According to the Colorado Polling Institute:
 | COLORADO – New Bridge Strategy/Aspect Strategic |
| Trump | 39 |
| Biden | 49 |
- Last week of the year. Will the scandals in Minnesota be investigated?
- Weekend thread……
- Merry Christmas!
- Christmas Eve
- Eve of Christmas Eve
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.0 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.8 / 51.0 | -5.2 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
26 responses to “Biden cruising in Colorado”
I thought the dirtbag torturing a wolf before he killed it would get a response. GFYs
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This new poll suggests the state might want to just get renamed to “Califado”
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Ok, so even though Im not getting notifications anymore I just found a way to get back in and see what and where posts are.
Thank God. I was going through withdrawals!
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OK all caught up. Yes, it definitely seems that Corey is terrified that Nebraska might change its laws, but that one vote could be the one to return Trump to office and help this country…because another four years of Biden Kamala is untenable .
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Bitter, much to your dismay, I agree with you far more often than you think. However, I’ve never agreed more than on the wolf thing. Tie the idiot to a tree naked in Montana and pour pig’s blood all over him; come check on him in a few days.
Chicon
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RCP Trump at .8 … The shift here is not comforting. This is almost a 2-point drop in the average for Trump and a clear trend over the last week of polls. A long way to go still.
Meanwhile RDS is kicking liberal DEI butt in Florida on a daily basis.
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Rescue polls were bound to happen. I still believe Trump has the edge, but November is a long way away.
Does anyone think that Biden will actually debate Trump, and if he does, they will have him so pumped with Adrenaline and so many others drugs that he will appear wired…but awake.
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Just got back from our Abu Dhabi, Doha, and Cote D’Azur trip.
The fruit and vegetable quality in southern France is ten times better than the USA. People are happier too.
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I am sure we agree on many things. I think you can be a douche. So can I. All can be true.
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How did you like Abu Dhabi and Doha
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what a fight in the Rangers-Devils game. Devils got the a*s handed to them in the fights, especially the Miller fight…well more like a bloodbath…oh wait, I can’t say that
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Thanks for asking…you were right on the difference between UAE and Qatar. Our second time to Abu Dhabi…flew Etihad 1st class on AA miles and $7 …wife loved it…stayed at Grand Hyatt on points and checked out a few sites and had excellent food and service… loved the new airport. Seriously talking about a winter trip next year back. Not much happening in Doha because of Ramadan until evening…spent night walking around the Souq Waqif and new city areas with outdoor AC … that was a great cultural experience. In both airports the “TSA” workers helped my wife with her luggage in security…they lifted her bags etc…we were pleasantly surprised…one passport control agent apologized to my wife for taking off her eye glasses when she accidentally dropped them… couldn’t believe it… the QSuites flying out of Doha were fun. The Qatar business lounge was awesome!
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I saw that…old school.
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“The shift here is not comforting”
There is no “shift.” No “Biden Surge.” This is wish-casting on the part of Biden and the left.
Marist got a national poll of Biden +2 by juicing the sample to a turnout of Dem +7. That is absurd and actually shows how well Trump is doing, even in a Marist poll.
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And furthermore, as a DeSantis supporter, I have to admit that even if Ron had gotten the nomination, pollsters would do the same thing. They would juice the turnout sample to D+20 if they had to in order to get a Biden lead. Its what they do, and they do it every election, regardless the GOP candidate.
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Here is your “Biden surge” in action:
Oh no, two more university polls this morning! When will it stop? Sky is falling! Trump is doomed!
Marquette: Trump 44, Biden 42
Emerson: Trump 46, Biden 45
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I have to agree with JeffP that the most recent polling trent is not good news regardless if they are “juicing the turnout sample” or not. The fact is the RCP average has dropped for Trump by almost 2 points. This is also reflected in a drop in perception of who will win the election on betting sites, and Biden has made gains there too.
We should not fall into the time honored HHR tradition of accepting polls favorable to us as legitimate and dissing/ignoring those that aren’t. Whether we like or not, polls influence how the race is viewed by the MSM and therefore the populace, and even more importantly they influence donors and how money is spent.
The sky is not falling because there will be a lot of ebbs and flows before the election. Huge unknowns still hang over this race on both sides from Biden trying to run out the clock before his cognitive decline results in a disastrous moment for him to Trump’s trials and VP pick.
But at the same time if you don’t view Trump as an underdog in this race you are not being realistic. The odds are stacked against in media coverage, in campaign funds, in rogue prosecutions and in election laws in key states.
Yesterday I saw a Gallup poll showing Biden leading Trump on “likeability” 46-36. Biden is not likeable, but this is an example of how the MSM can drive the narrative. Biden still had a “cares more about people like you” lead, astonishing considering what his policies have done to “people like you”.
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A passionate argument for ending celibacy in the Catholic Church. One problem is the author is not Catholic.
If I was Catholic, I would oppose it. Not because I think it is not violated all the time but because I am loathe to do away with tenets and traditions (yes, I know celibacy is not a “tradition”) for the sake of “modernity”. I think priests and nuns should live spartan lives in monasteries and convents like you see in the movies, dedicating their lives to prayer and following the teachings of God and the Church. Sue me.
Priests who want to marry, engage in gay sex, drive fast cars and live like “normal people” remind me of a race car driver who advocates for speed limits and safe distancing on the track
https://stream.org/catholics-are-debating-the-celibate-priesthood-again-and-we-should/
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Jason, you would do well at RRH. You just summed up their eeyoring.
The “most recent polling” shows no surge for Biden, nothing like this. All of this is wish-casting by Biden and his leftist media. I am looking at actual polling data, and there is no Biden Surge.
The prior Emerson poll had Biden ahead. Now they show Trump ahead. Fox News just had Trump ahead by FIVE, when their prior poll was Trump by TWO.
And then there is personal favorability where Trump comes out ahead.
Trump’s average is 42.5 / 52.6.
Biden’s average is 40.6 / 54.7
I could go on and on. But Biden says the Border is Secure, when its not. Or he will blame Trump for the Border. He just says whatever he wants. He is completely free from the realm of truth or fiction and just says whatever he wants.
So of course he will say he is surging in the polls. The media is eager to repeat this mis-information. But its a fantasy. He is not surging in polls going on here on planet earth. Maybe in some Star Trek alternative reality he is, but not here.
I say all this, not as a Trump cheerleader. I don’t like him. I will vote for him. I was for DeSantis. But this whole Biden Surge is messaging, not polling.
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I say all this, not as a Trump cheerleader.”
But yet you ARE cheerleading by falling into the “good polls for Trump are good polls, bad polls for Trump are bad polls” trap.
You are correct in your arguments about Biden. He is free from the realms of truth because the MSM is corrupt and will not call him on his fantasies and lies.
But when you deny the reality of the polls, you are messaging, not polling. When posts that acknowledge that reality “offend you” to the point you say I should be at HHR you are relying on emotion, not fact.
Look at the graph. The last time the spread was this close was at the end of October
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
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Should be at RRH i should say.
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Jason, you would do well at RRH.”
Bitter, gimme the points. Tks.
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Two weeks ago Trump was leading Biden in the prediction market by 5 points. Today Biden is leading by 4 points.
Why? Because of polling. Predictit does not really “predict’ anything, it just reflects what the perceptions of people betting on the race think about it. And their perception is based largely on polling and conventional wisdom.
The almost 10 point shift in perception is based on polling showing the race to be closer.
Bet on it.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
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“But yet you ARE cheerleading by falling into the “good polls for Trump are good polls, bad polls for Trump are bad polls” trap.’
No, I am not doing that. I am looking at all the polls. It is statistical malpractice to do what you are doing. There is no trend here. Its the bouncing up and down of polling like it always does. You need a longer time to see if anything sticks.
I am looking at the polls, you are falling for the messaging.
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If Biden were to surge in the polls, I would be the first to admit it. I am committed to honesty in what is actually happening in the polls. But I won’t be bullied by messaging, wish-casting, and the like.
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New thread, showing more of “Biden’s Surge!”
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