Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump with edge in all Battlegrounds, including Minnesota when RFK included

According to new polls from Emerson College:

ARIZONA Emerson
Trump47.2 (-1) | Lean: 52
Biden42.7 (-1) | Lean: 48
Undecided10
Five Candidates:
Trump42.7
Biden39.3
Kennedy7.7
West0.7
Stein1.2
Undecided8.4
U.S. Senate
Lake41
Gallego45
Undecided14
June 13-18; 1,000 RV
GEORGIA Emerson
Trump45.4 (-2) | Lean: 52.3
Biden40.7 (-3) | Lean: 47.7
Undecided14
Five Candidates:
Trump44.9
Biden37.4
Kennedy5.9
West1.4
Stein0.9
Undecided9.4
June 13-18; 1,000 RV
MICHIGAN Emerson
Trump46 (+1) | Lean: 50.7
Biden45 (+1) | Lean: 49.3
Undecided9.4
Five Candidates:
Trump44.0
Biden41.9
Kennedy5.2
West1.2
Stein0.8
Undecided7.0
U.S. Senate
Rogers38.6
Slotkin43.4
June 13-18; 1,000 RV
MINNESOTA Emerson
Trump44.9 | Lean: 49
Biden45.2 | Lean: 51
Undecided9.9
Five Candidates:
Trump41.6
Biden40.9
Kennedy6.3
West0.7
Stein1.1
Undecided9.3
U.S. Senate:
Fraser37.2
Klobuchar47.2
Other5.4
Undecided10.2
June 13-18; 1,000 RV
NEVADA Emerson
Trump45.5 (+1) | Lean: 49.7
Biden42.7 (-1) | Lean: 50.3
Undecided11.8
Five Candidates:
Trump42.1
Biden39.1
Kennedy7.2
West1.7
Stein1.6
Undecided8.3
U.S. Senate:
Rosen49.5
Brown37.6
Undecided12.9
June 13-18; 1,000 RV
PENNSYLVANIA Emerson
Trump47.3 (=) | Lean: 51.1
Biden45.2 (=) | Lean: 48.9
Undecided7.4
Five Candidates:
Trump44.8
Biden42.2
Kennedy4.9
West0.2
Stein0.9
Undecided7
U.S. Senate:
McCormick40.9
Casey47.0
Undecided12
June 13-18; 1,000 RV
WISCONSIN Emerson
Trump46.9 (=) | Lean: 51.3
Biden44.3 (-1) | Lean: 48.7
Undecided8.8
Five Candidates:
Trump43.8
Biden42.0
Kennedy6.1
West0.4
Stein0.8
Undecided6.9
U.S. Senate:
Hovde43.7
Baldwin46.2
June 13-18; 1,000 RV

24 responses to “Trump with edge in all Battlegrounds, including Minnesota when RFK included”

  1. first

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  2. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    What happened to Chicon’s theory that not that many people will vote for Trump AND the Dem for Senate?

    Like

  3. Of note here is the fact that Emerson dropped North Carolina and replaced it with Minnesota.

    Overall decent results here, though the numbers from NV are disappointing. But that’s polling. Ups and downs.

    Like

  4. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Maybe Janzam the Putin Nurse is having a bad day. This will certainly bring a smile to her lips and lift her spirits.

    The first shock wave shattered aisles stacked almost to the ceiling with home improvement products. The next Russian bomb streaked down like a comet seconds later, unleashing flames that left the megastore an ashen shell.

    A third bomb failed to detonate when it landed behind the Epicenter shopping complex in Kharkiv. Investigators hope it will help them trace the supply chain for the latest generation of retrofitted Russian “glide bombs” that are laying waste to eastern Ukraine. The Soviet-era bombs are adapted on the cheap with imported electronics that allow distant Russian warplanes to launch them at Ukraine.

    Other cities that have been devastated by the weapons include Avdiivka, Chasiv Yar and Vovchansk, and Russia has nearly unlimited supplies of the bombs, which are dispatched from airfields just across the border that Ukraine has not been able to hit.”

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  5. More escalation by those damn Ukrainians.

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  6. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    i guess they just don’t understand they will be a lot happier if they are enslaved by the nice people who indiscriminately bomb their homes.

    Like

  7. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I didn’t want this generous offer to go unnoticed on the previous thread.

    jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar

    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Give me enough warning I can have Mrs. jason make her famous varmint stew. The ingredients are kinda pot luck, but you can usually count on squirrel and possum, if you are lucky woodchuck and coon too.

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  8. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    It’s too bad Walt’s recipe for mammoth tartare has been lost over time.

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  9. Jason, are you kidding, the popularity of his recipe was the beginning of the end for the mammoth

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  10. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I know, that is why it is a tragedy it is lost. It could probably be adapted for elephant tartare.

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  11. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I know, I know, it could spell doom for the elephants too.

    But you know how it is, survival of the fittest.

    Liked by 1 person

  12. “Ukraine’s raucous and competitive television news landscape before the war was consolidated by Mr. Zelensky’s government into a single, state-controlled broadcast after Russia’s invasion. The government presented the arrangement, known as the Telemarathon, as necessary for airing reliable news during the war.

    But it excluded opposition channels and ran such consistently upbeat reports even as fighting bogged down that a majority of Ukrainians now say they do not trust it.

    https://archive.ph/2024.06.18-180005/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/18/world/europe/ukraine-press-freedom.html

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  13. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I guess the Dems don’t see the problem that their “leaders” are Obama, Hillary, Schumer and Pelosi.

    “A Democrat strategist told the Daily Mail that if Biden did poorly with his first debate with Trump or he continues to see falling poll numbers, the top four leaders of his own party may come together to force him to step down.

    “The only people who could force him out would be Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer,” the strategist told the Daily Mail, adding, “It would have to be the four of them collectively.”

    Pelosi is 84. Schumer 73. Hillary 77.

    Can you see them telling Biden to move on because he is too old?

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  14. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Janzam trusts Putin’s Official State News Agencies and regurgitates Russian fake news and propaganda here daily but has the chutzpah to criticize Ukraine’s news as “unreliable”.

    You have to admit the little brainwashed Putin toady is strongly vying for HHR Clown.

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  15. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Janzam’s BS about Ukranian freedom of the press is easily disputed by the ranking by reporters without borders.

    Russia ranks a stunning 162 out of 175 countries, yet Janzam thinks Russian news is the paragon of truth.

    Ukraine ranks 61st, actually improved 18 slots since last year, meaning freedom of the press is INCREASING in Ukraine, not decreasing.

    https://rsf.org/en/index

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  16. The only person forcing out Biden will be Jill Biden and she like her current gig.

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  17. RIP, Donald Sutherland.

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  18. ”Surveillance, threats to be enlisted in the army, increased control by the authorities… Political pressure and obstacles are mounting on the Ukrainian media. Since the beginning of 2024, at least five journalists have been under surveillance or threatenedbecause of publications on corruption. 

    A case of political interference also came to light, with the appointment of a military representative as director of the national news agency Ukrinform on 24 May and the revelation on 29 May of internal censorship, with a list of guests to be banned having been circulated to staff. And from now on, quotes and interviews with members of the armed forces must be sent three days before publication to the centre for strategic military communications, according to a military decree unveiled by the media on 12 June. As well as acting as a deterrent, such a verification period limits coverage of the war in real time.”

    https://rsf.org/en/shrinking-press-freedom-ukraine-urgent-need-implement-roadmap-right-information

    Above is a current analysis of Ukraine’s “fragile” ability to practice independent journalism, from the same site Jason Slava Ukraini tried to mislead as to the real nature of Ukrainian freedom of the press. Also the piece I earlier posted was from the NYTs, not exactly a Russian propaganda organization. Stop trying to smother the truth in lies, Jason Slava Ukraini, just so you can continue your own Ukrainian propaganda campaign that is very similar to the one you oppose Russia doing.

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  19. So no response to the Russian attack Jason posted earlier?

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  20. What kind of a response do you want? Russia is doing what it has threatened to do – escalate their attacks until some kind of peace agreement can be reached. Accompanying their threat are warnings towards the U.S. for providing more weaponry to Ukraine, and essentially playing a proxy war with Russia. Everyone here is aware of Russia’s nuclear and weapon prowess, and yet there are those who just shrug and want to poke the bear into even more aggressive counter measures.

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  21. If you refresh the page, you will notice that MN has flipped to Trump’s EV numbers.

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  22. Are you serious? It is our fault for helping Ukraine survive? Disgraceful.

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  23. Looks to me that the voters in these swing states above collectively realize that Biden is awful and they choose Trump over Biden.

    ****************************************

    BUT they also do not like or trust Trump very much and are willing to vote D for the senate seats to keep Trump (as president) on a short leash.

    _____________________________

    As to the House of Rep., you would think that voters realize that there are a lot of kooks in the House on the D side and this would encourage them to elect more Rs, but the fact is, there are a lot of kooks in the House on the R side as well.

    I hope both sides throw out the kooks, but this is unlikely to happen.

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  24. Walt, a new thread that makes your point.

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