Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
109 responses to “I am at a concert. GFYs”
Bitter….
No, not even close. How was he able to do it? Were the agents all napping? Were their comms not working? If not, why? How did they decide NOT to have someone on a roof that close? Why did they let Trump go on the stage with a person of interest unaccounted for?
And many others.
Can you answer those for us? Is it okay with you that we even dare ask these questions?
Enjoy the show.
Chicon
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Does anyone want to comment why the polling seems to have so dramatically turned towards the Dems with the appointment of Harris at the top of the ticket?
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sure, but what polling? I expected nothing else from Reuters/IPSOS, but the Marist/NPR poll was a good one for Trump, when you realize its D+6 and Trump winning indies. The Georgia poll was done by a notoriously bad pollster who sampled only 400 LV on one day and has a huge 5 for MoE. Click on the Georgia Polls tab to see other Trump vs. Harris polls that are much better news for Trump.
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Ask what you want. All your statements fall under unacceptable negligence and F’ing up.
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Because she is 22 years younger and can complete a sentence?
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The prior Marist poll was Biden 50, Trump 48, so this is movement toward Trump.
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yeah, I guess I was referring to the last Georgia poll you posted. It surprised me to see how close the numbers were.
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FWIW, Polymarket has Harris surging……
All the way to 35%.
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“and can complete a sentence” if its on a teleprompter. If she is answering a question extemporaneously, then its often a word salad.
But yes, any time you are running for office and your demented opponent drops out for someone not demented, its going to be a harder race to win.
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I really don’t want Harris anywhere near the WH after this election is over. In some ways I think she may be even worse than Hillary!
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Furthermore, Landmark Communications poll of GA was their first of this election cycle. So no baseline of comparison against Biden.
But the University of Georgia polling for the Atlanta Urinal-Constipation had just found Trump +5 over Harris in a 1000 likely voter sample, and InsiderAdvantage had it Trump +10 over Harris in a 800 likely voter sample.
The average of these two is likely closer to the truth.
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Harris is infinitely worse than Clinton. For all her negatives at least she’s intelligent and experienced. Kampala is neither of those
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Rasmussen pollster, Mark Mitchell, being asked same question I asked. He’s validating DW’s answer, adding that the last GA poll was taken from registered voters. His firm only polls likely voters, which he says is more reliable. He also says Harris has always polled lower than Biden in the polls done by him, making him question the current one in GA, calling it a “bad” poll.
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Validates what Ron Johnson has said about the lack of cooperation from various departments:
”The heads of the Secret Service, FBI, and Department of Homeland Security have reportedly declined to testify on the second day of the Congressional hearing into the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump.”
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Steve Miller is 80. Sounds good. Maybe he should have run instead of Biden.
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Here’s an article discussing CNN’s Harry Enten’s analysis of the race. For those who like to have a negative outlook on Trump’s chances, don’t read it.
https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2024/07/23/cnns-harry-enten-has-more-bad-news-for-kamala-harris-n2177281
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overconfidence. Overconfidence overconfidence we shall not yield to thee
republicans have to realize it’s not going to be a cakewalk. Not with mail in voting. Not with six weeks of early voting. Not with ballot harvesting. Not with midnight outages and vote counting stoppages
as well, look for Dems to coalesce behind Harris, no matter how bad she is. They hate losing and hate Trump and hate America. They will stop at nothing to ensure they remain in power
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Those answers seem believable.
Also Baris says her numbers may improve as she consolidates support of
ds. But this would be based largely on California.
Baris says her polling in must win counties is poor.
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I believe trump sent too many mean tweets. That is why his numbers are down.
-free passer
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Always play like you are 10 points behind. After Trump’s RNC speech an analyst at CNN or MSNBC said the last time he saw a convention that energized and certain of victory was….2016 with Hillary Clinton. He asked the libs how that worked out? This is not over so keep working to win.
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Trump obtains the union support from the Nevada culinary workers. Anything helps.
All hands on deck.
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I am on my way to Nevada
Go phuq yourselves
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is that real Tina?
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I removed the Ridin’ with Biden stickers on the back of all my mules. They have been fitted with fancy Kamala bumper stickers.
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Just for the record, saying things are going well when analyzing polls doesn’t affect anything in the real world.
Anyone is free to ignore positive information if it makes them happy.
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We shall see the return of unskewing polls
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Chicon, not saying don’t enjoy positive news, and I think in the long run Kamala is a much worse candidate than Biden, even with the age thing…We are just saying we hope the Trump campaign doesn’t get complacent, or republican voters think its in the bag and don’t show up
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Vic yeah he just got the union endorsement in Nevada
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Vic – President Hillary Clinton counted on all of the positive polls. Oh wait.
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That is huge!! That is usually how Harry Reid kept his machine rolling and winning. With that endorsement that should take Nevada off the table.
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Vic that is per Larry Schweitzer’s tweet.
The union has 60000 workers
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Exactly. Moreover it could be two reasons. Why he got it
no tax on tips.
Kampala wants illegals to have access to Medicare which will make it go bust faster.
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is this a conspiracy to the ambulance chaser?
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/07/additional-three-individuals-identified-as-suspicious-prior-trump/
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yikes.
https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1815885139274063993
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“Does anyone want to comment why the polling seems to have so dramatically turned towards the Dems with the appointment of Harris at the top of the ticket?”
Well, stop and consider that all the polls showed Custer should easily defeat Sitting Bull at the Little Big Horn.
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“I removed the Ridin’ with Biden stickers on the back of all my mules”
How about just changing it to say
“Riding Kamala Until She Can’t Take It No More”
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Did someone mention riding Kamala?
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Or maybe “Until She Taps Out”
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Zzzzzzzz Did they all shoot? I only counted one shooter.
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“Crooks fired eight times
Investigators believe that Crooks fired eight rounds before he was killed by counter-snipers, Paris said.
“I believe that the number is eight,” Paris told the committee. “Eight casings have been recovered.” “
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Did they check the grassy knoll?
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Journey is killing it. Great band.
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Next up….Def Leppard.
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JD Vance will be the killer of the Trump ticket. Highest unfavorable #s of any vice presidential candidate ever.
This guy is out-Palining Sarah Palin. It’s incredible how republican strategists thought the most bland, uninspiring man from the midwest should be the VP candidate in 2024.
I’m calling it here. Kamala Harris will be the next president unless somehow there’s a revolt against Vance and he’s dropped. He brings zero election value. Tim Scott or a woman should have been the VP but the GOP is too busy living in 1980 to care.
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An example of the type of ads all down-ballot D candidates will face….
https://x.com/PhilipWegmann/status/1815903712180621734?t=84PiaqYabdh85xqJQWPvbg&s=01
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It’s odd, cerebrochuck, most here will tell you that the current Republican party bears no resemblance to the Republican Party of the 80’s.
Chicon
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Trump decided to lock down his MAGA base that was already going to vote for him.
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Reagan’s GOP actually believed in protecting America’s strategic interests and opposing Soviet expansion. Trump’s base pretends that the airplane and missiles were not invented so the oceans will protect us.
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NJ Sen. Menendez resigns from Senate.
Also, Walt has submitted stating he will not seek, nor will he accept, the nomination for Secretary of the EPBA for 2025.
Not sure what the second announcement may have on the NYSE.
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“JD Vance will be the killer of the Trump ticket. Highest unfavorable #s of any vice presidential candidate ever.
This guy is out-Palining Sarah Palin. It’s incredible how republican strategists thought the most bland, uninspiring man from the midwest should be the VP candidate in 2024.
I’m calling it here. Kamala Harris will be the next president unless somehow there’s a revolt against Vance and he’s dropped. He brings zero election value. Tim Scott or a woman should have been the VP but the GOP is too busy living in 1980 to care.”
-Love it when supposedly Republican voter just bash another Republican, but neglect to give any evidence as to why they hold such an opinion..
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Menendez will resign in August, I thought. Did you see otherwise?
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“Reagan’s GOP actually believed in protecting America’s strategic interests and opposing Soviet expansion. Trump’s base pretends that the airplane and missiles were not invented so the oceans will protect us.”
-Go back to the years 2017-2021.
Which “strategic interest” did Trump relinquish?
Did Russia/any other country expand at all?
Show your work.
Thanks.
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“Trump decided to lock down his MAGA base that was already going to vote for him.”
Among a couple of things, wasn’t the difference between the 2016 victory and the 2020 loss a slightly smaller Trump percentage in rural areas that showed Biden did much better than Hillary there?
Please let me know if I am wrong on that score.
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I only see abortion ad after abortion ad.
free passer
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Unless you are in the Philadelphia ad market, you can STFU, Tina. That is what is running here.
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NYC,
just saw a headline that said that on MSM that said that. Did not click to read. Not sure of immediate resign or at a future date. Sorry.
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Vance was a very weak pick.
Cerebrochuk sounds like a troll.
Both can be true.
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cerebrochuck, where are you getting those dismal stats on Vance? Do you have a link?
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Def Leppard is rocking out.
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@nycmike23
I’m old enough to remember when we had pragmatic voters in the GOP. I was even willing to give Trump a look because my major concern is the US economy and inflation. I work in the financial industry. I don’t care about culture wars and i actually want to see republicans grab low hanging wins. Tim Scott was a no brainer pick or idk any current or ex female republican governor who’s not a gaffe machine…there’s a couple of them. Anyone of them would do but y’all had to pick JD Vance? A political neophyte with no punch and no appeal to any key electorate in 2024. This recalcitrant 1980 style politics will not work in 2024. Brace yourselves for a Kamala presidency.
On the flip side, it’ll be the end of Trump. We can rebuild the GOP for the future.
Source of VP favorability data: Harry Enten on twitter conducted an aggregate of VP favorable numbers and JD Vance was the least likeable VP ever.
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Pass the bong
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Jan that’s a brutal ad against Kampala
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“Source of VP favorability data: Harry Enten on twitter conducted an aggregate of VP favorable numbers and JD Vance was the least likeable VP ever.”
-You can post it. Most people here would like to see the reasons behind your statements.
Also seeing Beshear go after Vance, so I’ll take that as a positive.
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Meant chicon., sorry janz. Was not sure who linked the ad at first
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When was Jd Vance vice president?
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“I’m old enough to remember when we had pragmatic voters in the GOP.”
-Everyone voting for Trump is being pragmatic. He won before, he can do it again.
The only Republicans I see taking their ball and going home are some of the ones who didn’t vote Trump in the primary. Circle the wagons, stop any criticism of Republicans, and go after the Democrats. The time to go after Trump/Vance and Republicans in Congress will be when they start making decisions in the White House and the halls of Congress.
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“Vance was a very weak pick.” – this will be written at least once a day until Election Day by the llama-lover…..
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Wut about Kampala’s favorability, or lack of it? She is toxic.
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Liz Cheney wouls have been a solid pick as vp.
Free passer
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“On the flip side, it’ll be the end of Trump. We can rebuild the GOP for the future.”
-Yes, piss off and ignore the millions who voted/will vote for him and his policies. Sounds like a great plan.
Again, from 01/2017-01/2021- which strategic interests did he relinquish?
Did Russia/any other country expand under his watch?
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@nycmike23 Selective amnesia is forgetting that Trump won three states by a total of 78,000 votes. This includes MI, WI.
Trump’s victory in 2020 took everyone by surprise. To win again, you MUST break beyond your base. The base is not enough. Not with abortion on the ballot. The weakest issue for reps.
We’ll find out who wins on election day but don’t come crying about cheating when he inevitably loses again because you ran a 1980 style race and not a 2024 race. Be well.
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Coreeeee
Be well.
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Cere,
Did you mean Trump’s win in 2016?
Who were your 3 favorite presidents in your lifetime?
Three worst?
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Favorites: 1. Eisenhower 2. Reagan 3. LBJ
Worst: 1. Clinton 2. Trump 3. No one else makes the list.
Dubya was dumb but he was OK
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Which nobody at HHR ever said.
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Trump proved he was a moron by saying he would solve the Russian war in 24 hours.
Vance is a complete isolationist, NYC. Read his speeches about letting Ukraine fall without any more U.S. help.
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Worse than John Adams?
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LBJ? There is no way you are a conservative.
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There is no Trump ideology. His appeal is being Trump. Not a lasting movement.
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Said by nobody at HHR.
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NYC – Maybe you missed that only Jan thought it was a great pick.
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Bitter – its Corey. You knew he would surface somehow .He waited until his preferred candidate Kamala showed up, you know the one that supports Hamas and not Israel.
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“Vance was a very weak pick.” – this will be written at least once a day until Election Day by the llama-lover…..”
Not really. I was just replying to Dumbchuck who you can bet is a troll. The guy is in the financial market and thinks Trump was one of the worst Presidents ever? Too stupid to even be a moron, has to be a troll.
I have said my piece about Vance. I won’t vote to put him a heartbeat from the Presidency but I don’t really think he damages Trump’s prospects, he just doesn’t help. Rubio or Youngkin or even Haley would have helped.
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Haley would have helped more than Rubio, but about on par with Youngkin, though I think with Kamala on top of teh ticket instead of on the bottom it gives them VA. All those govt workers will worship her.
He should have picked a woman.
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General Election – Age 18-29
@YouGov Poll:
🔵 Harris 58% (+25)
🔴 Trump 33%
@QuinnipiacPoll
🔴Trump 58% (+19)
🔵 Harris 39%
You should believe all polls!!!
🙄🧐🤨🤔
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MG WTH is that?
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I’m shocked more people are not making a bigger deal about Kamala declining to see Netanyahu. No wonder he wants to meet with Trump.
Kamala will make Biden look like a dream by the time she finishes
remember when we underestimated obama and got eight years of him. Eight years which have destroyed the country as we are now truly reaping what he sowed with these Gen z freaks
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That is two different polls. YouGov poll says Harris is winning the young vote and Quinnipiac says the opposite is true!
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Vic, who said Harris will not meet with Netanyahu?
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https://www.business-standard.com/world-news/harris-to-pitch-for-end-of-war-in-her-white-house-meet-with-netanyahu-124072400071_1.html
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MG
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/kamala-harris-wont-preside-over-netanyahu-address-top-dem-senator-also-refuses.amp
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she boycotted his speech like other Dems
they truly are the party of terrorist lovers. This is a direct result of Obama’s love affair with Iran
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But he won’t vote to stop Harris from being President. In a swing state.
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Not Corey’s e-mail. Of course, Jason’s is fake so who knows?
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you might be right. If so my apologies to Corey
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@Bitterlaw LBJ was a good man who signed a consequential law in our history. The question was favorite not “most conservative”. Besides I’m a moderate.
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I am a moderate too
-Russian Hoaxer
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Most of LBJ’s contemporaries thought he was a miserable bastard.
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The reason I have Corey’s e-mail address is because he contacted me.
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He lurks.
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No New polls….yet.
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lbj was vile and disgusting.
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This is how Kamala Harris raised all that money in one day. Silver Throat’s donors mostly had no idea they even donated.
https://x.com/JoeyMannarinoUS/status/1816063125789065493?t=7NJNn-Ddnr65JZQ1UZ6vng&s=19
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https://trendingpoliticsnews.com/gop-senate-candidate-releases-ruthless-attack-ad-focusing-on-kamala-harris-cmc/?utm_medium=agg&utm_source=economics
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Fec chair says that the money cannot legally transfer from demented to Kampala. It must be returned
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MizDonna
@donwill94062871
Why are we fighting about how to highlight Kamala’s failures? There are so many, and the answer seems to be simple. Campaigns hit the policy failures. Memers hit the personal/DEI Conservative press highlight her word salads like the WFB did with Veep thoughts. All hands on deck
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https://x.com/amuse/status/1816099998158770320?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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2024 GE: YouGov/Economist
🟥 Trump: 44%
🟦 Harris: 41%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
🟪 Other: 4%
—
538: #4 | 1,435 RV | July 21-23
https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_U76IOiF.pdf#page=8
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New Thread
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