Perhaps according to new Marquette Law poll:
 | WISCONSIN – Marquette |
| Trump | 51 |
| Biden | 49 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 42 |
| Biden | 41 |
| Kennedy | 12 |
| Stein | 3 |
| West | 1 |
| US Senate: | |
| Hovde | 37 |
| Baldwin | 44 |
| Registered voters, leaners: | |
| Hovde | 47 |
| Baldwin | 52 |
| Likely voters, leaners: | |
| Hovde | 50 |
| Baldwin | 50 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
48 responses to “Wisconsin US Senate: Baldwin in trouble?”
1st
LikeLike
I am not a Republican but I certainly support the FISA program as an important tool against terrorism.
If you think about it, terrorism in itself restricts a lot of liberties. Just think of all the restrictions we have on travel because of 9/11 and all the federal bureaucracy that resulted from it. If another 9/11 can be avoided and the tradeoff is that some US citizen gets monitored because he is talking with a foreign terrorist I can live with the “decreased privacy protections”.
It doesn’t mean I support the obvious abuses that were made but you don’t throw out the baby with the bathwater.
LikeLike
I don’t like Hovde and I have always viewed him as a deadender moron.
I hope he wins.
Both can be true.
LikeLike
Johnson is a much better candidate than Hovde and he ran against a much weaker candidate than Baldwin and he only won by like 20k votes.
LikeLike
And now they release the POTUS numbers from Marquette…I will just update this thread.
LikeLike
If you don’t believe Marxism is our future you aren’t paying attention.
Imagine this person is CEO of NPR, a govt funded organization.
LikeLike
refresh the page and you will see the POTUS numbers from Marquette.
LikeLike
If you don’t think these people are serious Marxist you are delusional.
Imagine just a few years ago someone this radical being named CEO of a government funded organization. Someone who is offended by “boy and girl”
LikeLike
Bitter censored my post on NPR. What an A-hole.
LikeLike
51-49 won’t get Trump a win in WI.
LikeLike
Looks like Menendez is really ready to throw his wife under the bus.
Seems risky, she might know a lot more that she could talk about.
LikeLike
interesting comment on 51/49 not getting Trump a win in WI. Have we ever done the exercise where we judge the MOFraud in each state to determine what he needs to win?
LikeLike
The filter caught your post I just approved it. GFY
LikeLike
Here’s the 2020 Wisconsin polling. RCP average was Biden +6.7. Final result was Biden +.7. No pollsters final poll had a Trump win. Trump is running in the polls about 7 points better than last time. Nothing to look at, though….
So, about that margin of fraud….
Chicon
LikeLike
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/wisconsin/trump-vs-biden
Chicon
LikeLike
There was an announcement in my office that the building was conducting a shelter in place drill. I stayed in my office with the door shut. The office administrator asked if I was going to our designated shelter area on the 10th floor. I said no because we are on the 16th floor so I did not see the point of having to be not in place for 6 floors.
LikeLike
Demented needs more meds:
Biden Tells Dubious Story About His “Uncle Bosey” Being “Shot Down in an Area Where There Were a Lot of Cannibals” (VIDEO)
LikeLike
So, about that margin of fraud….
Chicon”
LOL
Skew the polls!
The poll said 51-49.
IT HAS TO BE WRONG IT IS TOO CLOSE, TOSS IT!
We are going to do even better than usual.
HHR used to skew polls that were unfavorable to Trump,
But we have GRADUATED.
Now we are going to skew/toss/ignore polls that DON’T SHOW TRUMP AHEAD BY ENOUGH!
LikeLike
No pollsters final poll had a Trump win.”
And lo and behold, ALL of them were right.
LikeLike
Rand pledges to stop MAGA Mike
https://x.com/RandPaul/status/1780627078645248462
Rand Paul: The government’s warrantless spying on American citizens is dreadful, wrong, and unconstitutional. The only way to fix FISA is to prevent the secretive Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court from ordering the surveillance of Americans and prohibit the Feds from monitoring our emails, phone calls, and texts. I will insist the Senate debate and vote on my amendment to restore our Fourth Amendment rights.
LikeLike
interesting comment on 51/49 not getting Trump a win in WI. Have we ever done the exercise where we judge the MOFraud in each state to determine what he needs to win?”
Trump was ahead by 100k votes until 3 AM when 120k votes materialized for Biden from Milwaukee.
In my view unless Trump is clear by at least 50k before they start looking for votes (errors, found ballots, late mail ins, provisionals, etc.) he won’t win. And that is about 2% if 20lk was 0.7%.
LikeLike
Rand Paul is a joke. His amendment won’t pass. Bet on it.
LikeLike
Schumer decided for himself that the Articles of Impeachment against Mayorkas “did not meet the standard”. So basically he has declared himself judge and juror.
LikeLike
No problem. If we throw out the Echelon poll and the NYT poll and just keep the ActiVote poll Trump is comfortably ahead.
LikeLike
Jason’s sanity pills have worn off…. Back to the vivid imagination.
Chicon
LikeLike
oh wow, there might be an empty seat in congress on the D side:
https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/donald-payne-remains-unconscious-eleven-days-after-heart-attack/
LikeLike
This from 538:
From 538: Net Approval Ratings at this time (1,184 days) in office and on Election Day
Biden: -17% | ???
H.W. Bush: -12.2% | -22.9% LOST
Trump: -8.5% | -8.1% LOST
Truman: -7.4% | -5.9% WON
Carter: -7% | -16.9% LOST
G.W. Bush: +2.1% | +4.8% WON
Obama: +1% | +2.4% WON
Clinton: +14.8% | +16% WON
Reagan: +17.3% | +24.9% WON
Nixon: +20.4% | +32.7% WON
Eisenhower: +56.3% | +48.8% WON
Several points emerge from these data.
The Job Approval 1,184 days into office (today for Biden), doesn’t change much from here until election day. The cake is baked!
The only incumbents who experienced any significant change in Job Approval, between today and election day, it was in the direction they were already headed. Bush 41 and Carter got worse, while Reagan and Nixon got even better. The others only saw statistically insignificant changes.
Biden is in territory all by himself at -17
Biden has no means to reintroduce himself, change his image, or do anything to recover his approval standing, because his mind is shot, and will only get worse.
LikeLike
DW – Good points. Unfortunately, Trump can’t reintroduce himself or change his image, either.
LikeLike
That’s all very nice, but like sports records, these “historical trends” are meant to be broken.
We are in uncharted territory, none of those elections featured one the candidates facing 90 felony counts and 4 trials and the other who cannot find his way off a stage and babbles incoherently.
We are also in uncharted territory because half the country doesn’t care if their candidate is a convicted felon and the other half doesn’t care if their candidate is too mentally incapacitated to be President.
Those other elections were between candidates who were known quantities. There was never one that could be going to jail before the election or one that made up stories about his uncle being on the menu of cannibals.
So I don’t think there are any “baked cakes”. Conventional wisdom says Trump should win based on historical trends, but there are too many unknowns between now and November.
But I will say this, if Trump can get a hung jury on this circus trial in NY and fend off the other trials until after the election, he might just be the favorite. Trump has factors that can change his destiny, but as DW points out, Biden does not.
LikeLike
Btw, if you think Trump is a shoo-in to win WI, you should go over to Predictit and bet on him.
He is decidedly an underdog there, so you can make a nice profit.
Right now you can get him for 43 cents on the dollar, cash in at 100 if he wins.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8076/Which-party-will-win-Wisconsin-in-the-2024-presidential-election
LikeLike
just to be clear, when I said baked cake, I meant Biden’s approval numbers, not saying a guarantee as to the outcome
LikeLike
Right, I agree Biden is essentially done as far as his image.
LikeLike
Jason’s sanity pills have worn off”
I love normalcy.
LikeLike
MAGA Mike is definitely compromised.
At some point they got him onto the island.
LikeLike
Good morning all! Just checking in.
Jason never allows new information into that “brain” of his.
Funny enough, just watched “Catch Me If You Can” with Tom Hanks and Leo DiCaprio. The scene where Leo pretends to be Secret Service and outwits Hanks the FBI agent….decades and decades of mess-ups can be believed, and their abuse of the FISA courts will now continue into the hopefully-next-Trump-administration. We shall see if Trump has any answers this time around.
NHL Playoffs starts Saturday night! Good Luck to All still playing! (shot at Bitterlaw right there!)
Cheers!
LikeLike
Zzzzzzzz. The Flyers were not expected to make the playoffs. Hockey does not make my top 4 sports – NFL, MLB, NBA, college softball.
LikeLike
Jason never allows new information into that “brain” of his.”
Says the guy who thinks WE ARE WINNING on immigration after another 7 million illegals are let in.
LikeLike
BIDEN: “I made it clear to the Israelis — don’t move on Haifa!”
LikeLike
Funny enough, just watched “Catch Me If You Can” with Tom Hanks and Leo DiCaprio. The scene where Leo pretends to be Secret Service and outwits Hanks the FBI agent”
I love the scene in the movie when Leo dressed as a captain surrounds himself with good looking stewardesses and marches through the airport. All the cops sent there to arrest him are distracted by the stewardesses and he gets by them.
LikeLike
NATIONAL POLL: Emerson
Trump 46% [=]
Biden 43% [-2]
With leans
Trump 51% [=]
Biden 48% [-1]
with others:
Trump 44% [+1]
Biden 40% [-2]
RFK Jr 8%
West 1%
April 16-17 | 1,308 RV
LikeLike
This poll is absurd.
No way Trump is only ahead by 3.
Trash it.
LikeLike
Finally doing the right thing. Better late than never.
“I think Vladimir Putin would continue to march through Europe if he were allowed.”
@SpeakerJohnson
is sounding like a full convert on Ukraine aid, says he’s doing what he thinks is right and can’t worry about the threats to his job right now.”
Of course Tina will move Johnson, one of the most conservative members of Congress, to RINO in 1, 2, 3…
LikeLike
Google fires 28 employees for the sit-in in the CEO’s office.
But all is not lost, they can flip burgers for $20 an hour.
LikeLike
Some absolutely brutal numbers for Biden in his Job Approval. These dropped late last night:
IPSOS/reuters: 38/56
Civiqs (D): 35/58
These orgs are essentially arms of the Democratic party.
LikeLike
Forget I said anything below 45% was fatal for an incumbent President, that was for Trump.
For Biden I think anything below 20 is fatal, unless he gets to 20.
LikeLike
Google has employees? Who knew? I thought there was just a really smart robot.
LikeLike
New thread in about 30 minutes
LikeLike
N/T
LikeLike