Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Biden with edge in Minnesota

According to Mason-Dixon:

MINNESOTAMason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Trump41
Biden45
Kennedy6
Other2
Undecided7
June 3-5; 800 LV

45 responses to “Biden with edge in Minnesota”

  1. About what you would expect from Minnesota.

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  2. With Virginia definitely in play, Trump would miss a huge opportunity by not picking Glenn Youngkin as his VP — Phil

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  3. 7 percent undecided in this poll, given the two main party candidates are about as well known as any two POTUS contestants in my lifetime, and its June, with under 5 months to go. Sounds to me like 7 percent who just don’t really want to say which one they prefer.

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  4. I agree Phil, but I would hate to lose Youngkin.

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  5. ….and Youngkin would help marginally in the suburbs of Philly, Michigan…..and yes, even Minneapolis, Minnesota. I can assure you that Democrats do not want Youngkin on the ticket. — Phil

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  6. I get it, DW, but Younkin only has one more year in office as he is term limited. — Phil

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  7. And for what its worth, Trump 42, Biden 48 was the final Mason-Dixon poll of Minnesota in 2020 (taken September 21-23). The actual gap was Biden +7.12. So Mason-Dixon was pretty close to spot on.

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  8. And there was this nugget from the Mason-Dixon poll just taken: “In Minnesota, twice the proportion of those preferring Trump for president are very enthusiastic about their candidate than is the case among Biden voters”

    I know that enthused or not, each vote counts as one vote. But I would rather have enthusiasm than not.

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  9. Or they hate Biden AND Trump but know one will win.

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  10. Kennedy is on the ballot in MN. I wish West and Stein were on the ballot there, but so far they are not

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  11. Headline: “The View” Co-Host Sonny Hostin Says Black Male Trump Supporters Are As Real As “Unicorns”

    Then why did this host have to say it? Trump doesn’t have to win the black vote or win the male black vote. He just needs to move the needle a little.

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  12. Thats BS. There are more black males who like Trump than people think. They like his assertiveness and that he tells it like it is. BTW, youre right. If they weren’t afraid it was happening, they wouldnt comment

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  13. Getting close to making the call to move NC from battleground states to the other states grid, and pulling CO and maybe NM into the battleground states grid. CO is interesting, because there is ONLY polling of Biden vs. Trump, and its sitting at an average of Biden +6.9. However, it looks like the CO ballot is going to be:

    Trump (R)

    Biden (D)

    Stein (G)

    Oliver (L)

    West (I)

    Kennedy is not on the ballot yet, but figures to be there. This ballot gives a landing spot for every kook and misfit in the state, who might (again, MIGHT) have otherwise voted for Biden. Clearly Biden is the favorite in CO, but I would put Biden’s lead there in the mid to lower single digits with all these misfits on the ballot.

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  14. real clear politics electoral “map” as of this morning. Not sure how they get NC as a toss up state, but look at all the other toss ups…and in a nod to DW…they put NM as “lean Biden”

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  15. darn. it wont let me upload the image. I have to figure out how

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  16. Not sure what states in what alternative universe they are ranking. But calling FLORIDA a Leans Trump is idiotic. So is North Carolina as a Tossup. Trump won both of these states four years ago when the wind was against him and Biden was cast as a grandfatherly figure who would heal the country.

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  17. exactly. No one expects Florida to be competitive, and NC would be a “lean Trump” state since it will probably be about +4% election day..maybe 5%.

    Interesting that they now include VA as a swing state. That is BAAAADDDD news for the Biden lovers.

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  18. I get it that rankings have boundaries, but seeing VA and NC right next to each other on the map, both as tossups do not communicate an accurate picture of the election. VA is a legit tossup with a slight edge to Biden, and NC is at least Leans Trump, if not Likely.

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  19. But this illustrates why our methodology here at HHR is better. Rather than arbitrary ranking labels, we just show the averaging numbers. Then we sort the battleground states in the order of these numbers. Simple. No confusion over rankings.

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  20. ANTI-SEMITIC BUNU POST Avatar
    ANTI-SEMITIC BUNU POST

    Code Pink American Hating lunatics: boycott netanyahu congressional speech grows amongst anti-Semitic Liberals and cowardly tiny pe#*s Ron Paul followers.

    https://x.com/medeabenjamin/status/1798888067522302209

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  21. Civiqs (D) updated their Biden job approval numbers by state, and Delaware is now at -25 net. By comparison, PA is at -26 and Michigan -27.

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  22. MAYORKAS: “We have built safe mobility offices in Colombia, Ecuador, Guatemala, Costa Rica to reach people where they are so they don’t have to take the perilous journey.”

    https://x.com/townhallcom/status/1800185756427899386

    have you all noticed that homeland security just does more evil stuff? Bush made that department and they don’t do anything worthwhile (much like all of Bush’s presidency)

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  23. DW – if Biden is at -25 and below in those states how the heck can he be at -18 nationally. God knows in red states hes probably at -40/-50

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  24. I think my wife and I are going to Nashville over Labor Day weekend. Any suggestion on things to do are welcome.

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  25. Advice: Go someplace else

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  26. We wanted to try a different city. We really like Boston, New York, Chicago and DC but we have visited each recently. I still can’t drive long distances and we will fly.

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  27. Lexington, KY and visit their horse park

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  28. It is 180 miles from Nashville. Not happening.

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  29. sorry Bitter, when I am in that part of TN, the aim is to get around Nashville as quickly as possible

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  30. Ok. I have never been there. It is unfortunate you don’t like it.

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  31. The conservative movement is making serious progress in the EU. It will be interesting to see how deep it goes and how it can sustained. The UK is in shambles much like the US.

    Liked by 1 person

  32. This is awesome!

    UK insurers refuse to pay Nord Stream because blasts were ‘government’ backed

    https://thegrayzone.com/2024/04/17/uk-insurers-refuse-pay-nord-stream/

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  33. DEI “Expert on White Supremacy” laments no one will hire him because of he is white.

    https://www.informationliberation.com/?id=64466

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  34. It will be interesting to see how the election in France goes. I don;’t think it was smart of Macron to call it. I think he did it because people might be in shock at the Le Pen gains, and thinking by calling a snap election it will thwart her. But, I think the French, like the Belgians, Italians, and now even the Germans are sick and tired of the immigration that has helped make parts of their countries unlivable.

    It, sadly, is only the US and UK that doesn’t see this. God, can you imagine what the UK will look like after a few years of Labor running the show. Unrecognizable as they do what the dems have done, bring in as many illegal immigrants who wil vote for them somehow.

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  35. Watching a series on minority military forces in the US armed forces and Indian soldiers fighting for the UK in WW2. Truly stories of bravery that should be retold.

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  36. It is on National Geographic channel.

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  37. War, inflation, and economic malaise.

    I remember when Macaroni was praised at the old site.

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  38. https://justthenews.com/accountability/political-ethics/tuefbi-tried-unmask-employees-trump-support-while-conducting

    FBI leadership and a LOT of deputies better be removed if Trump wins. That department is rotten.

    -NYCmike

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  39. Headline at NYT – Alito says we “should return to a place of godliness” as if it is some smoking gun that is going to get him kicked off the Supreme Court. LMAO. That’s how insane the left is.

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  40. Biden new policy at southern border not working.

    I blame man made global warming.

    ___________________________________________

    Guy shot himself in FL and then set the apartment building on fire.

    I blame man made global warming.

    _______________________________________

    Councilwoman in Mexico shot dead.

    I blame mad made global warming.

    ____________________________________

    Four injured as bull escapes rodeo arena.

    I blame man made global warming.

    ****************************

    Say, what ever happened to the ozone hole over the north pole?

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  41. ROANOKE, Va. (WDBJ) – The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has confirmed that operators of the Mountain Valley Pipeline have filed a request to put the pipeline into service, with a goal of FERC authorizing the request by June 11 to meet market demand.

    The natural gas pipeline, which has been in the design and construction stages since 2013, is designed to run from northwestern West Virginia to southern Virginia.

    Click here for our coverage of the pipeline project.

    According to FERC, “Mountain Valley confirms that the project facilities are mechanically complete. Hydrotesting is complete on all project facilities. The final segments of the project are currently being purged and packed with natural gas. all welding, testing, cleaning, drying and tie-ins are complete.”

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  42. new thread in 35 minutes from now

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