicon
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Schumer says Harris was chosen from “the bottom up”.
Seems to be some truth in that.
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Bitter is right that Trump is the ultimate RINO and not a conservative.
But you can say that without making sh-t up.
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Here is the status of the race:
The last several weeks of polling has been like a kid on Christmas morning opening gifts. Its been fun seeing polls against a candidate that everyone in the nation knows was demented.
But we knew it wouldn’t last. Like I said months ago, Dems won’t just say, “aw shucks, we will try harder next time.” So they got rid of him, replacing him with a marxist candidate who is not demented.
So we are essentially back where we were in May, where Trump leads most battlegrounds very narrowly, with some ties and an occasional poll with the Dem ahead.
The election is not going to be easy, but Trump is still in a decent position. But he could lose.
The last few weeks of polling have been fun, but the party is over, and its back to work.
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Emerson poll did not move the betting markets. Trump 62-38 at Polymarkets and 57-44 at Predicitit.
Seems like the MSM is having a little trouble sustaining the “Harris euphoria”.
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Usually DW is more optimistic than I am, but I am not too sure I agree with his post above.
The tightening of the polls could just reflect a bump for Harris resulting from the huge accolade she got from the MSM, which we all agreed was going to portray this as the second coming of Christ (the third coming will be her VP).
However, Harris is on record with a LOT of positions that are radical and unpopular. IF Rs can succeed in tying her to her past statements and record I think the polls will swing back to where they were.
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Make that 62-33 at Polymarkets.
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Sure, jason, its going to be a battle of defining Harris. Her favorability/unfavorability numbers in these Emerson polls were stronger than Trump’s and light years ahead of Biden’s. They also found Trump’s support among younger voters eroding and fleeing to Harris.
So the GOP has work to do, and every Patriot who wants to save the country has work to do at the watercoolers and breakrooms. Harris needs to be exposed for the marxist she is. There is ample video evidence of her positions on everything.
So yes, these current polls could be the high-water mark for her, and then as people learn more, she drops. But they need to learn what they currently do not know. Hence my appeal that work needs to be done, and we cannot cruise to victory like we could with a demented opponent. The media is right now defining her as Obama 2.0.
The talk of flipping NJ and NY is over and done with. We are back to battling for the battleground states as they were in May. I will be interested to see more polling out of NM and VA, and even MN, just to see where things stand.
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DW
This race will be won by Harris because the excitement is out of the Trump campaign. JD Vance is a snooze, their entire strategy is outdated machismo politics.
Republican strategists take the blame on this one. Horrible job. I am a never Trumper so i can’t complain.
@Bitter
Calling people RINOs in 2024 because they refuse to vote for an egomaniac and a baby fat man-child Vance is pretty rich.
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Kampala still trails.
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‘With respect to former President Trump, there’s some question about whether or not it’s a bullet or shrapnel that hit his ear,’ Wray said.
‘I don’t know right now whether that bullet, in addition to causing the grazing, could have landed somewhere else.’
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Wrong Wray needs to be axed when trump wins.
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Axelrod says Trump is a “substantial favorite” over Harris.
Apologies if that offends anyone.
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I actually see a silver lining in these “good” polls for Harris.
They make it unlikely she will be replaced at the convention. Let’s face it, Harris is the weakest candidate the Dems could field outside of maybe Mayor Butt.
Now, if she wins anyway, we are royally f–ked.
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The Dumbchuck troll is back.
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Carville is also already hedging his bets.
I know he wanted Biden out but he was hoping for a “mini primary” to get rid of Harris.
Now he is saying she “faces serious challenges”
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Tina, the upper echelon of the FBI needs to be cleansed.
Apologies if that offends anyone here.
Chicon
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Fox News has invited Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump to debate each other in Pennsylvania on Sept. 17, according to copies of the letters obtained by CNBC.
The invitation comes a day after Trump said he would be willing to debate Harris, the newly minted de facto Democratic nominee, multiple times on a call with reporters.
Fox News proposed that its political anchors, Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum, serve as moderators for the debate. The company said it is “open to discussion” on the exact terms of the debate, including the date, format, location and whether an in-person audience would be present.
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Axelrod also wanted a mini primary.
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She is trailing badly. The poles are not improving for her. She is toxic and incompetent minus the dementia.
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cerebrochuck is totally wrong about “the excitement is out of the Trump campaign.”
Actually, they were ready for the switch and pounced on Harris the moment the news broke. Trump never mentioned Biden in his long speech.
Furthermore, all the polling shows the Republicans are much more enthused to vote for their candidate compared to Democrats. That’s just a fact.
Trump was not my pick, as my dream ticket was DeSantis/Youngkin.
I am not a Trump cult-member. But to say the excitement is out is factually wrong.
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GFY. I only called Trump a RINO.
Tina is the one with the huge RINO list.
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The llama lover says…”I actually see a silver lining in these “good” polls for Harris.
They make it unlikely she will be replaced at the convention.”
Excellent point. Sue me.
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Baier is a never Trumper.. Not sure about Martha.
But they are both better than anyone at the other networks and they will ask Kamala some tough questions.
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@jasonyupanqui
I have no idea why you choose to use that language. I do not recognize your username and I have never had an exchange with you, neither do i need to.
Keep it classy will ya? You have one vote. As do others.
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Excellent point. Sue me.
Chicon”
Zzzzz…
This sordid attempt to bersmirch my reputation by agreeing with me has been tried and has failed before.
GFY.
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Dumbchuck recognized himself with the name I gave him?
LOL
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Jason, Obama is alleged to have said he doesn’t think Harris can beat Big Orange.
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Keep it classy will ya?”
I have little patience for stupid trolls.
Now get lost.
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2024 GE:
@Rasmussen_Poll
🟥 Trump: 50% (+7)
🟦 Harris: 43%
🟪 Other: 4%
—
🟥 Trump: 49% (+7)
🟦 Harris: 42%
🟨 RFK Jr: 4%
🟩 Stein: 1%
—
D35/R33/I32 | 1,074 LV | July 22-24
https://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/election_2024_trump_50_harris_43
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Jason, your reputation stands on it’s own…. 😉
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“Obama is alleged to have said he doesn’t think Harris can beat Big Orange.”
He was holding out to see if he could get an open convention to get rid of her.
Since that failed, he will endorse her.
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Tina is the one with the huge RINO list.”
Actually, it’s a waste of time to consult her RINO list.
You have to look at at her NON-RINO list, which is 100x shorter and changes hourly.
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Jason, your reputation stands on it’s own”
Stop trying to get on my good side. It won’t work.
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I know there is no good side…
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The talk of flipping NJ and NY is over and done with”
Maybe. But Kamala is going to get killed on Staten Island, Long Island and upstate NY, worse than Biden. Hopefully that will help with some congressional seats.
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Here is an update to my chart showing in numbers the movement of each pollster, comparing their new Trump vs Harris poll against each pollster’s prior poll that was Trump vs. Biden, and to keep it fair, its each pollster’s prior poll that was before the debate that exposed Biden to the world as a demented fool. That is the only way to compare apples to apples.
No difference: ActiVote, Morning Consult
Advantage Trump:
Forbes/HarrisX, +6
Echelon Insights +1
Marist/NPR +3
FAU +3
Economist/YouGov +3
RMG Research +1
Rasmussen +1
Big Village +1
Advantage Harris:
Quinnipiac +2 (Harris still losing 49/47)
Yahoo/YouGov +1 (tied at 46)
Reuters/IPSOS +4 (Harris ahead 44/42)
CNN +3 (Harris still losing 49/46)
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Trump got 38% in NY in 2020.
I am taking bets he will improve by at least 5 points in 2024.
Any takers?
Dumbchuck?
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Trump lost my vote by picking Vance, but I have momentous news.
Mrs. Jason announced she will still vote for Trump.
Lupita is still on the fence.
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I am waiting for Harris to secure the nomination before getting Lupita to cast her vote.
Normally what I do is have two sheets of paper with the pictures of the candidates. I show them to her.
The one she eats first is the winner.
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Where is NYC?
He is still researching the “context” of telling me to “go back to where I came from”.
I guess he hasn’t come up with anything yet.
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@DW
Youngkin is a great candidate after orange man finally throws in the towel. I don’t see Trump winning this race anymore. At least i hope. I can’t speak for anyone else.
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Hi Folks
The Rasmussen Poll shown above is D+2 with 35D/33R/32I.
Do any you folks have an opinion about the party ID? Based on the Trump by 7 number with the D+2 weighted result, it appears that President Trump could win the electoral college with a D+4 election.
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Jason will not be using his vote. I would ask to use it but in my town we only get to vote once.
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ATV Driver Commits Suicide After Running Down 80-Year-Old Donald Trump Supporter in Politically-motivated Attack
Some young kid just took his own life to try and stop an 80 year old from voting for Trump. I guess he wasn’t good at math either. He could have voted Dem for the next 60 years, while the 80 year old was probably on his last election.
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Hi DW,
Check my 11:02am post about the RAS Poll. What’s your analysis?
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The 7 points in the Ras pole must sting
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Trump could lose the election if he does mean posts on truth.
-Free passer
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NYCMike has probably rethought his decision to reappear. This joint is better at getting rid of people that whoever dumped Joe.
Chicon
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This is CNN:
Abby Phillip: “This moment puts (Biden), you know, with a bunch of American greats, you know, the sort of George Washingtons of the world.”
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Again, nobody at HHR said this.
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Jason will not be using his vote. I would ask to use it but in my town we only get to vote once.”
Are you sure?
Those high class voting machines in Radnor that allow you to vote “against” a candidate might allow you to cast two votes, you never know.
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Hi Tina,
Is D+2 really where we are?
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Marv, according to CNN exits polls, 2020 was D+1 and 2016 was D+3. So D+2 seems reasonable. As long as Trump keeps his lead with indies, he wins.
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Marv,
The D+2 is probably close to the truth, maybe a slight edge for the Ds, giving ballot harvesting and the Dem GOTV machine. But nobody can accuse Rasmussen of putting the thumb on the scale with a D+2 sample.
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NYCMike has probably rethought his decision to reappear.”
Nah, he will be back once he comes up with a non-racist “context” to “go back from where you came from”.
Give him a break, it is a real challenge.
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Marv I could see it be no more than d plus 2. I thought many pollstees had it at drat plus 4.
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Hi DW,
I didn’t mean to imply that RAS put their thumb on the scale. I am just wondering if it might actually be a D+3 or 4 election. If so, I think we still win electoral college.
If it’s anywhere near D+2, MSNBC or CNN is must see TV on election night.
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In the comprehensive Rasmussen Poll it indicated something like 62% thought cheating would affect the election. The current number reflects a growing number of people aware of cheating than earlier – over 70% are republicans, but also includes increased swaths of indies and even Dems.
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Hi JeffG,
Thanks. So, it appears that in 2016, Trump won Indies but a substantial margin, but in 2020 he lost them narrowly.
Bases solely in the current RAS Poll, Trump will have an electoral college landslide and a healthy popular vote win, with all the usual caveats of course. Never spike the football on the 5 yard line!!
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Looking at the Emerson numbers, it appears that the half of the Kennedy voters that had come from Biden have jumped from Kennedy to Harris. Makes sense. They were not voting FOR Kennedy, just saying that they wanted to vote, but both Trump and Biden were not acceptable. So its up to team Trump to show these voters that Harris is not acceptable either.
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Olympics off to a rough start:
Three of the torch carriers are drag queens this year.
Europe Invasio
@EuropeInvasionn
Day 1 at the Paris Olympics: The football match between Argentina and Morocco was postponed due to the attack on the Marronies field. Theft of athletes wallets, rings and watches. The Australian Cycling team’s car was vandalized and athletes belongings were stolen
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For those waiting anxiously for an update on the women’s soccer game between Japan and Spain.
1-1 end of first half.
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Those same exit polls showed Trump winning indies 46-42 in 2016 but losing them by 13 to Biden in 2020. I agree we need to act like we’re behind. We can’t celebrate until Nov. 6.
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Kennedy is going to top off at 1%.
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Two goals in one half! It’s a shootout!
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Will the drats do another switcheroo? Kampala is a train wreck
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I cannot believe the media claiming she was not the border czar.
unbelievable.
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Tina, the final move is Big Mike.
Chicon
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https://www.breitbart.com/the-media/2024/07/24/nolte-desperate-media-seek-to-erase-kamala-harris-failed-border-czar-role/
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/07/24/kamala-cover-up-govtrack-deletes-website-ranking-harris-2019s-most-liberal-senator/
The media and others are scrambling to whitewash Harris’s support of radical policies. The border czar title has been refuted, and now her selection as the most liberal Senator back in 2019 has been scrubbed from the govtrack website.
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Yup, Michael in the bullpen.
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Interesting move by the House.
Greg Price
@greg_price11
BREAKING: The House just voted in favor of a resolution condemning border czar Kamala Harris for the open border catastrophe. Six Democrats voted with every Republican: Peltola, Golden, MGP, Caraveo, Don Davis, and Cuellar.
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Tina/Chicon. – Axelrod has come out several times saying Michelle is not interested in running.
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is this still a conspiracy?
REPORT: Gab Founder Andrew Torba Allegedly Finds Evidence that Trump Would-Be Assassin Thomas Crooks Had an Account on Gab and Supported Joe Biden
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https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/opinion/local-cops-refusing-to-share-info-with-fbi-as-agency-suffers-crisis-of-confidence-with-dei-hires-whistleblower-report-reveals/
”Most concerning is what the alliance of whistleblowers calls a “crisis of confidence” in FBI-led task forces where relationships with local cops have deteriorated to the point of “imploding” in some cases because of “poor management and ineffective leadership by the FBI.”
Local cops said their precipitous loss of trust in the FBI was triggered by its excessive response to the Capitol riot of Jan. 6, 2021, followed by the raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida.
One source, a 25-year veteran sergeant in the Major Crimes Division of a large police force in a Western state, said they “cannot understand why the FBI is not going after [far-left militant group] Antifa, BLM and pro-Palestinian rioters with the same vigor the FBI brought to bear against” J6 participants.”
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Tina says…”is this still a conspiracy?
REPORT: Gab Founder Andrew Torba Allegedly Finds Evidence that Trump Would-Be Assassin Thomas Crooks Had an Account on Gab and Supported Joe Biden.”
Even asking if the kid had a social media account is a conspiracy. Posting this will give Bitter the vapors. I mean, what will his fellow sweater-wearing suburbanites think of him?
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Jan, I understand Big Mike says (s)he’s not interested in running. I think that Harris is extremely likely to be the nominee; but if she falters soon I could see….”I absolutely did not want to put my family through this, but to save the coutry….”
Chicon
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Yeah, I can see that…however, time is running out, if that makes any difference for the Dems.
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Harris is the nominee. Any talk of her being replaced at the convention is foolishness at this point.
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C
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Somehow, it’s less satisfying when the number isn’t next to the post.
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DW, the odds of Harris being the nominee is likely in the upper 90’s. I’ll fully count out Big Mike when it is official, given that just did the same thing to The Veggie.
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Zzzzzzz So the person who shot Trump liked Biden. Shocking.
Here in the real word, a conspiracy needs a minimum of 2 people acting together. So far, we have 1.
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So the person who shot Trump liked Biden.”
Wow.
And Biden had traveled overseas recently.
ITS AN INTERNATIONAL CONSPIRACY!!
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Bitter, I think we have to increase the Deep State budget.
I mean when they have recruit a 20-year old loser living in his parent’s basement and who had to borrow his dad’s rifle to do the shooting you know they must low on funds.
Or maybe hold an investigation to see if they have been spending too much money on those snazzy Deep State uniforms and that gold altar in the secret cave where they sacrifice a conservative on full moon nights.
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Sorry. The site did not have that option.
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Everyone seems to think Big Mike is a formidable candidate.
I don’t.
Kamala may be a dingbat, but she is at least a former prosecutor, a senator and VP.
Big Mike’s claim to fame is a failed vegetable garden in the WH and introducing food kids won’t eat in schools.
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France 15 Hungary 12 so far in women’s handball.
I will let you guys know how it turned out.
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ok switching gears, Jason (or anyone) did you watch the whole video of Trump and DeChambeau.
Takeaways
Trump is actually quite good at golf. Hits the ball straight with a baby cut every time. I didn’t expect him to be that good. He would trash Biden. Plus, he’s knocking the ball out there for a guy 78 years old.
Playing a Sim with a Tour AD shaft…its a spin machine. If I played that id be clocking in at over 4000 rpm LOL
He’s quite engaging, down to earth and it was actually fun seeing him interact on such a personal level. Iwish the rest of the country could see him like this. I wish he would act like this on the stump, no way he’d lose.
I suggest watching it, not for the golf but to see him in this environment
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So true but fun to mention it.
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People say Harris is a poor politician. Not sure, but she did – all by herself – get a couple thousand delegates to commit to her within 24 hours.
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2024 GE: YouGov/
@thetimes
🟥 Trump: 46%
🟦 Harris: 44%
🟨 RFK Jr: 4%
🟩 Stein: 1% 4 (2.9/3.0) | 1,170 RV | 7/22-23 | ±3.2%
https://thetimes.com/world/us-world/article/trump-v-harris-polls-latest-debate-c85fhzxwq?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1721927258-1
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, Jason (or anyone) did you watch the whole video of Trump and DeChambeau”
No, but i saw a highlight where Trump nailed an 18 ft putt, and DecChambeau threw himself on the green in amazement.
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He has an unorthodox swing but drives it consistently straight for over 200 yards. Not bad for 78.
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Not sure that Trump’s golf skills are a game changer. Of course, the few people I know who belong to country clubs are Democrats so maybe they will switch to Trump.
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Vic says….”He’s quite engaging, down to earth and it was actually fun seeing him interact on such a personal level. Iwish the rest of the country could see him like this.”
Ssshhhhh, don’t tell Bitter you think this, or he’ll call you a cultist and give you his phone number for a “personal talk”.
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I don’t think it will change votes necessarily.
But it does take some of the wind out of the new “Trump is too old” meme (new because Biden wasn’t too old).
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”He’s quite engaging, down to earth and it was actually fun seeing him interact on such a personal level.”
Vic, people who have met with him personally have said the same thing, even those who are liberals like Naomi Wolff. Also, he has good relationships with his staff and employees, unlike Harris, who had horrible feedback from her staff.
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Not sure, but she did – all by herself – get a couple thousand delegates to commit to her within 24 hours.”
Ma, there is some bait in the water.
But I will bite.
Harris had little to do with getting those delegates. At most she made a few phone calls to the heads of the delegations.
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France 22 Hungary 21
Good game
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oh that poll I just posted showing Trump +2? The sample is D+9!!!
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I’ve never played golf. But my father-in-law loved the game. He played with a group of Greek men calling themselves “The Greek Army.” They would travel around the US together playing various golf courses.
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DW – Wow. I do think as more people see Harris they will move to Trump. She was a nightmare on the campaign trail during the Dem primaries when she was expected to be a force.
All regarding the golf video – wasn’t meant to be something that moved the needle towards Trump at all. Just thought it was engaging and a bit revealing. As well, its killing it online. DeChambeau has gotten 10X his normal views and gained over 400,000 subs in two days.
btw – watch this video. Very interesting. And yes, the shooter did get off 8 shots, so the only shot from snipers back at him killed him. One bullet one kill.
https://www.foxnews.com/us/new-drone-footage-shows-sight-line-trump-shooter-used-fire-rally
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Jan – I used to play all over socal before I moved to TX. There was literally a major city tournament or qualifier almost every week. It was great. There was also a big skins game in Diamond Bar. $50 to the pot and 70-100 guys played in it. You could make some big $$$
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Democrats hold around a D +7 registration advantage nationwide. That’s not off the mark by a lot. Believe it or not
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Vic you have the enthusiasm for golf similar to my father-in-law. He played the game twice a week locally, unless going out of state for games. An early member was Telly Savalas and later Tom Hanks Greek father-in-law – very interesting members in that group, all equally into the game.
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Tony Shaffer feels the disdain for Harris and her Marxist policy bent is being underreported by the press.
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LOL Cereb – in a never trumps dream it won’t be D+7 I don’t even think ’08 was that high
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Democrats hold around a D +7 registration advantage nationwide. That’s not off the mark by a lot. Believe it or not’
Only because of lopsided advantages in registration in states like CA, IL, NY and other blue states. Where the vote actually counts, swing states, it is a lot closer.
So even if D +7 was true (it is probably lower) won’t help them just like leading a national poll by +2 won’t help them.
Sorry, Dumbchuck.
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“Democrats hold around a D +7 registration advantage nationwide.”
Many states have no party registration. Meaningless info you posted here. The only metric that means anything is the exit polling on election day. 2020 was D+1 and 2016 was D+3.
Furthermore, many states have shown the GOP share of registered voters has grown over Democrats since 2020.
Saying “That’s not off the mark by a lot” means you are either a very cheap troll, or not very well informed.
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So Dumbchuck, here are some things on your candidate’s agenda.
Is there anything you oppose or is all of it good for you?
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Saying “That’s not off the mark by a lot” means you are either a very cheap troll, or not very well informed.”
You are hard on Dumbchuck.
He could well be both, a cheap troll AND poorly informed.
Don’t underestimate him just because he is a troll.
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You obviously have issues with me. I thought you would want to discuss them rather than type back and forth.
NYC called me last week.
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I have also had lunch with Walt and WV Ali a few years ago.
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I was just going to post this, so it is very apropos.
“As of Monday, Bucks County has flipped red, with Republicans gaining a more than 200 voter registration advantage over Democrats.
Pat Poprick, chair of the Bucks County Republican Committee, said this turn marks the culmination of a years-long effort by Republican organizers in one of Pennsylvania’s most sharply divided counties.
“We’re all ecstatic. This is something since 2007, that’s the last time we’ve been in the majority, so this has been something that’s been very important to all of us,” she said.
Republicans closed a gap of 10,000 registered voters dating to November 2020. At that time, registered Democrats in Bucks numbered over 208,000, with Republicans topping out over 198,000.
As of Monday, Republicans now number 198,045, with Democratic registrations at 197,781.”
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Bitter is also saving up to buy me the most expensive dinner in Philadelphia history.
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Damm, I don’t want to be unkind, but I wonder if they did a DNA on some of the Zambia players who are going to play the US now in women’s soccer.
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Jason, only 17 of those Bucks County Republicans will vote for Trump.
Chicon
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Gallup suggested party id was close to even. Ds are not plus 7
lol
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secret service refused drones from the local cops.
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Three polls today with Trump favorability with the net unfavorable down to middle single digits. Improvement no doubt result of shooting.
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in the YouGov poll Kamala’s best issue is abortion.
But even so, it is only 51-37.
It confirms my view that the Dems are greatly overplaying the importance of this issue.
The people VERY committed to this issue, a distinct minority. are already voting Democratic. And even then, the 37% the prefer Trump on abortion is a sizeable percentage that is probably higher in swing states.
i hope the Dems keep thinking this is a big winning issue for them.
It isn’t.
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Ds are not plus 7′
Noooo…
Could Dumbchuck troll be wrong/
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USA 2 Zambia 0 first 20 minutes.
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Make it 3-0
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“…Democrats in Bucks numbered over 208,000, with Republicans topping out over 198,000.
As of Monday, Republicans now number 198,045, with Democratic registrations at 197,781.”
I don’t want to cr@p all over those figures since I will take any victory, especially one that highlights the weakness of my foes. Seems to me, though, that the GOP gained 45 voters at best, while the Dems LOST at least 10,219. That’s big in and of itself. The question for me is, did those Dems die off, or just move elsewhere and take their wretched voting habits with them?
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Tina, Gallups monthly survey just put the figures (with leaners) at 47 GOP and 46 Dem. Anyone who thinks the electorate will be D+7 in November is smoking something really strong.
I could see a D+2 if they gin up their vote, but given both long and short term trends, I suspect the range will be D+1 to R+1 if Trump’s voters are more engaged (and damned near every survey I have sen so far shows that Republicans are more enthused to vote).
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“NYCMike has probably rethought his decision to reappear. This joint is better at getting rid of people that whoever dumped Joe.”
-That’s funny.
No, just re-thought my decision to engage with one person who hurls the word “racist’ around like a Democrat. Similar to when “CG” said I was racist because I wrote “Benjamin Accords” instead of Abraham Accords.
With people like him around, words lose their meanings. Alinsky would be proud.
Cheers.
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From now on, I am going to refer to her as “Border Czar Harris” in defiance of the media’s attempt to scrub that fact from history.
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Golf video with Trump and Bryson is great! Best part is that A LOT of people hate Bryson, but he doesn’t give 2 sheetZ, just goes out and does great work, for himself and for others.
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Headline: A Third of Democrats Wish Trump Was Killed
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Exit polls showed D+7 in 2008 and D+6 in 2012 for Obama’s two wins. It’s not going to be anywhere close to that this year.
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Damm, NYC was gone all this time and still hasn’t come up with the “context” of his racist statement that i “should go back to where I came from”.
I knew it wasn’t going to be easy, but I didn’t think it would be that hard either. I thought he could have come up with something creative.
“who hurls the word “racist’ around like a Democrat”
Maybe you can tell us who else here I am accusing of being racist.
Can’t think of any?
I guess you are special
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Headline: A Third of Democrats Wish Trump Was Killed”
The other 2/3rds are liars…
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Thanks gf.
so R plus 1
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/07/25/nolte-poll-donald-trump-leads-kamala-harris-7-nationally-50-43-percent/
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Just to beat them to it….
“It is a long tradition at HHR to fisk/skew the polls”
Chicon
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”Headline: A Third of Democrats Wish Trump Was Killed”
Apparently when Wray was questioned he admitted there were several in the FBI who voiced the same wishes.
,,,,,,and all the media talks about is the “hatred” seen by MAGA.
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Jan, and some ostriches trust the government implicitly.
Chicon
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I will e-mail your invitation. Oh. Forget that.
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New thread will load at 5:00. Carry on fighting there.
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Give the FBI more money. They deserve it.
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Bitter, the issues I have with you have been posted here ad nauseum.
I’ve decided that if you can’t beat ’em, join ’em.
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Jan, and some ostriches trust the government implicitly”
Can you name such ostriches here that “trust the government implicitly?
This ought to be good.
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New thread for a new poll
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NT
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Poster A: “Jan, and some ostriches trust the government implicitly.”
Poster B: “Can you name such ostriches **here** that “trust the government implicitly?”
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