Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Biden up 6 in NH, Trump up 2 in NC, 18 in TN

According to UMASS/YouGov; Change Research (D), and Vanderbilt U:

NEW HAMPSHIRE
UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov
Trump36
Biden42
Kennedy11
May 6-14; 600 LV
NORTH CAROLINAChange Research
Trump45
Biden43
Three Candidates:
Trump41
Biden38
Kennedy11
Governor:
Robinson43
Stein44
May 13-18; 835 LV
TENNESSEE SSRS
Trump47
Biden29
Kennedy8
April 26-May 9; 501 RV

56 responses to “Biden up 6 in NH, Trump up 2 in NC, 18 in TN”

  1. According to this poll Biden is up. However, his recent visit to NH, like most of his state visits, lacks a sizable audience and no enthusiasm.

    NH Journal

    @NewHampJournal

    Replying to @IAMMGraham @jpodhoretz and 2 others

    “I feel like I’m at a wake.” One of the ppl at the @joebiden Nashua event. More excitement among Trump fans lining the road than in the venue.

    Like

  2. Close to three-fourths of the humanitarian aid transported from a new $320 million floating pier built by the U.S. military off the Gaza coast was stolen on Saturday en route to a U.N. warehouse, Reuters reported on Tuesday.”

    Similar theft has been reported going on in Ukraine, even prompting Sec.Burns to recently pay a visit, warning officials to stop stealing. However, none of that behavior is ever acknowledged here, and instead people posting such reports are harangued and accused of posting propaganda.

    Like

  3. The Biden Administration has drained the last million gallons of oil from the northeast reserve to bring down gas prices. Buying votes is a built-in strategy of Dems to win elections – this includes continuing the unconstitutional college loan forgiveness program, throwing billions of dollars of loan payback onto taxpayers.

    ”Depleting our emergency reserves while discouraging domestic production. Such a winning strategy!” tweeted Gabriella Hoffman, energy and conservation director of the Independent Women’s Forum.

    “Under [former President Donald] Trump, it was ‘drill, baby, drill.’ Under Biden, it is ‘drain, baby, drain,’” tweeted Charles Correll III, a speechwriter for Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.).”

    Like

  4. Not everybody goes to rallies, Jan. Their votes still count.

    Like

  5. Because you do post pro-Putin propaganda and talking points.

    Like

  6. Not everybody is even ALIVE, and in many urban areas, THEIR votes still count.

    Like

  7. from today’s quinnipiac national poll:

    How likely to change mind on who to vote for:

    • RFK Jr voters: 53% (11% very likely)

    • Biden voters: 15% (3% very likely)

    • Trump voters: 8% (0% very likely)

    Like

  8. ”Because you do post pro-Putin propaganda and talking points.”

    Disapproval of the unaudited and mismanaged monies sent to Ukraine, via the American tax payer, is hardly pro-Putin or a talking point. It’s factually pointing out how imprudent our fiscal foreign policies are, as well as how they heavily weigh on the failing economics of our own country, over-burdened by unsustainable debt. You, though, don’t want to go into any of the above, and instead find the Putin refrain much easier to insert in your acerbic retorts.

    Like

  9. ”Not everybody is even ALIVE, and in many urban areas, THEIR votes still count.”

    Voter fraud is much more sophisticated now, way beyond the dead voting. Mail in voting has expedited voter fraud, along with chain of custody/ signature verification lapses, and endless times to vote and count the vote.

    Like

  10. True or false – Almost all of the aid to Ukraine is military weapons and equipment.

    True or false – That aid is killing a lot of Russian invaders.

    Like

  11. Jan never posts about Ukrainians who have been murdered, injured, tortured, raped or displaced by Putin’s troops. She does not post about all of the destruction by Putin’s troops. Why?

    Like

  12. Why? She would stop getting the funds deposited in her account.

    Like

  13. Bitter, why don’t you post <b>recent news clips or stories</b> “about Ukrainians who have been murdered, injured, tortured, raped or displaced by Putin’s troops?”

    As for me I post current stories about Ukraine from Ukrainian news, NYT, WSJ, Newsweek, Reuters, sometimes The Guardian which talk about how US money, to be spent on fortifications against Russia gaining more ground, disappearing into corrupt hands – making it easy for Russian troops to walk in and take over. Other current news describe how fatigued Ukrainian troops are, having no respite from the front lines, and either too few men to fight or men who are not combat-ready to fight. Then there is current news about parents trying to get their kids out of Ukraine so they don’t have to die for a cause going south, and mainly benefiting the elite oligarchs or the US weapon manufacturers.

    Give me links to something factual to go on, Bitter, instead of the same old, same old unlinked generalizations you’ve posted for two years.

    Like

  14. Something factual:

    Putin illegally invaded Ukraine and committed war crimes.

    jan, do you agree or disagree with those facts?

    Like

  15. Jan loves her leftist sources. The Guardian? Seriously?

    Like

  16. Jan doesn’t believe Putin’s invasion is negative for Ukraine? Seriously?

    Like

  17. “mainly benefiting the elite oligarchs or the US weapon manufacturers”…and with that you lose all credibility.

    Like

  18. Breaking News- No soldier at any time in history has wanted to die.

    Like

  19. Nikita endorsed trump. I am fine with this. Don’t want her as veep. She can be a cabinet officer.

    Like

  20. BL, to paraphrase, no solder wants to die for his country; he’d rather make the other soldier die for his.

    Liked by 1 person

  21. ”Jan loves her leftist sources. The Guardian? Seriously?”

    And, Bitter loves to cherry-pick posts. What about all the other sources listed, Bitter (Ukrainian news, NYT, WSJ, Newsweek, Reuters), are they left wing? As for The Guardian, it has given more of a day to day European perspective, more anti-Russia, regardless of their ideological bent.

    BTW, where are all your “current” sources, giving a Spring 2024 analysis of the war?

    Vic, as I think you may be aligned in some way to the armament industry, I can understand why you wouldn’t like me talking about them being one of the prime beneficiaries of this war.

    Like

  22. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Has the amoral Putin Nurse explained why it is ok for Russia to fire missiles into Ukraine but it is not ok for Ukraine to fire missiles back yet?

    Like

  23. jan subscribes to the John Kerry School of Warfare, where it is best to be armed with spitballs.

    Like

  24. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Disapproval of the unaudited”

    Zzzzz..

    Anyone doubt the pathological liar would oppose “audited” military aid to Ukraine also?

    The amoral Putin Nurse doesn’t give a damm about audits, her only problem with the aid is that it is helping to kill a lot of Russians and prevent them from annexing Ukraine.

    THAT is her issue.

    Like

  25. Jan, you can criticize the “armament industry” with your Ron Paul school of international affairs approach, but I only criticize when you make unfounded allegations, such as “US money, to be spent on fortifications against Russia gaining more ground, disappearing into corrupt hands…”

    It’s ridiculous to make that comment when you know nothing of what is happening there, and again, it goes to what Bitter does say, the person to blame for this war is Putin. No one else.

    Is there waste, absolutely. Is it enough to consider allowing Russia to take over all of Ukraine. No.

    Are there a few young men who don’t want to fight, or desert their posts. Yes. Does it mean that its a large percentage. Absolutely not. The Ukrainians are fighting for their country, and their lives, and will do so until the end. Stories of abandoning the fight are again, straight from the coward Ron Paul school of international politics.

    If you just said, “hey, we should have a better auditing of the money/equipment being sent/spent” I can respect that. The abandoning of the Ukrainian people is where you lose me.

    Like

  26. 2024 National GE, Among Independents:

    Biden (D) 41% (+4)
    Trump (R) 37%
    .
    Biden (D) 29% (+6)
    Kennedy (I) 23%
    Trump (R) 22%

    McLaughlin & Associates, LV, 5/9-15

    This is terrible news for the GOP from Trumps own pollster.

    Like

  27. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Zzzzzzz….

    JeffP FINALLY found a poll he likes?

    Wow.

    Must be sad to have terminal TDS.

    Like

  28. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Andy Reid may be the dumbest coach in football, but he gets credit from me on his answer to woke reporter, who asked about Harrison Buttker “speaking ill of women”.

    Reid said “I don’t think he spoke ill of women, and he is entitled to his opinions. You guys here in the room have a lot of opinions I don’t like”

    Great answer.”

    Like

  29. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    This is terrible news for the GOP”

    What is terrible news for the GOP is that there are still a lot of TDS morons like him running interference for Joe Biden.

    The primaries are over. The Golden Calf lost. Deal with it.

    Btw, I was driving today and guess who hosted Hannity’s show?

    Yep, the Golden Calf.

    He was pretty good too, he can have a career in radio if he tires of politics.

    Like

  30. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I can see JeffP is going to be the new Amoral Scumbag.

    8 years later he will be like Amoral Scumbag who still can’t cope with the fact his candidate lost the primaries in 2016.

    Like

  31. Please Clap!!!

    Like

  32. BTW, the way the poll is presented it appears as if that is an overall poll, but, its just “independents.”

    How many people really think more independents are voting for Kennedy than Trump. Get a clue.

    Like

  33. Channeling your inner Patton?

    Like

  34. Are you serious? If it weren’t for the armaments industry that you hate, Ukraine would be a conquered province of Russia, Zelensky and hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians who fought back would be executed or in prison for life, and Russian military bases would be hundreds of miles closer to NATO countries.

    Like

  35. 3 time Super Bowl winning Coach Andy Reid? Jason never really understood football.

    Like

  36. “It’s ridiculous to make that comment when you know nothing of what is happening there.”

    You’re right Vic, I can only extrapolate what I read or hear in interviews. I’m not there, and neither are Bitter, Jason Slava Ukraini, or you (at least at this moment). The articles, interviews and information I read and hear tell a different story than you, however, about how many Ukrainian citizens, military and government officials view this war after over 2 years of brutal engagement with Russia. Many are tired, some of Russian heritage (like in Crimea) don’t mind becoming part of Russia. Others, a smaller number than at the beginning of Russia’s invasion, want to continue fighting. These people, though, are probably not on the front lines, or vulnerable in having loved ones forcibly conscripted into military service. Furthermore, I haven’t followed Ron Paul politics or ideology, except for when his son became Fauci’s nemesis. So, my thinking is derived independently from my own research, and concerns for this country’s fiscal soundness and border security.

    Like

  37. More current polling has shown a divide in support for Ukraine – Dems supporting it more while republican support has waned.

    https://www.newsweek.com/ukraine-aid-packages-leave-many-unanswered-questions-opinion-1901975

    “A recent poll we conducted of voters in battleground states found that three out of four respondents opposed sending more aid to Ukraine without fortifying our own border. Most (56 percent) also felt that the United States had already sent too much aid to Ukraine—and that was before this latest package passed.

    They’re right. Since 2022, Congress has designated more than $173 billion for the conflict in Ukraine—nearly as much as the Army’s annual budget and about $1,300 per American household—and there is still no plan for victory or peace from the commander in chief. All of this, of course, comes on top of an $895 billion budget for the Department of Defense this year.”

    Like

  38. Jan, you have no clue how “involved” anyone is there, but I can tell you that you are so far off base its absurd.

    You are 100% correct in saying that Crimeans actually consider themselves Russian, and prefer to be part of Russia. The rest of Ukraine does not. They are fighting for their lives, and this idea that they are sick of fighting and that a “smaller number want to continue fighting” is absolutely absurd. They want Russia out of their country. They remember all too well what Russian control of their country means, and do not want it.

    I am calling you out as wrong. Dead wrong. You have no clue what the people on the ground there want, but I can tell you what they don’t want, to be under the control of Russia once again.

    Like

  39. And not one penny of the money spent on Ukraine would ever go towards securing the US Border because Biden does not want it secure. $1,300? Zzzzzz make it $2000 from me because it is money well spent.

    It is pathetic that so many Republicans are now embracing the expansion of Russian power and influence.

    Like

  40. It is a very small minded view. Republicans were always leaders in foreign policy, Reagan being the real hero. I said it once, Ill say it a million times, its the lies the Ron Paul coward crowd fed into the party, ironically, done in order to destroy it because that is their long term goal. Destroy all parties so that there is anarchy and they can smoke their weed, and live in moms basement, but I digress.

    This isolationism was fed by the few that infiltrated, which said, if only we didn’t spend money elsewhere, somehow it would be either refunded to us, or used on their priorities. As Bitter has clearly said, not one single cent of that money would ever go to any priority that the Republican, or conservatives, would want. NOT ONE PENNY.

    Jan…if you had just ended with, “we sure do need some more oversight to ensure that we are getting maximum usage of the equipment/money we send”…no one would argue with you. But the absurdity that the Ukrainians don’t want to fight to keep their sovereign nation is absurd.

    Like

  41. lol Putin was agreeable to a peace deal, and he even pulled his troops out of Kiev as a gesture of good will so they didn’t have to negotiate “at the barrel of a gun.”

    Only the Neocons sent that little a-hole Boris Johnson to Kiev to blow up the deal. They wanted to convince the Russians to pull back under false pretense of a peace deal that they could that use to start a war.

    The reality is we shouldn’t even be part of NATO let alone funding biden’s money laundering.

    Like

  42. “Nikita endorsed trump. I am fine with this. Don’t want her as veep. She can be a cabinet officer.”

    why -so she can lobby for the 25th amendment and troll people?

    Like

  43. Anti-Semitic hatred from Bunu. Avatar
    Anti-Semitic hatred from Bunu.

    Germany joins France and norway committing to arresting war criminal Netanyahu

    https://x.com/Megatron_ron/status/1793302608725127552

    Like

  44. Paulbot garbage. If Putin did not want to invade, there would not have been an invasion. Putin wanted the war and started it.

    Like

  45. The entire thing was an media orchestrated nakba/genocide

    https://news.antiwar.com/2024/05/21/ben-gvir-says-he-would-be-very-happy-to-live-in-gaza

    “Ben Gvir Says He Would Be ‘Very Happy’ To Live in GazaThe Israeli national security minister repeated his call for the expulsion of Palestinians and the establishment of Jewish settlements in Gaza

    sraeli Minister of National Security Itamar Ben Gvir has repeated his call for the expulsion of Palestinians from Gaza to make room for Jewish settlers and said he would be “very happy” to live in the Strip.

    In an interview with the Haredi news outlet Kikar HaShabatBen Gvir said Israel must have complete control of Gaza. “Only the state of Israel. No one else. A full occupation of Gaza. Israeli control. Jewish settlement,” he said. “But that is not enough. There is another very important, essential step, which is encouraging emigration.”

    When asked if he meant the re-establishment of Jewish settlements that were dismantled in 2005, Ben Gvir said Israel should go much further. “Not only that. If we do indeed see emigration, with hundreds of thousands leaving, we can bring in more and more and more people,” he said, adding, “I will be very happy to live in Gaza.”

    Ben Gvir and other Israeli officials have framed their desire for the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians from Gaza as “voluntary migration,” but the Israeli onslaught is making the Strip uninhabitable and could give the Palestinians no choice but to leave if they have the option.”

    Like

  46. Bunu is an Anti-Semitic mf-er. While I cannot fully relate to the experience and history of my wife and her family, I will proudly stand with her and her family against the Bunus and terrorists of this world.

    Like

  47. -44 years of development wiped out.

    -UN estimated that 62% of the housing has been destroyed

    “The United Nations has predicted it will take “until 2040 and probably longer” to rebuild the homes in Gaza that have been destroyed in the Israel-Hamas war. “

    https://www.dezeen.com/2024/05/08/united-nation-rebuilding-homes-gaza/

    There is obviously a planned right wing genocide to make the entire region uninhabitable in order to ethnically cleanse the area.

    This genocide has nothing to do with Hamas, which is what they focus on in the fake news.

    Like

  48. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Most inefficient “genocide” in the history of mankind

    Even if you believe the terrorist’s numbers of 30k dead (most likely not even half of that), you can bet most of the “victims” were actually Hamas terrorists, that is only about 1% of the population of Gaza.

    If Israel really wanted to commit “genocide” you can bet they would be more efficient than 1%.

    Like

  49. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    -UN estimated that 62% of the housing has been destroyed”

    And who is to blame for that?

    Wouldn’t it be the terrorists who are launching attacks from urban areas, from schools, apartment buildings, and hospitals and have dug tunnels under residential areas?

    Who are using civilians as human shields?

    Like

  50. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    lol Putin was agreeable to a peace deal, and he even pulled his troops out of Kiev”

    LOL

    He never got to Kiev, his forces were forced to withdraw before they were completely destroyed.

    “Pulled out of Kiev” my ass.

    His landing outside of Kiev was a complete disaster as was his 25 mile convoy that ended up being sitting ducks.

    Like

  51. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    There is obviously a planned right wing”

    I guess this is another Paulbot admitting the obvious…. Paulbots are not conservatives or “right wing”

    Like

  52. no they are not. They are anti-Semitic cowardly anarchists who don’t want to live by any rules. Their goal is the destroy the Republican Party from within, then sit back and masterbate to pics of Ron Paul and gold bars (which they could never afford) while claiming gold is inflation proof

    btw morons…an ox of gold buys the same exact amount of items today as it did in 1920.

    Like

  53. Mets are 14.5 games out of first place but only 3.5 games out from the last wildcard. Get excited, DW and Vic!

    Like

  54. https://x.com/narrative_hole/status/1793543475113406732 There is a global wаr cabal trying to open a second front against Russia through Georgia – Georgian Prime Minister

    Like