According to SurveyUSA:
 | MINNESOTA – SurveyUSA |
| Trump | 42 |
| Biden | 44 |
- Last week of the year. Will the scandals in Minnesota be investigated?
- Weekend thread……
- Merry Christmas!
- Christmas Eve
- Eve of Christmas Eve
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.0 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.8 / 51.0 | -5.2 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
58 responses to “Trump down 2 in MINNESOTA”
Fools gold.
LikeLiked by 1 person
I have strong memories of election night 1984, and being angry that Reagan was denied a 50 state sweep due to Minnesota
LikeLike
Lucy’s holding the football….
Of course, all polls are to be believed, so Minnesota is a battleground. Right?
Ahhh, no. Polls where Trump’s ahead by two mean he will lose. Polls where Biden is ahead by two mean that race is over.
Chicon
LikeLike
As many others will say…if Minn is in play we arent worried about the election, moreso about how many Senate seats we can take
It is not even fools gold…its just foolish. If he is within 5 in Minn the election has long been won
LikeLike
btw 14% undecided…in Minn???
when do we fisk, or skew
LikeLike
I have not been interested in polls since I started at HHR in 2024. I expect Trump to lose and not based on the polls.
LikeLike
https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2024/04/09/axelrod-arizona-abortion-ban-is-an-earthquake-that-could-tip-this-election/
It appears the Dems were given another opportunity in AZ to exploit and expand upon the issue of abortion.
LikeLike
Don’t be such an optimist, Bitter!
LikeLike
Bitter, define “not interested”. Do you not believe in the accuracy of polling? If you make prognostications irrespective of polls, doesn’t this mean you’re tossing all polls?
Chicon
LikeLike
Lucy’s holding the football….
Of course, all polls are to be believed, so Minnesota is a battleground. Right?”
Zzzzzzzzzz…..
You can be a Trump cheerleader and skew all the polls you want. You can hide polls unfavorable to Trump and pretend they don’t exist, and you can pretend all polls unfavorable to Trump are wrong. The good ole HHR tradition of all polls favorable to Trump are real and good and all polls unfavorable to Trump are wrong. Go to it.
Be my guest.
I am not doing that and if it irritates you and the other Trump cheerleaders deal with it.
Here is the RCP average showing Trump leading by a measly 0.6 pts. On January 26 it was 4.6 pts.
Come on let’s hear how the RCP average has got to be wrong, it’s run by a bunch of commies, although it was right on Jan 26. You know you want to.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
LikeLike
It is not even fools gold…its just foolish. If he is within 5 in Minn the election has long been won”
What? Are you crazy?
This is a GOOD poll. You HAVE to believe this one. The internals are perfect. The sample is perfect. The polling company is A+++++. This is gospel, man.
The only polls to be questioned are those unfavorable to Trump. Those are BAD. Rotten sample. Bad polling company. Just fill in the blanks.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Ma, the Minnesota is in play bait is top freakin’ notch!
Everyone knows Minny ain’t in play, but the fish are biting hard. Lol.
Chicon
LikeLike
Bitter doesn’t believe any polling, apparently, and Jason tosses three straight polls showing Trump down 2-4 points. And the rest of us are the zealots….
Chicon
LikeLike
All poles for demented are one believed.
-free passers
LikeLike
In other news, we are at $5.25 a gallon for gas.
Prices for everything will skyrocket in the summer.
I wonder if the free passers will deny this.
LikeLike
“Jason tosses three straight polls”
The only people skewing and tossing polls are the Trump cheerleaders.
LikeLike
Usually the left does Race riots once every four years with the presidential cycle but that doesn’t seem to be the plan this time.
If I were to bet I would think Deepstate will try very hard to gin up something they can pin on ‘MAGA extremist Christian nationalists’
The Deep state would love some kind of J6 2.0 type event so that would be the best bet I think.
LikeLike
https://x.com/ValMakesMemes/status/1737551944011444525
LikeLike
Did Tina give Trump a pass for being the ultimate RINO?
A friend wants to know.
LikeLike
Dems still pushing the Russian Collusion Hoax on MSNBC
https://x.com/drefanzor/status/1777730962715246937
LikeLike
The Deep state”
Ah yes, the Deep State.
There were almost as many sightings this year of the Deep State as there were for Bigfoot, the Tooth Fairy, the Easter Bunny and the Oak Island Treasure.
LikeLike
MSNBC interviewed Michael Avenatti from jail.
i hope Amoral Scumbag was able to see it in Bogo Pogo.
LikeLike
Chicon. I don’t think anyone bit on this poll. This worm is going to sit on the hook until it falls off.
LikeLike
I did not say I don’t believe polls. I said I don’t care about them.
LikeLike
Holy cr*p = even scramble isn’t immune to the woke Gen Z ultra-snowflake generation.
https://www.foxnews.com/media/scrabble-releases-less-competitive-more-inclusive-version-game-appeal-gen-z
LikeLike
Not interested means exactly that. DW posts the polls.
LikeLike
Why Jeffrey Epstein may be a front for something even bigger
LikeLike
“Here is the RCP average showing Trump leading by a measly 0.6 pts. On January 26 it was 4.6 pts.”
Actually, it was +4.3 on that day, January 26, while on January 10 it was a ‘measly’ +0.6. December 17 it was +3.5. The RCP average bounces up and down in part due to the timing of poll releases, when polls drop off, etc. What statisticians would do with a chart like this is overlay a trend line for each candidate. Trump’s topline number has been climbing and holding since November. Biden’s numbers were flat, at the time between November and February, but then started to climb in late February, probably in response to the visual that he wasn’t dead yet at the SOTU speech. His base came back home a bit, without really eating into Trump’s topline. Will be interesting to see where it goes from here.
LikeLike
good morning
LikeLike
ALL POLLS ARE WRONG! (unless they show Trump ahead)
Now that we are through with the fundamentals, we can proceed.
LikeLike
Why is gas $2 more per gallon in California than near me? Is it all due to taxes and regulations?
LikeLike
Here is the RCP average showing Trump leading by a measly 0.6 pts. On January 26 it was 4.6 pts.”
Actually, it was +4.3 on that day.”
LOL, the fact you think THAT correction somehow voids my argument shows me you have thrown objectivity out the window.
You follow it by a bunch of obvious mumbo jumbo that nobody contested (yeah, the average goes up and down, who wouda thunk).
And the reason it goes up and down (EUREKA!) is polls favorable and unfavorable to Trump.
Since pointing out the average has narrowed offends you so much, you can just ignore it.
We can all be blissfully happy and ignorant,
LikeLike
it’s over $3 now here in TX
LikeLike
I’ve lost track of what this fight is sbout
from what I remember it’s the difference between movement and…well I don’t even remember the other word anymore.
the odd things is both if y’all are saying the same thing and arguing over the semantics of what it’s called. We all agree the polls have tightened
we all agree they will fluctuate from now until November
just saying…
LikeLike
Why is gas $2 more per gallon in California than near me? Is it all due to taxes and regulations?”
Plus the gas used in CA is a “special” gas, only produced by refineries in CA. It’s more expensive to produce and the number of refineries that can produce it is actually shrinking not expanding even though demand is growing. When there is a shortage they cannot bring in fuel from other states, further impacting prices.
LikeLike
I’ve lost track of what this fight is sbout”
Not really a fight.
It is a tradition at HHR that you treat polls you like as GOOD and polls you don’t like as BAD. When the RCP average widens for Trump, it is because he is crushing Biden. When it narrows, it is due to “fluctuations” and bad polls.
The legacy of Polaris and Rdelbov is alive and well.
LikeLike
Jason. Add in the regulatory carbkn credits that the producers need to buy in order to meet the environmental standards of their cap and trade scheme…and boom. $5 gas
but what can you expect when minimum wage is $42k a year
LikeLike
Vic, I have no argument with jason. I have no idea what he’s so worked up about. He keeps telling me what I am thinking, even though I am not thinking that. For instance, “you think THAT correction somehow voids my argument” when I didn’t think that at all. I was going back to look at the numbers and saw that he accidently was off a tiny bit, and so I corrected it. Another: “offends you so much” when I am not offended.
“We can all be blissfully happy and ignorant”
And yet I was the one who found that Bluefinch poll of Michigan that is not favorable to Trump and posted it here along with their PA poll, even though neither RCP or 538 posted the Michigan poll. I could have ignored it and hoped nobody else here would find it. But I didn’t. I committed from the beginning to post all polls regardless what they show.
LikeLike
the infamous curve
LikeLike
I have no idea what he’s so worked up about.”
zzzzzzz….
I am not worked up.
You are the one that gets into a tizzy when anybody points out that Trump’s advantage has narrowed to almost nothing and that the betting sites now reflect that change.
The fact you took the time to go back and correct 4.6% to 4.3% to point out how wrong I was and somehow attack my argument because of the 0.3% error shows you want to be a cheer leader for Trump.
Which is perfectly ok, let’s just stop beating around the bush.
LikeLike
was going back to look at the numbers and saw that he accidently was off a tiny bit, and so I corrected it.”
LOL
LikeLike
Very interesting. According to this poll and conventional wisdom, unregistered voters are not pro-Dem.
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2024/04/10/new-poll-findings-might-cause-dems-to-chill-on-voter-registration-drives-n2637556
LikeLike
I should say and “against” conventional wisdom.
LikeLike
haha, very humorous jason. When my wife asks me what I want for dinner, I will check with you because you know more about my thinking than I do.
LikeLike
I want Trump to win. I might even go back on my intention to never campaign for candidates again. There is a rally for Trump in Schnecksville, PA on April 13 I might even go although its a 90 mile drive.
But Trump has four huge factors that make him an underdog. “Feel good” statements and “selective poll results” don’t change that.
Really the only advantage Trump has is that he has a better record as President to run on than Biden. But because of the MSM, it will be hard to get that message across. However, it is the ONE factor keeping him competitive until now.
LikeLiked by 1 person
When my wife asks me what I want for dinner, I will check with you because you know more about my thinking than I do.”
I am an expert on breakfast and lunch too.
LikeLike
“Feel good” statements and “selective poll results” don’t change that.
Completely agree.
There are several additional variables. Trump has not announced his veep yet. That could help him, hurt him, or have no impact. Biden’s health could stay the same, or he could further deteriorate.
But given poll after poll show the Economy as the #1 issue, inflation this summer probably is the biggest unknown that will shape the outcome of the election.
LikeLike
scrapple. Right?
LikeLike
No breakfast is complete without scrapple.
LikeLike
I read some breaking news this morning. Apparently the President is selected via 50 individual state elections rather than one nationwide election.
After discovering this, I went to RCP to look at state level polling. It appears that Trump is ahead in every battleground state, except one. Pennsylvania has switched to Biden slightly ahead after a Fraklin poll saw Biden ahead there by ten points. It appears Biden is surging in PA.
So, the polling industry says that Trump would comfortably win the Electorl College vote were the election held today. I guess they’re all Trump bootlickers, seeing the world through orange tinted glasses.
Of course the rational posters here realize that the election is not today, and that there will be ebbs and flows until the election. The Poll Denier posters get cognitive dissonance with these polls because they are married to the idea Trump will lose. So, toss the polls!
There’s plenty of polling evidence that Trump is in decent position right now. Spouting off about being an irrational Trump zealot for noticing this is simply more A-hole disinformation; it’s what happens when you corner an A-hole.
Carry on.
Chicon
LikeLike
Trump is in a decent position, better than I would have expected
there are lots of variables that may and will change that before November, and he will go up and down
the polls do not account for the margin of fraud which makes Trump the underdog
all can be true
LikeLike
Fetterman on trying to force SCOTUS judge to resign “I have no opinion on anyone else’s ability to retire unless it’s that sleazeball Menendez, he should resign.”
LikeLike
Chicon’s post was stupid on the last thread, didn’t improve the second time.
But maybe he can name one piece of “disinformation” I have posted.
This should be good.
Oh wait, I did post that the RCP on Jan 27 was 4.6 spread for Trump, it was really 4.3.
Never mind.
LikeLike
Funny how the Trump Cheeleaders who want us to ignore any poll unfavorable to Trump are the ones calling others ‘Poll Deniers”:
You have to love HHR.
LikeLike
Biden is running ads every hour on Philadelphia stations. He has 2 issues – the economy is great and Trump wants to kill women by denying them abortions. I have not seen any Trump ads.
LikeLike
Post office wants to raise price of a stamp again.
###########################################
I say make each stamp $5 and be done with for a couple of years.
________________________________
Say, the price of postage is not computed in the cost of living numbers is it?
They already took out nonessentials such s energy costs (gasoline, heating oil, NatGas, kerosene) and food.
What a fricking joke.
Speaking of fricking, off to assemble, prepare and test run the power sprayer.
As ever the optimist (except in political matters), I have high expectations.
LikeLike
Biden is running ads in a state that he leads by 10? He really is demented.
Chicon
LikeLike
Trumps ahead in RCP average nationally and in all battleground states (except PA right now).
Plus
“Trump will lose”
Equals
Poll Deniers.
So easy a llama could figure it out.
Chicon
LikeLike