According to Remington Research Group:
 | MONTANA |
| Sheehy | 50 |
| Tester | 45 |
 | ARIZONA |
| Lake | 47 |
| Gallego | 47 |
 | WISCONSIN |
| Hovde | 48 |
| Baldwin | 48 |
 | OHIO |
| Moreno | 44 |
| Brown | 50 |
 | PENNSYLVANIA |
| McCormick | 48 |
| Casey | 49 |
 | MICHIGAN |
| Rogers | 43 |
| Slotkin | 47 |
 | NEVADA |
| Brown | 46 |
| Rosen | 48 |
 | TEXAS |
| Cruz | 53 |
| Allred | 43 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
35 responses to “Close senate races”
First!
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OH voters trying hard to compete with WV voters for being the most stupid when it comes to senate races.
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OH voters trying hard to compete with WV voters for being the most stupid when it comes to senate races.
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test
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I predict that all these close senate races will be won by Dems, except for TX.
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Hi gang, can you view my posts? Had issues with WordPress.
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Test…LOL
I remember back in school when the vice principal got on the intercom to announce for Juniors to come to the Library for some sort of test for a select group of students.
He said, “Would all of the testees please come to the library.”
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We are nearing 2 weeks post debate and demented keeps falling.
I see the nurse is even out there yelling. She seems like a person who mixed a few drinks with prescription meds.
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Its too early to know what’s going to happen in these senate races. And the ones polled by Remington are not the only competitive races. I don’t count out Hogan in MD, and NJ is interesting given Menendez running as an indy, Domenici is going to make it close in NM, as is Hung Cao in Virginia.
If the Dems stick with Biden, and it plays out that Biden gets worse, and by election day there is a complete collapse on the Dem side, it could create a huge turnout problem for them, resulting in many of these Dem senate candidates being caught up as collateral damage.
But if Biden is perceived to improve, and makes a tight race out of it, or if they replace Biden with someone who doesn’t have dementia, then these senate races will be tougher for the GOP.
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yes, Tina, we can see your comments.
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I think DW’s analysis of the current state of the senate races makes a lot of sense.
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Passed
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DW – I could also see Dem and Dem-leaning voters saying that Biden is doomed so they have to vote for Dem Senate candidates to curtail Trump.
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Sure Bitter, the college educated, informed voter would think that. But in the big cities, where the low-info voter is just pressed and compelled to vote every two years, you know the ones that get pulled onto the busses with the offer of a free pack of cigs and a sandwich, they will be harder to get out to vote if they perceive its already over on the POTUS race.
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thanks. I guess I am back.
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Russia will now interfere in the election because Demened has dementia.
Russia hoax 2.0 is born.
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Won’t start a new thread, but here is a link to a story that includes a Hogan internal poll that allegedly has Hogan over Alsobrooks 47-41
https://www.axios.com/2024/07/09/senate-republicans-maryland-larry-hogan
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more bad news for those dems asking for Harris instead:
2024 GE:
@RedfieldWilton
🟥 Trump: 43%
🟦 Biden: 42%
🟨 RFK Jr: 6%
🟪 Other: 2%
⬜ Undecided: 6%
—
🟥 Trump: 44%
🟦 Harris: 37%
🟨 RFK Jr: 8%
🟪 Other: 2%
⬜ Undecided: 6%
— 110 (1.8/3.0) | N=1,500 | July 8
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George Clooney wants Biden to drop out. If you lose Clooney, it’s over.
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And so once again, it appears the dems are the Donner party. Cannot get the wagons through to California (Stick with Biden), and cannot go back and rejoin the wagons headed for Oregon (switch to Kamala). They made the decision to go with Biden in 2020, and now they are stuck with this problem.
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Biden Dementia Catchphrase Dictionary:
“They told me” is what he says when he cannot remember details, but wants to act like its not his fault for getting the details wrong, its his staff at fault for not getting it right.
“LOOK” is the rescue word Biden says after a long pause, having rambled, and produced several half syllable sounds like “tss..s…suh..uh…[pause]…LOOK.”
“Not a Joke” is used when Biden sensed that what he said should have produced some sort of reaction from the crowd, but the crowd failed to react.
“Existential threat” is what he says to make something sound really bad. He has no idea what the word ‘existential’ means, but he can usually pronounce it, so that’s a positive.
“The very idea” is used to setup feigned outrage.
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Looks like demented went off script at a union meeting. The feed was pulled.
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I think Youngkin will be the vp pick. Seems like he is aligned with Maga on regulations and taxation.
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i now believe youngkin would be the mail in the coffin
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New addition after watching today’s attempt at giving a speech:
Biden Dementia Catchphrase Dictionary:
“They told me” is what he says when he cannot remember details, but wants to act like its not his fault for getting the details wrong, its his staff at fault for not getting it right.
“LOOK” is the rescue word Biden says after a long pause, having rambled, and produced several half syllable sounds like “tss..s…suh..uh…[pause]…LOOK.”
“Not a Joke” is used when Biden sensed that what he said should have produced some sort of reaction from the crowd, but the crowd failed to react.
“Existential threat” is what he says to make something sound really bad. He has no idea what the word ‘existential’ means, but he can usually pronounce it, so that’s a positive.
“The very idea” is used to setup feigned outrage.
“Thank you, thank you, thank you!” works whenever Biden is speaking to a friendly crowd and knows he should think of something new to say but nothing comes to mind.
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Clooney is the Obumblers go between.
demented may be out.
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News cycles still all about Biden staying or going. I get that Trump will have to announce the veep choice soon, but its a shame he will have to interrupt the news and given Biden a chance to hide back in the basement.
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Tina, Youngkin is the pick with the biggest upside; take VA and it’s all over. A potential bonus would be lifting Hung Cao to a narrow win. The latter isn’t particularly likely, but it’s within the realm of possibility that n a polarized environment with Trump narrowly taking the Commonwealth on the back of Youngkin’s high popularity.
Rubio is the only other contender who offers an electoral gain, just in a different way. FL is safe now, but Rubio opens up the Hispanic lane wider than the erstwhile realignment has. Him being able to go right into the Barrios and campaign in Spanish takes the message directly to a moderate to low turnout community that has been hurting but also remembers that things were better for them under Trump. That’s not nothing, and perhaps that seals AZ and NV, with potential for NM and perhaps even NJ if Trump can keep it close like it supposedly is right now.
Either of those two are the obvious picks to win. Whether Trump chooses from that pair, I’ve no clue.
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DW, unusual as it may be, Trump doesn’t have to announce his pick until sometime next week, no? Could it as late as Thursday night, and have the delegates ratify the selection right there in the floor on the live broadcast? That would create a bit of drama, and might actually give people a reason to watch the proceedings.
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A convention speech announcement would be dramatic, and give a reason to watch. I would watch for sure
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Found this on RRH:
Supposedly Dem internal polling has Biden down double digits in NY-17 (Biden+10, Zeldin+3), NY-19 (Biden+4.5, Zeldin+7), and down one in NY-22 (Biden+11, Zeldin+2).
Which, if true, I suppose helps explain the freakout about New York this morning.
https://x.com/JSweetLI/status/1811121862048633047
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Anonymous sources…but…
https://x.com/natashakorecki/status/1811141604180435245
NEW: Four sources close to Biden’s reelection effort tell @NBCNews the campaign is suffering a major downshift in donations and officials are bracing for a seismic fundraising hit. Two of the sources close to the reelection effort said this month is on a path for fundraising to be down by possibly half — “or much more,” one of them said — from large donors alone. Sources emphasized that the donations were down across the board.
“The money has absolutely shut off.”
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Pew give the GOP a slight edge in overall self-ID (47-46). When was the last time that happened? 2014? 2004?
https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/fact-sheet/national-public-opinion-reference-survey-npors/?utm_source=AdaptiveMailer&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=7-3-24%20NPORS%20Update%20HEADS%20UP&org=982&lvl=100&ite=14309&lea=3596060&ctr=0&par=1&trk=a0DQm000002CLQvMAO
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The campaign funding hit seems credible. The Disney heiress pulled monies. I also thought some actors did the same.
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Yikes
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/07/bidens-rambling-again-this-time-about-his-dad/
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