2020 results compared to 2024 polling.
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Updated Red Shift / Blue Shift
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
2020 results compared to 2024 polling.
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
3 responses to “Updated Red Shift / Blue Shift”
First!
Daily Kos had a poll out yesterday with a 45-45 tie nationally, but it had Trump up 49-33 with indies. I couldn’t find the D/R/I breakdown, but it has to be very heavily D+ to get a tie with Trump leading indies by so much.
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Jeff G, I saw that one. Yes, probably they expect the electorate in November to be D40, I 35, R25
The other bizarre D poll yesterday was the one that grouped Montana in with “battleground” states.
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Its always the way. You give up waiting for a new poll, so I post something else, then a new poll is released.
NT
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