The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.0-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.8 / 51.0-5.2

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump with edge in GA and NC

Bitterlaw

Even according to Marist:

GEORGIA – Marist
Trump51
Biden47
Three Candidates:
Trump45
Biden40
Kennedy14
3/11 – 3/14; 1,171 RV
NORTH CAROLINA – Marist
Trump51
Biden 48
Three Candidates:
Trump46
Biden 43
Kennedy11
3/11 – 3/14; 1,197 RV

7 responses to “Trump with edge in GA and NC”

  1. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    First

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  2. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    So we tossed away 2 winnable Senate seats in Georgia a few years ago. Now Ohio.

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  3. DW Avatar
    DW

    Bitter, I wouldn’t give up on Moreno. He’s not a Todd Akin or the witch from Delaware. He can win, but its doing it the hard way.

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  4. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Why do so many on our side want to do it the hard way? Dolan? Easy win. DeSantis? Better chance to win 2 terms. Trump? Death match to win 1 term.

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  5. themohel Avatar
    themohel

    Bitter is Irish; doom and gloom is part of the makeup. Polls that show Biden down are tossed aside; polls showing Moreno behind are sacrosanct.

    Chicon

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  6. DW Avatar
    DW

    New Thread

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  7. themohel Avatar
    themohel

    Trump won Ohio by about 480,000 votes in 2020. Assuming the same vote (I suspect reality will be a bigger margin), 240,000 voters will need to vote for Trump and Brown.

    I’d be curious to see the demographic of this group. Is this another example of Orange Ogre outperforming a Senate candidate?

    Chicon

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