According to MRG/Detroit News:
 | MICHIGAN – MRG |
| Trump | 39 |
| Biden | 36 |
| Other | 14 |
| Undecided | 11 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
According to MRG/Detroit News:
| MICHIGAN – MRG |
| Trump | 39 |
| Biden | 36 |
| Other | 14 |
| Undecided | 11 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
11 responses to “The POTUS race continues. Trump ahead 3 in Michigan”
I wonder how much the fib will bury the assassination attempt?
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I have not said much here since Saturday night, simply because I am honestly not sure what to say. Sometimes its best to just cover one’s mouth and watch. Like in 1986 when in Game Six of the World Series, when the ball went through Buckner’s legs, scoring the winning run for the Mets, Vin Scully simply stayed silent for the subsequent 5 minutes, just rolling the film.
Here are my observations and predictions.
The picture of Trump, bloodied, head raised high with fist in the air with the secret service agents ducking below him and the American flag overhead is absolutely iconic. That is the photo of the year, and the photo that will define the rest of this race.
Trump personal favorability numbers have been pretty stagnant at net -10. That number will quickly close to zero, and then go into the positive, probably up to +5 or so. I don’t think it can go any higher.
The national horserace numbers will give Trump a temporary boost from the +5 he is getting now to probably +8 or +9, but again, in this polarized nation, its not possible to go any further. 40% of the electorate would vote for Satan himself so long as he had a D after his name.
Given the short timespan between the failed assassination attempt and the GOP convention, the viewership for Trump’s speech will be HUGE.
Watch for a bump in support for Trump among the black community, particularly black men in the urban areas. They have a candidate now who understands what its like to be shot.
The boost for Trump from the failed assassination will gradually wane as we get closer to election day, but his lead of +2 to +5 was already baked in and is not likely to go away.
The failed assassination got Biden’s mental incapacity off the headlines, which ironically saves his candidacy from replacement candidate.
Those are my thoughts. I could be right or wrong.
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Oh and I forgot one. The NY scam trial that is awaiting sentencing is now dead. There is no way the judge throws Trump in jail after this.
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DW, agree with just about everything you said.
I also think the solar energy, go green people will come out and say if there were solar panels on that roof, it would have deterred anyone from going up there to shoot anyone.
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Excellent post, DW. Trump says he’s rewritten his acceptance speech, with an emphasis on unity. I know some here strongly dislike the man, but he has an elite talent for marketing/reading the audience. If he goes that route for the rest of the campaign, he may keep some of the post-shooting bump.
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The Florida document charges have been dismissed.
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BREAKING.
Classified documents hoax case is tossed
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Sorry, chicon. You got it first.
judge says that stoner was illegally appointed.
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“Former President Trump’s Motion to Dismiss Indictment Based on the Unlawful Appointment and Funding of Special Counsel Jack Smith is GRANTED in accordance with this Order [ECF No. 326]. The Superseding Indictment is DISMISSED because Special Counsel Smith’s appointment violates the Appointments Clause of the United States Constitution,” the Monday morning order stated. “US Const., Art. II, § 2, cl. 2. Special Counsel Smith’s use of a permanent indefinite appropriation also violates the Appropriations Clause, U.S. Const., Art. I, § 9, cl. 7, but the Court need not address the proper remedy for that funding violation given the dismissal on Appointments Clause grounds.”
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No worries, Tina. This puts pressure on the DC judge, who faces the same question. A different ruling in DC sets up a potential Supreme Court decision on the topic.
Chicon
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NT
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