Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump up 7 in Nevada

According to an AARP commissioned poll conducted by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) and Impact Research (D). The press release was very poorly written up, without even providing all the data for the actual candidates who are on the ballot or expect to be on the ballot. I will revise the post if they release more detailed information about this poll. Thread revised with all the data:

NEVADA
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research
Trump48
Biden45
Five Candidates:
Trump44
Biden37
Kennedy10
U.S. Senate
Brown42
Rosen47
6/12 – 6/18; 600 LV

62 responses to “Trump up 7 in Nevada”

  1. first.

    Like

  2. DW,

    You and I need to pool out minds and write that book about Chip and Teri.

    Love your additions…

    Like

  3. This is good news. Nevada is trending red.

    Like

  4. Thanks Walt. Another character to the story is Bea Ware, the attorney who warned the principle characters that it just wouldn’t work. Then there is Paige Turner, the librarian who couldn’t decide which place had the better environment to sit, eat, and read. Her dilemma led to a mental breakdown, so she became a regular patient of Dr. Upson Downs, Psychiatrist.

    Liked by 1 person

  5. What about the landscaper – Lon Kare.

    Liked by 1 person

  6. “Walter Ringfield Jr., a 27-year-old Phoenix ;African American] resident, was arrested by Maricopa County detectives on Friday while working at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Center.

    County workers noticed that a lanyard containing the security fob and plastic key was missing and accused Ringfield of taking it. Ringfield – who previously expressed an interest as running as a Democrat for the U.S. Senate -“…

    Like

  7. Ringfield is a sketchy character, working for left wing outfits, registered as a dem, but had all social media wiped clean except for Trump’s Truth Social site so they could claim he was a rogue Republican.

    Like

  8. Jack Arse Smith who lacks standing. Just admitted in a court filing to evidence tampering.

    Like

  9. Jack Smith shouldn’t even be prosecuting the case. There are so many flaws and illegalities with all these legal proceedings.

    Like

  10. i read NY times assessment of the election and Biden’s surge in the polling Lol.

    they state: “Biden began to rise in the polls around the time of his State of the Union address in March. He then rose further after Trump’s felony conviction last month.”

    they then point to his surge being because of his focus on the important issues – “Biden’s climate record and excellence in foreign policy.” (I kid you not)

    then give us the most important issues for voters: (in order) democracy,, economic policyhealth carelabor unionsglobal alliancesimmigrationand more.

    you can’t make this stuff up. But there is no media bias and the left is very in tune with Americans

    Like

  11. If you refresh the page, the rest of the data for this poll has now been released.

    Like

  12. Also from the NV poll….Voters age 50+: Trump 53-41%

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  13. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Maybe “democracy” is a top voting issue in San Francisco or Radnor. In most of America very few view it a a voter priority.

    “Global alliances”. I think they are important but if you ask 2000 people around here not ONE will list that.

    “Labor unions”. Only 11% of America is unionized, and even among those members I doubt most will list as their top voting priority.

    Like

  14. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Former President Donald Trump rejected a suggestion from evangelist Franklin Graham that he stop using profanity during his speeches. During recent remarks, the former president explained that while he is trying to cut down on his use of bad words, he also knows his base appreciates it.

    He’s probably right.

    While addressing a crowd at a Philadelphia rally, Trump brought up a letter Graham had sent to him suggesting that his speeches would be better if he did not curse. “He said, ‘President, I love your speaking. Your ability to speak is incredible. Your storytelling is great, but it could be so much better if you didn’t use foul language,’” Trump recounted before giving his response: “He’s wrong.”

    The former president characterized Graham as “a man I like” and someone he admires “so much.”

    I agree.

    There is no upside for Trump in being “nicer’.

    Like

  15. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Trump’s main appeal is that he “fights for you’.

    Its like getting a guard dog to defend your property.

    You don’t want a “nice dog” defending your property or a “nice politician” defending your interests.

    You want “attack dogs” for both purposes.

    That is why although I often disagree with Trump on content, I don’t fault his combative nature. Win or lose, it is what defines him.

    Like

  16. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    “Conservative candidate Don Stewart has won the longtime federal Liberal stronghold of Toronto-St. Paul’s, a stunning result that raises questions about Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s future.

    Stewart’s victory is shocking because the seat has been held by the Liberals for more than 30 years — even through the party’s past low points, such as the 2011 federal election that returned just 34 Liberal MPs to Parliament.

    Before Monday’s vote, a Conservative candidate hadn’t been competitive in Toronto–St. Paul’s since the 1980s. The party hadn’t won a seat in urban Toronto since the 2011 federal election.”

    Like

  17. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Austria 3 Netherlands 2

    Austria might be the “surprise’ team of the tournament

    Like

  18. I still can’t believe they won that game. Every time holland scored Austria came eight back

    England look horrible

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  19. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Wow, one thing is to know it but the other is to confess.

    FL Dems will be pissed.

    “TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – President Joe Biden’s reelection campaign chair, Jen O’Malley Dillon, told Puck News that Florida is not in play this November.

    During her interview with John Heilemann, she laid out the campaign’s “six in six” strategy focusing on the battleground states of Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona and Georgia.

    Heilemann also asked if the campaign saw North Carolina as a battleground state.

    “Yes,” O’Malley Dillon replied.

    “Florida?” he asked.

    “No,” she said in response.

    “Thank you,” Heilemann said. “I was afraid you were going to lie.”

    Like

  20. I leave my house every morning at 6:30 am and get home at 6:15 pm and often continue working until 10:00. Jason hating where I live and Tina demeaning my job makes me smile.

    Like

  21. I do take a break to watch Jeopardy with my wife.

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  22. jason, Texas was apparently not part of that discussion earlier, but six months ago, Biden was going to flip it with Soros money, and take Cruz down too.

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  23. “‘six in six’ strategy focusing on the battleground states of Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona and Georgia.”

    The problem with this is Biden also has to defend Minnesota, Virginia, New Hampshire, and Maine, and probably New Mexico and Colorado are not far off the map. And who knows about Oregon, New Jersey, and Delaware with Kennedy on the ballot?

    With Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada increasingly staying out of the margin of error, Trump’s floor is 268.

    Liked by 1 person

  24. i truly hope the GOP and the Trump campaign realize how important NE-2 is. That’s 269 and the presidency.

    Liked by 1 person

  25. also, who here is concerned about the debate. First of all why have a debate in Late June??? People are leaving for vacation. Second, you know the Dems are going to have Biden hopped up on something so he looks vibrant…or at least awake. I’m concerned about the effect of trump losing the debate

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  26. Vic – I am not concerned. They could the election today. Voters already know what they are going to do.

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  27. Bitter is right Vic. The cake is baked. The cake has been covered with icing. The sprinkles have been applied. Few will watch the debate. Trump will make some mistakes. Biden will be on drugs or will be replaced by a stunt double. The moderators will say “felon” or “felony” after every other word. It won’t make any difference in the outcome.

    Like

  28. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I think the debate will be an ambush.

    I won’t watch but if the MSM has not already decided who won and Biden hasn’t already been given the questions I would be extremely surprised.

    Like

  29. People don’t realize that pollsters do keep polling even when its not a congressional election year or a presidential election year. For instance, if 2024 was a presidential election year, Fairleigh Dickinson University would be putting out a series of polls tracking the race in New Jersey. But instead, because 2024 is not a presidential year, they are reduced to only being able to poll things like which NJ governor is best remembered:

    https://www.fdu.edu/news/tom-kean-sr-is-best-remembered-governor/

    Like

  30. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Jason hating where I live”

    Zzzzzz…. I think Radnor is very nice and I am sure you have a great house in a great neighborhood.

    Looking at the election results in Delco, it is obvious that it is full of woke wine sipping liberals who are products of our far left educational system that taught them that you cannot be a good person if you are not a socialist.

    Both can be true.

    Like

  31. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    So does this a-hole Bowman guy lose tonight?

    Or are the voters impressed by him and AOC dancing around the stage screaming “f–k AIPAC”.

    Like

  32. A lot of the people in Delco you hate are working class and voting for Democrats because they still listen to their union bosses and they were raised by their grandparents and parents to worship the Holy Trinity of FDR, JFK and Bob Casey, Sr. You really don’t know this area as much as you pretend to. The Republicans in Radnor don’t belong to country clubs. Only Democrats do. There are many Republican women who drink wine and beer. I don’t drink alcohol.

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  33. Another round of not watching but plenty of comments from Jason ahead. Great.

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  34. Jason the great expert on Delco wouldn’t know Aston from Eddystone or Ridley Park from Darby.

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  35. https://x.com/nicksortor/status/1805719084190855275?t=egmwrGZ1WIHyxi7zRtPVNA&s=19

    #BREAKING: Vivek Ramaswamy has CONFIRMED that he will be attending the Trump v. Biden debate Thursday night in Atlanta. Trump has said his VP will be in attendance

    Like

  36. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Good news. Ukraine has met the criteria to join the EU.

    Putin and Janzam hardest hit.

    • political criteria: stability of institutions guaranteeing democracy, the rule of law, human rights and respect for and protection of minorities;
    • economic criteria: a functioning market economy and the capacity to cope with competition and market forces;
    • administrative and institutional capacity to effectively implement the acquis* and ability to take on the obligations of membership.

    Like

  37. STUPID BUNU POST Avatar
    STUPID BUNU POST

    Trump-Ramaswamy ticket would be epic

    Like

  38. Cash cow found a leaked copy of the questions they are going to ask Trump and Biden on Thursday:

    For Trump:

    1. –Why did you try to overthrow the government of the U.S. on Jan. 6?
    2. –Why do you think you should be the dictator of the U.S.?
    3. –New reports say that you willfully and premeditatedly removed a mattress tag that clearly stated “Do Not Remove–It Is Illegal to Remove This Tag”. Why do you think you should not be in prison for that?
    4. –How would you rate Stormy Daniels as a sex partner (1-10)?

    For Biden:

    1.–Why do you like ice cream so much?

    2.–Do you still love your son Hunter?

    3.–Why do you think Republicans are so much against fighting Man Made Global Warming and don’t care about the millions a month that die because of global warming?

    4.–Why are so many people fooling into supporting Donald Trump?

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  39. Jill and Jack were the newest employees. The boss was concerned about the profitability of the firm and its current financial troubles and he knew he had to either lay Jill or Jack off.

    He called Jill in and told her he either had to lay her or Jack off.

    Jill said, “well I am on my period so I guess you are going to have to ….. ….”

    **************************************

    (I am sorry if it offends, but I thought it was hilarious)

    Like

  40. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    A lot of the people in Delco you hate are working class and voting for Democrats because they still listen to their union bosses and they were raised by their grandparents and parents to worship the Holy Trinity of FDR, JFK and Bob Casey, Sr.”

    Zzzzzz…. what a crock of crap.

    Nobody that voted for FDR is alive and JFK was elected 64 years ago, anyone who voted for him would be at least 82 even if they were only 18 in 1960. The idea that they have indoctrinated anyone to vote like they did is ridiculous.

    In addition, Delco has become MORE Democratic not because of blue collar votes but because of the woke wine sipping college educated (brainwashed) socialists that have moved in to the Philly suburbs. And if the country clubs are now Dem instead of R, that just proves my point.

    The blue collar vote in Delco is only 31% of the population and is probably following a nationwide (and PA) trend towards Rs, or at least towards Trump.

    I doubt Radnor itself is “blue collar” but it went 70-30 for Biden. Aston, which Bitter mentions, went 54-46 Trump. The median income in Aston is $57k much lower than the average $77k of Delco and much much lower than Radnor’s $88k.

    It is easy to debunk Bitter’s lies, just do a little research.

    Like

  41. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Trump-Ramaswamy ticket would be epic”

    Maybe, but I would vote for Biden before I voted for that ticket.

    Like

  42. For the fatties:

    Patents on Victoza and Saxenda have expired https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/skinny-jabs-weight-loss-drugs-123237297.html This means we will be getting generic version of GLP-1 inhibitors.

    “A reduction in the cost would shift the balance of this cost effectiveness, potentially paving the way for their longer-term use – especially when coupled with research showing the reversal of weight loss after patient stop taking them, and the continued benefit in cardiovascular risk associated with longer term use.”

    Like

  43. Jason is to arrogant to admit he does not know something. I deal with more working class people than he does in my job. I hear the them talk about Democrats protecting the “working man.” There is a lot of time to fill before the deposition or Hearing starts.

    I know people who were children when JFK was killed who still revere him.

    Jason lecturing me on how he knows more about where I live than he does would be like me telling him the difference between Lititz and Manheim.

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  44. Jason really is not bright. Delco became more Democratic because many Democrats moved there from Philadelphia and brought their affiliation with them.

    Like

  45. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Jason really is not bright. Delco became more Democratic because many Democrats moved there from Philadelphia and brought their affiliation with them.”

    Heh, I agree, but that is what I said.

    “In addition, Delco has become MORE Democratic not because of blue collar votes but because of the woke wine sipping college educated (brainwashed) socialists that have moved in to the Philly suburbs.”

    You said

    “A lot of the people in Delco you hate are working class and voting for Democrats because they still listen to their union bosses and they were raised by their grandparents and parents to worship the Holy Trinity of FDR, JFK and Bob Casey, Sr.”

    I have said often that you really don’t know much about Philadelphia with your ridiculous Good Philadelphia Bad Philadelphia nonsense.

    But I am actually surprised on little you know about your own county.

    Like

  46. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I hear the them talk about Democrats protecting the “working man.”

    Zzzzz…. BS.

    The proof is in the pudding. The blue collar areas of Delco are more R, the wealthier areas are more D.

    Fact.

    You can make up all the “conversations” you have, it doesn’t change reality.

    Like

  47. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I know people who were children when JFK was killed who still revere him”

    Yeah, like your friends and neighbors who can “afford to vote for higher taxes” because they hate Trump.

    Stop digging.

    Like

  48. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Well time for Argentina vs. Chile.

    I will be back to further educate Bitter on his own backyard later.

    Like

  49. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Vamos Chile!

    Like

  50. GFY It is mostly blue collar voters who are moving to the suburbs from Philadelphia.

    You started the Good and Bad Philadelphia bs. You are a p*ssy afraid to go into the city.

    You lived in Texas because you could not stand to be challenged on anything. So them you moved to the reddest part of PA because you are afraid.

    My invitation to take you to dinner in Philadelphia stands but you would be afraid to be here after the sun goes down. Maybe lunch is safer for you.

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  51. Jason surrounds himself with only people who think like him out of fear.

    Like

  52. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    All 11 players on both Argentina and Chile teams are white.

    Can someone tell them that the Biden Troll once told us here that you cannot be Hispanic unless you are brown?

    Like

  53. Jason has never ridden the Market-Frankford El or Broad Street Line. But he thinks he knows what it is like on them. He can ask me if he wants to know.

    Like

  54. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    “I doubt Radnor itself is “blue collar” but it went 70-30 for Biden. Aston, which Bitter mentions, went 54-46 Trump. The median income in Aston is $57k much lower than the average $77k of Delco and much much lower than Radnor’s $88k.

    It is easy to debunk Bitter’s lies, just do a little research.”

    Fact.

    Like

  55. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    23% in

    George Latimer DEM12,724

    68.9%

    Jamaal Bowman *DEM5,745

    31.1%

    Like

  56. which race is the bowman race

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  57. I will ask my 2 friends who live in Radnor who each only have HS degrees and grew up in Radnor if they are blue collar enough for Jason despite being landscapers and having beach houses.

    Jason took over the jealousy Tgca had of hard-working people. I work 70-80 hours a week but Jason must not count that as work. I wish I had useful job skills. I don’t.

    Like

  58. People who own expensive houses work hard, too. Jason hardest hit.

    Like

  59. Maybe Jason can describe my house to me. He claims he knows so much more than I do about where I live.

    Like