A new national poll by Marist seems to suggest that RFK, Stein, and West hurt Biden much more than Trump. Most polls show the difference is negligible, or that Trump is hurt more by the others:
| National Poll | NPR/PBS/Marist |
| Trump | 48 |
| Biden | 50 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 44 |
| Biden | 40 |
| Kennedy | 8 |
| Stein | 3 |
| West | 2 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
69 responses to “Marist counters the narrative on RFK”
The fact you can get elected mayor of a major city on such an agenda shows how far we have come in the Banana Republic category
Boston Mayor
@wutrain said she would support a policy that refuses to prosecute the following crimes: -shoplifting -larceny -disorderly conduct -receiving stolen property -driving with a suspended license -breaking and entering with property damage -wanton and malicious destruction of property -threats -minor in possession of alcohol -marijuana possession -possession with intent to distribute -non-marijuana drug possession”
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Again, it is meaningless unless you know what states RFK is taking votes away from Trump are.
Also, Trump would win an election where he only trails the national vote by 2 points, it means he would win most of the swing states.
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Does anyone besides Bunu have a problem with using “US bombs” to kill terrorists?
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jason, I agree on this Marist poll, and I don’t normally post national polls because its an election decided by the electoral college. I only posted this one because it seemed to counter the narrative that Biden is only hurt by West and Stein while Kennedy hurts only Trump. In this poll the misfits got 13, and Biden dropped 10 and Trump only 4.
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“Does anyone besides Bunu have a problem with using “US bombs” to kill terrorists?”
I only wish they had more bombs and could kill the terrorists faster.
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Bunu hardest hit.
Bibi gains in Israeli poll
“Respondents preferred Netanyahu to Gantz as premier by a margin of 36 percent to 30% in Wednesday’s survey, marking his first lead since a poll from May 18, 2023, when Netanyahu was at 38% at Gantz at 37%. …
Gantz, who joined the government days later, was shown in a December poll leading Netanyahu 45% to 27%. As recently as April, Gantz was still out in front, with 35% preferring him while 29% backed Netanyahu.”
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The Marist poll is D+4.
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It is embarrassing when other countries get to use their bombs to kill terrorists instead of American bombs.
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DW, thanks for the poll.
Considering there will be other candidates on the ballot, it is good news for Trump.
Also, the numbers are reasonable for the 3rd party candidates, none of this RFK Jr. with 14% nonsense.
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Btw, I don’t mind if you post national polls, they are what they are.
While they don’t reflect the EC, there is a certain value in them. As I pointed out above, a very narrow national lead for Biden is not really good news for him.
I think he was about 2.5 points ahead nationally in 2016 in an election he lost the EC.
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BIden’s net job approval sits at -18.4, and the approve number at 37.8 is just a couple of ticks away from an all-time low.
The plan was for Biden to mount this great comeback throughout the spring, so that he could put it in cruise control all summer and win re-election. But his numbers just continue to deteriorate.
Economists are sounding the alarm that its now too late to reverse the inflation numbers before election day, even if Biden wanted to, and he doesn’t. He just keeps blaming corporate greed, as though businesses are supposed to run charitable organizations at a loss, even though (unlike governments), businesses cannot just tax people more to stay afloat.
Biden also keeps pouring gas on the fire of crime and illegal immigration.
Right now, Biden’s hopes appear to be pinned to 12 people in a jury deliberation room in NYC.
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“I think he was about 2.5 points ahead nationally in 2016 in an election he lost the EC.”
I tend to agree that Hillary was a man pretending to be a woman.
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Here is what many Americans are sick and tired of:
“Manhunt Underway For Driver Who Performed Donuts On Painted Pride Flag”
A few years ago, some driver entered my church’s parking lot, drove up into the lawn, and did about eight circles, tearing up sods, and leaving 4 inch deep trenches. We couldn’t mow that area all summer and didn’t have the money to fix it. But we never called the police because they would just laugh and say they had more important things to do.
But someone does Donuts on a painted alphabet people flag, and its a national emergency, amber alert!
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Latest update on Civiqs job approval map, leaves Biden with only two states of net positive approval:
HI: +9
MA: +2
Underwater in 48 states:
https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_biden?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true&map=true
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The -25 in PA is a WOW.
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The – 40 in MT is good for the Senate race.
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Only 18% approval in OK. LOL
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WI is only – 11, that is disappointing.
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Turley thinks the latest jury questions are a positive for Trump, shows they are weighing beyond reasonable doubt.
I would like to believe that, still pessimistic Trump can get a fair trial in Manhattan with a partisan judge.
But hope springs eternal.
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Biden Campaign Co-Chair: Americans Have Too Many ‘Struggles’ Right Now to Understand Biden’s Incredible Achievements (VIDEO)
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Commie judge cited a 50 year old ny burglary case when citing the jury not having to reach a unanimous decision.
A SC case from 1997 states otherwise.
Did the Columbia cartel judge not know this?
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I am too stupid to recognize the greatness of Joe Biden?
Dammit.
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Geezus, I clicked on Tina’s link and sure enough it was Gateway Pundit.
I should have known better.
I hate giving a click to fake news conspiracy theory lying scum.
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jason, there was also a report that is circulating about ONE juror who always looked at Trump sympathetically while he was in the courtroom, and there is speculation that this is the ONE holdout who is resisting pressure to convict.
If I was the one holdout, I would tell the other 11 that they can waste however may days they want, but this thing is either NOT GUILTY or a hung jury. They can decide which, but there is no point in wasting more time.
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I spotted that too about WI numbers being disappointing. But this state is very polarized. Not a lot of voters either side can pull into the fold. The one that I mentioned yesterday that really caught my attention was Delaware at -20 approval. New Mexico is at -18, screaming loudly for someone to poll it. Michigan is right there with PA at -25.
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They might try to kick off that juror for some BS reason.
But I am not sure I believe the report.
If I was sympathetic to the defendant while in the jury box, the last thing I would do is show it.
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“Beyond Reasonable Doubt” never walked into this courtroom, failing to get the invitation to the circus.
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Probably what will happen is the jury will come out, the foreman will stand up to read the verdict, and will say, “Your honor, 11 of us find the defendant, Donald Trump, guilty on all charges.”
The judge will slam down the gavel and order Trump be taken away to prison.
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Bitter, Abraham (Walt) and any other HHR lawyer – Given the 1997 SC decision on unanimity, would the judge telling the jury that 4-4-4 is a unanimous decision give Trump grounds to appeal? Also, can he appeal to a federal court to overturn this decision. Isn’t this a state charge?
Forgive any ignorance
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Speaking of pollsters, there is a long list of pollsters who have been silent so far, in terms of state matchup polling. The month of June is upon us, and there are only 5 months and a few days to go. Yet this list of pollsters below is keeping their powder dry. I think some of these are names that are now defunct, or, they polled in 2020 or 2016, and their purpose was to be propaganda pollsters, not ever intending to be accurate, but now for 2024, they are back under different names.
Here is the list…with notables like Trafalgar Group and Insider Advantage without any polling of states:
ALG Research (D)
Alloy Analytics
Alvarado Strategies
Amber Integrated
American Research Group
American Viewpoint
ARW Strategies
Ascend Action
AtlasIntel
AYTM
Baldwin Wallace University
Basswood Research (D)
Battleground Connect
Bendixen & Amandi International
BK Strategies
Bold Decision
Bluegrass Data Analytics (D)
Bluegrass Community & Technical College
Blueprint Polling
Braun Research
Brilliant Corners Research
Bruno Political Consulting
BSP Research
Capitol Communications
Cardinal Point Analytics
Center Street PAC (D)
Christopher Newport University
Citizen Data
Civiqs (D)
Clarity Campaign Labs
Clearview Research
Climate Nexus
Clout Research
Colby College
CPEC
Data Targeting
David Binder Research
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department
Democracy Institute
DFM Research
DHM Research
DKC Analytics
East Tennessee State Univ.
EMC Research
Expedition Strategies (D)
Fallon Research & Communications
Fairleigh Dickinson University
Fleming & Associates
FM3 Research
Fort Hays State University
Frederick Polls
Garin-Hart-Yang Res. Grp (D)
George Mason University
Goucher College
GQR Research (D)
Grassroots Targeting
Gravis Marketing
Hampton University
Harper Polling (R)
Harris Poll
Harstad Strategic Res. (D)
Hart Research Associates (D)
Hendrix College
Higher Ground
Hill Research Consultants
HIT Strategies (D)
Hodas & Associates (D)
Hoffman Research Group
Impact Research
Info Strategy Northeast
Insider Advantage
Jayhawk Consulting Services
JMC Analytics
KAConsulting
Keating Research
Keiser Family Foundation
Kiaer Research
Lake Research Partners
Landmark Communications
Latino Decisions
Lighthouse Research
Listener Group (D)
Maine People’s Resource Center
Marketing Resource Group
MassINC Polling Group
Meeting Street Insights
Mellman Group
Monmouth University
Montana St. University-Billings
Montana St. University-Bozeman
Moore Information
NMB Research (R)
Nelson Research
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
Ogden and Fry
Opinion Insight, LLC (D)
Opinion Works
Opinium
Osage Research
OurProgress.org
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)
Patriot Polling
Phillips Academy
Ragnar Research Partners
RBI Strategies
Research Affiliates
Research and Polling
Research Company
RMG Research
Rutgers University
Sachs Media
Sacred Heart University
Saint Leo University
Schoen Cooperman Research
SEA Polling and Strategic Design (D)
Seven Letter Insight
Sooner Poll
South Dakota State
St. Cloud St. University
Starboard Communications
Stetson University
Stockton University
Strategies 360
Swayable (D)
Target Point
Target Smart
The Citadel
The Justice Collaborative Institute
TIPP
Tomahawk Strategies
Trafalgar Group
Triton Polling & Research
University of Akron
University of Arkansas
University of Delaware
University of Maryland
University of Mass. – Lowell
University of Montana
University of Nevada
University of Nevada Las Vegas
University of North Florida
University of Wyoming
Upswing Research
Victoria Res. & Consulting (D)
Victory Geek
Washington College
We Ask America
Western New England University
Whitman Insight Strategies
Wick Insights
Winston Group
Y2 Analytics
Zia Poll
1892 Polling
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DW – some of those specialized in states, especially Florida, which are no longer competitive or not blowouts for Dems, so they aren’t (won’t be) spending the money to put out polls. Others, haven’t found sponsors for their polls. We seem to forget that someone has to pay for them, and most of these pollsters will not do a poll unless its paid for by a third party (think PPP which has been super silent this cycle…a lot of times DailyKos would pay for them) come to think if it, DailyKos and PPP really haven’t done much.
Here are some suprises:
TIPP, Trafalgar, Harris, Harper, Gravis, Insider Advantage, Braun, Civiqs
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Vic, yes, the money needs to flow to get the polls. But even so, take the Sooner Poll, they have faithfully polled Oklahoma for years despite it never being in play, but this year its silence.
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This Trump trial has placed me in a difficult position. I almost always support the prosecution. In this case, I don’t.
My bias in favor of police once got me dismissed from jury service. The Judge asked if anybody was more likely to believe a police officer over the defendant or another witness. I said yes.
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Let’s not mention that federal election law trumps state election law. There is no standing by a Da to bring this type of case. (Used to elevate the Misdemeanor to a felony.
Doesn’t the Columbia cartel judge not know this?
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It is being used to elevate the misdemeanor which has long expired.
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Hey, dont indite my school Columbia as a cartel…LOL…its Colombian cartel 😉
Weve got enough problems there right now
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I wonder if mark le is advice is right about filing with the us Supreme Court.
You have a commie judge/renegade court making up laws.
Bush v gore case was cited specifically by levin.
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BL can fix that. Last post was mine too. Mark Levin*
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Good luck.
lol
https://wltreport.com/2024/05/30/rep-raskin-doj-should-force-justice-alito-step/?utm_source=PTN&utm_medium=mixed&utm_campaign=PTN
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Now they are targeting Beotchys husband. Hopefully, she toughens up and takes no prisoners. Be more Alito like and less Souter like.
(I never supported her nomination in the first place).
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Another scandals by the cartel judge.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/05/breaking-laura-loomer-exclusive-judge-juan-merchan-is/
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It’s a public trial.
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Why is she a bitch, Tina? You have explained this nickname.
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Done
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Yeah public trial where the defendant was charged without knowing what the mystery/bonus charge was.
5th amendment violation.
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And a ny da (or insert state) has no standing to enforce a federal election matter.
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For trial updates:
paul ingrassia twitter
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https://babylonbee.com/news/to-save-time-biden-to-drop-next-320-million-cash-directly-into-ocean
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Duplicate post, bitter please delete this and the second post from Babylon bee
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I have read conflicting stories about the 4-4-4 thing. Evidently NY law does allow for some version of that, but I think you still need a unanimous vote of guilt even if there is not a requirement for unanimity in every count. Seems very murky.
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I have said since the beginning that this trial is political nonsense.
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A friend of mine tried to get off a murder jury by stating he thought the defendant should be executed during the jury selection. The judge said you have a Master’s Degree from a top school, I know you know better than that, I am not releasing you. In the end, he didn’t get on the jury for other reasons. This was in CA.
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the thing is jason, the charges are all connected. If you acquit on one, then the others make no sense to convict. So the judge is trying to cobble together an alternate reality to get a guilty verdict.
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Done.
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Funny
https://x.com/BasedMusicDad/status/1796023993272578128/photo/1
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Biden admits Kamala was a DEI hire. Of course, there wasn’t much doubt.
“To me, the values of diversity, equality, inclusion are literally — and this is not kidding — the core strengths of America,” he said. “That’s why I’m proud to have the most diverse administration in history that taps into the full talents of our country. And it starts at the top with the Vice President”
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We need to go back to the method of Lets get the best quality candidate for each job, and we don’t care what they look like or where they came from so long as they are most qualified we can possibly get.
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Great new Trump ad
https://twitter.com/saras76/status/1796193243605901528
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Trump massive shift among youth vote
https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1796183890769404387
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Trump to meet with Elon Musk to set Crypto policy
https://x.com/BTC_Archive/status/1796208387140591903
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Kamala called Boden a racist during every democrat debate so Boden had to pick her because of Boden’s white privilege.
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doesnt seem like a guilty verdict will impact Trump one way or the other, according to a new poll.
“A new national poll is the latest to indicate that regardless of whether…”Trump”…is found guilty or acquitted in his criminal trial, the verdict will not have a large impact on voters’ perceptions in his 2024 election rematch with President Biden.
Two-thirds of registered voters nationwide questioned in a NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist National Poll released on Thursday said a guilty verdict in the trial would make no difference to their vote in the presidential election. Seventeen percent said a conviction of Trump would make them less likely to vote for him and 15% said they’d be more inclined to support the former president at the ballot box.
If Trump is acquitted, three-quarters of those surveyed said it wouldn’t impact their vote. Fourteen percent said a not guilty verdict would make them more likely to back Trump, and 9% said they’d be less likely to vote for the former president.”
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Ken Paxton, possible Attorney General pick, says FBI agency is “organized crime” and should be dismantled!
https://x.com/_wake_up_USA/status/1796198402331394451
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DW left IncaPolls out of his pollster compilation.
Heartless bastard.
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“Really Progressive justices like we have always had”, says Biden.
“The next president, they’re going to be able to appoint a couple of justices, and I’ll be damned — if in fact we’re able to change some of the justices when they retire and put in really progressive judges like we’ve always had, tell me that won’t change your life,” Biden told his audience.
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I blame intolerance of alpaca’s. He will need to undergo alpaca sensitivity training.
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Max Blumenthal on antiwar radio this week https://scotthorton.org/interviews/5-22-24-max-blumenthal-on-the-significance-of-this-student-protest-movement/
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Out US. University systems are essentially a front group of hedge funds for the defense industry corporate elites.
This is why we need nation wide divestment from these companies. The students are trying to force this w the GAZA encampments so I think these movements are going to become increasingly successful.
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NT
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