Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump with Edge in AZ and NV, safe leads in TX and SD

According to FAU/Mainstreet Research, Texas Lyceum, and Mason-Dixon. Notice that in AZ, FAU believes ALL Kennedy voters would vote for Biden, and none for Trump:

ARIZONA FAU
Trump43
Biden45
Three Candidates:
Trump43
Biden39
Kennedy7
May 19-21; 501 LV
NEVADA FAU
Trump51
Biden43
Three Candidates:
Trump46
Biden40
Kennedy8
May 19-21; 494 LV
TEXAS Texas Lyceum
Trump41
Biden31
Kennedy11
Stein1
West1
April 12-21; 926 RV
SOUTH DAKOTA Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
Trump50
Biden31
Kennedy11
May 10-13; 500 RV

15 responses to “Trump with Edge in AZ and NV, safe leads in TX and SD”

  1. We really need Tx and Sd presidential poles.

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  2. second. Lol

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  3. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I was worried about SD.

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  4. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Biden is dropping on the betting sites.

    I am a buyer at 25 cents.

    https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

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  5. I would gladly trade all of the TN, SD, TX, and other non-battleground state polls for just ONE quality poll of New Mexico.

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  6. And here is probably the most important poll of today. Forget all these state polls if this one poll is true. And remember, IPSOS/Reuters is not part of the vast right-wing conspiracy:

    Reuters/Ipsos: Biden Job Approval

    ๐ŸŸข Approve 36% [-2]
    ๐Ÿ”ด Disapprove 59% [+3]

    [+/- change vs April]
    โ€”
    N=1,017 A | 5/17-20

    Those are not bad numbers for Biden, they are CATASTROPHIC numbers.

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  7. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I am not worried, unless Biden hits 25% he should be ok.

    I know, I said under 45% was fatal but that was for Trump.

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  8. Goddammit, jason stole my post.

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  9. Jason, another Marxist DA to add to your list this morning; the Seattle whack job tossed by Ann Davidson (actually running as an โ€œR,โ€ not an independent).

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  10. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Michael Smercomish cancelled as commencement speaker at Dickinson College.

    Good.

    He is a flaming liberal who dishonestly pretends to be “balanced”, but he learned the lesson that you are never woke enough for the Marxists who run these universities.

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  11. He went to Lehigh. Boooooooo

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  12. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I think Davison was elected in 2021…

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  13. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Smercomish is upset that he was cancelled without a “statement from the University President that it was not a negativ reflection on him”.

    LOL

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  14. 2 weeks old story. Is Jason still using a dial up modem?

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