Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Tie in New Hampshire

According to NHJournal/Praecones Analytica

NEW HAMPSHIRENHJournal/Praecones Analytica
Trump36.6
Biden36.5
Kennedy14.6
Other12.4
May 15-20; 862 RV

28 responses to “Tie in New Hampshire”

  1. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Biden Lawsuit Against Sheetz Gas Will Enrage Pennsylvania Voters”

    Damm right, this is an affront to all deplorables.

    Btw, I was at a WahWah last week.

    I really enjoyed the organically sustainable fair traded striped Northern Mariana Archipelago shrimp salad on organic Non-gmo bread made from 12 very rare grains from Outer, Inner and Upper Mongolia.

    Like

  2. The Iranians have already uncovered the plot to kill my beloved leader of Iran.

    They even have the name of the Mossad agent responsible:

    Eli Copter

    Like

  3. https://hotair.com/jazz-shaw/2024/05/20/biden-i-was-vp-during-the-pandemic-you-know-n3788727

    Biden was Veep when Covid-19 pandemic happened.

    “When I was vice president, things were kind of bad during the pandemic and what happened was, Barack said to me, ‘Go to Detroit! Help fix it,’” Biden said.

    “Well, the poor mayor, he’s spent more time with me than he ever thought he’s gonna have to!” the president added.

    Of course Trump was president when this happened, not Obama.

    Like

  4. And if you refresh the page, note that New Hampshire is now moved to the Battleground States grid.

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  5. Trying to decide if I should move Nevada from the battleground states grid to the Other states. I had originally decided that 8 would be the trigger. But if I stuck to that, CO and NM would be added as well.

    I think for now I will leave NV where it is, if for nothing else the huge margin of fraud there.

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  6. Hey let’s gin the Ukraine/Russia War up to escalate it into a WW3, says Zelenskyy!

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky sent a delegation to Washington this week to demand that the Biden regime reverse a ban on the firing of U.S. missiles on Russian territory.

    The delegation, which included five members of the Ukrainian parliament, met with Biden officials and requested that the U.S. drop the ban, which would dramatically increase the risk of WW3 and perhaps even nuclear armageddon

    Like

  7. An example of unequal justice:

    “David DePape, the man who attacked Nancy Pelosi’s husband Paul has already faced a trial, was convicted, and sentenced to 30 years in jail. His crime took place in October of 2022.

    Meanwhile, Nicholas Roske, who showed up at the home of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh with a gun and other dangerous items with the intention of killing him, has not even gone on trial yet. And his crime happened months before the attack on Paul Pelosi!

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  8. DW – Nevada is a battleground state for sure. I realize the polls are showing a growing gap for Trump, but you can bet the Dems will make a full on push with the casino workers union, and appeal to latinos (oh sorry…latinx) saying Trump is a xenophobe in order to tighten the race. I do not see Nevada being more than 2% one way or the other in November.

    I also think NH is fools gold, unless Kennedy makes it on the ballot (I don[‘t know if he is or isn’t. Excuse my ignorance)

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  9. Kennedy is on the ballot in NH

    https://www.kennedy24.com/ballot-access

    And if Maine is close, and it is, there is no reason to conclude NH would be much different.

    Liked by 1 person

  10. Wow. Jan fully supports Russia firing missiles into Ukraine but is against Ukraine firing back.

    Like

  11. Respectfully, I disagree. Maine voters only act like Maine voters. New Hampshire voters only act like New Hampshire voters.

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  12. Sure there is a difference between Maine and New Hampshire voters, but I was thinking more along the lines of my red-shift/blue-shift chart. If most of the 50 states are moving in one direction, no reason why one would move the other.

    Marist has NH +3 for Biden (with Kennedy included) back in January, so they seem to agree that yes, its a state in play. Doesn’t mean Trump will win it, but its at least in play.

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  13. 1996 was the last time a GOP candidate failed to reach 45% in New Hampshire. But in that election Ross Perot got 9.6% of the vote. In 1992 Perot got 22.5% of the vote.

    And so in elections without a major third party/independent choice, you gave to go back to Barry Goldwater in 1964 for the last time a Republican candidate got less than 45% in New Hampshire. So its not like the state is deep blue like VT, MA, or even CT or DE.

    And of course RFK is much more like Biden, policy-wise than he is like Trump, and back in 1992 and 1996, Perot was much more like Bush and Dole than he was like Clinton.

    And so the verbiage on this new poll today is a bit over the top, “shock poll” and all that. Its not really that shocking, not historically. And Bush 43 won the state in 2000, and Trump nearly won it in 2016.

    Liked by 1 person

  14. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Maybe the amoral Putin Nurse can explain why her hero and mentor Putin can fire missiles into Ukraine but Ukraine cannot fire back.

    This should be good.

    Like

  15. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Ma, buy more of that WahWah bait.

    I know, it only caught one Bitterfish, but there are more fish in the river.

    Like

  16. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    NH is not completely fool’s gold, Trump came within 3k votes of winning it in 2016.

    I have not seen a governor’s race poll, maybe Bitter’s ex-girlfriend can help him there.

    Like

  17. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Is this all? How about a villa in Italy for all protesters to go with it?

    Drexel University anti-Israel campus occupiers demanded that administrators “terminate” its chapters of both Hillel and Chabad, two Jewish student organizations.

    The Drexel Palestine Coalition (DPC) set up the encampment on Saturday and made a wide-ranging list of demands to administrators, including demands to close a Starbucks, end printing services with Hewlett-Packard, end agreements with Israeli universities, and more.

    The group also demanded that Drexel administrators terminate the university’s Hillel chapter, which it describes as a “global zionist campus organization.”

    It also called on administrators to terminate Drexel Chabad, “due to welcoming an ex-IOF soldier.”

    The DPC also demanded that Drexel President John Fry “publicly and explicitly condemn the Israeli settler colonial project and ongoing genocide in occupied Palestine.”

    Like

  18. DW, thank you for all that info. It seems you are right, it truly is in play. If it is, it will make Trump’s path to victory easier for sure.

    Like

  19. I’d love to know where all these pro-“palestine” morons got this idea that there is a genocide going on. To quote Three Amigos, “I’d like to know that is someone says “genocide”, they know what genocide means.” OR to quote princess Bride “I do not think “genocide” means what you think it means”

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  20. If nothing else Vic, it gives Trump one more place to go, hold a rally, and get inside Biden’s head. There is no way Biden can keep up with Trump on the campaign trail.

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  21. A) Without warning, terrorists cross a border and rape, murder, and slaughter men, women, and children, and take hostages. That apparently is healthy, natural, and normal.

    B) The country that was so attacked shoots back, kills the terrorists, and that is genocide.

    Like

  22. I do not drink coffee. I do not understand the appeal of iced coffee. Both can be true.

    Like

  23. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Damm, and supposedly that WahWah coffee made from coffee beans excreted by monkeys in the Borneo forests is really good, sorry Bitter is missing it. The theory is that as the beans pass through the monkey’s intestinal tract it absorbs some extra flavor and aroma.

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  24. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Kopi luwak, also known as civet coffee, is a coffee that consists of partially digested coffee cherries, which have been eaten and defecated by the Asian palm civet. The cherries are fermented as they pass through a civet’s intestines, and after being defecated with other fecal matter, they are collected.”

    I should have said civets, not monkeys. I hope WahWah doesn’t sue me.

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  25. Ok…I will never understand iced coffee, nor this generations penchant to think all coffee should be served iced. I usually make my own coffee in the morning, but this morning ordered it out on the way back from a school event for the 10 yo. I asked for coffee, light and sweet.

    Being Texas they freaked out at what “light and sweet” meant. Then, proceeded to give me iced coffee. When I told them I asked for coffee…they said this is coffee. I told them I meant regular coffee, and no joke, three of them huddled together to understand what I said, and meant…both because I asked for it weirdly, and because I wouldn’t take the iced coffee. WTF

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  26. The Wawa menu is posted so everybody knows Jason is lying. There is nothing “elite” or exclusionary about a convenience store with its HQ in Delco.

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