Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.0-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.8 / 51.0-5.2

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump way up in TN, Biden way up in MA (yawn)

No surprises from Targoz Market Research & MassINC Polling Group:

TENNESSEETargoz Market Research
Trump55
Biden31
Three Candidates:
Trump47
Biden28
Kennedy15
March 15-April 2; 955 LV
MASSACHUSETTSMassINC Polling Group
Trump28
Biden46
Kennedy9
West1
March 21-29; 1,002 RV

45 responses to “Trump way up in TN, Biden way up in MA (yawn)”

  1. first

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  2. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    THE POLLS ARE WRONG!

    We should have this disclaimer on every thread lest there be a poll unfavorable to Trump as a public service.

    Like

  3. Sheila Jackson Lee’s full remarks about the eclipse are absolutely wild. Not only does she claim that the Moon is made of gases, she also says there are solar systems “smaller than the Earth,” that the Moon is a planet, and that an eclipse happens when “they shut the light down.” I don’t know who “they” are but I am honestly stunned that any adult could manage to be this crushingly stupid.

    https://x.com/MattWalshBlog/status/1778034245446803740

    Like

  4. Former CIA Director and Islamic convert John Brennan, architect of the illegal Russian collusion hoax is at it again with his anti- Trump Russia, Russia, Russia bullshit

    https://x.com/RogerJStoneJr/status/1777899667625279654

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  5. “Sheila Jackson Lee’s full remarks about the eclipse are absolutely wild. Not only does she claim that the Moon is made of gases, she also says there are solar systems “smaller than the Earth,” that the Moon is a planet, and that an eclipse happens when “they shut the light down.” I don’t know who “they” are but I am honestly stunned that any adult could manage to be this crushingly stupid.”

    “they shut down the light” – maybe she is affirming trinitarian theology. They=God, and because its plural, she means the Father, Son, and Holy Spirit. The Godhead is in charge of the creation and placement of the moon and its orbit around earth, and so when the moon passes in front of the sun, God in three persons has shut down the light.

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  6. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!
    jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar

    jason Slava Ukraini!

    April 10, 2024 at 10:59 am

    Fetterman on trying to force SCOTUS judge to resign “I have no opinion on anyone else’s ability to retire unless it’s that sleazeball Menendez, he should resign.”

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  7. Are the free passers noting the high cpi?

    Like

  8. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I think Chicon is trying to steal TGCA’s clown crown…

    “The Poll Denier posters get cognitive dissonance with these polls because they are married to the idea Trump will lose. So, toss the polls!”

    Funny how the Trump Cheeleaders who attack and want us to ignore any poll unfavorable to Trump are the ones calling others ‘Poll Deniers”:

    You have to love HHR.

    Like

  9. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Maybe Chicon can tell us where the “disinformation” is on the following post:

    “But Trump has four huge factors that make him an underdog. “Feel good” statements and “selective poll results” don’t change that.

    1. Money. He is going to be massively outspent, and he has to spend a lot of money to defend against 5 legal proceedings in different states, a huge drain on resources. Biden is going to be able to run a lot more ads in swing states.
    2. State elections laws. Except for GA, the other swing states are still using the pandemic related laws that allowed for massive VBM without chain of custody, ballot harvesting, unsupervised ballot boxes, restrictions on ballot counting supervision, etc. You can bet this will cost Trump a lot of votes in PA, WI, AZ, MI and NV.
    3. Court cases. The Dems/MSM/DOJ are committed to convicting Trump of something so they can say “convicted felon”. But that is not the only drawback. If keeps Trump from campaigning and forces him to spend valuable time in court and meetings with lawyers, etc.
    4. The media. 95% is committed to defeating him by any means possible. If you think the attacks on him as a racist Nazi are bad now, wait until Sept and October.”

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  10. new national poll:

    Trump 43, Biden 42, Kennedy 3

    Economist/YouGov.

    Like

  11. This guy over at RRH is trying hard to lure Jason to post over there:

    LC LIBERTARIANApril 10, 2024 at 11:40 am | In reply to iowarepub

    SurveyUSA isn’t a real pollster

    Like

  12. The only polls that are wrong are those saying Trump leads.

    – Poll Deniers.

    Chicon

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  13. DW, Survey USA is clearly not a real poster….their last three polls of Minnesota have Trump within 2-4 points.

    Toss ‘Em!

    Chicon

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  14. come on. Realistically do we honestly believe trump is within 2-4 point in blue blue MN

    Like

  15. Back in 2020, SurveyUSA was reasonably close on Minnesota.

    Final results were Biden +7.12

    Here were the SUSA polls:

    Oct 27: Biden +5

    Oct 20: Biden +6

    Oct 06: Biden +7

    Sep 07: Biden +9

    So their final poll was off in Trump’s favor at 2.12.

    Comparatively, PPP(D)’s final poll was Biden +11; Trafalgar was Biden +3; Gravis was Biden +14; Civiqs(D) was Biden +10; St. Cloud State U was Biden +15. Research Co., Morning Consult and Targoz were all Biden +9, technically the closest to final result, being off 1.88 in Biden’s favor.

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  16. any idea of 2016 polls there

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  17. Vic, when it comes to Minnesota, I will believe it when Charlie Brown actually kicks the football as Lucy holds it. Do I believe Trump could be within 4? Sure, its possible given shift we see in polling of all states. But its down 4 bumping into a pretty hard floor. Getting that last 4 is probably the same as Biden trying to get through the last 4 of GOP support in NC.

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  18. Hillary won MN 46-45 back in 2016.

    Final SurveyUSA poll was +11 for Hillary. But remember 2016 the polls of the rust belt were essentially trash, but for Trafalgar.

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  19. DW, I don’t think Trump wins Minny, barring something cataclysmic. I do suspect that Trump will do better than last time, but only by a little.

    Minny is changing a bit – the Iron Range used to be strongly D, but is now trending toward R. The state is now the typical Democrat urban area versus the rest of the state. That’s still enough to win the state, imo.

    Chicon

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  20. DW, what are your thoughts on the Franklin poll in PA showing Groomer Joe up ten? Is PA swinging hard toward Joe?

    Chicon

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  21. I already wrote my thoughts on the F&M poll. I could review, but to sum up, its the ONLY state poll this entire cycle that claims that Trump gets two MORE points when Kennedy is ADDED to the question, not removed. This irregularity is probably due to the small sample size.

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  22. Vic, in most states, Trump is running ahead of four years ago. In Minny, Biden won by seven, so 2-4 doesn’t seem too crazy. If I had to bet, I’d say Biden by five.

    Chicon

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  23. Gas prices continue to surge.

    Inflation rises.

    Really bad news doe Demented.

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  24. The people’s president at chick fil a

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  25. Free passers to defend Demented and his gas prices.

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  26. Gas prices, where we have our primary residence in CA, are in the high $5 range. When we go up to N CA next week to our rural home we are expecting more like $6.

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  27. ”The DCCC is zeroing in on races in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada and New York — all states that could have an abortion measure on the ballot — with 18 races where Democrats are playing defense or hope to flip GOP-held districts. The party sees abortion as a potential swing-seat turnout booster, pointing to purple-district Rep. Sharice Davids’ (D-Kan.) 2022 win after an abortion referendum was on her state’s ballot and increased turnout in Ohio last cycle.

    They’re also hoping to hitch vulnerable Republican incumbents to the GOP’s attempts to restrict abortion at a federal level, such as some House Republicans’ efforts to introduce national abortion bans.”

    The Dems have primarily two issues to run on: TDS and abortion. Consequently the Dems will be full speed ahead to magnify these areas as much as possible, in their attempts to distract from real life-changing factors facing Americans such as illegal immigration, inflation, the economy.

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  28. It’s trumps fault for the high gas prices.

    -Free Passer

    Like

  29. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Has Tina given Trump a pass for being the ultimate RINO?

    A friend wants to know

    Like

  30. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    come on. Realistically do we honestly believe trump is within 2-4 point in blue blue MN”

    Of course we do.

    We only believe polls favorable to Trump.

    ALL OTHER POLLS ARE WRONG!!

    Like

  31. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    A friend also wants to know if Tina gave Trump passes for:

    • Donating to Chuck Schumer, Hillary Clinton, Harry Reid and the Democrat Senatorial Committee
    • Declaring that the country did better under Dem economic policies
    • Declaring that he was the “King of Debt” and that deficits don’t matter just print more money
    • Signing massive spending bills
    • Shutting down the country and taking credit for vaccines that didn’t work
    • Selling out the pro-life movement

    Thanks

    Like

  32. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    The Dems have primarily two issues to run on: TDS and abortion. Consequently the Dems will be full speed ahead to magnify these areas as much as possible, in their attempts to distract from real life-changing factors facing Americans such as illegal immigration, inflation, the economy”

    The Putin Toady is correct, strange things do happen.

    And the MSM will be onboard with these talking points and it will be backed up by hundreds of millions of dollars in ads.

    But heck, don’t worry, Trump is within 2 in MN, all is good. It’s in the bag.

    Like

  33. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    This guy over at RRH is trying hard to lure Jason to post over there”

    Says the guy who is always quoting from RRH.

    Like

  34. Free pass for Demented

    • Slava free passer

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  35. Larry Summer destroys the Fed Board’s Demented Joe reelection plan for rate cuts this June. https://youtu.be/LXDNZuYUn-o?si=lKDfRmXc1gKSCBJq

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  36. Tina – Considering that nobody at HHR is going to vote for Biden AND everybody with the possible exception of Walt will be casting their vote for Trump, who are the “free passers?”

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  37. He’s from same State as Trump so he can’t be VP.

    Also he still hasn’t gotten Elon his Florida Birth certificate so he can run in 2028. DeSantis is worthless as shit.

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  38. I don’t really understand the bickering about polls. No matter where the polls go they will be subject to fluctuations from now until November. There are just too many wrinkles in Trump’s path to think “he has it in the bag.” What’s encouraging, at this point in time, is he remains competitive, is beginning to have money rolling in, and seems to have a steady team of advisors and campaign aids behind him. So far he seems to be keeping any errors to a minimum, issuing an abortion declaration appropriate for the political era we are transversing. This week Trump will be in PA which again is a state he has to vigorously court, best served by personal appearances followed by local news coverage than lavishly spending money on foolish TV ads. 

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  39. More backstabbing from “MAGA Mike” Johnson

    https://d5c778ac62166872bcdbdea8678c7fba.safeframe.googlesyndication.com/safeframe/1-0-40/html/container.htmlLoginUsername/EmailPassword

    Congress Bribes Itself To Renew Dystopian FISA ‘Sham Reforms’ That Actually ‘Codify Status Quo’

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  40. Rand Paul: 19 Republicans stood strong and defeated the FISA bill today, instead insisting on real reform to FISA (no secret courts should be allowed to spy on Americans).

    https://x.com/RandPaul/status/1778130499824759047

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  41. Fed Chair Jeo Boden announces Rate cuts may be delayed for one month (it’s a solana meme coin reference for the boomers)

    https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1778126081473622460

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  42. When SJL says “they” are controlling the eclipse, that can only be one group in her mind.

    She and Bunu should get a room.

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  43. More people see ads than watch local news. Almost everybody who attends a Trump rally is already voting for Trump.

    Like